Coin flip game.
I think the Bears simply got a new confidence against the Packers by beating them this season after being 'owned' by them when Rodgers was there. I don't see it lasting past that game now vs a team with such playoff experience and 2 all star WRs.
The Rams played like crap last game and were lucky to win. I just know they won't play bad like that again next week because that's just the way it goes.
For most of the season Stafford didn't throw picks, they also gave up hardly any sacks, and were least penalized. All those things they didn't do happened last week but it's unlikely they happen again, though the Bears do generate a lot of takeaways so it's possible they do get some. But for some reason all Staffords bad games were against the NFC South. The West is the best division and I see the NFC championship being between 2 teams in that division.
But if this season is anything to go by, it's probably just coming down to a coin flip end of game drive so i suppose +3.5 and home field is nice to have in your pocket.
I think the Bears simply got a new confidence against the Packers by beating them this season after being 'owned' by them when Rodgers was there. I don't see it lasting past that game now vs a team with such playoff experience and 2 all star WRs.
The Rams played like crap last game and were lucky to win. I just know they won't play bad like that again next week because that's just the way it goes.
For most of the season Stafford didn't throw picks, they also gave up hardly any sacks, and were least penalized. All those things they didn't do happened last week but it's unlikely they happen again, though the Bears do generate a lot of takeaways so it's possible they do get some. But for some reason all Staffords bad games were against the NFC South. The West is the best division and I see the NFC championship being between 2 teams in that division.
But if this season is anything to go by, it's probably just coming down to a coin flip end of game drive so i suppose +3.5 and home field is nice to have in your pocket.
Non at all.
The dome team playing outdoors in the playoffs is a real trend.
Stafford in the cold, wind, and precipitation trend is real. He's been a dome QB his entire career.
Sean McVay is 0-2 lifetime at Soldier Field.
The travel that the Rams have been on, vs the Bears virtually at home the last month should matter. You couldn't ask for a better spot situation wise.
While I'm talking about the game, there was a very important thing I noticed for the Bears last game. Both Kyler Gordon and Rome Odunze came back after long stints on the shelf. They were both non existent in the 1H where the Bears got their ass whooped.
In the 2H, they both showed up with big plays. I think they were knocking off the rust in real time, and they should both be trending up throughout the week.
I'll post some ats trends later. Both these teams were excellent ATS this year. I saw the Bears with the slightest of an edge in that department.
Lastly, I did post in my OP, that I could still buy out/try to middle. Gonna keep my eye on the line with a plan depending what happens. And if you haven't noticed, I'm not one to panic if a line has gone against me this year, I sort of like it.
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Non at all.
The dome team playing outdoors in the playoffs is a real trend.
Stafford in the cold, wind, and precipitation trend is real. He's been a dome QB his entire career.
Sean McVay is 0-2 lifetime at Soldier Field.
The travel that the Rams have been on, vs the Bears virtually at home the last month should matter. You couldn't ask for a better spot situation wise.
While I'm talking about the game, there was a very important thing I noticed for the Bears last game. Both Kyler Gordon and Rome Odunze came back after long stints on the shelf. They were both non existent in the 1H where the Bears got their ass whooped.
In the 2H, they both showed up with big plays. I think they were knocking off the rust in real time, and they should both be trending up throughout the week.
I'll post some ats trends later. Both these teams were excellent ATS this year. I saw the Bears with the slightest of an edge in that department.
Lastly, I did post in my OP, that I could still buy out/try to middle. Gonna keep my eye on the line with a plan depending what happens. And if you haven't noticed, I'm not one to panic if a line has gone against me this year, I sort of like it.
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Rams as away favs: 4-3 ats, margin +2.0
Bears as home dogs: 2-0 ats, margin +12
Rams after a win: 7-5 ats, margin +3.3
Bears after a win: 7-4 ats, margin +2.9
Rams non division: 8-4 ats, margin +3.6
Bears non division: 8-3 ats, margin +5.8
Rams equal rest(days): 8-3 ats, margin +6.6
Bears equal rest(days): 9-2 ats, margin +6.6
Rams as away favs: 4-3 ats, margin +2.0
Bears as home dogs: 2-0 ats, margin +12
Rams after a win: 7-5 ats, margin +3.3
Bears after a win: 7-4 ats, margin +2.9
Rams non division: 8-4 ats, margin +3.6
Bears non division: 8-3 ats, margin +5.8
Rams equal rest(days): 8-3 ats, margin +6.6
Bears equal rest(days): 9-2 ats, margin +6.6

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