Back at er![]()
![]()
Season long tracking thread, as always the goal is to finish in the black![]()
2021 11-12 -3.65 units
2022 24-14 +6.92 units
2023 11-14 -1.725 units
2024 23-20 +0.175 units
2025 27-35 -8.7 units
GL all!![]()
Back at er![]()
![]()
Season long tracking thread, as always the goal is to finish in the black![]()
2021 11-12 -3.65 units
2022 24-14 +6.92 units
2023 11-14 -1.725 units
2024 23-20 +0.175 units
2025 27-35 -8.7 units
GL all!![]()
Back at er![]()
![]()
Season long tracking thread, as always the goal is to finish in the black![]()
2021 11-12 -3.65 units
2022 24-14 +6.92 units
2023 11-14 -1.725 units
2024 23-20 +0.175 units
2025 27-35 -8.7 units
GL all!![]()
Week 1 leans so far
Jsn over 6.5 receptions @1.85
Jsn o83.5 rec yards @1.85
Cmc o4.5 receptions @1.85
Chase o87.5 rec yards @1.85
Mcconkey o4.5 receptions @1.85
Mcconkey o54.5 rec yards @1.85
Bowers o5.5 receptions @1.75
Bowers o61.5 rec yards @1.85
McBride o6.5 receptions @2.10
McBride o60.5 rec yards @1.85
Gibbs o79.5 rush yards @1.85
Henry o79.5 rush yards @1.85
Saquon o78.5 rush yards @1.85
Looking over game lines/totals but they seem pretty sharp this season, usually you get a few weak lines in week 1, but this year seems tighter
Week 1 leans so far
Jsn over 6.5 receptions @1.85
Jsn o83.5 rec yards @1.85
Cmc o4.5 receptions @1.85
Chase o87.5 rec yards @1.85
Mcconkey o4.5 receptions @1.85
Mcconkey o54.5 rec yards @1.85
Bowers o5.5 receptions @1.75
Bowers o61.5 rec yards @1.85
McBride o6.5 receptions @2.10
McBride o60.5 rec yards @1.85
Gibbs o79.5 rush yards @1.85
Henry o79.5 rush yards @1.85
Saquon o78.5 rush yards @1.85
Looking over game lines/totals but they seem pretty sharp this season, usually you get a few weak lines in week 1, but this year seems tighter
4 locked in
Jsn o83.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Expect darnold to target his #1 early and often in the season opener, they have great chemistry
Only worry is if gonzo shuts him down but maybe he travels to slot to get away from him
Receptions set at 6.5, if he gets 6-8 grabs hopefully a few of them go for 20+ yards
Went over this in 7 of 8 home games last year
Like him to get 75+ in the home opener
Cmc o4.5 receptions @1.85 1 to win 0.85
Purdy should be dumping it off all day vs rams elite DL
Over this in 13 of 18 last year
Only worry is the game in Australia but 49ers been down there a full week and rams going over the day before which I think is kinda crazy
Chance he sees 8-10+ targets
Should be good for 4+ grabs so I'll take a chance on 5+
Chase o87.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Potential shootout, burrow might have to chuck it all day
Expect burrow to find his #1 early and often in the season opener, they have great chemistry
Receptions set at 7.5, if he has 6-9 grabs hopefully a couple go for 20+ yards
Went over this in 7 of 8 home games last year
Like him to get 80+ in the home opener
Saquon o78.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Wsh run D has been trash for 2+ years, dont expect massive improvements
Wsh has some injuries on the DL to start year
Saquon over this in all 3 games vs wsh since he joined the eagles
Eagles OL healthy to start the year, should open up holes for him
Should get 16+ carries
Like him to get 70+ on the ground
GL all![]()
4 locked in
Jsn o83.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Expect darnold to target his #1 early and often in the season opener, they have great chemistry
Only worry is if gonzo shuts him down but maybe he travels to slot to get away from him
Receptions set at 6.5, if he gets 6-8 grabs hopefully a few of them go for 20+ yards
Went over this in 7 of 8 home games last year
Like him to get 75+ in the home opener
Cmc o4.5 receptions @1.85 1 to win 0.85
Purdy should be dumping it off all day vs rams elite DL
Over this in 13 of 18 last year
Only worry is the game in Australia but 49ers been down there a full week and rams going over the day before which I think is kinda crazy
Chance he sees 8-10+ targets
Should be good for 4+ grabs so I'll take a chance on 5+
Chase o87.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Potential shootout, burrow might have to chuck it all day
Expect burrow to find his #1 early and often in the season opener, they have great chemistry
Receptions set at 7.5, if he has 6-9 grabs hopefully a couple go for 20+ yards
Went over this in 7 of 8 home games last year
