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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BIG PLAY & WRITEUP

    12 Next Last»
    HERMES
    Carolinashaun
    Macwestie1
    Seymour24
    PropKing82
    ...
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    12 Next Last»
     
    HERMES
    HERMES
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    Posts: 2937
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 7:50 PM ET #1

    NFL YTD 17-10-1

    YESTERDAY POSTED 2-2

    HIT HUGE ON GREEN BAY LAST NIGHT COULD NOT POST THOUGH AS I WAS TRAVELING.

    TONIGHT:

    Jay Cutler got his wish last week and the Bears ran the ball a lot more - A LOT - with 31/224/2 rushing as a team (vs. 9/17 for 102 yards passing for Cutler) en route to a 34-29 win over Carolina. Matt Forte had a career day with 25/205/1 rushing and 4/23/0 receiving to his credit, and Marion Barber finally got in the act with 5/17/1 rushing in his short-yardage role with Chicago. 'We've been wanting to have this group together,' head coach Lovie Smith said. 'We saw what it could look like in training camp, which is pretty good. Matt Forte is a great player. But you need a relief hitter, a solid backup to come in and give you tough yards. That's what Marion did for us (Sunday) and hopefully we'll keep that combination going.' It was a successful day all around for the Bears' running backs.

    The Lions are 4-0, but it isn't because of prowess as defenders in recent weeks - Dallas' banged-up squad managed 27/113/0 rushing last week, and Minnesota blasted the defensive front with 23/132/1 rushing two weeks ago. So far this year, the Lions are 20th in the NFL averaging 113 yards rushing allowed per game, but they do get stubborn at the goal line in this phase of the game, with just one rushing score given up to date.

    The Bears' rushing attack is on a roll, while the Lions' unit is just so-so in this phase of the game. Advantage, Chicago.


    Detroit's rushing game rebounded somewhat last week (17/63/0 rushing, with 11/47/0 for Jahvid Best) after their pitiful 19/20/0 effort two weeks ago at Minnesota. However, the team was down 3-27 early in the third quarter, so Detroit did most of their second-half offense through the air. To date, Best is the 60/190/1 rushing and 17/205/1 receiving - he's getting plenty of touches on the football, but hasn't been able to get much room to roam so far this year (Detroit is currently 31st in the NFL averaging 3.0 yards per carry as a team).

    The Bears' vaunted defense got trashed at home by the Panthers last week (26/169/2 rushing, a 6.5 yards allowed per carry average). Green Bay had a more pedestrian 29/100/0 outing at Chicago two weeks ago, but there is no denying that Carolina blasted some gaping holes in the Chicago defense last week.

    Best has struggled as a runner this year, but the Bears are rocked back on their heels entering this contest, too. I give a slight edge to Chicago based on their stinginess with TDs (only two allowed so far this year, both last week), but this isn't the dominant run D you usually associate with the words 'Chicago Bears'.

    Matthew Stafford is 100/161 for 1,217 yards, 11 passing TDs (one more than Drew Brees) and three interceptions thrown (one less than Brees) to his credit so far this year. Calvin Johnson has 24/321/8 through four games (and on pace for an astronomical 32 receiving TDs if he keeps up this blistering pace); Brandon Pettigrew has 22/240/0 to his credit. These guys are smokin' hot at 4-0.

    However, this week the Lions' bitter divisional rivals the Bears come calling at Ford Field. Normally that would mean a top-ranked D is coming to call - but that isn't so this year. The bend-but-don't-break Bears have been breaking left and right lately, with 29 points and 27/46 for 374 yards, one TD and one interception given up to Cam Newton and company last week, with 28/38 for 292 yards, three TDs and one interception coughed up to Green Bay two weeks ago. In fact, the Bears have averaged 301.5 net passing yards allowed per game (29th in the NFL), with seven passing TDs surrendered to date, vs. just three interceptions generated (tied for 17th in the NFL through three games) and a middlin' eight sacks to their credit. Detroit is currently fifth in the NFL with just five sacks allowed this year, by the way.

    Cutler threw 20 less balls in week four than he did week three (21/37 for 302 yards, two TDs and two interceptions) - but he got the 'W' that he wanted. Through four games, Matt Forte is the lead target for Cutler (33 for 26/310/1), while Johnny Knox (23 for 12/237/0) is second, Devin Hester (21 for 7/139/0) continues to struggle as a receiver, and Dane Sanzenbacher (17 for 10/82/2) has caught the most TDs this year.

