Way too much talk about what (side) number people are able to get NE or the Giants. Trust me folks, it will not matter - there will be no 'middle' in the most-bet game of the season!! Either the Giants will win outright or the Pats are going to blowout the Giants. It's that simple. Teasers are going to get killed in the Super Bowl - that's why they call them teasers. Me? The only play I like so far is the UNDER for the game. (LY, I played the under all 4 quarters, under for the game & under 3' on sacks. Went 5-1.) All I'm saying is don't get too excited if you have NE -11 or the Giants +14 or +14' - those numbers will not matter. When all is said and done, Vegas will NOT lose money on the Super Bowl. That, I guarantee all of you.
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Way too much talk about what (side) number people are able to get NE or the Giants. Trust me folks, it will not matter - there will be no 'middle' in the most-bet game of the season!! Either the Giants will win outright or the Pats are going to blowout the Giants. It's that simple. Teasers are going to get killed in the Super Bowl - that's why they call them teasers. Me? The only play I like so far is the UNDER for the game. (LY, I played the under all 4 quarters, under for the game & under 3' on sacks. Went 5-1.) All I'm saying is don't get too excited if you have NE -11 or the Giants +14 or +14' - those numbers will not matter. When all is said and done, Vegas will NOT lose money on the Super Bowl. That, I guarantee all of you.
Not sure what you are trying to say.. this game could very easily come down to a FG its not going to be a blowout or a NYG win one way or the other, and Vegas wont lose money one way or the other because theres a 55/45 split on bets anyway.
Not sure what you are trying to say.. this game could very easily come down to a FG its not going to be a blowout or a NYG win one way or the other, and Vegas wont lose money one way or the other because theres a 55/45 split on bets anyway.
I'm saying the pointspread difference of -11 or -14' will not matter. If you like the Giants, play the ML. If you like NE, don't be afraid to give 21 points & get a higher payout. The game will go one way or the other in my opinion, but -11 or -14' will not matter.
I'm saying the pointspread difference of -11 or -14' will not matter. If you like the Giants, play the ML. If you like NE, don't be afraid to give 21 points & get a higher payout. The game will go one way or the other in my opinion, but -11 or -14' will not matter.
I'm saying the pointspread difference of -11 or -14' will not matter. If you like the Giants, play the ML. If you like NE, don't be afraid to give 21 points & get a higher payout. The game will go one way or the other in my opinion, but -11 or -14' will not matter.
Alright I'll bite.
Care to explain why the points wont matter?
At first glance, your original post and follow up are probably the single dumbest posts I have read here in over a week, and that is saying a lot.
Your first post is so comprehensively full of horseshit, I tried to write something back but was speechless - so I posted the emoticon.
"Trust me folks..." - you cant make this shit up - only at covers.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
Quote Originally Posted by BEF:
I'm saying the pointspread difference of -11 or -14' will not matter. If you like the Giants, play the ML. If you like NE, don't be afraid to give 21 points & get a higher payout. The game will go one way or the other in my opinion, but -11 or -14' will not matter.
Alright I'll bite.
Care to explain why the points wont matter?
At first glance, your original post and follow up are probably the single dumbest posts I have read here in over a week, and that is saying a lot.
Your first post is so comprehensively full of horseshit, I tried to write something back but was speechless - so I posted the emoticon.
"Trust me folks..." - you cant make this shit up - only at covers.
No arguing, Vanzack. I look in the mirror and laugh everyday. Personally, I'm not too interested in the side myself. I just think either the Giants win SU or the Pats destroy the NYG - my lean would be for the Giants to win SU. I love playing unders in this situation. I'll probably do much the same as last year and play the under each quarter, at minimum. If you're looking to offend me, good luck. I went 3-0 last weekend.
No arguing, Vanzack. I look in the mirror and laugh everyday. Personally, I'm not too interested in the side myself. I just think either the Giants win SU or the Pats destroy the NYG - my lean would be for the Giants to win SU. I love playing unders in this situation. I'll probably do much the same as last year and play the under each quarter, at minimum. If you're looking to offend me, good luck. I went 3-0 last weekend.
