Rams@Bears play, and discussion

Coin flip game.

I think the Bears simply got a new confidence against the Packers by beating them this season after being 'owned' by them when Rodgers was there. I don't see it lasting past that game now vs a team with such playoff experience and 2 all star WRs.

The Rams played like crap last game and were lucky to win. I just know they won't play bad like that again next week because that's just the way it goes.

For most of the season Stafford didn't throw picks, they also gave up hardly any sacks, and were least penalized. All those things they didn't do happened last week but it's unlikely they happen again, though the Bears do generate a lot of takeaways so it's possible they do get some. But for some reason all Staffords bad games were against the NFC South. The West is the best division  and I see the NFC championship being between 2 teams in that division.

But if this season is anything to go by, it's probably just coming down to a coin flip end of game drive so i suppose +3.5 and home field is nice to have in your pocket.

with the way bears games seem to go,i took the rams -2.5 first half

Good luck Sac

Non at all.

The dome team playing outdoors in the playoffs is a real trend. 

Stafford in the cold, wind, and precipitation trend is real. He's been a dome QB his entire career. 

Sean McVay is 0-2 lifetime at Soldier Field.

The travel that the Rams have been on, vs the Bears virtually at home the last month should matter. You couldn't ask for a better spot situation wise.

While I'm talking about the game, there was a very important thing I noticed for the Bears last game. Both Kyler Gordon and Rome Odunze came back after long stints on the shelf. They were both non existent in the 1H where the Bears got their ass whooped.

In the 2H, they both showed up with big plays. I think they were knocking off the rust in real time, and they should both be trending up throughout the week.

I'll post some ats trends later. Both these teams were excellent ATS this year. I saw the Bears with the slightest of an edge in that department. 

Lastly, I did post in my OP, that I could still buy out/try to middle. Gonna keep my eye on the line with a plan depending what happens. And if you haven't noticed, I'm not one to panic if a line has gone against me this year, I sort of like it. 

If this statement is indeed true, than a ML play on the dog is a no brainer. 

Rams as away favs: 4-3 ats, margin +2.0

Bears as home dogs: 2-0 ats, margin +12

Rams after a win: 7-5 ats, margin +3.3

Bears after a win: 7-4 ats, margin +2.9

Rams non division: 8-4 ats, margin +3.6

Bears non division: 8-3 ats, margin +5.8

Rams equal rest(days): 8-3 ats, margin +6.6

Bears equal rest(days): 9-2 ats, margin +6.6

Bears last 5 games:

3-2 su, 3-2 ats, 2-3 O/U

Rams last 5 games:

3-2 su, 3-2 ats, 5-0 O/U

@undermysac

 Thank you for the response!  

@Kapthat

I like the signature...

"u don't quit playin' cause u grow old, u grow old cause u quit playin'"

Doyle Brunson!

What are you guys feeling on this game?

I posted this thread 3 days ago with all the weather and outdoor stuff. Since then, it's all people are talking about. My IG feed is endless weather posts about the game. I don't like that everyone and their mama is talking about it.

What if the weather won't matter? Both teams can run the ball very efficiently if need be.

The Bears D is definitely suspect. 

The Rams D is very suspect of late, giving up 30ppg in their last 5 games.

The total has crashed down from 51 to 48.5, and it's surely the weather driving that. Could the over be a play on Sunday?

I think the Bears cardiac ways are going to end at some point and don't see the Rams blowing an 18 point lead. I think Rams took Panthers lightly but this won't happen vs Bears. Think Rams remain the best team in NFC. Bears if they win will be close but just feel if Rams win, it's by DD. 

The Bears offense can keep up with any team as long as Caleb is staying upright. Here are the keys to winning this game for Chicago 

Start out fast and slowly Make the Rams offense freeze and not let them get warm, oh they will get cold you can bank on that! (Currently 80 in LA)

Score consistently. Can’t save points until the 4th and depend on the last quarter of the game, we may need upwards of 17 points before half time.

Bend but don’t break. Stafford is a 1 yard TD merchant. If we can keep them to field goals and not let the Rams offense get out of control, I like our odds.....most definitely! 

@Biscuit

 Colston might have been missed by a bunch of teams but Ben being so close to Ann Arbor watched him daily and saw something special. His tandem with kmet has really given Caleb opportunities along with DJ and Rome to spread the rock around..

Also what id like to say is that I have worked outside in the elements in these freezing temps, all day and have for years. Most of these commenting do not and they work from their office ass cushion in a ~72 degree work environment.

You 100% have to get acclimated to it every single year but with that being said the rams are a veteran team so we will see. The first time you're out in windy sub freezing temps for the winter season it’s cold as shit. As the winter season rolls on it becomes normalized and you get somewhat use to it, still sucks but isn’t as terrible and I’ve been doing this shit for a long ass time.

Bears also have a enormous home field advantage from the fans. They will be out in force and loud as anyone can possibly imagine. (Those that have been to a bears game know exactly what I'm talking about) They get extremely loud! 

Matthew has historically not played well in Chicago vs much worse teams that we have had in the past.

It will Not be a cakewalk for neither team and you can be rest assured that it will be a competitive game and an unlikely blowout from either side as well.

I will Not have any skin in the game as I personally don't like betting on my home team and just want to watch stress free as this homer will be out attending another watch party (they are loads of fun! ) with my son and will be dressed from head to toe in Bears attire in support of my home team

I can’t wait, gonna be a good game

Go Bears!.....Let's give the non- believers another week of non- believing as we continue to the championship round. 

Rams corners struggle against big receivers.  Eagles, Carolina.  Special teams are suspect.  Verse against backup left tackle should help rams defense.  I was surprised that the bears opened up @+4.5.  Feels like Rams cover with the books hanging that opening number.  I have rams +2560 sb futures.  Second of the season i was on fire but made poor decisions for wild card.  Probably sitting out these games except denver game under maybe. 

@Mike_32654

Yeah Loveland’s rookie stat line is similar to Rob Gronkowski. Also he is the second tight end in NFL history to have a playoff game with at least 10 targets and 130 yards at the age of 22 or younger, along with Gronkowski.    He could have a very good career but it probably wouldn’t hurt him to bulk up, add 10-15 lbs.

bears run a lot of 12 personnel, about 1/3 of the time.  Using 2 tight ends Loveland and Kmet to create mismatches like the old patriots teams used to do.   They have a bright future IMO but for now I see them as a work in progress.   More than anything, they gotta fix that defense

https://x.com/ringer/status/2012140276605730891

I'm not liking this for the Bears.

I knew Mike LaFleur was the OC, but now more added motivation...

Should be good! GL 

https://www.windycitygridiron.com/chicago-bears-news/109312/bears-vs-rams-inactives-braxton-jones-will-not-play-jordan-mcfadden

The Bears are shuffling their o line.

This can't be good, or does Ben Johnson know what he's doing?

Taking the 1st half under 24

I’ll be on the opposite of whatever side you pick eventually 

Read harder 

...decided in the fourth quarter, a great sunday nighter coming 

Good to see you Pipe.

Hope you are right

@undermysac

 Good luck tonight ..... take it easy on the pacing back and forth and all the darts you will be smoking ... I need you in my life