    The Lions' are 4-0, and part of the reason they are is that their pass D has more interceptions (seven, tied for third in the NFL) than they do passing TDs allowed (five). The team also has posted nine sacks on the way to ranking 12th in the NFL averaging 221.2 net yards allowed per game. Last week, the Cowboys had the game in the bag until Tony Romo was victimized for three interceptions - two of them pick-sixes, one by LB Bobby Carpenter and the other by CB Chris Houston - that put Detroit back in contention on the way to a huge 34-30 comeback victory. The Lions' pass defenders are a high-pressure bunch both up front and in the secondary.

    MY PREDICTION: The Detroit Lions have begun the season ultra hot however a whole lot of luck has gone there way as well fueling this run. I believe tonight that luck runs out and I can see the Chicago Bears behind a balanced offensive attack come away with the victory. Chicago's defense has looked the way it has so far due to the fact they have faced four of the best offenses in the league. While the Lions have faced some pretty poor defenses that has made them look like juggernauts. Look for Lovie to keep the Lions in check enough to give Chicago a chance to win this ball game. I'm taking the points and I will see you all in the winners circle after the game.


    CHICAGO BEARS +7     BIG



    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    NFL YTD 17-10-1

    YESTERDAY POSTED 2-2

    HIT HUGE ON GREEN BAY LAST NIGHT COULD NOT POST THOUGH AS I WAS TRAVELING.

    TONIGHT:

    Jay Cutler got his wish last week and the Bears ran the ball a lot more - A LOT - with 31/224/2 rushing as a team (vs. 9/17 for 102 yards passing for Cutler) en route to a 34-29 win over Carolina. Matt Forte had a career day with 25/205/1 rushing and 4/23/0 receiving to his credit, and Marion Barber finally got in the act with 5/17/1 rushing in his short-yardage role with Chicago. 'We've been wanting to have this group together,' head coach Lovie Smith said. 'We saw what it could look like in training camp, which is pretty good. Matt Forte is a great player. But you need a relief hitter, a solid backup to come in and give you tough yards. That's what Marion did for us (Sunday) and hopefully we'll keep that combination going.' It was a successful day all around for the Bears' running backs.

    The Lions are 4-0, but it isn't because of prowess as defenders in recent weeks - Dallas' banged-up squad managed 27/113/0 rushing last week, and Minnesota blasted the defensive front with 23/132/1 rushing two weeks ago. So far this year, the Lions are 20th in the NFL averaging 113 yards rushing allowed per game, but they do get stubborn at the goal line in this phase of the game, with just one rushing score given up to date.

    The Bears' rushing attack is on a roll, while the Lions' unit is just so-so in this phase of the game. Advantage, Chicago.


    Detroit's rushing game rebounded somewhat last week (17/63/0 rushing, with 11/47/0 for Jahvid Best) after their pitiful 19/20/0 effort two weeks ago at Minnesota. However, the team was down 3-27 early in the third quarter, so Detroit did most of their second-half offense through the air. To date, Best is the 60/190/1 rushing and 17/205/1 receiving - he's getting plenty of touches on the football, but hasn't been able to get much room to roam so far this year (Detroit is currently 31st in the NFL averaging 3.0 yards per carry as a team).

    The Bears' vaunted defense got trashed at home by the Panthers last week (26/169/2 rushing, a 6.5 yards allowed per carry average). Green Bay had a more pedestrian 29/100/0 outing at Chicago two weeks ago, but there is no denying that Carolina blasted some gaping holes in the Chicago defense last week.

    Best has struggled as a runner this year, but the Bears are rocked back on their heels entering this contest, too. I give a slight edge to Chicago based on their stinginess with TDs (only two allowed so far this year, both last week), but this isn't the dominant run D you usually associate with the words 'Chicago Bears'.

    Matthew Stafford is 100/161 for 1,217 yards, 11 passing TDs (one more than Drew Brees) and three interceptions thrown (one less than Brees) to his credit so far this year. Calvin Johnson has 24/321/8 through four games (and on pace for an astronomical 32 receiving TDs if he keeps up this blistering pace); Brandon Pettigrew has 22/240/0 to his credit. These guys are smokin' hot at 4-0.