No arguing, Vanzack. I look in the mirror and laugh everyday. Personally, I'm not too interested in the side myself. I just think either the Giants win SU or the Pats destroy the NYG - my lean would be for the Giants to win SU. I love playing unders in this situation. I'll probably do much the same as last year and play the under each quarter, at minimum. If you're looking to offend me, good luck. I went 3-0 last weekend.
Im not looking to offend you, Im not questioning your record, and Im not questioning a pick on one side or the other.
What I am questioning is the absurd statement that somehow you know (trust me, I guarantee) that the spread wont matter. A 12 point spread wont matter because you say it wont?
And you dont say that it wont matter because one specific team will cover it easily, you just state that one it wont matter because YOU SAY it wont matter.
Do you realize how ridiculous that sounds?
Anyway, if you like your bet so much, you can bet your bet at about -240. So that means that you are a favorite to win it, but if it were played 100 times you would only win about 70 and lose 30. But you say there is no chance.....
It just makes you look foolish to state it the way you did with no reasoning and no thought process to the true probabilities. Go ahead and lay your -240 that the spread wont matter...
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
Quote Originally Posted by BEF:
No arguing, Vanzack. I look in the mirror and laugh everyday. Personally, I'm not too interested in the side myself. I just think either the Giants win SU or the Pats destroy the NYG - my lean would be for the Giants to win SU. I love playing unders in this situation. I'll probably do much the same as last year and play the under each quarter, at minimum. If you're looking to offend me, good luck. I went 3-0 last weekend.
Im not looking to offend you, Im not questioning your record, and Im not questioning a pick on one side or the other.
What I am questioning is the absurd statement that somehow you know (trust me, I guarantee) that the spread wont matter. A 12 point spread wont matter because you say it wont?
And you dont say that it wont matter because one specific team will cover it easily, you just state that one it wont matter because YOU SAY it wont matter.
Do you realize how ridiculous that sounds?
Anyway, if you like your bet so much, you can bet your bet at about -240. So that means that you are a favorite to win it, but if it were played 100 times you would only win about 70 and lose 30. But you say there is no chance.....
It just makes you look foolish to state it the way you did with no reasoning and no thought process to the true probabilities. Go ahead and lay your -240 that the spread wont matter...
Like I said, "personally I'm not too interested in the side myself. I love playing unders in this situation. I'll probably do the same as last year and play the under each quarter, at minimum." Apparently, you can read but not comphrehend. I'm entitled to my opoinion. Take a deep breath and let it go. I don't give a shit how you play the SB - it's your money. And, yes, Vegas will make money on the Super Bowl - that I do guarantee all of you. If you think Vegas will NOT make money on the SB, I think you are a complete idiot.
Like I said, "personally I'm not too interested in the side myself. I love playing unders in this situation. I'll probably do the same as last year and play the under each quarter, at minimum." Apparently, you can read but not comphrehend. I'm entitled to my opoinion. Take a deep breath and let it go. I don't give a shit how you play the SB - it's your money. And, yes, Vegas will make money on the Super Bowl - that I do guarantee all of you. If you think Vegas will NOT make money on the SB, I think you are a complete idiot.
Just like the spread didn't matter in the last two Patriots playoff wins....or in the last two Patriots Super Bowl wins. Watch the Patriots win by 3 for the 4th time in 4 tries and everyone will wonder how it could have been so close.
Just like the spread didn't matter in the last two Patriots playoff wins....or in the last two Patriots Super Bowl wins. Watch the Patriots win by 3 for the 4th time in 4 tries and everyone will wonder how it could have been so close.
And if the spread doesn't matter then go ahead and put half of your life savings on Giants ML and the other half on Pats -21.5+280. You'll make a fortune, right?
And if the spread doesn't matter then go ahead and put half of your life savings on Giants ML and the other half on Pats -21.5+280. You'll make a fortune, right?
