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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Scalabrine Rule: National embarrassment angle: Broncos @ Beats, the crap bowl!

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    MrBator
    theclaw
    undermysac
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    MrBator
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 2:54 AM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

      The Broncos just suffered not only one of the worst defeats in franchise history but also NFL history. Even their mothers won’t look at their faces until they beat somebody, anybody. This is as rock bottom as it gets unless they lose to the putrid Bears in Chicago.

     

    Yeah, I think they're gonna lose to the putrid Bears in Chicago.

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    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

      The Broncos just suffered not only one of the worst defeats in franchise history but also NFL history. Even their mothers won’t look at their faces until they beat somebody, anybody. This is as rock bottom as it gets unless they lose to the putrid Bears in Chicago.

     

    Yeah, I think they're gonna lose to the putrid Bears in Chicago.

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 2:57 AM ET #52

    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy_Cats:

    You'd think that blowing a 21-3 lead last week would have embarrassed them into a better performance this week.

     

    an_lightpeace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy_Cats:

    You'd think that blowing a 21-3 lead last week would have embarrassed them into a better performance this week.

     

    an_lightpeace_5

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 3:02 AM ET #53

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

    Betting on two 0-3 teams that are close to the worst in the league provides no value. Both teams are “Wounded Bear”, which is what this angle is based off. Maybe, but only one of the losing teams will dominate the headlines and joke lines this week. That’s the team with a SB winning coach and QB.

     

    The Super Bowl winning head coach and the Super Bowl winning quarterback you're referring to are two of the least popular men in the Denver metropolitan area these days. I doubt they're liked any better inside that Broncos locker room. Their respective past glory isn't doing shit for them right now. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

    Betting on two 0-3 teams that are close to the worst in the league provides no value. Both teams are “Wounded Bear”, which is what this angle is based off. Maybe, but only one of the losing teams will dominate the headlines and joke lines this week. That’s the team with a SB winning coach and QB.

     

    The Super Bowl winning head coach and the Super Bowl winning quarterback you're referring to are two of the least popular men in the Denver metropolitan area these days. I doubt they're liked any better inside that Broncos locker room. Their respective past glory isn't doing shit for them right now. 

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 8:46 AM ET #54

    @DogbiteWilliams

     

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    @begginerboy   Good luck to you, buddy.  I have found nothing on this matchup with a large enough sample size to provide any confidence in predictability. Here is a small query which favors DEN and MIN, but I don't consider it actionable: A and week = 4 and losses = 3 and o:losses = 3  0-3 road teams have an edge against 0-3 home teams. ATS:  9-4-0 (2.77, 69.2)  I like an average ATS margin of 3+ points and a sample size of 20+ games to spur me into action.

     

    As a general rule of thumb, when 2 bottom feeders play each other never give pts, always take the points or pass. The road team having the edge in your querry most likely supports this rule of thumb. If the road team is covering as a dog just think about the home team as the dog.

    I can see both teams having regression but the bigger regression is on the Bears and you get them as a home dog.

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    @DogbiteWilliams

     

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    @begginerboy   Good luck to you, buddy.  I have found nothing on this matchup with a large enough sample size to provide any confidence in predictability. Here is a small query which favors DEN and MIN, but I don't consider it actionable: A and week = 4 and losses = 3 and o:losses = 3  0-3 road teams have an edge against 0-3 home teams. ATS:  9-4-0 (2.77, 69.2)  I like an average ATS margin of 3+ points and a sample size of 20+ games to spur me into action.

     

    As a general rule of thumb, when 2 bottom feeders play each other never give pts, always take the points or pass. The road team having the edge in your querry most likely supports this rule of thumb. If the road team is covering as a dog just think about the home team as the dog.

    I can see both teams having regression but the bigger regression is on the Bears and you get them as a home dog.

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 8:57 AM ET #55

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy: Betting on two 0-3 teams that are close to the worst in the league provides no value. Both teams are “Wounded Bear”, which is what this angle is based off. Maybe, but only one of the losing teams will dominate the headlines and joke lines this week. That’s the team with a SB winning coach and QB.   The Super Bowl winning head coach and the Super Bowl winning quarterback you're referring to are two of the least popular men in the Denver metropolitan area these days. I doubt they're liked any better inside that Broncos locker room. Their respective past glory isn't doing shit for them right now.