    However, this week the Lions' bitter divisional rivals the Bears come calling at Ford Field. Normally that would mean a top-ranked D is coming to call - but that isn't so this year. The bend-but-don't-break Bears have been breaking left and right lately, with 29 points and 27/46 for 374 yards, one TD and one interception given up to Cam Newton and company last week, with 28/38 for 292 yards, three TDs and one interception coughed up to Green Bay two weeks ago. In fact, the Bears have averaged 301.5 net passing yards allowed per game (29th in the NFL), with seven passing TDs surrendered to date, vs. just three interceptions generated (tied for 17th in the NFL through three games) and a middlin' eight sacks to their credit. Detroit is currently fifth in the NFL with just five sacks allowed this year, by the way.

    Cutler threw 20 less balls in week four than he did week three (21/37 for 302 yards, two TDs and two interceptions) - but he got the 'W' that he wanted. Through four games, Matt Forte is the lead target for Cutler (33 for 26/310/1), while Johnny Knox (23 for 12/237/0) is second, Devin Hester (21 for 7/139/0) continues to struggle as a receiver, and Dane Sanzenbacher (17 for 10/82/2) has caught the most TDs this year.

    The Lions' are 4-0, and part of the reason they are is that their pass D has more interceptions (seven, tied for third in the NFL) than they do passing TDs allowed (five). The team also has posted nine sacks on the way to ranking 12th in the NFL averaging 221.2 net yards allowed per game. Last week, the Cowboys had the game in the bag until Tony Romo was victimized for three interceptions - two of them pick-sixes, one by LB Bobby Carpenter and the other by CB Chris Houston - that put Detroit back in contention on the way to a huge 34-30 comeback victory. The Lions' pass defenders are a high-pressure bunch both up front and in the secondary.

    MY PREDICTION: The Detroit Lions have begun the season ultra hot however a whole lot of luck has gone there way as well fueling this run. I believe tonight that luck runs out and I can see the Chicago Bears behind a balanced offensive attack come away with the victory. Chicago's defense has looked the way it has so far due to the fact they have faced four of the best offenses in the league. While the Lions have faced some pretty poor defenses that has made them look like juggernauts. Look for Lovie to keep the Lions in check enough to give Chicago a chance to win this ball game. I'm taking the points and I will see you all in the winners circle after the game.


    CHICAGO BEARS +7     BIG



     
    Carolinashaun
    Carolinashaun
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 7:55 PM ET #2

    GL
    Reply
    GL
     
    Macwestie1
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 7:56 PM ET #3

    GL Hermes 


    Let's do this mah man 
    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
    Reply
    GL Hermes 


    Let's do this mah man 
     
    Seymour24
    Seymour24
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 7:57 PM ET #4

    Nice
    Reply
    Nice
     
    PropKing82
    PropKing82
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    Posts: 1614
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 7:57 PM ET #5

    I absolutely couldn't agree with this reasoning even more. I hope people come to their senses and read this post. The Bears have had the TOUGHEST schedule in the NFL in my opinion. Good luck with your bet!
    Reply
    I absolutely couldn't agree with this reasoning even more. I hope people come to their senses and read this post. The Bears have had the TOUGHEST schedule in the NFL in my opinion. Good luck with your bet!
     
    HERMES
    HERMES
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 7:58 PM ET #6

    BTW LEAN TO THE UNDER
    Reply
    BTW LEAN TO THE UNDER
     
    BigZman
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:01 PM ET #7

    Nice write up. GL tonight
    Reply
    Nice write up. GL tonight
     
    hhgiant69
    hhgiant69
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:04 PM ET #8

    with you tonight Bear+7
    GL..HERMES..
    Reply
    with you tonight Bear+7
    GL..HERMES..
     
    Teaser78
    Teaser78
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:07 PM ET #9

    GOOD LUCK BRO HOPE YOU LOSE ...LOL ...SORRY ... DETROIT AT HOME THAT DEF WILL NOT LET CUTLER DO SHIT ... IM ON DETROIT

    IVE BEEN LOSING A SMALL FORTUNE LATELY SO YOU PROBABLY RIGHT LOL

    Reply

    GOOD LUCK BRO HOPE YOU LOSE ...LOL ...SORRY ... DETROIT AT HOME THAT DEF WILL NOT LET CUTLER DO SHIT ... IM ON DETROIT

    IVE BEEN LOSING A SMALL FORTUNE LATELY SO YOU PROBABLY RIGHT LOL

     
    UnendingProfit
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:11 PM ET #10

    Can't do anything to change your play but you're on the wrong side tonight. Lions will crush them as they been waiting a long time to do so. Lions big tonight

    Reply

    Can't do anything to change your play but you're on the wrong side tonight. Lions will crush them as they been waiting a long time to do so. Lions big tonight

     
    LETGOPACK1234
    LETGOPACK1234
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    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:12 PM ET #11

    One of us wil be right......

