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    phixer's nfl

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    Raider44
    ragfelix4
    phixer
    MercyRules
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    Raider44
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 6:54 PM ET #2426

    Damn Phix .......I have to work Sundays and missed your plays today...Gonna end up costing me money going to work....lol....I took GB and Cinci which means you will go 2-0 today and I will go broke...not really learned a long time ago not to give back money from a good Football Season in playoffs or Bowl games.....

    I would love to hear your thoughts on National Championship game.  I do not see any way that FSU does not win the game by a large margin.  So with that being said and factor in Heisman Trophy winner is playing for FSU....Auburn has to be the play tomorrow...Every year when kids get told they have no chance of winning for 30 + days they simply find a way....Not sure what the record is but I know that Heisman Trophy Winners do not do well in bowl games after all the hype.....Sorry for cluttering your NFL thread but I am sure there are a lot of folks out there wondering what your thinking just like me......
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    Damn Phix .......I have to work Sundays and missed your plays today...Gonna end up costing me money going to work....lol....I took GB and Cinci which means you will go 2-0 today and I will go broke...not really learned a long time ago not to give back money from a good Football Season in playoffs or Bowl games.....

    I would love to hear your thoughts on National Championship game.  I do not see any way that FSU does not win the game by a large margin.  So with that being said and factor in Heisman Trophy winner is playing for FSU....Auburn has to be the play tomorrow...Every year when kids get told they have no chance of winning for 30 + days they simply find a way....Not sure what the record is but I know that Heisman Trophy Winners do not do well in bowl games after all the hype.....Sorry for cluttering your NFL thread but I am sure there are a lot of folks out there wondering what your thinking just like me......
     
    ragfelix4
    ragfelix4
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 7:10 PM ET #2427

    new follower here! gl phixer

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    new follower here! gl phixer

     
    phixer
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 7:16 PM ET #2428

    did u freakin see that ???? wow. what a throw and what a catch
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    did u freakin see that ???? wow. what a throw and what a catch
     
    MercyRules
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 7:16 PM ET #2429

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    cmacmoney
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 7:46 PM ET #2430

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    phixer
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 7:47 PM ET #2431

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    sf -3  -110  550$

    push
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    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    sf -3  -110  550$

    push
     
    phixer
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 7:49 PM ET #2432

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    so far today 2-0  +1000$

    playoffs  5-1  +2525$

    have to update the regular season which is as good and better so we're looking good baby, looking good

    2-0-1 today   +1000$

    playoffs 5-1-1   +2525$
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    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    so far today 2-0  +1000$

    playoffs  5-1  +2525$

    have to update the regular season which is as good and better so we're looking good baby, looking good

    2-0-1 today   +1000$

    playoffs 5-1-1   +2525$
     
    phixer
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 8:08 PM ET #2433

     dont . no promoting here no matter what ur promoting and what ur thinking promoting it
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     dont . no promoting here no matter what ur promoting and what ur thinking promoting it
     
    BigDD
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 9:08 PM ET #2434

    Phixer, thanks for your insight... i haven't been tailing all of your plays but am learning a lot from your post and thought process.  Hopefully it will make me a better capper in the long run... good luck rest of the season... will definitely tail going forward.
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    Phixer, thanks for your insight... i haven't been tailing all of your plays but am learning a lot from your post and thought process.  Hopefully it will make me a better capper in the long run... good luck rest of the season... will definitely tail going forward.
     
    phixer
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 9:24 PM ET #2435

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

     dont . no promoting here no matter what ur promoting and what ur thinking promoting it
    just to clear things up - this comment was directed at the link posted above which was kindly removed by the mods at my request
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    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

     dont . no promoting here no matter what ur promoting and what ur thinking promoting it
    just to clear things up - this comment was directed at the link posted above which was kindly removed by the mods at my request
     
