Lamar / Houston Christian - UNDER 133.5 (-110) 1.1 Units
Only 8 teams make the Southland Tournament and these two are currently in a 3 way tie for 8th, with final game of season tonight. The winner gets in (with a likely Incarnate Word loss).
Lamar Adj Tempo is 65.2 (291/365) and below 65 in Conference games. HC is 64 (340/365). Their first matchup went for 120. That was HC’s only matchup against a team below 65.5 this season. Lamar has had only one other game against a team below 65 (Louisiana - also went for 120). With tournament ramifications, I expect even more of a slog than the surface numbers.
Note- this line opened at 131.5, which I believe is the books shading the under (KenPom has at 134). Quickly bet up to 133.5 (and may go higher), but believe this one will struggle to break 130, and would ignore any late upward movement as a red flag.
Embrace the Grind
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
57-35
+16.3 units
Lamar / Houston Christian - UNDER 133.5 (-110) 1.1 Units
Only 8 teams make the Southland Tournament and these two are currently in a 3 way tie for 8th, with final game of season tonight. The winner gets in (with a likely Incarnate Word loss).
Lamar Adj Tempo is 65.2 (291/365) and below 65 in Conference games. HC is 64 (340/365). Their first matchup went for 120. That was HC’s only matchup against a team below 65.5 this season. Lamar has had only one other game against a team below 65 (Louisiana - also went for 120). With tournament ramifications, I expect even more of a slog than the surface numbers.
Note- this line opened at 131.5, which I believe is the books shading the under (KenPom has at 134). Quickly bet up to 133.5 (and may go higher), but believe this one will struggle to break 130, and would ignore any late upward movement as a red flag.