     

     

    I obviously follow and know the NFC Central very well being a Packer fan living in Chicago....

    I see these teams play every week...

    Here is my opinion on the game Monday Night....

    Both teams have records they dont deserve...Bears are 2-2 but got completely dominated by the Panthers...they didnt deserve to win that game and if it wasnt for 3 big plays they would have lost....Bears could easily be 1-3....

    The same goes with Detroit...everybody sees 4-0 and says WOW....but come on, they havent beaten anybody....Dallas isnt good...even the comeback isnt good...Minnesota isnt good...Chiefs are worse and TB week 1 doesnt have much value...playing just average teams Detroit would have been 2-2....you wont come back from 21 points deficits against the top teams...so enjoy your 4-0 record while you have it....

    Here is how I see this game...

    The Bears will NOT be able to throw the ball, if they attempt too Cutler will probably leave the game on a stretcher...it is going to be a game of draws, screens, swing pass and flat outs...Cutler will not be able to take a 5 step drop....That being said, I dont feel they will be able to run either...this isnt Carolina's defense here...Lions front line is going to control this game and with Fairley(spelling) coming back thats a huge boost....I dont see how the Bears move the ball....

    Moving on to the Lions...Their offense I think is also in trouble...They shouldnt be able to run the ball either...Now Calvin is a different story...If Stafford gets protection he should be able to move it decent...But, the Bears dont blitz, they dont really have too because of their front line pressure...so I can see alot of mistakes by Stafford...

    This is the first big game for Detroit since I dont even remember when and I dont feel like going to look it up...

    This stadium is going to be rocking....I actually had an invite to go but cant get off work...but I think the atmosphere is going to be amazing...The home field advantage is going to be HUGE and cause so many fits for the Bears....

    Unless, the Lions kick the ball to Hester, I dont see how the Bears get more than 2 tds....

    Good luck to you all, just wanted to add my opinion

    Reply

    One of us wil be right......

     

     

    I obviously follow and know the NFC Central very well being a Packer fan living in Chicago....

    I see these teams play every week...

    Here is my opinion on the game Monday Night....

    Both teams have records they dont deserve...Bears are 2-2 but got completely dominated by the Panthers...they didnt deserve to win that game and if it wasnt for 3 big plays they would have lost....Bears could easily be 1-3....

    The same goes with Detroit...everybody sees 4-0 and says WOW....but come on, they havent beaten anybody....Dallas isnt good...even the comeback isnt good...Minnesota isnt good...Chiefs are worse and TB week 1 doesnt have much value...playing just average teams Detroit would have been 2-2....you wont come back from 21 points deficits against the top teams...so enjoy your 4-0 record while you have it....

    Here is how I see this game...

    The Bears will NOT be able to throw the ball, if they attempt too Cutler will probably leave the game on a stretcher...it is going to be a game of draws, screens, swing pass and flat outs...Cutler will not be able to take a 5 step drop....That being said, I dont feel they will be able to run either...this isnt Carolina's defense here...Lions front line is going to control this game and with Fairley(spelling) coming back thats a huge boost....I dont see how the Bears move the ball....

    Moving on to the Lions...Their offense I think is also in trouble...They shouldnt be able to run the ball either...Now Calvin is a different story...If Stafford gets protection he should be able to move it decent...But, the Bears dont blitz, they dont really have too because of their front line pressure...so I can see alot of mistakes by Stafford...

    This is the first big game for Detroit since I dont even remember when and I dont feel like going to look it up...

    This stadium is going to be rocking....I actually had an invite to go but cant get off work...but I think the atmosphere is going to be amazing...The home field advantage is going to be HUGE and cause so many fits for the Bears....

    Unless, the Lions kick the ball to Hester, I dont see how the Bears get more than 2 tds....