    Eggrol
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 9:27 PM ET #2436

    Phixer, really enjoy ur posts do you have a job or is this how u make a living? Just wondering can ppl really make a living betting sports thanks 
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    Phixer, really enjoy ur posts do you have a job or is this how u make a living? Just wondering can ppl really make a living betting sports thanks 
     
    phixer
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 9:51 PM ET #2437

    ha ha. job. yes, but instead of getting paid - i'm the one who's being squeezed. my employers are my children and my wife. she's a tough cookie of a boss. and the last but not least - i'm a partner in shipping company moving cargo across the atlantic as well in mediterrenian 
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    ha ha. job. yes, but instead of getting paid - i'm the one who's being squeezed. my employers are my children and my wife. she's a tough cookie of a boss. and the last but not least - i'm a partner in shipping company moving cargo across the atlantic as well in mediterrenian 
     
    Shortbus
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 2:10 AM ET #2438

    I've been watching this gentleman's picks for some time now and he is as good at this very, very tough game to beat as anyone.  His cash management and discipline is exactly what most gambler's and handicapper's lack.  And his preparation is apparent in his record.

    Long before the internet I was a "local book" and every week there were gamblers that knew their stuff, but they would bet on the 2 teams they really liked that week.....plus the TV game....plus some others just to have action and they ended up paying at the end of the week rather then getting an envelope.

    Phixer's documented record of profit is actually very rare and he is truly one of the successful gamblers that I know (via this forum only).  And the NFL is the toughest of all on gamblers.  I have a friend that manages the sportbook at a LV Strip Mega Resort, and he told me 2/3 of the cash at their book was on Cincy over San Diego.  He also told me that nearly 4/5 of the money and action at their book was on KC over Indy. He said he moved that line constantly down to where at kick off KC was -2 (they were +2.5 when they opened the action.

    Lambs to slaughter, they say.  Well I can tell you this:  If you only follow the numbers when they move and take the house side, over the long run you will make little to no money, because anymore the books don't give a damn about balancing the action.  They are now owned by Mega Corporations and they have very deep pockets.  So sometimes they are very comfortable to leave the line as is and just take a side.  Years ago, when it was guys like me, balancing the action was critical because if I got sided too much, or had to lay too much off, I could have been wiped out.

    I guess the moral(s) of the story is this (funny how when you get older you start looking for the moral to the story and you realize how incredibly stupid you were):

    1.  If you are going to follow a guy, this is the guy I would recommend.
    2.  If you are not going to do the work yourself, then follow one person, not a bunch of them.  That is a surefire recipe to play way too many games or second-guess yourself when one "tout/expert/blowhard" likes one team, and then another guy you listen to likes another team, you are going to end up not betting as much as you should....or not betting at all.
    3.  There is a saying in horse racing that applies to sports gambling in general:  "You can beat a race, but you cannot beat the RACES! The takeout, or "vig" eats you up.  So only bet the games you like or in this case, the games that Phixer likes.  Hell, he even gives you the amounts, and if you have a short bankroll, just be a percentage of his.

    You should be on Sunday morning TV shows, not the jackoff idiot has-beens that have no clue who's going to win....and don't care.  And I know people that year after year want to know who Dan Marino or Mike Ditka picked....they cannot even have a respectable record without the spread.

    So anyway, hat's off to you Sir.  You are the best I have ever seen and I've been around this for damn near 50 years.  Good luck!

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    I've been watching this gentleman's picks for some time now and he is as good at this very, very tough game to beat as anyone.  His cash management and discipline is exactly what most gambler's and handicapper's lack.  And his preparation is apparent in his record.

    Long before the internet I was a "local book" and every week there were gamblers that knew their stuff, but they would bet on the 2 teams they really liked that week.....plus the TV game....plus some others just to have action and they ended up paying at the end of the week rather then getting an envelope.

    Phixer's documented record of profit is actually very rare and he is truly one of the successful gamblers that I know (via this forum only).  And the NFL is the toughest of all on gamblers.  I have a friend that manages the sportbook at a LV Strip Mega Resort, and he told me 2/3 of the cash at their book was on Cincy over San Diego.  He also told me that nearly 4/5 of the money and action at their book was on KC over Indy. He said he moved that line constantly down to where at kick off KC was -2 (they were +2.5 when they opened the action.