Yah, spread means nothing. Just tell that to all the Pats backers who played them last 8 weeks going 1-7 ATS and none of those dogs won outright so your theory is seriously flawed in a big way
Yah, spread means nothing. Just tell that to all the Pats backers who played them last 8 weeks going 1-7 ATS and none of those dogs won outright so your theory is seriously flawed in a big way
There are only 6 times (I may be off by one either way) where the point spread has mattered in the SB. 4 of those have occured in the last ten or so years. Parity and salary cap probably have something to do with it BUT... I believe the reason you have so many blowouts in the SB is because one team gets behind and starts pressing and the other team pours it on even harder. In the SB you will see the winning team continue to pour it on well into the 4th quarter many times. SB is a different animal. Blowouts do occur quite often whether the dog blows out the fav or vice versa. The Pats have not fared well against the number in their 3 recent SB wins. I had them +14 against the Rams but as favs they have not covered. I actually like them in this game for reasons too many to write here. I smell Pats blowout in this game. Maybe I'll start a thread and list the specific reasons I love them in this spot next week. I'm also curious to see who Vanzack likes in this game. I usually don't post here during the year but hang out a bit during the two weeks leading up the SB. I got thrown in "rehab" last year when I said something to a whining Bears fan. Loved Indy in that game. Vanzack when are you going to release your pick? I respect your handicapping and am curious. I sense you might like the G-men for certain reasons. Good luck to everyone.
There are only 6 times (I may be off by one either way) where the point spread has mattered in the SB. 4 of those have occured in the last ten or so years. Parity and salary cap probably have something to do with it BUT... I believe the reason you have so many blowouts in the SB is because one team gets behind and starts pressing and the other team pours it on even harder. In the SB you will see the winning team continue to pour it on well into the 4th quarter many times. SB is a different animal. Blowouts do occur quite often whether the dog blows out the fav or vice versa. The Pats have not fared well against the number in their 3 recent SB wins. I had them +14 against the Rams but as favs they have not covered. I actually like them in this game for reasons too many to write here. I smell Pats blowout in this game. Maybe I'll start a thread and list the specific reasons I love them in this spot next week. I'm also curious to see who Vanzack likes in this game. I usually don't post here during the year but hang out a bit during the two weeks leading up the SB. I got thrown in "rehab" last year when I said something to a whining Bears fan. Loved Indy in that game. Vanzack when are you going to release your pick? I respect your handicapping and am curious. I sense you might like the G-men for certain reasons. Good luck to everyone.
A quick recap: Yes, of course, pointspreads (overall) matter. All I am talking about here is one game - this year's Super Bowl. I believe either the Giants will win SU or the Pats are going to blowout the Giants. Guys, it's just my opinion. Bet however you want, it's your money.
MrBator - had GB +14 & STL -6'.
depeche2 - I would never put my "life savings" on the SB. It's just another game among the hundreds/thousands we all played in our day.
Personally, I love the under in this year's SB. Like last year, I will probably play the under in each quarter, at minimum. (LY, I also played the under for the game & under 3' sacks. Went 4-1.) Everyone knows the Pats set a NFL record for points scored in a season this year. Rightfully so, I think most bettors on this year's SB are thinking that a ton of points will be scored. It could happen, but I do not think it will.
A quick recap: Yes, of course, pointspreads (overall) matter. All I am talking about here is one game - this year's Super Bowl. I believe either the Giants will win SU or the Pats are going to blowout the Giants. Guys, it's just my opinion. Bet however you want, it's your money.
MrBator - had GB +14 & STL -6'.
depeche2 - I would never put my "life savings" on the SB. It's just another game among the hundreds/thousands we all played in our day.
Personally, I love the under in this year's SB. Like last year, I will probably play the under in each quarter, at minimum. (LY, I also played the under for the game & under 3' sacks. Went 4-1.) Everyone knows the Pats set a NFL record for points scored in a season this year. Rightfully so, I think most bettors on this year's SB are thinking that a ton of points will be scored. It could happen, but I do not think it will.
If you are really sure about your prediction that the spread won't matter...why don't you just make money off it? You can bet both NE -12 and NYG ML. For example, NE -12 (about even online) for $270 to win $270 if NE covers and NYG ML +440 (at matchbook), $100 to win $440 if NYG wins. Doesn't matter who wins...you win $170 for sure.
If you are really sure about your prediction that the spread won't matter...why don't you just make money off it? You can bet both NE -12 and NYG ML. For example, NE -12 (about even online) for $270 to win $270 if NE covers and NYG ML +440 (at matchbook), $100 to win $440 if NYG wins. Doesn't matter who wins...you win $170 for sure.
