Is the perception of Kansas City being dominant still in our minds from past years because of the Super Bowl wins..? This whole year they have been a shell of themselves offensively.. Mahomes has missed throws but when he has hit his receivers they have dropped passes (most in the NFL)
Defensively they’re good on paper.. 10 of there games have been decided by one score.. so yes the defense has been good enough to keep them in the games.. Kansas City defense is good but overrated in my opinion..
Detroit 21-20
@Jacksonville 9-17
@Jets 20-23
@Minnesota 20-27
Miami 14-21
Philadelphia 21-17 KC
@Greenbay 19-27
Buffalo 20-17
Las Vegas 14-20
Cincinnati 17-25
Mahomes is playing his first road playoff game of his career.. not ideal for a team that is having Redzone issues..
Redzone - over the last 4 weeks they are 5-14 35.7% that’s concerning
This is not the same KC team of old.. they were 80+% in the redzone..
the whole better Coach better QB argument is out the door for me during playoffs.. Look at what happened to the Rams.. Initially I liked KC as underdogs but I’m beginning to think Bills @home have a good chance of beating KC by 3 or more..
Leaning Under 45.5
Would like to hear different point of views and opinions..before I possibly make a play
Is the perception of Kansas City being dominant still in our minds from past years because of the Super Bowl wins..? This whole year they have been a shell of themselves offensively.. Mahomes has missed throws but when he has hit his receivers they have dropped passes (most in the NFL)
Defensively they’re good on paper.. 10 of there games have been decided by one score.. so yes the defense has been good enough to keep them in the games.. Kansas City defense is good but overrated in my opinion..
Detroit 21-20
@Jacksonville 9-17
@Jets 20-23
@Minnesota 20-27
Miami 14-21
Philadelphia 21-17 KC
@Greenbay 19-27
Buffalo 20-17
Las Vegas 14-20
Cincinnati 17-25
Mahomes is playing his first road playoff game of his career.. not ideal for a team that is having Redzone issues..
Redzone - over the last 4 weeks they are 5-14 35.7% that’s concerning
This is not the same KC team of old.. they were 80+% in the redzone..
the whole better Coach better QB argument is out the door for me during playoffs.. Look at what happened to the Rams.. Initially I liked KC as underdogs but I’m beginning to think Bills @home have a good chance of beating KC by 3 or more..
Leaning Under 45.5
Would like to hear different point of views and opinions..before I possibly make a play
I think both teams are not the same as years past. Kansas City definitely has problems on offense but I don't think the Bills have really meshed either. The Bills may be on a consecutive win streak but they barely got by a banged up Dolphins, Patriots, Easton Stick, beat the Cowboys in what seemed a favorable spot, and got lucky against the Chiefs with the late penalty against Kadaruis Toney. That Steelers game also felt a lot closer than it seemed. I don't trust McDermont as an in game coach compared to Reid. The last game vs the Steelers the play calling and clock management at the end of the game was awful in my opinion. Passing the ball instead of running and killing the clock. MaHomes is 8-1-1 as an underdog which is scary. Bills can be a dangerous offense IF they are clicking, and I think the addition of James Cook has been great and takes a little pressure of Allen (even though he's thrown 18 interceptions). I could probably go on and on but I'm just trying to determine if I see value in the spread at -2.5. The last 3 times these teams have met have been close games decided by one score. I'm most likely playing the Chiefs in a teaser but just a few initial thoughts...
I think both teams are not the same as years past. Kansas City definitely has problems on offense but I don't think the Bills have really meshed either. The Bills may be on a consecutive win streak but they barely got by a banged up Dolphins, Patriots, Easton Stick, beat the Cowboys in what seemed a favorable spot, and got lucky against the Chiefs with the late penalty against Kadaruis Toney. That Steelers game also felt a lot closer than it seemed. I don't trust McDermont as an in game coach compared to Reid. The last game vs the Steelers the play calling and clock management at the end of the game was awful in my opinion. Passing the ball instead of running and killing the clock. MaHomes is 8-1-1 as an underdog which is scary. Bills can be a dangerous offense IF they are clicking, and I think the addition of James Cook has been great and takes a little pressure of Allen (even though he's thrown 18 interceptions). I could probably go on and on but I'm just trying to determine if I see value in the spread at -2.5. The last 3 times these teams have met have been close games decided by one score. I'm most likely playing the Chiefs in a teaser but just a few initial thoughts...