     

    What's interesting about R Wilson, when he got to Denver I heard he told some players, I only play to win championships. Oh really, you don't say, who are you Tom Brady now ? How can R Wilson make that statement if he indeed did. With 1 SB win and then throwing the BIG INT at the goal line ? And you only play to win championships, OK KID.

    Reminds me of when Ravens had a great year going 14-2 and the media interviewing L Jackson before the playoffs, at this point he never won a playoff game yet despite this he said, I want to be the Tom Brady of my generation. OK youngster, now go get some cookies and milk it's bed time.

    How these players make statements like this shows they have very unrealistic views of themselves. 

    Sounds like Wilson may have come into Denver with a very unrealistic view of himself. Crazy Talk !!

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    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy: Betting on two 0-3 teams that are close to the worst in the league provides no value. Both teams are “Wounded Bear”, which is what this angle is based off. Maybe, but only one of the losing teams will dominate the headlines and joke lines this week. That’s the team with a SB winning coach and QB.   The Super Bowl winning head coach and the Super Bowl winning quarterback you're referring to are two of the least popular men in the Denver metropolitan area these days. I doubt they're liked any better inside that Broncos locker room. Their respective past glory isn't doing shit for them right now.

     

    What's interesting about R Wilson, when he got to Denver I heard he told some players, I only play to win championships. Oh really, you don't say, who are you Tom Brady now ? How can R Wilson make that statement if he indeed did. With 1 SB win and then throwing the BIG INT at the goal line ? And you only play to win championships, OK KID.

    Reminds me of when Ravens had a great year going 14-2 and the media interviewing L Jackson before the playoffs, at this point he never won a playoff game yet despite this he said, I want to be the Tom Brady of my generation. OK youngster, now go get some cookies and milk it's bed time.

    How these players make statements like this shows they have very unrealistic views of themselves. 

    Sounds like Wilson may have come into Denver with a very unrealistic view of himself. Crazy Talk !!

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 1:42 PM ET #56

    an_popcorn

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    an_popcorn

     
    Glccskippy
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 1:47 PM ET #57

    @theclaw

     Explanation... Well done Theclawthumbs_up

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    @theclaw

     Explanation... Well done Theclawthumbs_up

     
    warrenator
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 2:30 PM ET #58

    This is another one of those farcical "angles" that doesnt take into account the current teams.

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    This is another one of those farcical "angles" that doesnt take into account the current teams.

     
    wmi799
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 2:38 PM ET #59

    Scal peace_5

    Looking like a November Wyoming snow storm for you

    Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
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    Scal peace_5

    Looking like a November Wyoming snow storm for you

     
    Flyguy1700
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 2:41 PM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

    I’m grabbing the Broncos ml at -143 now. Those of you who remember Scal (or think he is me:) know that this was one of his favorite angles, and one he created. This play is all about human psychology and what ultimately motivates these sometimes good for nothing athletes: shame, embarrassment, not being to show their faces on their tweeter feeds, or even the grocery store.  The Broncos just suffered not only one of the worst defeats in franchise history but also NFL history. And it would have been the worst if the Dolphins hadn’t shown them mercy. Even their mothers won’t look at their faces until they beat somebody, anybody. This is as rock bottom as it gets unless they lose to the putrid Bears in Chicago. So yes, it can get worse. And that’s scary, especially if you are backing them this week. But the idea here is they will circle the wagons for this week and try to get the stench of losing off of them as fast as they can lest they sink lower by losing to the winless Bears. Good luck to anyone who’s got the guts to tail this one.