    Lambs to slaughter, they say.  Well I can tell you this:  If you only follow the numbers when they move and take the house side, over the long run you will make little to no money, because anymore the books don't give a damn about balancing the action.  They are now owned by Mega Corporations and they have very deep pockets.  So sometimes they are very comfortable to leave the line as is and just take a side.  Years ago, when it was guys like me, balancing the action was critical because if I got sided too much, or had to lay too much off, I could have been wiped out.

    I guess the moral(s) of the story is this (funny how when you get older you start looking for the moral to the story and you realize how incredibly stupid you were):

    1.  If you are going to follow a guy, this is the guy I would recommend.
    2.  If you are not going to do the work yourself, then follow one person, not a bunch of them.  That is a surefire recipe to play way too many games or second-guess yourself when one "tout/expert/blowhard" likes one team, and then another guy you listen to likes another team, you are going to end up not betting as much as you should....or not betting at all.
    3.  There is a saying in horse racing that applies to sports gambling in general:  "You can beat a race, but you cannot beat the RACES! The takeout, or "vig" eats you up.  So only bet the games you like or in this case, the games that Phixer likes.  Hell, he even gives you the amounts, and if you have a short bankroll, just be a percentage of his.

    You should be on Sunday morning TV shows, not the jackoff idiot has-beens that have no clue who's going to win....and don't care.  And I know people that year after year want to know who Dan Marino or Mike Ditka picked....they cannot even have a respectable record without the spread.

    So anyway, hat's off to you Sir.  You are the best I have ever seen and I've been around this for damn near 50 years.  Good luck!

     
    KiemTienChoiGai
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 2:42 AM ET #2439

    Quote Originally Posted by Shortbus:

    I've been watching this gentleman's picks for some time now and he is as good at this very, very tough game to beat as anyone.  His cash management and discipline is exactly what most gambler's and handicapper's lack.  And his preparation is apparent in his record.

    Long before the internet I was a "local book" and every week there were gamblers that knew their stuff, but they would bet on the 2 teams they really liked that week.....plus the TV game....plus some others just to have action and they ended up paying at the end of the week rather then getting an envelope.

    Phixer's documented record of profit is actually very rare and he is truly one of the successful gamblers that I know (via this forum only).  And the NFL is the toughest of all on gamblers.  I have a friend that manages the sportbook at a LV Strip Mega Resort, and he told me 2/3 of the cash at their book was on Cincy over San Diego.  He also told me that nearly 4/5 of the money and action at their book was on KC over Indy. He said he moved that line constantly down to where at kick off KC was -2 (they were +2.5 when they opened the action.

    Lambs to slaughter, they say.  Well I can tell you this:  If you only follow the numbers when they move and take the house side, over the long run you will make little to no money, because anymore the books don't give a damn about balancing the action.  They are now owned by Mega Corporations and they have very deep pockets.  So sometimes they are very comfortable to leave the line as is and just take a side.  Years ago, when it was guys like me, balancing the action was critical because if I got sided too much, or had to lay too much off, I could have been wiped out.

    I guess the moral(s) of the story is this (funny how when you get older you start looking for the moral to the story and you realize how incredibly stupid you were):

    1.  If you are going to follow a guy, this is the guy I would recommend.
    2.  If you are not going to do the work yourself, then follow one person, not a bunch of them.  That is a surefire recipe to play way too many games or second-guess yourself when one "tout/expert/blowhard" likes one team, and then another guy you listen to likes another team, you are going to end up not betting as much as you should....or not betting at all.
    3.  There is a saying in horse racing that applies to sports gambling in general:  "You can beat a race, but you cannot beat the RACES! The takeout, or "vig" eats you up.  So only bet the games you like or in this case, the games that Phixer likes.  Hell, he even gives you the amounts, and if you have a short bankroll, just be a percentage of his.

