1) The last 20 years, Super Bowl losers have won a total of 194 regular season games the following year....an average of 9.7 regular season wins.
2) Non-Super Bowl winning teams that played in at least 3 playoff games the previous season as home teams of less than or equal to 8 point favorites have gone 17-31 ATS and 26-25 straight up in divisional games before week 11.......Rams, Broncos, Patriots
3) Query text....tpS(playoffs)>2 and tpS(playoffs@L, N=1)=1 and HD, HF and week<13 and line>=-8 and DIV
4) Non-Super Bowl winning home teams that made the playoffs the season prior, as favorites of 8 or less have gone 401-439 ATS (47.7%) the next season before week 13.
tpS(playoffs)>0 and week<13 and line>=-8 and tpS(playoffs@L, N=1)=1 and HF
5) ALL divisional home favorites of less than/equal to -8 points that made the playoffs the season prior, playing a team that missed the playoffs the season before have gone....
September....30-45-2 ATS, including 7-16 ATS week 1
October........30-35-2 ATS
November.....33-44-2 ATS
December......36-55 ATS
tpS(playoffs)>0 and line>=-8 and HF and opS(playoffs)=0 and month and DIV
If our home favorite in the above scenario will be an underdog their next game those home favorites have gone 56-81-3 ATS (40.9%)
If our home favorite's present opponent will be favored their next game those home favorites have gone 60-103-3 ATS (36.8%)
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1) The last 20 years, Super Bowl losers have won a total of 194 regular season games the following year....an average of 9.7 regular season wins.
2) Non-Super Bowl winning teams that played in at least 3 playoff games the previous season as home teams of less than or equal to 8 point favorites have gone 17-31 ATS and 26-25 straight up in divisional games before week 11.......Rams, Broncos, Patriots
3) Query text....tpS(playoffs)>2 and tpS(playoffs@L, N=1)=1 and HD, HF and week<13 and line>=-8 and DIV
4) Non-Super Bowl winning home teams that made the playoffs the season prior, as favorites of 8 or less have gone 401-439 ATS (47.7%) the next season before week 13.
tpS(playoffs)>0 and week<13 and line>=-8 and tpS(playoffs@L, N=1)=1 and HF
5) ALL divisional home favorites of less than/equal to -8 points that made the playoffs the season prior, playing a team that missed the playoffs the season before have gone....
September....30-45-2 ATS, including 7-16 ATS week 1
October........30-35-2 ATS
November.....33-44-2 ATS
December......36-55 ATS
tpS(playoffs)>0 and line>=-8 and HF and opS(playoffs)=0 and month and DIV
If our home favorite in the above scenario will be an underdog their next game those home favorites have gone 56-81-3 ATS (40.9%)
If our home favorite's present opponent will be favored their next game those home favorites have gone 60-103-3 ATS (36.8%)
I fiddled around with Query #4 and came up with this. I usually demand a winning % of 57+ and an average ATS or OU margin of 3+ points before placing a wager, but maybe someone can improve on this:
tpS(playoffs)>0 and week<13 and line > -8.2 and tpS(playoffs@L, N=1)=1 and HF and (p:margin > 5.5 or p:margin < -5.5) and op:L
OU: 134-94-4 (2.7,58.8%)
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I fiddled around with Query #4 and came up with this. I usually demand a winning % of 57+ and an average ATS or OU margin of 3+ points before placing a wager, but maybe someone can improve on this:
tpS(playoffs)>0 and week<13 and line > -8.2 and tpS(playoffs@L, N=1)=1 and HF and (p:margin > 5.5 or p:margin < -5.5) and op:L
I fiddled around with Query #4 and came up with this. I usually demand a winning % of 57+ and an average ATS or OU margin of 3+ points before placing a wager, but maybe someone can improve on this: tpS(playoffs)>0 and week<13 and line > -8.2 and tpS(playoffs@L, N=1)=1 and HF and (p:margin > 5.5 or p:margin < -5.5) and op:L OU: 134-94-4 (2.7,58.8%)
Hey DBW;
If you change week<13 to week<12 AND add on:D
you get a very tasty
(64-29) OU 69%
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Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
I fiddled around with Query #4 and came up with this. I usually demand a winning % of 57+ and an average ATS or OU margin of 3+ points before placing a wager, but maybe someone can improve on this: tpS(playoffs)>0 and week<13 and line > -8.2 and tpS(playoffs@L, N=1)=1 and HF and (p:margin > 5.5 or p:margin < -5.5) and op:L OU: 134-94-4 (2.7,58.8%)
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: I fiddled around with Query #4 and came up with this. I usually demand a winning % of 57+ and an average ATS or OU margin of 3+ points before placing a wager, but maybe someone can improve on this: tpS(playoffs)>0 and week<13 and line > -8.2 and tpS(playoffs@L, N=1)=1 and HF and (p:margin > 5.5 or p:margin < -5.5) and op:L OU: 134-94-4 (2.7,58.8%) Hey DBW; If you change week<13 to week<12 AND add on:D you get a very tasty (64-29) OU 69%
btw:
(64-29) 4.6pts
which included season=2025
(5-1) 13.0 pts ATS
(4-2) 8.2 pts OU
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Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: I fiddled around with Query #4 and came up with this. I usually demand a winning % of 57+ and an average ATS or OU margin of 3+ points before placing a wager, but maybe someone can improve on this: tpS(playoffs)>0 and week<13 and line > -8.2 and tpS(playoffs@L, N=1)=1 and HF and (p:margin > 5.5 or p:margin < -5.5) and op:L OU: 134-94-4 (2.7,58.8%) Hey DBW; If you change week<13 to week<12 AND add on:D you get a very tasty (64-29) OU 69%
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