Im not looking to offend you, Im not questioning your record, and Im not questioning a pick on one side or the other.
What I am questioning is the absurd statement that somehow you know (trust me, I guarantee) that the spread wont matter. A 12 point spread wont matter because you say it wont?
And you dont say that it wont matter because one specific team will cover it easily, you just state that one it wont matter because YOU SAY it wont matter.
Do you realize how ridiculous that sounds?
Anyway, if you like your bet so much, you can bet your bet at about -240. So that means that you are a favorite to win it, but if it were played 100 times you would only win about 70 and lose 30. But you say there is no chance.....
It just makes you look foolish to state it the way you did with no reasoning and no thought process to the true probabilities. Go ahead and lay your -240 that the spread wont matter...
There's been only 5 SB underdog who has lost but covered the spread so if u're betting NYG, might as well take the ML is what he meant.
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
Im not looking to offend you, Im not questioning your record, and Im not questioning a pick on one side or the other.
What I am questioning is the absurd statement that somehow you know (trust me, I guarantee) that the spread wont matter. A 12 point spread wont matter because you say it wont?
And you dont say that it wont matter because one specific team will cover it easily, you just state that one it wont matter because YOU SAY it wont matter.
Do you realize how ridiculous that sounds?
Anyway, if you like your bet so much, you can bet your bet at about -240. So that means that you are a favorite to win it, but if it were played 100 times you would only win about 70 and lose 30. But you say there is no chance.....
It just makes you look foolish to state it the way you did with no reasoning and no thought process to the true probabilities. Go ahead and lay your -240 that the spread wont matter...
There's been only 5 SB underdog who has lost but covered the spread so if u're betting NYG, might as well take the ML is what he meant.
To be clear, my #1 selection of the tomorrow's SB: Under 54. (May play under 27' - first half, as well.) Thought hard about going under each quarter, like last year, but I have a feeling that has 2-2 written all over it. (The under each quarter in LY's SB went 3-1 last year.)
(Opinions: No, I don't think the pointspread will matter; like LY, I like the under (4) in total sacks; I also like the over (47.5 yards) for the longest TD. Hey, these are just my opinions. I hope all of you make some $$$ tomorrow. As always, good luck with your selections.)
Personally, I don't want to make too many plays. As you all know, that usually leads to disaster. Will try to limit myself to 3 or 4 plays. Of course, that's easier to say today than it will be on Super Bowl Sunday. Good luck to all of you.
To be clear, my #1 selection of the tomorrow's SB: Under 54. (May play under 27' - first half, as well.) Thought hard about going under each quarter, like last year, but I have a feeling that has 2-2 written all over it. (The under each quarter in LY's SB went 3-1 last year.)
(Opinions: No, I don't think the pointspread will matter; like LY, I like the under (4) in total sacks; I also like the over (47.5 yards) for the longest TD. Hey, these are just my opinions. I hope all of you make some $$$ tomorrow. As always, good luck with your selections.)
Personally, I don't want to make too many plays. As you all know, that usually leads to disaster. Will try to limit myself to 3 or 4 plays. Of course, that's easier to say today than it will be on Super Bowl Sunday. Good luck to all of you.
Black Sunday happened 29 years ago when sports gambling was a about 10% of what it is like today. Blah, blah, blah....the books lost some money that SB. Seems to me all of those books have somehow survived. Think the books are going to get middled again and I think you're a complete idiot. All the books will be talking about after the Super Bowl is how large their profits were. Quit kidding yourself.
Black Sunday happened 29 years ago when sports gambling was a about 10% of what it is like today. Blah, blah, blah....the books lost some money that SB. Seems to me all of those books have somehow survived. Think the books are going to get middled again and I think you're a complete idiot. All the books will be talking about after the Super Bowl is how large their profits were. Quit kidding yourself.
So how did that pointspread work out for all of you? IT DID NOT MATTER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Like I said, the books would reap huge profits. Me? Went 4-1. I'll take 80% anytime. See ya' later.
So how did that pointspread work out for all of you? IT DID NOT MATTER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Like I said, the books would reap huge profits. Me? Went 4-1. I'll take 80% anytime. See ya' later.
"Trust me folks..." - you cant make this shit up - only at covers.
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