    You should be on Sunday morning TV shows, not the jackoff idiot has-beens that have no clue who's going to win....and don't care.  And I know people that year after year want to know who Dan Marino or Mike Ditka picked....they cannot even have a respectable record without the spread.

    So anyway, hat's off to you Sir.  You are the best I have ever seen and I've been around this for damn near 50 years.  Good luck!



    welll said
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shortbus:

    I've been watching this gentleman's picks for some time now and he is as good at this very, very tough game to beat as anyone.  His cash management and discipline is exactly what most gambler's and handicapper's lack.  And his preparation is apparent in his record.

    Long before the internet I was a "local book" and every week there were gamblers that knew their stuff, but they would bet on the 2 teams they really liked that week.....plus the TV game....plus some others just to have action and they ended up paying at the end of the week rather then getting an envelope.

    Phixer's documented record of profit is actually very rare and he is truly one of the successful gamblers that I know (via this forum only).  And the NFL is the toughest of all on gamblers.  I have a friend that manages the sportbook at a LV Strip Mega Resort, and he told me 2/3 of the cash at their book was on Cincy over San Diego.  He also told me that nearly 4/5 of the money and action at their book was on KC over Indy. He said he moved that line constantly down to where at kick off KC was -2 (they were +2.5 when they opened the action.

    Lambs to slaughter, they say.  Well I can tell you this:  If you only follow the numbers when they move and take the house side, over the long run you will make little to no money, because anymore the books don't give a damn about balancing the action.  They are now owned by Mega Corporations and they have very deep pockets.  So sometimes they are very comfortable to leave the line as is and just take a side.  Years ago, when it was guys like me, balancing the action was critical because if I got sided too much, or had to lay too much off, I could have been wiped out.

    I guess the moral(s) of the story is this (funny how when you get older you start looking for the moral to the story and you realize how incredibly stupid you were):

    1.  If you are going to follow a guy, this is the guy I would recommend.
    2.  If you are not going to do the work yourself, then follow one person, not a bunch of them.  That is a surefire recipe to play way too many games or second-guess yourself when one "tout/expert/blowhard" likes one team, and then another guy you listen to likes another team, you are going to end up not betting as much as you should....or not betting at all.
    3.  There is a saying in horse racing that applies to sports gambling in general:  "You can beat a race, but you cannot beat the RACES! The takeout, or "vig" eats you up.  So only bet the games you like or in this case, the games that Phixer likes.  Hell, he even gives you the amounts, and if you have a short bankroll, just be a percentage of his.

    You should be on Sunday morning TV shows, not the jackoff idiot has-beens that have no clue who's going to win....and don't care.  And I know people that year after year want to know who Dan Marino or Mike Ditka picked....they cannot even have a respectable record without the spread.

    So anyway, hat's off to you Sir.  You are the best I have ever seen and I've been around this for damn near 50 years.  Good luck!



    welll said
     
    intel-1
    intel-1
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 11:25 AM ET #2440

    lol at sportsmavin

    he think he is some totals expert. he is awful
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    lol at sportsmavin

    he think he is some totals expert. he is awful
     
    Raider44
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 2:25 PM ET #2441

    Well it looks like folks cannot put money down on FSU quick enough.  Had Auburn tied into couple live parlays thinking it would drop.  Should have known better FSU now at 10.5 up 2 points from yesterday.  It looks like another bloodbath for Sports bettors and the books getting more fancy lights tonight.  I cant think of one single spot FSU is not better than Auburn player vs player......So give me Aub plus the points....TO MUCH MONEY FOR VEGAS TO PASS UP TONIGHT GIVING IT AWAY TO FSU BACKERS.

    Phix would love to hear your take on the game.......Also it seems like niether of these teams will be able to stop each other and it will be a shootout.  Over and under up to 68.5.......I cannot think of one single reason not to take the over in a shootout.  So I will take the under 68.5 to 69.     Bowl games have been going under the posted total and dogs have faired well lately....Not sure what the official count is...I generally keep track of this every year but have not this year.......I JUST WAIT TO SEE WHAT MR PHIXER SAYS AND GO FROM THERE LATELY....I dont follow blind though....Didnt take me long to not trust the Redskins picks but everything else Phix has been Spot on...Almost Scary how accurate his posts have been on the outcome of the unpredictable....yet predictable games we spend time and money on making a stand.