Like him to get 80+ in the home opener
Saquon o78.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Wsh run D has been trash for 2+ years, dont expect massive improvements
Wsh has some injuries on the DL to start year
Saquon over this in all 3 games vs wsh since he joined the eagles
Eagles OL healthy to start the year, should open up holes for him
Should get 16+ carries
Like him to get 70+ on the ground
GL all![]()
4 locked in
Mcconkey o4.5 receptions @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Mcconkey o54.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Herbert main target with allen gone
Should see 7-8+ targets
Main worry is if chargers get lead and pound the run
Took both incase he just catches 3 or 4 but one of them goes for 30-40+
Didnt have great stats last year but he was injured most of the year and still got over 100 targets
Like him to get 4+ grabs and 40+ yards
McBride o5.5 receptions @1.70 0.5 to win 0.35
McBride o56.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Brissett main target, should see 7-8+ targets
Went over receptions in 9 of 12 games with brissett at QB last year
Went over yards in 10 of 12 games with brissett at QB last year
If cards are losing they will be passing the ball
Like him to get 5+ grabs and 45+ yards
GL all![]()
4 locked in
Mcconkey o4.5 receptions @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Mcconkey o54.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Herbert main target with allen gone
Should see 7-8+ targets
Main worry is if chargers get lead and pound the run
Took both incase he just catches 3 or 4 but one of them goes for 30-40+
Didnt have great stats last year but he was injured most of the year and still got over 100 targets
Like him to get 4+ grabs and 40+ yards
McBride o5.5 receptions @1.70 0.5 to win 0.35
McBride o56.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Brissett main target, should see 7-8+ targets
Went over receptions in 9 of 12 games with brissett at QB last year
Went over yards in 10 of 12 games with brissett at QB last year
If cards are losing they will be passing the ball
Like him to get 5+ grabs and 45+ yards
GL all![]()
Jsn![]()
Cmc![]()
Saquon![]()
Chase![]()
Mcconkey![]()
![]()
McBride![]()
![]()
Leans went 10-1...really should have bet Gibbs and Henry really bad decision to pass on those 2
Bets went a solid 7-1 for week 1
Overall 7-1 +2.825 units
Jsn![]()
Cmc![]()
Saquon![]()
Chase![]()
Mcconkey![]()
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McBride![]()
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Leans went 10-1...really should have bet Gibbs and Henry really bad decision to pass on those 2
Bets went a solid 7-1 for week 1
Overall 7-1 +2.825 units
Week 2 leans
Henry o87.5 rush yards @1.85
Bijan o82.5 rush yards @1.85
Bijan o41.5 rec yards @1.85
Puka o87.5 rec yards @1.85
Puka o6.5 receptions @1.65
McBride o59.5 rec yards @1.80
McBride o6.5 receptions @1.80
Cmc o4.5 receptions @1.70
Evans o3.5 receptions @1.70
Tet o59.5 rec yards @1.85
Jeanty o27.5 rec yards @1.85
Possibly like jefferson as well if Wentz at QB. Not as sure of they announce Kyler playing
Week 2 leans
Henry o87.5 rush yards @1.85
Bijan o82.5 rush yards @1.85
Bijan o41.5 rec yards @1.85
Puka o87.5 rec yards @1.85
Puka o6.5 receptions @1.65
McBride o59.5 rec yards @1.80
McBride o6.5 receptions @1.80
Cmc o4.5 receptions @1.70
Evans o3.5 receptions @1.70
Tet o59.5 rec yards @1.85
Jeanty o27.5 rec yards @1.85
Possibly like jefferson as well if Wentz at QB. Not as sure of they announce Kyler playing
3 locked in
Henry o87.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Saints allowed a ton of yards to Gibbs last week, expect similar result from Henry
Should see 16+ carries
Lamar opens up lanes for him, teams gotta respect lamars legs
Like him to get 75+ on the ground
Bijan o82.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Panthers DL/run D is a disaster, both bears RB went for over 100 yards
Panthers DL is injured to fuck
Over this in 3 of last 4 vs panthers
Slight worry he gets a bunch of receiving yards and less rushing yards
Like him to get 75+ on the ground
Puka o87.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Staffords main target
Giants secondary average at best
Almost went over this last week in a terrible travel situation to Australia where his team flew to Australia a day before the game