    Denver even makes Chicago look good which is really hard to do an_roll_laugh

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    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

    I’m grabbing the Broncos ml at -143 now. Those of you who remember Scal (or think he is me:) know that this was one of his favorite angles, and one he created. This play is all about human psychology and what ultimately motivates these sometimes good for nothing athletes: shame, embarrassment, not being to show their faces on their tweeter feeds, or even the grocery store.  The Broncos just suffered not only one of the worst defeats in franchise history but also NFL history. And it would have been the worst if the Dolphins hadn’t shown them mercy. Even their mothers won’t look at their faces until they beat somebody, anybody. This is as rock bottom as it gets unless they lose to the putrid Bears in Chicago. So yes, it can get worse. And that’s scary, especially if you are backing them this week. But the idea here is they will circle the wagons for this week and try to get the stench of losing off of them as fast as they can lest they sink lower by losing to the winless Bears. Good luck to anyone who’s got the guts to tail this one.

    Denver even makes Chicago look good which is really hard to do an_roll_laugh

     
    Semperfi
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 2:50 PM ET #61

    22 for 23 and 3 Tds , Fields lol

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    22 for 23 and 3 Tds , Fields lol

     
    davemsh
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 3:10 PM ET #62

    Quote Originally Posted by Semperfi:

    22 for 23 and 3 Tds , Fields lol

     

    an_roll_laugh

    Mayweather bet 450000 on
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    Quote Originally Posted by Semperfi:

    22 for 23 and 3 Tds , Fields lol

     

    an_roll_laugh

     
    Glccskippy
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 3:14 PM ET #63

    Take cards +15.5...call it a day SON!!

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    Take cards +15.5...call it a day SON!!

     
    TheSquare
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 3:31 PM ET #64

    Tied up!? new_jaw_drop

     

    No action on the game but

    Plot thickens... an_popcorn

    an_nailbiter

    "Schrödinger's bet." A bet that loses when you bet it but wins when you DON'T bet it...
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    Tied up!? new_jaw_drop

     

    No action on the game but

    Plot thickens... an_popcorn

    an_nailbiter

     
    AnthonyStarks
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 3:37 PM ET #65

    Missed you scal. GL. I'm a broncos Homer but haven't backed them since against washington

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    Missed you scal. GL. I'm a broncos Homer but haven't backed them since against washington

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 3:58 PM ET #66

    Incredible win BB

    The Bears have to fire the entire coaching staff, asap.

    Glad you won $, I would of dropped dead from a heart attack if I laid that ML.

    peace_5

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    Incredible win BB

    The Bears have to fire the entire coaching staff, asap.

    Glad you won $, I would of dropped dead from a heart attack if I laid that ML.

    peace_5

     
    NoFlyZone
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 4:01 PM ET #67

    peace_5

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    peace_5

     
    TheSquare
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 4:01 PM ET #68

    Stress level @ halftime = an_arsed

    Now? cool

    Nice hit brotha.. peace_5

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    Stress level @ halftime = an_arsed

    Now? cool

    Nice hit brotha.. peace_5

     
    Fuse
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 4:02 PM ET #69

    Broncos an_clap

    Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
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    Broncos an_clap

     
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 4:05 PM ET #70

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Incredible win BB The Bears have to fire the entire coaching staff, asap. Glad you won $, I would have dropped dead from a heart attack if I laid that ML.

     

    I almost did, buddy. I died and came back a couple of times:) It’s times like this when you know who the true gentleman and friends are in this forum. I could not see the game on my local channel but was following it. In the end, the Bears were more dysfunctional and used to their ways of losing or they wanted that #1 draft pick more. No other way to explain how they wilted. But thank god the Broncos had not given up completely and when given any life took full advantage of it and then some. peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Incredible win BB The Bears have to fire the entire coaching staff, asap. Glad you won $, I would have dropped dead from a heart attack if I laid that ML.

