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#1
Cin (-3) at KC
QB Huard is playing. He's not great but experienced. RB Larry Johnson should have a good day against Cin defense (only 2 healthy LBs). KC defense is much better. Chad Johnson is upset with Palmer so Cin offense is a little iffy.
Cin defense Yards-per-reception and points allowed are the worst in the NFL. Take the home dog.
Pick KC
Was (+3) at GB
Jason Campbell has talent but he is still inexperience. This is a bet on Washington's defense. It has allowed only 13 points per games (avg last 5 games). That is 2nd best in the league, only behind Jacksonvile 10 ppg. It is always hard to go against Brett Farve at home. This bet is for the brave.
Pick Was
NE (-5) at DAL
I feel better about this pick than the Washington pick. NE defense is better but DAL has home field. Romo is not as good as Brady but he is capable of making a comeback. I think DAL will run the ball a lot to keep Brady off the field. Over/under line of 53.5 is ridiculous, considering DAL defense allowing 19 ppg and NE allowing 13 ppg. NE has covered the spread 5 straight games. I don't know if that has ever happened before. 6 straight cover is highly improbable. I think DAL is on a lucky stretch after that MNF game.
Pick DAL
Good luck all.
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