Should see 9-10+ targets
Stafford/puka should be motivated after getting embarrassed last week
Slight worry about a blowout
Like him to get 75+ at home
GL all![]()
3 locked in
Henry o87.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Saints allowed a ton of yards to Gibbs last week, expect similar result from Henry
Should see 16+ carries
Lamar opens up lanes for him, teams gotta respect lamars legs
Like him to get 75+ on the ground
Bijan o82.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Panthers DL/run D is a disaster, both bears RB went for over 100 yards
Panthers DL is injured to fuck
Over this in 3 of last 4 vs panthers
Slight worry he gets a bunch of receiving yards and less rushing yards
Like him to get 75+ on the ground
Puka o87.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Staffords main target
Giants secondary average at best
Almost went over this last week in a terrible travel situation to Australia where his team flew to Australia a day before the game
Should see 9-10+ targets
Stafford/puka should be motivated after getting embarrassed last week
Slight worry about a blowout
Like him to get 75+ at home
GL all![]()
1 locked in
Evans o3.5 receptions @1.70 0.5 to win 0.35
Had 6 last week in australia, purdy trusts him
Easiest matchup he may get all season
Slight worry he sits 4th Q but if it's a blowout hopefully he has 4+ by end of 3rd Q
Debated CMC receptions as well but 49ers are talking about giving Black more playing time, which could be especially true if this game a blowout
Like him to get 3+ so I'll take chance on 4+
GL all![]()
1 locked in
Evans o3.5 receptions @1.70 0.5 to win 0.35
Had 6 last week in australia, purdy trusts him
Easiest matchup he may get all season
Slight worry he sits 4th Q but if it's a blowout hopefully he has 4+ by end of 3rd Q
Debated CMC receptions as well but 49ers are talking about giving Black more playing time, which could be especially true if this game a blowout
Like him to get 3+ so I'll take chance on 4+
GL all![]()
Bijan![]()
Henry ![]()
Evans![]()
0-3 for week 2, puka cancelled due to injury. Bijan and Evans sit in blowouts. Ravens abandon the run
Week 2 leans went 2-7. Bad reads on some of em.
Overall 7-4 +1.325 units
Bijan![]()
Henry ![]()
Evans![]()
0-3 for week 2, puka cancelled due to injury. Bijan and Evans sit in blowouts. Ravens abandon the run
Week 2 leans went 2-7. Bad reads on some of em.
Overall 7-4 +1.325 units
@Biscuiteater1 @D-Town @Fuse @Cyrax
Thanks for poppin by fellas
Week 3 leans
Chase o6.5 receptions @1.85...like this more if porter doesnt play...weather says potential wind as well
Chase o75.5 rec yards @1.85
Jsn o6.5 receptions @1.80..dont love weather here
Jsn o92.5 rec.yards @1.85
Bowers o4.5 receptions @2.05...is he healthy and will kirk target him
Arsb o6.5 receptions @1.70
Cmc o4.5 receptions @1.85
Gibbs o88.5 rush yards @1.85
Walker o84.5 rush yards @1.85
Cooks o79.5 rush yards @1.85
Henry o90.5 rush yards @1.85
@Biscuiteater1 @D-Town @Fuse @Cyrax
Thanks for poppin by fellas
Week 3 leans
Chase o6.5 receptions @1.85...like this more if porter doesnt play...weather says potential wind as well
Chase o75.5 rec yards @1.85
Jsn o6.5 receptions @1.80..dont love weather here
Jsn o92.5 rec.yards @1.85
Bowers o4.5 receptions @2.05...is he healthy and will kirk target him
Arsb o6.5 receptions @1.70
Cmc o4.5 receptions @1.85
Gibbs o88.5 rush yards @1.85
Walker o84.5 rush yards @1.85
Cooks o79.5 rush yards @1.85
Henry o90.5 rush yards @1.85
4 locked in
Gibbs o88.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Expect lions to lead and run the ball
Need an explosive run or 2 out of Gibbs here
Should see 16-18+ carries
Wish the lions OL was a little healthier and slight worry about jets run D, but the jets haven't faced a good rushing team yet
Like him to get 75+ at home off a bad loss
Cooks o79.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Expect Bills to lead and run the ball
Chargers run D is not that good
Should see 16+ carries
Main worry is if allen steals a bunch of his rushing yards
Like him to get 70+
Henry o90.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Dallas run D is pretty bad
Lamar should help open up holes for him
Not sure why they abandoned the run last week so I'll try again
Should see 18+ carries unless they get down 10+ points early
Like him to get 80+
Cmc o4.5 receptions @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Over this in 4 of last 5 vs cards
