Posted:
#26
thinking if -3.5 is good enough or but 0.5 pt
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+++ NFL WK 14: Sides (68.75%) | Teasers (100.00%) | Parlays (33.33%) +++
Posted:
#28
you like the over tonight? was thinking about teasing raiders and the under...thoughts?
Raiders are 13-0 +6 over the last two seasons on the road. KC below .500. Under looks a little better with the trends and then you have the weather and potentially run to keep Carr off the field dynamic.
Also, I believe every *rematch* game the Raiders and Chiefs played last year had lower totals than the first
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Posted:
#29
I despise teasing unders, hence why I teased the over. I agree as a standalone bet I believe the under is probably the wiser bet given the extreme cold temps, I would feel more comfortable with the under if the winds were stronger. Even so I see a lot of small ball being played this game by KC thus causing problems for OAK and I don't think OAK will be very effective with long passing plays, but I could be surprised depending on how well Carr prepared, I know they have been in KC all week practicing, I don't know what the weather has been like while they practiced.
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Posted:
#32
Quote Originally Posted by Nycgags:
Derek Carr in 3 road games in temps below 50
DEN '14 18/36 158 YDS 1/1
DEN '15 12/29 135 YDS 2/0
KC '15 21/33 194 YDS 1/1
52% CMP 4.96 Y/A
Derek Carr in 3 road games in temps below 50
DEN '14 18/36 158 YDS 1/1
DEN '15 12/29 135 YDS 2/0
KC '15 21/33 194 YDS 1/1
52% CMP 4.96 Y/A
One other thing that came to mind. Derek Carr has relatively small hands. Alex Smith has bigger hands than him. Hand size matters in cold weather. Something to consider.
The only thing hand size matters for is how big it makes your pecker look when you're holding it. GTFOutta here with your BS. The only sport you've ever played is suckin c0ck behind your local Applebee's.
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Posted:
#34
3 Team Teaser - 6.5 Points
OAK @ KCC (+3½) 
OAK OV 40½ 
CIN (+½) @ CLE
risking 2u to win 2.8u
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OAK @ KCC (-3½ EV)
3u
--------------------------
NFL since Wk 7
--------------------------
Sides 12-5-1 (70.59%)
Teasers 5-1 (83.33%)
Parlays 2-4 (33.33%)
--------------------------
Overall: +29.6u
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