As bad as the KC offense has looked at times this season, the Defense has really stepped up and kept them in a lot of games. I think KC DC Spagnola is very good and plans better than most. Slowing down Josh Allen will not be easy but spagnola has the horses and is more than capable.
As bad as the KC offense has looked at times this season, the Defense has really stepped up and kept them in a lot of games. I think KC DC Spagnola is very good and plans better than most. Slowing down Josh Allen will not be easy but spagnola has the horses and is more than capable.
Gotta go Buffalo here. KC is a shell of its former self. The D has been able to keep them in games. They were lucky to get to play the dolphins in the opening round. They can’t beat anybody with a winning record. Buffalo D is worriesome with all there injuries. But at 2.5 I just need Allen to get my 3 more then Mahones. I’ll take that
Gotta go Buffalo here. KC is a shell of its former self. The D has been able to keep them in games. They were lucky to get to play the dolphins in the opening round. They can’t beat anybody with a winning record. Buffalo D is worriesome with all there injuries. But at 2.5 I just need Allen to get my 3 more then Mahones. I’ll take that
I agree with WilliamMunny. I also believe that Buffalo will win the turnover battle (TO Ratio: Buff+4 / KC -11) and that will decide the game and il bet KC will make more mistakes in that stat than Buffalo . Tough game for sure. 3 more than Mahomes.
I agree with WilliamMunny. I also believe that Buffalo will win the turnover battle (TO Ratio: Buff+4 / KC -11) and that will decide the game and il bet KC will make more mistakes in that stat than Buffalo . Tough game for sure. 3 more than Mahomes.
Gotta go Buffalo here. KC is a shell of its former self. The D has been able to keep them in games. They were lucky to get to play the dolphins in the opening round. They can’t beat anybody with a winning record. Buffalo D is worriesome with all there injuries. But at 2.5 I just need Allen to get my 3 more then Mahones. I’ll take that
Lol who was luckier than the Bills playing the Steelers?! I just grabbed Chiefs +3.5. This is one game, not the season. Toney is not playing. He was good for at least three pick sixes during the season. Pacheco was injured and did not play in the first game against Buffalo. He ignites the team and is a difference maker as without him they do not have that explosiveness. Kelce played better and Josh Allen threw INT’s in 15/19 games he has played. He did not throw one against Pitts. He will throw one against the Chiefs.
Gotta go Buffalo here. KC is a shell of its former self. The D has been able to keep them in games. They were lucky to get to play the dolphins in the opening round. They can’t beat anybody with a winning record. Buffalo D is worriesome with all there injuries. But at 2.5 I just need Allen to get my 3 more then Mahones. I’ll take that
Lol who was luckier than the Bills playing the Steelers?! I just grabbed Chiefs +3.5. This is one game, not the season. Toney is not playing. He was good for at least three pick sixes during the season. Pacheco was injured and did not play in the first game against Buffalo. He ignites the team and is a difference maker as without him they do not have that explosiveness. Kelce played better and Josh Allen threw INT’s in 15/19 games he has played. He did not throw one against Pitts. He will throw one against the Chiefs.
Question marks on both sides here no doubt. KC sputtering on offense this season, but at the same time boasting one of the top passing defensive dvoa in the nfl, Buffalo with obvious issues(albeit looking much better as of late) also seem to have a somewhat improved defense at 9th vs the pass dvoa.
I can only assume(could be wrong) that both teams are looking to orient their game plans around the rushing game, especially early. I'm sure this wont be the popular opinion but I see this game as probably the lowest scoring game(balt/ hou could be lower) in this round, and could see it not making it past the upper 30s
KC particularly, I believe the last 12 games they haven't allowed over 19 points once, And looks like an average of around 15 points(handful of high caliber opposing offesnes too)
Throw in the element of it being a playoff game that eliminates one team (defenses tighten up) the cold, and the items above
KC and under is the only way i see this unfolding but more so the under
Question marks on both sides here no doubt. KC sputtering on offense this season, but at the same time boasting one of the top passing defensive dvoa in the nfl, Buffalo with obvious issues(albeit looking much better as of late) also seem to have a somewhat improved defense at 9th vs the pass dvoa.
