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MNF - Eagles at Seahawks...

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Posts: 116

vanzack

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Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 1:01 PM ET #26

Quote Originally Posted by G8RB8:

Hey van How do you view and account for something like the Jags "performance" last night? I felt they were extremely unlucky and that doesn't happen the next time, all things considered. It's pretty rare you see the blunder after blunder like they had. Not saying Baltimore still doesn't cover somehow - but the Jags had everything bad happen to them last night. On the animal front I am on my second rescued Greyhound and while they definitely have some quirks and rules for that breed, for those that want a typically really easy to deal with animal, id highly suggest rescuing one. Every time he runs in the backyard it's marvelous to watch

Yeah, totally agree on the Jags. Lets not forget the Ravens were up by only 3 late in the 3rd qtr with the Jags having an awful turnover in the red zone, two missed FGs, and a complete F up at the end of the first half.

Thats where a blender for stats is so valuable. The raw stats all get graded on situation, competition, and I even grade plays based on luck factors.

The Jags are way better than the outcome last night. But games like that can kill teams. Will be interesting to see next week at TB.

I love greyhounds. Sweet and gentle, and can be couch and lap dogs too. Not what you would think.

Bookmaker just went to Eagles -4!

an_cheers

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

G8RB8

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2005

Posts: 30086

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 1:09 PM ET #27

@vanzack

Thanks man! I know you've mentioned luck before even referring to the ravens being unlucky, and we know over the course of a season it tends to even out, just not sure when. Looks like last night they finally got some good luck peace_5

Ive had dogs My whole life but my current Greyhound is the best dog I've ever had. They don't do "dog things," he's got some food quirks and dumb as a box of rocks, but he's absolutely wonderful. Not a mean bone in his body, is extremely routine, so much happiness, and SLEEPS ALL DAY. an_horse

Go Seahawks an_cheers

Bagel Sandwiches Suck

CaseyMcGehee

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Joined: Jan, 2019

Posts: 3554

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 1:30 PM ET #28

Geno Smith will be inactive that’s causing the move. Not that he’s great but definitely a lot better than Lock.

TheLorenaKid

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Joined: Nov, 2023

Posts: 2151

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 1:46 PM ET #29

@vanzack

I took Philly-3 last night on the assumption Hurts will play, and the fact I hadn’t seen your pick on Seattle yet. Made me sick to see you were on Seattle, as I would much prefer to tail you.

Considering buying out and hitting Seattle now.

an_cry

TheLorenaKid

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Joined: Nov, 2023

Posts: 2151

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 2:00 PM ET #30

Maybe take Seattle TT Over 20.5 as a bit of a hedge, but still a shit at winning both plays?

vanzack

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Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 2:06 PM ET #31

@TheLorenaKid

You got a good number at -3. I would hang on to it.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

TheLorenaKid

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Joined: Nov, 2023

Posts: 2151

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 2:07 PM ET #32

@vanzack

Will do…thanks!

***and *shot not sh*t in my other post quiet

jesron1269

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Joined: Dec, 2008

Posts: 37802

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 2:15 PM ET #33

@vanzack

Hey Van. Good luck on your bet. Who is starting at QB for the Hawks? Geno's nagging groin issues don't even know if he will be effective if he plays. Love your thoughts on this.

Rocky813

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Joined: Oct, 2018

Posts: 1027

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 3:13 PM ET #34

an_cheers

JimmyGape

Banned

Joined: Sep, 2018

Posts: 4860

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 3:13 PM ET #35

Love it BOL man an_cheers

Macwestie1

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Joined: Jul, 2004

Posts: 172154

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 3:22 PM ET #36

Classic @buffer

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!

User854910

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Joined: Sep, 2018

Posts: 4581

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 3:51 PM ET #37

Post Deleted

Don't let the book set the number

brn2loslive2win

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Joined: Nov, 2016

Posts: 3011

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 4:31 PM ET #38

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by buffer: @vanzack I just don’t understand the soccer lines you post. BTW animals are way too much sex! Hard to find good homes for all of them. Its easy buffer. Half of your bet goes on 3, half on 3.5. So tonight - for instance - you would bet half at +3 +105, and half at +3.5 -120. It averages to about -107.

this is a great strategy that I have started using this season. It has absolutely made a difference. I am winning more on my winners and losing less on my losers, great advice. peace_5

Yanasaur

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Joined: Nov, 2011

Posts: 3340

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 4:49 PM ET #39

@undermysac

The officiating in eagles favor watching my Bills play them was infuriating

vanzack

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Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 6:16 PM ET #40

Bring it, Hurts.

Not skerred.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

vanzack

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Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 6:22 PM ET #41

I have been doing this a long time. You rarely see line movement like you've seen in the last hour.

3 and 1/2 up to 5 and 1/2, and now back down to four all in about 45 minutes. Crazy

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

Kazual12

Captain

Joined: Jun, 2007

Posts: 7698

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 6:22 PM ET #42

Seattle +4.5 on fanduel now. Philly money pouring in.

G8RB8

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Joined: Oct, 2005

Posts: 30086

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 6:47 PM ET #43

Curious to know when you decide to add another unit. If i see +4.5 i am adding more to my 3.5

Imissed the earlier moves because i was too busy paying attention to OK Man thread goodthread

Bagel Sandwiches Suck

ndsent1

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Joined: Oct, 2009

Posts: 20989

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 6:56 PM ET #44

@vanzack

clover Let's get it Van.... clover

MRxKrazz

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 11486

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 6:58 PM ET #45

@Kazual12

Some KEY inactive names for SEA on the D side pushed the line up, but I am sure the 4.5 line was pounded, I have 3.5 back at my site after a furry of moves, the SEA ml went as high as +211 and +4.5 at +100

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 7:06 PM ET #46

Quote Originally Posted by G8RB8:

Curious to know when you decide to add another unit. If i see +4.5 i am adding more to my 3.5 Imissed the earlier moves because i was too busy paying attention to OK Man thread

People ask me why I post at covers. That okay man thread is the answer. Hilarious. Where else can I get that kind of entertainment on a Monday afternoon?

I'm not sure I've ever seen a line move like this line. So just on principal, I have added to my original stake. I took five and a half for another unit, but I'm not advocating that because I do not have this graded as a four unit game. At 3 and 1/2, I have it as 3 units, and at four and a half and higher 3 and 1/2 units.

But your premise is 100% correct, the price and the line dictate the unit sizes. Very often I post a two-unit game at a current line that I actually have three units on at an earlier better line.

It is a big mistake to handicap a team independent of a line and a price. The line and the price dictate the stake.

Good luck tonight

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

G8RB8

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Joined: Oct, 2005

Posts: 30086

Posted: Dec. 18, 2023 - 7:16 PM ET #47

peace_5 an_cheers

Yeah man, that thread was something special an_roll_laugh I'm glad to be back around again just because of things like that - though it might have cost me money missing the line move angry