The key is to find a 2H line of 7 or more and figure out which team, if covering, would cause the middle to miss.
A middle is the difference between a team's pre-game betting line and that team's effective in-game betting line taking into account the halftime score and the second half line.
While doing some number crunching on Porky's system, I discovered this trend back in week 7 and decided to back-test this to the beginning of the season.
This year 20 games presented a 2H line greater than or equal to 7 points. There appear to be about 1-2 games per week that fall into this situation. Here are the YTD results.
WK 1 - CHI +10 @ IND (WIN) - middle 8.5
WK 3 - CIN +7 @ NYG (WIN) - middle 9
WK 3 - MIA +7.5 @ NE (WIN) - middle 19
WK 4 - KC +7 vs DEN (WIN) - middle 5
WK 4 - OAK +7 vs. SD (LOSS) - middle 16.5 (4th Qtr meltdown)
WK 4 - WAS +8 @ DAL (WIN) - middle 9
WK 5 - CIN +7.5 @ DAL (WIN) - middle 2.5
WK 6 - DET +7 @ MIN (WIN) - middle 7
WK 6 - STL +7 @ WAS (WIN) - middle 8
WK 6 - CLE +7 vs. NYG (WIN) - middle 4.5
WK 7 - STL +7 @ DAL (WIN) - middle 17.5
WK 8 - KC +7 @ NYJ (WIN) - middle 7
WK 8 - CLE +7 @ JAX (WIN) - middle 10
WK 9 - CIN +7 vs. JAX (LOSS) - middle 11.5 (another 4th Qtr meltdown)
WK 9 - KC +7 vs. TB (LOSS) - middle 13.5 (lost with 0:25 left)
WK 10 - KC +10 @ SD (WIN) - middle 10 (a miracle end)
WK 10 - SF +9 @ ARZ (LOSS) - middle 8.5 (bad play calling near end cost us)
WK 11 - DET +7 @ CAR (WIN) - middle 1.5
WK 11 - CIN +7 vs. PHI (PUSH) - middle 9.5 (game ends in tie)
WK 12 - CIN +7 @ PIT (LOSS) - middle 1.5
CURRENT RECORD 14-5-1 (73%) YTD
Road teams are 12-2 (83%)!!!
In the early games, keep an eye out for Detroit, San Francisco and Saint Louis. In the late game Oakland is a possibility. Only the Niners and Raiders are on the road.
Be back at the early halftimes to post any plays according to the system.
Let's get some loot!