     

    I almost did, buddy. I died and came back a couple of times:) It’s times like this when you know who the true gentleman and friends are in this forum. I could not see the game on my local channel but was following it. In the end, the Bears were more dysfunctional and used to their ways of losing or they wanted that #1 draft pick more. No other way to explain how they wilted. But thank god the Broncos had not given up completely and when given any life took full advantage of it and then some. peace_5

     
    begginerboy
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 4:09 PM ET #71

    @TheSquare

     

    @Fuse

     

    @NoFlyZone

    Thanks, fellas. Really appreciate the support. Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good. Not the way I wanted it to go down but in the end the SB winning coach and QB, when given half of a chance by that awful defense, came through. peace_5

     

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    @TheSquare

     

    @Fuse

     

    @NoFlyZone

    Thanks, fellas. Really appreciate the support. Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good. Not the way I wanted it to go down but in the end the SB winning coach and QB, when given half of a chance by that awful defense, came through. peace_5

     

     
    MIZARD
    MIZARD
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 4:10 PM ET #72

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

    @TheSquare   @Fuse   @NoFlyZone Thanks, fellas. Really appreciate the support. Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good. Not the way I wanted it to go down but in the end the SB winning coach and QB, when given half of a chance by that awful defense, came through.
    but ya gotta be good to be lucky cool an_cheers

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    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

    @TheSquare   @Fuse   @NoFlyZone Thanks, fellas. Really appreciate the support. Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good. Not the way I wanted it to go down but in the end the SB winning coach and QB, when given half of a chance by that awful defense, came through.
    but ya gotta be good to be lucky cool an_cheers

     
    begginerboy
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 4:14 PM ET #73

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:   The Broncos just suffered not only one of the worst defeats in franchise history but also NFL history. Even their mothers won’t look at their faces until they beat somebody, anybody. This is as rock bottom as it gets unless they lose to the putrid Bears in Chicago.   Yeah, I think they're gonna lose to the putrid Bears in Chicago.

     

    Hey, at least you were right about the Broncos locker room being quiet at halftime:) Hope you had the Bears at +3.5 Bator. Always a class act, but next time warn me and the forum about a game you are opposite on at least a couple of days before, not the night of. That’s getting a bit too close to trolling. peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:   The Broncos just suffered not only one of the worst defeats in franchise history but also NFL history. Even their mothers won’t look at their faces until they beat somebody, anybody. This is as rock bottom as it gets unless they lose to the putrid Bears in Chicago.   Yeah, I think they're gonna lose to the putrid Bears in Chicago.

     

    Hey, at least you were right about the Broncos locker room being quiet at halftime:) Hope you had the Bears at +3.5 Bator. Always a class act, but next time warn me and the forum about a game you are opposite on at least a couple of days before, not the night of. That’s getting a bit too close to trolling. peace_5

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 4:17 PM ET #74

    @begginerboy

     Complete coaching malpractice. 

    The Bears went onto halftime with all 3 timeouts remaining. They got complacent with the score.

    Schematically, Justin Fields was ripping the Broncos apart from the shotgun. Clearly, he can't pass from under center, or more importantly when he turns his back to the defense on play action passes. That sack/fumble that Denver got on him where they scooped and scored was the first play action pass called from center.

    Some coordinators can't get out of their own way.

    Kudos to Russ Wilson. He had a good game from start to finish. Even though that his defense was a siv, he kept on making plays.

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    @begginerboy

     Complete coaching malpractice. 

    The Bears went onto halftime with all 3 timeouts remaining. They got complacent with the score.

    Schematically, Justin Fields was ripping the Broncos apart from the shotgun. Clearly, he can't pass from under center, or more importantly when he turns his back to the defense on play action passes. That sack/fumble that Denver got on him where they scooped and scored was the first play action pass called from center.

    Some coordinators can't get out of their own way.

    Kudos to Russ Wilson. He had a good game from start to finish. Even though that his defense was a siv, he kept on making plays.

     
     
    begginerboy
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2023 - 4:17 PM ET #75

    @MIZARD

     Thanks, Mizard. 4 weeks and my 25$ free play is now $3,300 in 4 weeks of football. What’s the ROI on that?

    an_roll_laugh

    I am tired and need a break, as you can tell by this latest pick. There were plenty of warnings signs I did not heed. peace_5

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    @MIZARD

     Thanks, Mizard. 4 weeks and my 25$ free play is now $3,300 in 4 weeks of football. What’s the ROI on that?

    an_roll_laugh

    I am tired and need a break, as you can tell by this latest pick. There were plenty of warnings signs I did not heed. peace_5

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