NFL WEEK 3 ..............................2026

We have the same situation on Thursday night as we did last week. Crazy huh.

Team off a overtime game on 4 days or fewer rest, now 5-27 ATS after winning last Thursday night fading the Lions.

But this week we add in as a single digit favorite, Lions a dog last week,  these teams are 0-15 ATS losing by an average of 12.5 pts i think that is to the spread.

Got that online.

Pretty crazy you most likely don't want to back teams off overtime games on little rest.

@theclaw

 This is wild. Usually when I see trends they hold no weight to me because we dont see the entire picture - i.e. did they go to OT and then play a stud on short rest? 

but 0-15 FAVS losing (to the spread?!?!) by an AVG of 12.5 is way too crazy to ignore - certainly seeing the money come in on ATL, also screams ATL ML value 

you’d need balls of steel to back the pack

@theclaw

I went against the Packers and pushed but they were damn lucky to win that game in New Jersey. They only had 100 yards of offense through the first three quarters, and they've been a mess ever since Micah Parsons blew his knee out. And without Josh Jacobs they can't run the ball. I lost taking the Falcons last week so I'm a little gun-shy about backing them again, but they do get both of their injured QBs back for this game, and you can't really buck a 15-0 angle!