    Happy New Year PHIX and your followers...Thank you for all you did in 2013 for us old dogs.  We can learn new tricks when it makes profit.....Just like an old dog with a bone....haha
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    Well it looks like folks cannot put money down on FSU quick enough.  Had Auburn tied into couple live parlays thinking it would drop.  Should have known better FSU now at 10.5 up 2 points from yesterday.  It looks like another bloodbath for Sports bettors and the books getting more fancy lights tonight.  I cant think of one single spot FSU is not better than Auburn player vs player......So give me Aub plus the points....TO MUCH MONEY FOR VEGAS TO PASS UP TONIGHT GIVING IT AWAY TO FSU BACKERS.

    Phix would love to hear your take on the game.......Also it seems like niether of these teams will be able to stop each other and it will be a shootout.  Over and under up to 68.5.......I cannot think of one single reason not to take the over in a shootout.  So I will take the under 68.5 to 69.     Bowl games have been going under the posted total and dogs have faired well lately....Not sure what the official count is...I generally keep track of this every year but have not this year.......I JUST WAIT TO SEE WHAT MR PHIXER SAYS AND GO FROM THERE LATELY....I dont follow blind though....Didnt take me long to not trust the Redskins picks but everything else Phix has been Spot on...Almost Scary how accurate his posts have been on the outcome of the unpredictable....yet predictable games we spend time and money on making a stand.

    Happy New Year PHIX and your followers...Thank you for all you did in 2013 for us old dogs.  We can learn new tricks when it makes profit.....Just like an old dog with a bone....haha
     
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 2:33 PM ET #2442

    Line may have moved but everything I've been reading says most of the money is on Auburn. Books may be moving the line to get even more Auburn money and discourage FSU bets, because they know FSU will win big.
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    Line may have moved but everything I've been reading says most of the money is on Auburn. Books may be moving the line to get even more Auburn money and discourage FSU bets, because they know FSU will win big.
     
    Bomkamp
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 3:11 PM ET #2443

    Quote Originally Posted by Shortbus:

    I've been watching this gentleman's picks for some time now and he is as good at this very, very tough game to beat as anyone.  His cash management and discipline is exactly what most gambler's and handicapper's lack.  And his preparation is apparent in his record.

    Long before the internet I was a "local book" and every week there were gamblers that knew their stuff, but they would bet on the 2 teams they really liked that week.....plus the TV game....plus some others just to have action and they ended up paying at the end of the week rather then getting an envelope.

    Phixer's documented record of profit is actually very rare and he is truly one of the successful gamblers that I know (via this forum only).  And the NFL is the toughest of all on gamblers.  I have a friend that manages the sportbook at a LV Strip Mega Resort, and he told me 2/3 of the cash at their book was on Cincy over San Diego.  He also told me that nearly 4/5 of the money and action at their book was on KC over Indy. He said he moved that line constantly down to where at kick off KC was -2 (they were +2.5 when they opened the action.

    Lambs to slaughter, they say.  Well I can tell you this:  If you only follow the numbers when they move and take the house side, over the long run you will make little to no money, because anymore the books don't give a damn about balancing the action.  They are now owned by Mega Corporations and they have very deep pockets.  So sometimes they are very comfortable to leave the line as is and just take a side.  Years ago, when it was guys like me, balancing the action was critical because if I got sided too much, or had to lay too much off, I could have been wiped out.