I can only assume(could be wrong) that both teams are looking to orient their game plans around the rushing game, especially early. I'm sure this wont be the popular opinion but I see this game as probably the lowest scoring game(balt/ hou could be lower) in this round, and could see it not making it past the upper 30s
KC particularly, I believe the last 12 games they haven't allowed over 19 points once, And looks like an average of around 15 points(handful of high caliber opposing offesnes too)
Throw in the element of it being a playoff game that eliminates one team (defenses tighten up) the cold, and the items above
KC and under is the only way i see this unfolding but more so the under
The "Mahomes 1st road playoff game ever" thing we all knew was going to be the most talked about talking head point prior to this matchup coming to fruition. I think it is overrated personally. KC was 6-2 on the road this year, only 5-4 at home. Without looking it up, I'd guess that KC's ATS road record is much better than their home record since Andy & Mahomes teamed up.
Mahomes HOME/ROAD splits are essentially the SAME winning percentage:
Road record all time: 38-11 (77.6%) Home record: 47-13 (78.3%)
I said this last week but it goes again for this week, the KC offense doesn't have trouble moving the ball. They are a far cry from past teams in scoring ppg but their offense is still highly efficient, 8th overall in NFL. The problem is they are average at best in the Red Zone, as seen last week vs. Miami when they kicked FOUR FGs inside the RZ and the game went UNDER.
The matchup earlier this season KC had the same problems. KC lost that game only scoring 17 points. They held Allen in check in the passing game but gave up a lot of yards on the ground, Bills ran it 28 times or so with Allen having double digits carries. I would expect KC's dominant pass defense to approach this the same way with similar results. IF the Bills can have the same success running then they will have a good chance of winning this game.
Allen did not have any turnovers yesterday. He has failed to complete two consecutive games on the year without turning the ball over. Question of "when" he will turn it over and "what" KC will do with that TO is a big one.
I also thought it was interesting they opened this line -2.5 instead of -3.
KC's defense is playing at their ceiling right now, the Bills defense is beat up and not close to their best. Offensively, both teams should have success moving the ball but RZ scoring will be the difference here. TDs will beat the Bills, not FGs. Already mentioned the TO factor with Allen. This is the Bills chance to "get the monkey off their back" but all the pressure is on them at home while Mahomes is playing with house money for essentially the first time in the post-season. Should be a great game
The "Mahomes 1st road playoff game ever" thing we all knew was going to be the most talked about talking head point prior to this matchup coming to fruition. I think it is overrated personally. KC was 6-2 on the road this year, only 5-4 at home. Without looking it up, I'd guess that KC's ATS road record is much better than their home record since Andy & Mahomes teamed up.
Mahomes HOME/ROAD splits are essentially the SAME winning percentage:
Road record all time: 38-11 (77.6%) Home record: 47-13 (78.3%)
I said this last week but it goes again for this week, the KC offense doesn't have trouble moving the ball. They are a far cry from past teams in scoring ppg but their offense is still highly efficient, 8th overall in NFL. The problem is they are average at best in the Red Zone, as seen last week vs. Miami when they kicked FOUR FGs inside the RZ and the game went UNDER.
The matchup earlier this season KC had the same problems. KC lost that game only scoring 17 points. They held Allen in check in the passing game but gave up a lot of yards on the ground, Bills ran it 28 times or so with Allen having double digits carries. I would expect KC's dominant pass defense to approach this the same way with similar results. IF the Bills can have the same success running then they will have a good chance of winning this game.
Allen did not have any turnovers yesterday. He has failed to complete two consecutive games on the year without turning the ball over. Question of "when" he will turn it over and "what" KC will do with that TO is a big one.
I also thought it was interesting they opened this line -2.5 instead of -3.
KC's defense is playing at their ceiling right now, the Bills defense is beat up and not close to their best. Offensively, both teams should have success moving the ball but RZ scoring will be the difference here. TDs will beat the Bills, not FGs. Already mentioned the TO factor with Allen. This is the Bills chance to "get the monkey off their back" but all the pressure is on them at home while Mahomes is playing with house money for essentially the first time in the post-season. Should be a great game
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