    Good luck to you all, just wanted to add my opinion

     
    tinfoils
    tinfoils
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    Posts: 66016
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:22 PM ET #12

    Good luck HERMES!
    Reply
    Good luck HERMES!
     
    princeofasia
    princeofasia
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    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 4010
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:22 PM ET #13

    Reply
     
    jacksteppin
    jacksteppin
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    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 885
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:24 PM ET #14

    Great write bud
    Reply
    Great write bud
     
    SCROG
    SCROG
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    Posts: 3347
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:27 PM ET #15

    Why no ML if ur so sure Hermes? GL tho 
    Reply
    Why no ML if ur so sure Hermes? GL tho 
     
    hhgiant69
    hhgiant69
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    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 1487
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:36 PM ET #16

    my book.......... Bear+7 1/2
    the other book  Detroit-6 1/2
    Bear  +7 1/2....30 unit
    Detroit-6 1/2....30unit
    Hope Detroit win by 7
    Reply
    my book.......... Bear+7 1/2
    the other book  Detroit-6 1/2
    Bear  +7 1/2....30 unit
    Detroit-6 1/2....30unit
    Hope Detroit win by 7
     
    HERMES
    HERMES
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    Joined: Jun, 2010
    Posts: 2937
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:37 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by SCROG:

    Why no ML if ur so sure Hermes? GL tho 

    WHY GAMBLE WHEN YOU HAVE A SURE THING WITH THE POINTS. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by SCROG:

    Why no ML if ur so sure Hermes? GL tho 

    WHY GAMBLE WHEN YOU HAVE A SURE THING WITH THE POINTS. 
     
    HERMES
    HERMES
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    Joined: Jun, 2010
    Posts: 2937
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:38 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by hhgiant69:

    my book.......... Bear+7 1/2
    the other book  Detroit-6 1/2
    Bear  +7 1/2....30 unit
    Detroit-6 1/2....30unit
    Hope Detroit win by 7

    JUST PLAY THE BEARS MAN THATS TAKING A SHOT IN THE DARK.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by hhgiant69:

    my book.......... Bear+7 1/2
    the other book  Detroit-6 1/2
    Bear  +7 1/2....30 unit
    Detroit-6 1/2....30unit
    Hope Detroit win by 7

    JUST PLAY THE BEARS MAN THATS TAKING A SHOT IN THE DARK.
     
    LETGOPACK1234
    LETGOPACK1234
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    Posts: 12243
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:39 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by HERMES:


    WHY GAMBLE WHEN YOU HAVE A SURE THING WITH THE POINTS. 

     

     

    Wasnt Atlanta a sure thing with the points last night???

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by HERMES:


    WHY GAMBLE WHEN YOU HAVE A SURE THING WITH THE POINTS. 

     

     

    Wasnt Atlanta a sure thing with the points last night???

     
    Denverb
    Denverb
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    Posts: 5162
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:40 PM ET #20

    GL H 
    Reply
    GL H 
     
    bookiekilla
    bookiekilla
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    Posts: 2738
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:41 PM ET #21

    Love Da Bears!  Go CHICAGO! 
    Reply
    Love Da Bears!  Go CHICAGO! 
     
    HERMES
    HERMES
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    Posts: 2937
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:43 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:

     

     

    Wasnt Atlanta a sure thing with the points last night???


    NOPE I WAS ON THE PACK. THE LIONS ARE NOT THE PACKERS. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:

     

     

    Wasnt Atlanta a sure thing with the points last night???


    NOPE I WAS ON THE PACK. THE LIONS ARE NOT THE PACKERS. 
     
    TREE88
    TREE88
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    Posts: 20749
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:45 PM ET #23

    Reply
     
    more4us
    more4us
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    Joined: Feb, 2008
    Posts: 13319
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:52 PM ET #24

    BOL
    Reply
    BOL
     
     
    Cooler999
    Cooler999
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    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 22201
    Posted: Oct. 10, 2011 - 8:59 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by HERMES:


    WHY GAMBLE WHEN YOU HAVE A SURE THING WITH THE POINTS. 


    Why do you say stupid things like this.  Don't you want to be taken seriously?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by HERMES:


    WHY GAMBLE WHEN YOU HAVE A SURE THING WITH THE POINTS. 


    Why do you say stupid things like this.  Don't you want to be taken seriously?
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