    I guess the moral(s) of the story is this (funny how when you get older you start looking for the moral to the story and you realize how incredibly stupid you were):

    1.  If you are going to follow a guy, this is the guy I would recommend.
    2.  If you are not going to do the work yourself, then follow one person, not a bunch of them.  That is a surefire recipe to play way too many games or second-guess yourself when one "tout/expert/blowhard" likes one team, and then another guy you listen to likes another team, you are going to end up not betting as much as you should....or not betting at all.
    3.  There is a saying in horse racing that applies to sports gambling in general:  "You can beat a race, but you cannot beat the RACES! The takeout, or "vig" eats you up.  So only bet the games you like or in this case, the games that Phixer likes.  Hell, he even gives you the amounts, and if you have a short bankroll, just be a percentage of his.

    You should be on Sunday morning TV shows, not the jackoff idiot has-beens that have no clue who's going to win....and don't care.  And I know people that year after year want to know who Dan Marino or Mike Ditka picked....they cannot even have a respectable record without the spread.

    So anyway, hat's off to you Sir.  You are the best I have ever seen and I've been around this for damn near 50 years.  Good luck!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Shortbus:

    I've been watching this gentleman's picks for some time now and he is as good at this very, very tough game to beat as anyone.  His cash management and discipline is exactly what most gambler's and handicapper's lack.  And his preparation is apparent in his record.

    Long before the internet I was a "local book" and every week there were gamblers that knew their stuff, but they would bet on the 2 teams they really liked that week.....plus the TV game....plus some others just to have action and they ended up paying at the end of the week rather then getting an envelope.

    Phixer's documented record of profit is actually very rare and he is truly one of the successful gamblers that I know (via this forum only).  And the NFL is the toughest of all on gamblers.  I have a friend that manages the sportbook at a LV Strip Mega Resort, and he told me 2/3 of the cash at their book was on Cincy over San Diego.  He also told me that nearly 4/5 of the money and action at their book was on KC over Indy. He said he moved that line constantly down to where at kick off KC was -2 (they were +2.5 when they opened the action.

    Lambs to slaughter, they say.  Well I can tell you this:  If you only follow the numbers when they move and take the house side, over the long run you will make little to no money, because anymore the books don't give a damn about balancing the action.  They are now owned by Mega Corporations and they have very deep pockets.  So sometimes they are very comfortable to leave the line as is and just take a side.  Years ago, when it was guys like me, balancing the action was critical because if I got sided too much, or had to lay too much off, I could have been wiped out.

    I guess the moral(s) of the story is this (funny how when you get older you start looking for the moral to the story and you realize how incredibly stupid you were):

    1.  If you are going to follow a guy, this is the guy I would recommend.
    2.  If you are not going to do the work yourself, then follow one person, not a bunch of them.  That is a surefire recipe to play way too many games or second-guess yourself when one "tout/expert/blowhard" likes one team, and then another guy you listen to likes another team, you are going to end up not betting as much as you should....or not betting at all.
    3.  There is a saying in horse racing that applies to sports gambling in general:  "You can beat a race, but you cannot beat the RACES! The takeout, or "vig" eats you up.  So only bet the games you like or in this case, the games that Phixer likes.  Hell, he even gives you the amounts, and if you have a short bankroll, just be a percentage of his.

    You should be on Sunday morning TV shows, not the jackoff idiot has-beens that have no clue who's going to win....and don't care.  And I know people that year after year want to know who Dan Marino or Mike Ditka picked....they cannot even have a respectable record without the spread.

    So anyway, hat's off to you Sir.  You are the best I have ever seen and I've been around this for damn near 50 years.  Good luck!

     
    dlgolf77
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 3:48 PM ET #2444

    Phixer, well done. 

    Just wondering, I know we are in the NFL forum and I haven't seen any CFB plays from you.....but do you have a read on the BCS game tonight.  Thanks

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    Phixer, well done. 