Purdy should find him atleast 4 times
Hes been open coming out of the backfield all season
Like him to get 4+
GL all![]()
4 locked in
Gibbs o88.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Expect lions to lead and run the ball
Need an explosive run or 2 out of Gibbs here
Should see 16-18+ carries
Wish the lions OL was a little healthier and slight worry about jets run D, but the jets haven't faced a good rushing team yet
Like him to get 75+ at home off a bad loss
Cooks o79.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Expect Bills to lead and run the ball
Chargers run D is not that good
Should see 16+ carries
Main worry is if allen steals a bunch of his rushing yards
Like him to get 70+
Henry o90.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Dallas run D is pretty bad
Lamar should help open up holes for him
Not sure why they abandoned the run last week so I'll try again
Should see 18+ carries unless they get down 10+ points early
Like him to get 80+
Cmc o4.5 receptions @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Over this in 4 of last 5 vs cards
Purdy should find him atleast 4 times
Hes been open coming out of the backfield all season
Like him to get 4+
GL all![]()
1 locked in
Arsb o6.5 receptions @1.65 1 to win 0.65
27 targets thru 2 games
Jets secondary not great and minkah is out
Should see 9+ targets
May add half unit on over 77.5 yards but I like receptions better
Like him to catch 6+ at home
GL all![]()
1 locked in
Arsb o6.5 receptions @1.65 1 to win 0.65
27 targets thru 2 games
Jets secondary not great and minkah is out
Should see 9+ targets
May add half unit on over 77.5 yards but I like receptions better
Like him to catch 6+ at home
GL all![]()
Fuser![]()
Leans went 7-4...shoulda bet bowers and chase...probably wouldnt have bet jsn due to weather so leans really went 5-4 if I'm being realistic
Bets went 2-3....picked out the losers...Henry and cmc both lose by the hook...cowboys fuck me cause henry woulda gone over in OT...terrible beats...Arsb gets 8 targets 1st half and 0 in the 2nd half...
Arsb![]()
![]()
Henry![]()
Cmc![]()
Cook![]()
Gibbs![]()
2-3 -1.15 units
Overall 9-7 +0.175
1-1 -0.15 units 1-unit plays
8-6 +0.325 units 0.5-unit plays
Like a ton on the board this week just waiting for prop lines to release at my book
Fuser![]()
Leans went 7-4...shoulda bet bowers and chase...probably wouldnt have bet jsn due to weather so leans really went 5-4 if I'm being realistic
Bets went 2-3....picked out the losers...Henry and cmc both lose by the hook...cowboys fuck me cause henry woulda gone over in OT...terrible beats...Arsb gets 8 targets 1st half and 0 in the 2nd half...
Arsb![]()
![]()
Henry![]()
Cmc![]()
Cook![]()
Gibbs![]()
2-3 -1.15 units
Overall 9-7 +0.175
1-1 -0.15 units 1-unit plays
8-6 +0.325 units 0.5-unit plays
Like a ton on the board this week just waiting for prop lines to release at my book
7 locked in
Chase o79.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Chase o6.5 receptions @1.65 0.5 to win 0.325
Jsn o91.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Jsn o6.5 receptions @1.65 0.5 to win 0.325
Cook o88.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Gibbs o97.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Bijan o86.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
GL all![]()
7 locked in
Chase o79.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Chase o6.5 receptions @1.65 0.5 to win 0.325
Jsn o91.5 rec yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Jsn o6.5 receptions @1.65 0.5 to win 0.325
Cook o88.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Gibbs o97.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
Bijan o86.5 rush yards @1.85 0.5 to win 0.425
GL all![]()
Other week 4 leans
Bowers o5.5 receptions @1.65...this was what it opened at on bet365.. up to 7.5 now....woulda been 2 unit play for me...my book is trash lol
McBride o6.5 receptions @1.65
Henry o98.5 rush yards @1.85
Cmc o4.5 receptions @1.70
Love o67.5 rush yards @1.85...this was 57.5 at bet365 on monday
Other week 4 leans
Bowers o5.5 receptions @1.65...this was what it opened at on bet365.. up to 7.5 now....woulda been 2 unit play for me...my book is trash lol
McBride o6.5 receptions @1.65
Henry o98.5 rush yards @1.85
Cmc o4.5 receptions @1.70
Love o67.5 rush yards @1.85...this was 57.5 at bet365 on monday
