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***NFL WEEK 5 PLAYS WITH 1 HUGE PLAY FOR MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL***

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Posted: #76
Week 4 Stat's are in, Vegas will make adjustment; however, now everyone has a better feel. I was Blessed with the insight of a VEGAS WISE GUYS, (Black listed) because of His calculations. Just for the Record, the NFL is the most consistent Sport over all others, Yet the Hardest to predict... UNTIL NOW.... With this Spreadsheet, you will be able to Pick the BEST "Play of the Day" and Win... You could actually parlay your BANKROLL.............    
EXAMPLE of Rating....
    Next "Monday Night Football" Matchup
                     CHIC (+6)      @        DET (-6)       ttl 48
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 30                    1.7           QB          5.0            30
------                   1.4           RB          0.8          -------
 7.8                   2.7           WR         3.8            21.1
                        -1.0           TE          4.0
                        -1.5           OL          2.5
                         4.5            K           5.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   18                   5.4      DEF/RSH     3.4            18          
---------                1.9      DEF/PSS     1.5           ---------         
   9.7                 1.4      PSS RUSH   1.7             8.6      
                         0.0        T/AWY       1.0                   
                         1.0       SPC TM       0.0                            
                                     HM FLD      1.0                        
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           1           OFF           3                            
                           1           DEF           1
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            1         RATIO         3
                  BET    THIS     GAME
                               FINAL SCORE

                       24                        33
DETROIT AND THE OVER
    IF YOU ARE INTERESTED ON HOW THE SPREADSHEET PROJECTS ALL GAMES AND THIS YEARS SUPERBOWL WINNER.....
contact me:   


 
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:




stop by after the game & tell me how stupid I am, okay.................everyone is an expert before the game.............

Always like these rookie posters coming in and giving their stupid two cents worth when they probably haven't made a bet in their entire lives.  Just totally pisses me off.

 
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Posted: #78
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:




stop by after the game & tell me how stupid I am, okay.................everyone is an expert before the game.............


Apparently right now you believe you are an expert. I am quite surprised you chose this game as your "biggest bet" yet you don't even know that the line will keep going down. That's enough to call you stupid. Also, the fact that you mentioning the Lions playing from behind is also stupid. Playing from behind means they only cover as dogs, not as a 6.5 favorites that you could obviously get much lower. Nice try though. Pick another game.

 
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by sandrew:

Good Luck PTB - I always enjoy reading your posts.  I use BETUS, which is good for dogs but sucks for chalk.  Wish I could get in with a better book - but don't know how since I am a US player.

Love the Lions as well, and am waiting to see if the Raiders line goes up.


Thanks bro...........lets get this money...................
 
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Posted: #80
Quote Originally Posted by billyweather:

PTB, I'm a Bears fan but couldn't agree with you more here. I've had this game circled myself for awhile now. Bears defense can't stop anyone and their O-line is terrible, plus the WR are a complete joke as well. The GM should be held accountable for this mess, plus cutler was too busy last night watching his ex fiance in dancing with the stars. Not smart if you ask me even if they are playing on mon night. Like I said, I am and always have been a Bears fan, but you bet with your head, not your heart. I feel DET wins by 14 pts in the end. Bears have some cupcakes on the schedule (MINN twice, KC and SEA) but I just can't see them finishing better than 7-9 with the talent on this team. They had a lot of breaks go their way last season and could have easily been 8-8 instead of 11-5. Just my two cents from a Bears fan, I'll be with you making a large wager on DET. GL buddy


Love hearing this from a Bears fan, you're thinking with your head & not you heart, smart bettor, go Lions................
 
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Posted: #81
Thinking with your head would mean waiting to bet this line.
 
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Posted: #82
Quote Originally Posted by Dipset101:



Apparently right now you believe you are an expert. I am quite surprised you chose this game as your "biggest bet" yet you don't even know that the line will keep going down. That's enough to call you stupid. Also, the fact that you mentioning the Lions playing from behind is also stupid. Playing from behind means they only cover as dogs, not as a 6.5 favorites that you could obviously get much lower. Nice try though. Pick another game.



Like I told the other guy, come in afterwards, not before, I will be around if I lose, im here every week..........Lions blow the doors off the Bears, hence my comfort level on this game & I got a feeling you were on Dallas like most on this board last week, you shouldnt carry resentment, let it go..............
 
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Posted: #83
Thank you for proving how much more of a dumbass you are by assuming I must have been on dal just because I point out the fact that you take a lions line that is 6.5. Maybe one day you will realize this isn't your thing and get tired of losing Ur $10 bets all the time
 
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Posted: #84
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:



Like I told the other guy, come in afterwards, not before, I will be around if I lose, im here every week..........Lions blow the doors off the Bears, hence my comfort level on this game & I got a feeling you were on Dallas like most on this board last week, you shouldnt carry resentment, let it go..............

