*****MNF, Baltimore @ Cleveland Write-up including everything you need to know*****

Let’s look at some breakdowns and edges in this game that I found out there.

Ravens run offense vs. Browns run defense: As a team, the Ravens have averaged 162 yards in the past three meetings with the Browns. Last year at Cleveland, running back Ray Rice ran for 154 yards on 21 attempts. Since taking over as the primary back this season, he has averaged 76.2 yards rushing over his past five games. Rice has scored four rushing touchdowns in his last three games. Even with defensive tackle Shaun Rogers, Cleveland has the second-worst run defense in the NFL. Injuries have sidelined the Browns' starting linebackers (Eric Barton and D'Qwell Jackson) for the remainder of the season. David Bowens and rookie Kaluka Maiava are the likely replacements in the starting lineup. Edge: RAVENS

Ravens pass offense vs. Browns pass defense: Derrick Mason caught just three of the 13 passes thrown his direction last game, but the veteran wide receiver has recorded two straight 100-yard receiving performances against Cleveland (including 118 yards earlier this season). Joe Flacco is also trying to rebound after the Ravens quarterback struggled last week in Cincinnati (18-for-32 for 195 yards and two interceptions). In the Sept. 27 meeting with the Browns, Flacco threw for 342 yards, the second-most in his NFL career. With lackluster cornerbacks and an average pass rush, the Browns are tied for the 22nd-ranked pass defense. Cornerback Brandon McDonald has struggled with giving up yards after catches, and the other starter, Eric Wright, continues to play even though he flipped his car about three weeks ago. Kamerion Wimbley has five sacks in seven games this season. Edge: RAVENS

Browns run offense vs. Ravens run defense: This should mark the last game between the Ravens and Browns running back Jamal Lewis. He has already announced his retirement in the midst of one of his worst seasons (58.1 yards rushing per game). But it's unknown whether Lewis will play against his former team because he is questionable with an ankle injury. Lewis, who remains the Ravens' all-time leading rusher, has been limited to 65.2 yards per game and 3.4 yards per carry against his former team. Ravens defensive tackle Haloti Ngata, who missed the first game of his NFL career last week, is questionable with an ankle injury. The Ravens have not allowed more than 73 yards rushing in the past three meetings with Cleveland. Edge: RAVENS

Browns pass offense vs. Ravens pass defense: Brady Quinn makes his first start at quarterback since he was benched at halftime two months ago in Baltimore. In that game, he was 6-for-8 for 34 yards and an interception. After trading away wide receiver Braylon Edwards and tight end Kellen Winslow, the Browns lack playmakers in the passing game. Their No. 1 receiver is Mohamed Massaquoi, who has 19 catches and six dropped passes. The Ravens, who haven't had an interception in 14 quarters, picked off a season-high four passes earlier this season against Cleveland. Cornerback Fabian Washington, who was sidelined part of last game with a thigh bruise, is probable. Edge: RAVENS

Special teams: Rookie kickoff returner Lardarius Webb is questionable after missing Saturday's practice with an illness. Chris Carr, who didn't create any spark as the Ravens' returner earlier this season, would run back punts and kickoffs. Cleveland is also dealing with some game-day decisions. Browns punter Dave Zastudil, who leads the NFL with 25 kicks inside the 20-yard line, is questionable with a right (non-kicking) knee injury. The Browns recently tried out four punters: Glenn Pakulak, Britton Colquitt, Reggie Hodges and A.J. Trapasso. Edge: RAVENS

Intangibles: The Ravens have lost five straight Monday Night Football games but they can't afford to lose to the dysfunctional Browns and still consider themselves playoff contenders. Browns fans are so disgruntled that they might not sit in their seats for opening kickoff to protest the direction of the franchise. Jamal Lewis showed the level of dissatisfaction with Eric Mangini when he blasted the first-year coach for working players too hard during the week. Maybe that's true because eight Browns are questionable with injuries. The Ravens are looking to sweep Cleveland for the second straight season. Edge: RAVENS

Browns NG Shaun Rogers vs. Ravens C Matt Birk: Rogers is huge and can be a force in the middle. He can take away an inside running game by himself because he is a space eater. Birk, though, is quick and athletic. He is a technician, and speed will allow him to turn Rogers. It just depends on how long Birk can hold the block. Rogers needs to take a breather for air after every two plays. Edge: Birk


Browns CB's Brandon McDonald and Eric Wright vs. Ravens receivers Mark Clayton and Derrick Mason: The Browns corners are as bad as the Ravens'. They are soft, and can't cover a baby with a blanket, either. Mason and Clayton have to keep these two guessing. The Ravens should be able to work their usual slant and comeback routs. If possible, Wright and McDonald should try press coverage instead of playing as soft as usual. The Ravens will take some shots downfield against Cleveland. Edge: Clayton and Mason

BALTIMORE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

I just cannot find anything that would make me want to take Cleveland here. There season is over and I don’t feel they have anything to play for. I look for a half-assed effort at best here. I think the Ravens win by 15 or 16 points atleast so I have to take the road chalk here. Good Luck to all that’s with me!

very nice write up  im going huge on CSI MIAMI

Quote Originally Posted by TheBallDontLie:

  im sure there will be quite a bit of people that bite with browns +10 because of the dogs covering today but i dont see it

The thing is did you see England turn the ball over in the endzone TWICE.  did you see England going for it on 4th down?  Did you see Colts coming up with the TD's to cover the game?  no one expected it...  expect the unexpected.... Stats is stats... but you can't rule out the fact that ANYTHING is possible my friend...  you just cant rule that out... 

Thats what everyone said about Philly vs Oak a couple weeks ago. We all know how that ended.  Its difficult to make assumptions based on stats alone. 

5 games were on the Road

3 games were played at home.

Wanna bet?

great write up thx and

Nice write up. Exceptions aside, Baltimore will win and should cover. Everyone wringing their hands thinking about Philly/Oak should just flip a coin. 

I would tease it down if you are worried, but Cleveland's O against a mad, needy Ravens team is a bad bet. If you take Cleveland, you are reaching and trying too hard. Waiting until next week is better than forcing a Cleveland bet.

look at yesterday alot of bad teams covering or winning outright

DSpead up to 11 makes this a close call.Im on the Under in this game.Plus the Ravens are not what they were last year It seams teams got there number

Favorites got you back to the window early in the year.  Time to even things out a little bit with some Dogs. 

Browns suck but Vegas wont give this game away.  Browns +10.5

nice... write up