    Just wondering, I know we are in the NFL forum and I haven't seen any CFB plays from you.....but do you have a read on the BCS game tonight.  Thanks

     
    meraby
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 4:13 PM ET #2445

    MK went for 3 picks on bcs. Interesting if Phixer also will post. But I am not sure it's gonna be here. But I'd like him to post everyewhere
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    MK went for 3 picks on bcs. Interesting if Phixer also will post. But I am not sure it's gonna be here. But I'd like him to post everyewhere
     
    meraby
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 4:15 PM ET #2446

    Quote Originally Posted by Shortbus:

    I've been watching this gentleman's picks for some time now and he is as good at this very, very tough game to beat as anyone.  His cash management and discipline is exactly what most gambler's and handicapper's lack.  And his preparation is apparent in his record.

    Long before the internet I was a "local book" and every week there were gamblers that knew their stuff, but they would bet on the 2 teams they really liked that week.....plus the TV game....plus some others just to have action and they ended up paying at the end of the week rather then getting an envelope.

    Phixer's documented record of profit is actually very rare and he is truly one of the successful gamblers that I know (via this forum only).  And the NFL is the toughest of all on gamblers.  I have a friend that manages the sportbook at a LV Strip Mega Resort, and he told me 2/3 of the cash at their book was on Cincy over San Diego.  He also told me that nearly 4/5 of the money and action at their book was on KC over Indy. He said he moved that line constantly down to where at kick off KC was -2 (they were +2.5 when they opened the action.

    Lambs to slaughter, they say.  Well I can tell you this:  If you only follow the numbers when they move and take the house side, over the long run you will make little to no money, because anymore the books don't give a damn about balancing the action.  They are now owned by Mega Corporations and they have very deep pockets.  So sometimes they are very comfortable to leave the line as is and just take a side.  Years ago, when it was guys like me, balancing the action was critical because if I got sided too much, or had to lay too much off, I could have been wiped out.

    I guess the moral(s) of the story is this (funny how when you get older you start looking for the moral to the story and you realize how incredibly stupid you were):

    1.  If you are going to follow a guy, this is the guy I would recommend.
    2.  If you are not going to do the work yourself, then follow one person, not a bunch of them.  That is a surefire recipe to play way too many games or second-guess yourself when one "tout/expert/blowhard" likes one team, and then another guy you listen to likes another team, you are going to end up not betting as much as you should....or not betting at all.
    3.  There is a saying in horse racing that applies to sports gambling in general:  "You can beat a race, but you cannot beat the RACES! The takeout, or "vig" eats you up.  So only bet the games you like or in this case, the games that Phixer likes.  Hell, he even gives you the amounts, and if you have a short bankroll, just be a percentage of his.

    You should be on Sunday morning TV shows, not the jackoff idiot has-beens that have no clue who's going to win....and don't care.  And I know people that year after year want to know who Dan Marino or Mike Ditka picked....they cannot even have a respectable record without the spread.

    So anyway, hat's off to you Sir.  You are the best I have ever seen and I've been around this for damn near 50 years.  Good luck!


    Most of the "cappers" here would kill to get such props from someone as yourself Sir. I am sure Phixer will be thrilled but knowing him he'll simply say  - thanks - and thats it. Well put and said thou
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shortbus:

    I've been watching this gentleman's picks for some time now and he is as good at this very, very tough game to beat as anyone.  His cash management and discipline is exactly what most gambler's and handicapper's lack.  And his preparation is apparent in his record.

    Long before the internet I was a "local book" and every week there were gamblers that knew their stuff, but they would bet on the 2 teams they really liked that week.....plus the TV game....plus some others just to have action and they ended up paying at the end of the week rather then getting an envelope.

    Phixer's documented record of profit is actually very rare and he is truly one of the successful gamblers that I know (via this forum only).  And the NFL is the toughest of all on gamblers.  I have a friend that manages the sportbook at a LV Strip Mega Resort, and he told me 2/3 of the cash at their book was on Cincy over San Diego.  He also told me that nearly 4/5 of the money and action at their book was on KC over Indy. He said he moved that line constantly down to where at kick off KC was -2 (they were +2.5 when they opened the action.