PTB you are just like me.  These guys think you are going to run and hide if the Lions were (and it ain't going to happen) not to cover.  I'm always around after just like yourself i have broad shoulders if i'm wrong i'm wrong won't be the first or the last.  Lions win this one standing on their heads.

 
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Posted: #85
Quote Originally Posted by Dipset101:

Thank you for proving how much more of a dumbass you are by assuming I must have been on dal just because I point out the fact that you take a lions line that is 6.5. Maybe one day you will realize this isn't your thing and get tired of losing Ur $10 bets all the time



Haters, if it wasnt for them, life would be boring................
 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by lookingtowin:

PTB you are just like me.  These guys think you are going to run and hide if the Lions were (and it ain't going to happen) not to cover.  I'm always around after just like yourself i have broad shoulders if i'm wrong i'm wrong won't be the first or the last.  Lions win this one standing on their heads.



Yes sir..............
 
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Posted: #87
Quote Originally Posted by Dipset101:

Thinking with your head would mean waiting to bet this line.



Monday morning Qb over here ^^^^^^^^

Why dont you go & tell everyone that bet Gbay -3.5 when the line came out that they should have waited.......no one knows which way the line is gonna move, hence the reason I bet it early thinking it might move up. I did go back for more at Lions -5 & will go back for more if it keeps falling..................
 
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Posted: #88
I understand that the Lions were on the road for 3 of 4 games and I believe they are good but looking at these last 2 games vs opponents i dont think are as good as the Bears.

The Lions were domintaed in Dallas badly!!The Lions Defense gave up 113 yds rushing and 331 passing- 444 total yds while the Lions rushed for 62 yds and passing for 240-302 total yds after the week b4 giving the Vikings (who are terrible) a 20 point lead and dominated them the first half.I am just pointing out the arent quite as rosey of a 4-0 team as they seem.If they would have played any good team the last 2 weeks,played like that they would be 2-2.


So if Dallas rushed for 132 yds I think the Bears will pound the ball on the ground as they realize what they should be doing last week.I look for Forte to have a 100 yd game as long as Martz gives him the ball 20+ and the wild card is the special teams with Hester giving them good field position.

The Bears have also had the toughest schedule to start the season in the NFL.This is also why i think their defense is a little underated at the moment I mean they have faced ATL,GB,NO also 2 of the best QBs and one great up and coming kid in Newton and Ryan aint too shabby either.

This is basically a must win for Bears or they would really fall 3 games behind GB and Det and being down in the tie breaker losing to both.Imean i just have to winder where the Lions would be right now if they faced tose 4 teams the first 4 games??I would say 2-2

In the end I think the Bears have played a tough schedule with their back against the wall will fight to the finish and make it a very close game.

Bears +6
 
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Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:




Monday morning Qb over here ^^^^^^^^

Why dont you go & tell everyone that bet Gbay -3.5 when the line came out that they should have waited.......no one knows which way the line is gonna move, hence the reason I bet it early thinking it might move up. I did go back for more at Lions -5 & will go back for more if it keeps falling..................

LOL. I shouldn't even have to say anything..but the fact that you are so oblivious to the fact that you are a dumbass here it is.

 

Gbay game: 90% of NON-dumbasses that wants to bet this game would do two of the following depending on who they want. If betting on Gbay, they bet it instantly because its OBVIOUS the line does nothing but shoots up. Atlanta backers choose to wait. (The smart ones)

You saw the Lions at -6.5 and YOU believed it would move to 7 or 7.5 therefore you bet it at 6.5 LOL. You have been betting for how long? And you were too oblivious to realize this line would do nothing but drop (baring huge injuries or death of 5 or more bears starters in a traffic accident).

Hilarious.

 
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Posted: #90
Please continue to keep unloading as the line drops. You apparently know nothing about the value of your lines
 
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Posted: #91
So whos moving the line i just talked to my friend who lives in Vegas and he said the people are betting the Lions by a little margin.So are the sharps moving this line down??
 
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Posted: #92
Quote Originally Posted by MJ2345:

So whos moving the line i just talked to my friend who lives in Vegas and he said the people are betting the Lions by a little margin.So are the sharps moving this line down??



Imo, its a false move......some power players came in on the Bears & everyone that heard about it is following & when the time is right, those same power players will come over the top & bet the Lions big before the game. Lets see what happens to the line several hours before the game.
 
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Posted: #93
Quote Originally Posted by MJ2345:

I understand that the Lions were on the road for 3 of 4 games and I believe they are good but looking at these last 2 games vs opponents i dont think are as good as the Bears.

The Lions were domintaed in Dallas badly!!The Lions Defense gave up 113 yds rushing and 331 passing- 444 total yds while the Lions rushed for 62 yds and passing for 240-302 total yds after the week b4 giving the Vikings (who are terrible) a 20 point lead and dominated them the first half.I am just pointing out the arent quite as rosey of a 4-0 team as they seem.If they would have played any good team the last 2 weeks,played like that they would be 2-2.


