mTbaKer's NFL Picks- Week 5

as always I appreciate the kind words my friend

Quote Originally Posted by metalbill:

i like your picks man, i havent locked in the pats yet, see if the # hits 7 lol, and the bronco/charger game im not sure about. still your card looks real solid. bol 2 ya this sunday

Thanks for the kind words!  If you have Pinnacle you can get Pats -7 at -113 which is basically the same price as -110 for spreads and I would get it at 7 when you have the option of not taking too much juice

As for the Broncos game I just feel as though they step up in a big way tomorrow especially on D with all their guys healthy and ready to roll but it's never easy taking a team that is doing poorly

glad to see we agree on some of them- really love the situations for the Vikings and Steel- I really think the Pats want to destroy the Jets knowing that they are down

Quote Originally Posted by WhySoSucK:

ahhhh I'm fading your Jets- thanks for the support bud 

Quote Originally Posted by thunderpubes:

NE getting a ton of guys back from injuries as well, Hernandez being a big one if he plays. Jets don't defend the middle of the field too well (neither does NE though, Keller is probably going to rip up) so look for Wes to have another good day. Hopefully Mike Wright can improve a dismal pass rush and take advantage of a Jets O-line that is currently shaky.

Love Pitt as well this week at -3. Even though the score was close and they had a chance to lose the game at Indy, Pitt played far better and the game may have been far different had the Colts not gotten that fumble returned for a TD which completely changed the momentum of the game. Funny how if that game had been 24-10 or so, with the 24-0 Seahawks win the week before, I'm pretty sure the public would be around 60/40 on the Steelers instead of the other way around, even after the loss to the Texans. Also Tenn has a bye next week, so I think if they get down by double digits in the 2nd half they might just pack it in and start getting ready for the flight home. Maybe this ends up being a push but still really like the Steelers in this spot.

Broncos seems like the right play, but just can't pull the trigger on this one. Chargers have not impressed so far but they have to get it together some time. I don't expect Rivers to keep up his 5TD/6Int ratio or whatever it is, prob a stay away for me.

Also like Phi -0.5 1Q @ +115, Fitz always takes a while to settle in and Bills have only scored above 0 points in the first quarter once: W1 vs Chiefs where there was a chiefs opening kickoff fumble and something like 3 or 4 KC 3-and-outs.

GL bro

Very solid write-ups you definitely know your stuff.  Glad to see we agree on most of the games and I think Philly blows out Buff tomorrow.  I just didn't want to lay points on a road team with a losing record but you're on the right side in that one IMO.

Quote Originally Posted by No_Contest:

MT, can sell a well water! GL mane, rolling with you on most

haha thanks my friend let's make it 4 winning weeks in a row!

I don't agree about +4 having no value.  The Broncos will be fighting hard in front of their home crowd all game long and there is a great chance for a backdoor here.  The Chargers can light any team up at will but they haven't so far and that's at home on the road things won't be easy.

Anyways we'll see what happens BOL on your 8 game prayer parlay

KGGGG! OMG that avatar makes me sad cause the NBA's not gonna be back   My favourite sport to watch and wager on.

I absolutely love the Steelers in this game and at -3 with those O-Lineman back the value on them is tremendous and I think the Pats take it to them after that playoff loss last year where they were not sharp

The Patriots don't have the best running attack, but when you have their pass offense the running lanes open up way more.  The Pats ran it well on the road against the Raiders and I think they can do it again today.  The Jets just haven't had any success passing the ball to worry me and the Pats run D is pretty good.  I really like the price of Pats and motivation- they are rolling and the Jets seem to have lost their identity.  BOL

3-1 day for the 4th winning week in a row and the futures are looking golden at the moment.  God damn my Broncos couldn't close that beautiful backdoor cover by Tebow.  I'll take it though cause I was lucky Pats hit the FG at the end of the game.

Steelers -3 (-121) to win 16.5 units