    Lambs to slaughter, they say.  Well I can tell you this:  If you only follow the numbers when they move and take the house side, over the long run you will make little to no money, because anymore the books don't give a damn about balancing the action.  They are now owned by Mega Corporations and they have very deep pockets.  So sometimes they are very comfortable to leave the line as is and just take a side.  Years ago, when it was guys like me, balancing the action was critical because if I got sided too much, or had to lay too much off, I could have been wiped out.

    I guess the moral(s) of the story is this (funny how when you get older you start looking for the moral to the story and you realize how incredibly stupid you were):

    1.  If you are going to follow a guy, this is the guy I would recommend.
    2.  If you are not going to do the work yourself, then follow one person, not a bunch of them.  That is a surefire recipe to play way too many games or second-guess yourself when one "tout/expert/blowhard" likes one team, and then another guy you listen to likes another team, you are going to end up not betting as much as you should....or not betting at all.
    3.  There is a saying in horse racing that applies to sports gambling in general:  "You can beat a race, but you cannot beat the RACES! The takeout, or "vig" eats you up.  So only bet the games you like or in this case, the games that Phixer likes.  Hell, he even gives you the amounts, and if you have a short bankroll, just be a percentage of his.

    You should be on Sunday morning TV shows, not the jackoff idiot has-beens that have no clue who's going to win....and don't care.  And I know people that year after year want to know who Dan Marino or Mike Ditka picked....they cannot even have a respectable record without the spread.

    So anyway, hat's off to you Sir.  You are the best I have ever seen and I've been around this for damn near 50 years.  Good luck!


    Most of the "cappers" here would kill to get such props from someone as yourself Sir. I am sure Phixer will be thrilled but knowing him he'll simply say  - thanks - and thats it. Well put and said thou
     
    inthetank
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 5:55 PM ET #2447

    EVERY  YEAR they keep the final tallies on fav-dogs, over-unders, at around 50 percent...It is amazing, but NOT surprising if you've been around for a while like myself...If FL. ST. comes in plus the OVER, it's what Vegas DOES NOT want....I've talked to 10 friends and ALL loved FL ST....Rem that they could win by, 3, 6 7 and VEGAS still wins, and FL. ST gets it's championship....Good luck whatever u do!!!!...And great job Phix!!!!
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    EVERY  YEAR they keep the final tallies on fav-dogs, over-unders, at around 50 percent...It is amazing, but NOT surprising if you've been around for a while like myself...If FL. ST. comes in plus the OVER, it's what Vegas DOES NOT want....I've talked to 10 friends and ALL loved FL ST....Rem that they could win by, 3, 6 7 and VEGAS still wins, and FL. ST gets it's championship....Good luck whatever u do!!!!...And great job Phix!!!!
     
    Fuzzrod
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 9:01 PM ET #2448

    Quote Originally Posted by Shortbus:



    You should be on Sunday morning TV shows, not the jackoff idiot has-beens that have no clue who's going to win....and don't care.  And I know people that year after year want to know who Dan Marino or Mike Ditka picked....they cannot even have a respectable record without the spread.

    So anyway, hat's off to you Sir.  You are the best I have ever seen and I've been around this for damn near 50 years.  Good luck!



    Well said. I'm actually surprised that Covers hasn't offered him a writing job or something already. The guys much more successful than all of the " covers experts" and he's pretty much the rock-star of the forum... Tremendously popular and gets more hits than most of the other posters combined.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shortbus:



    You should be on Sunday morning TV shows, not the jackoff idiot has-beens that have no clue who's going to win....and don't care.  And I know people that year after year want to know who Dan Marino or Mike Ditka picked....they cannot even have a respectable record without the spread.

    So anyway, hat's off to you Sir.  You are the best I have ever seen and I've been around this for damn near 50 years.  Good luck!



    Well said. I'm actually surprised that Covers hasn't offered him a writing job or something already. The guys much more successful than all of the " covers experts" and he's pretty much the rock-star of the forum... Tremendously popular and gets more hits than most of the other posters combined.
     
    LaHaterz
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 9:17 PM ET #2449

    Good job P
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    Good job P
     
     
    VegasSB
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2014 - 9:46 PM ET #2450

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