So if Dallas rushed for 132 yds I think the Bears will pound the ball on the ground as they realize what they should be doing last week.I look for Forte to have a 100 yd game as long as Martz gives him the ball 20+ and the wild card is the special teams with Hester giving them good field position.

The Bears have also had the toughest schedule to start the season in the NFL.This is also why i think their defense is a little underated at the moment I mean they have faced ATL,GB,NO also 2 of the best QBs and one great up and coming kid in Newton and Ryan aint too shabby either.

This is basically a must win for Bears or they would really fall 3 games behind GB and Det and being down in the tie breaker losing to both.Imean i just have to winder where the Lions would be right now if they faced tose 4 teams the first 4 games??I would say 2-2

In the end I think the Bears have played a tough schedule with their back against the wall will fight to the finish and make it a very close game.

Bears +6


I would buy the Bears up to 7 if I were you because I think the Lions win by at least that much. I have the Lions at 27-13
 
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Posted: #94
I'm amazed that some people can not read or don't understand Math. If they will take the time and study the above RATING on the game, they will see that CHICAGO does not have a O-Line, nor A Tight E, CHICAGO is Good vs the RUSH; however, AVG vs the Pass GAME, DETROIT controls the TURNOVERS and will SCORE from TURNOVERS. THE only Impact player that can give CHICAGO hope is D. Hester...on special teams, DETROIT will keep HESTER in CHECK,
 
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Posted: #95
Quote Originally Posted by Dipset101:

Please continue to keep unloading as the line drops. You apparently know nothing about the value of your lines


Post your own plays in your own thread & lets see how you do, okay? Talk the talk but you gotta walk the walk kid.............
 
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Posted: #96
Quote Originally Posted by ChrisGreene:

I'm amazed that some people can not read or don't understand Math. If they will take the time and study the above RATING on the game, they will see that CHICAGO does not have a O-Line, nor A Tight E, CHICAGO is Good vs the RUSH; however, AVG vs the Pass GAME, DETROIT controls the TURNOVERS and will SCORE from TURNOVERS. THE only Impact player that can give CHICAGO hope is D. Hester...on special teams, DETROIT will keep HESTER in CHECK,


I agree with you Chris, you have some nice numbers showing its gonna be an easy cover for the Lions, & I will add more money on the Lions if the line keeps coming down, thanks for the numbers Chris & good luck this week....................
 
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Posted: #97
Quote Originally Posted by ChrisGreene:

I'm amazed that some people can not read or don't understand Math. If they will take the time and study the above RATING on the game, they will see that CHICAGO does not have a O-Line, nor A Tight E, CHICAGO is Good vs the RUSH; however, AVG vs the Pass GAME, DETROIT controls the TURNOVERS and will SCORE from TURNOVERS. THE only Impact player that can give CHICAGO hope is D. Hester...on special teams, DETROIT will keep HESTER in CHECK,





Maybe you should read.The numbers are bit skewed because of opponents played as the Bears have played the toughest schedule in the NFL.The Bears are playing a division rival for their division life on monday football and will fight to the finish.The Lions arent playing as well as people think as Dallas dominited them.

This just my opinion and giving other insight to the game.Thats what this forum is for.

If it were that easy to just look at the numbers blindly play everyone would be a millionaire!
 
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Posted: #98
(Colts -3 vs Chiefs)  Chiefs opened the season with 3 tough games, Bills, Lions & Chargers, 0-3, but finally caught a break when playing the lowly Vikings, boy does Mcnabb have his hands full this season with that team. The Chiefs finally got that 1st win out of the way & now travel to Indianapolis to play the 0-4 Colts.


The Colts sitting at 0-4 but playing back to back tough games & losing but covering against the Steelers & Tampa both on national tv. The public got to watch this Colts team stick right with their opponents but it doesnt matter, this Colts team has alot of issues on offense & if it wasnt for the referees helping them out in Tampa, it would have been blow out city.


Chiefs ML (+115)  $500 to win $575

4 team parlay: Chiefs ML (+115), Raiders +5.5 (-110), Seahawks ML (+355), Jets ML (+355),  $100 to win $8,397.44





 
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Posted: #99
Primetime thx for the info i might buy it up to seven if it gets back to 6.5 but i have a hunch it wont i think this game is won by a fg!!!
 
 
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Posted: #100
Quote Originally Posted by MJ2345:






Maybe you should read.The numbers are bit skewed because of opponents played as the Bears have played the toughest schedule in the NFL.The Bears are playing a division rival for their division life on monday football and will fight to the finish.The Lions arent playing as well as people think as Dallas dominited them.

This just my opinion and giving other insight to the game.Thats what this forum is for.

If it were that easy to just look at the numbers blindly play everyone would be a millionaire!


Yes MJ........this forum is about discussing both sides of a game & you do make good points & numbers never tell the whole story but they do help as a tool............either way, its gonna be a fun game to watch..........
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