Rams +7 All Day Long – with write up

Atlanta travels back to the dirty south to take on a young and gritty St. Louis team coached by highly respected Jeff Fisher.  Stephen Jackson faces his old team and looks for an opportunity to make the team that deemed him as old and expendable pay.  They may have been right as Jackson only managed to gain a pedestrian 77 yards, 50 of those yards were on a single carry which meant that Jackson only gained 27 yards on his remaining 10 carries against a New Orleans team that last year:

Ranked 31 out of 32 in total team defense

Ranked Dead Last in Defensive rush yards/carry @ 5.2 yds

Ranked Dead Last in Defensive Rush yds giving up almost 150 yards / gm

Did the Saints improve that dramatically or does Jackson suck that badly?

Roddy White is expected to be a go for Sunday but apparently Julio Jones missed practice on Wednesday due to a knee injury.  His status for Sunday’s tilt remains a question mark.

During the offseason St. Louis added Pro-Bowl tackle Jake Long to their team to protect Bradford’s blindside and improve their run blocking.

Last year St. Louis defense ranked a very respectable 14^th out of 32 teams.

We all know about the Falcons impressive home record during the regular season but how exactly do they shore up ATS.  The biggest knock on Atlanta the past few years is their inability to blow teams away.  They would always let their opponents hang around in games and they lack that killer instinct to put teams away.  That killer instinct is evident in their playoff records and during last years NFC conference game where they led 17-0 at one point and 24-14 at the half.  They failed to go any point in the second half of that game and let SF take that game from them in their own house.

Looking deeper into the Falcons ATS numbers we see that in 2012:

Atl was 4-4 ATS @ home

Atl was 0-3 ATS when the spread was -6 or more

Over the past few seasons, when  Atlanta was a favourite of 6 or more, they were 3-8 ATS.

In 2012:

St. Louis was 7-1 ATS on the Road

St. Louis was 5-2 ATS when they were underdogs of +6 or more.

St. Louis was 3-1 ATS when they were underdogs of +6 or more on the road.

In a nutshell, gimme St. Louis +7 all day long for the MAX bet.  Atlanta with their injury problems and lack of a run game and their inability to put teams away and their poor numbers against spreads of -6 or more will have issues closing this game out. 

Who here likes money? 

Go Get It!!!

already placed my bet, goodluck

LOSS

Good write-up.....

all good points BUT "WHO put the Ram in the Rama a Lama Ding Dong"? those guys just seem to find WAYS to LOSE

Falcons in a group of big Favs I teased down this weekend

Stl gave up over 300 yards passing last week. What do you think Matty Ice will do in the dome?

Also, New Orleans got their head coach back so throw out last years stats.

shhhhh... Stop trying to lead a BLIND HORSE. Love it!! was hoping nobody else did.. gl to us.

I do not know but i don't believe in stats.......sometimes or should i say most of the times, you think you know, but nooooooo....not in the NFL. If you know  me then you know what i meant. I mention this long time ago when it was a MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL Green Bay vs New Orleans. Alot of people said that GREEN BAY will demolish New Orleans especially with the GREEN BAY's DEFENSE were so great in paper....I told everyone that DREW BREESE will light up the night and GREEN BAY will lose and thats exactly what happened. I BOMBED that game with everything i had in my bankroll and came up BIG. 

Nice write-up, falcons get it done straight up but vs the spread rams take this one.  I remember nfl countdown on espn did a segment on falcons last year and their inability to beat down their lesser opponents which is why I think they suck at covering large spreads.

there r better games than this one...has to be..too many unknowns...gl to all....

this is a game i would shy away from but if forced would take rams +7. The Falcons played every wr last game and still struggled mightily. Roddy was used as a decoy which will only work if hes at least able to deceive the D. The saints knew he was a non factor and the Falcons essentially played the game with 1 or 2 wide-outs.

The biggest concern the Falcons face is the lack of production they recieved from the o-line in the 2nd half. The Rams front 7 should be a much tougher test than the saints who also gave Matt Ryan fits.

The Falcons also struggled to run the ball which doesnt exactly stand out in the stats due to a 50yd run by Jackson.

An inconsistent running game will force the Falcons to pass, and if the o-line cant hold up they will be in trouble.
I think this will be a classic Falcons nail bitter where they pull out the win but fail to cover.

Not a good bet.  Dirty Birds cover 

alright boys u guys are retarted., falcons played a great saints team away.. they struggle in the super dome...  falcons are sick at home and will kill the rams on sunday.

Falcons rarely "kill" anyone. They will pull off the win but have too many issues to iron out for this to be a blow out.

Rams for me as well will be a close game.

Definitely agree on it be a close game.  Gotta believe falcons will trail at some point in the game as well.

Smith is 19-5 ATS following a loss. I love the Rams too, but this scares me a little

rams are a solid wager

Still a few 7's out there.  Line is definitely moving and money is coming in on St. Louis.  I see a few +6.5 out there at -120 

Can't see it.

I like it rams may win

Must b falcons fans in here.. in a real football game and not madden, rams cover

yup rams