Line-Lord TNF POY!!! PATRIOTS vs JETS

@sherriffics

 Very glad to fade a scrub like you Shefrriffics. You’re the worst dude. 

@Thatguy1

 Hope so . Maybe you can be right tonight NOOB 

Love line Lord but going jets here...the best usually lose their top plays honestly....strange matrix 

Tysm for your picks. 

@sherriffics

 GL with your play, you will need it, this team is bad. Real Bad 

What? When did I say all this.

The chance he picks a loser is way more likely then him continuing to pick a winner and increase his win rate!

Which means his 82% winrate will most likely move down towards the mean.

IE regression towards the mean.

@LineLord

 I feel better about this pick now, great write up.

BOL

@LineLord

Like your threads LL.  Just keep on keepin on sir!  Value is what you bring, IMO.  Hammer 'em brother! 

@Ppkay

#facts

@Ppkay.. Lol..You need to hit the classroom..His odds of hitting his next bet is 50%. no matter his previous record..Will he continue at 80%..Not probable but still 50% he picks a winner next. You do not grasp regression to mean definition..

Good luck tonight. Thank you for your thoughts and picks. 

Odd game. 

Jets scored way more than i would have capped at any point and they had just enough Defense to keep this respectable. Then again that missed FG and only coming away with 3 after getting a turnover in the Redzone was everything. 

We were on the right side, I'll take the push and wait for the next mismatch. See you guys Sunday if i see anything that looks unbeatable. 

@LineLord

@LineLord

 Also could have had Patriots -12.5 if you were on them, winner... its amazing those who snatched Patriots -12.5 and those who took Jets +13.5 all won

@NinjaNight

The Line is everything. I bought the half down to -13. I did not even feel I needed it but that's why I said the game was "ODD" It seemed like the Patriots could have blown them out of the water if they wanted to. The Missed FG, The Red Zone stalls and still won by 13? Just a weird game that seemed like Patriots should/could have easily won like 34-10 not 27-14

You’re a legend Line Lord, love your POY picks

Pats-12.5 hit good job line 

@LineLord

 TNF is always weird this is why I would almost never feel good about laying huge points on TNF

Great info on write up. Got Pats at -12.5 on Fanduel and covered.  Been making money off your picks. 

@LineLord . . . much respect 

If you flip a coin, and it lands on heads 4 out of 5 times, what percentage of the time will it land on heads on the next flip?

Learn the difference between then and than.

@Jimmy_Cats

 dude doesn't understand the difference between 'winning rate' and 'chances to win' lmao! 

@LineLord

 Pats should of won EASILY 30-14 , no kidding. They just didnt play 'hard' enough. Probably they were told not to