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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    KANDAS CITY CHIEFS vs BUFFALO BILLS

    WilliamMunny
    ActionMagnet
    dynamicz
    Rush51
    NR114
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    WilliamMunny
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 10:07 PM ET #1

    I have bet against KC so many times and gotten burned. I typically stay away from them now. I had big money on Baltimore last year in the AFC Championship. We all know how that went. But I’m here to tell you they will lose Sunday at Buffalo. They can’t go undefeated all year. They should have lost Sunday against Denver. They just always find a way to win but They are beatable.

    On offense they are 10th in yards and 11th in scoring.  Much better on defense where they are 4th in both yards and points given up. Buffalo O is 3rd in the league in pts scored. Buffalo D gives up a lot of years per game but sits 9th in pts given. I  just see Buffalo winning at home on Sunday 

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    I have bet against KC so many times and gotten burned. I typically stay away from them now. I had big money on Baltimore last year in the AFC Championship. We all know how that went. But I’m here to tell you they will lose Sunday at Buffalo. They can’t go undefeated all year. They should have lost Sunday against Denver. They just always find a way to win but They are beatable.

    On offense they are 10th in yards and 11th in scoring.  Much better on defense where they are 4th in both yards and points given up. Buffalo O is 3rd in the league in pts scored. Buffalo D gives up a lot of years per game but sits 9th in pts given. I  just see Buffalo winning at home on Sunday 

    Thoughts

     
    ActionMagnet
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 10:10 PM ET #2

    My biggest play of the year. Bills blowout 

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    My biggest play of the year. Bills blowout 

     
    dynamicz
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 10:25 PM ET #3

    KC makes for a great teaser leg imo. If they lose, unlikely to be by more than 7

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    KC makes for a great teaser leg imo. If they lose, unlikely to be by more than 7

     
    Rush51
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 10:32 PM ET #4

    I had a future bet LY on the  Chiefs,  and have a future bet this year on Chiefs at +600.  That being said, I can't remember the last time I've played against them, but this is it.  This is a terrible spot for KC.  Barely winning their last 2 home games, when they could've easily lost each, and now they go on the road to play an inspired Bills team that hates KC.  

     

    I put a bit more emphasis on the intangibles than most cappers, I believe,  and it's something I'm sure that bookmakers don't capture;  here in this case, I'm banking on some complacency to set in on the Chiefs this week due to their nail biter wins,  keeping their undefeated record intact.  I think this is the game where their good fortune finally catches up. 

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    I had a future bet LY on the  Chiefs,  and have a future bet this year on Chiefs at +600.  That being said, I can't remember the last time I've played against them, but this is it.  This is a terrible spot for KC.  Barely winning their last 2 home games, when they could've easily lost each, and now they go on the road to play an inspired Bills team that hates KC.  

     

    I put a bit more emphasis on the intangibles than most cappers, I believe,  and it's something I'm sure that bookmakers don't capture;  here in this case, I'm banking on some complacency to set in on the Chiefs this week due to their nail biter wins,  keeping their undefeated record intact.  I think this is the game where their good fortune finally catches up. 

     
    WilliamMunny
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 10:36 PM ET #5

    @Rush51

     Well said Rush I completely agree 

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    @Rush51

     Well said Rush I completely agree 

     
    Rush51
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 10:45 PM ET #6

    thumbs_up

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    thumbs_up

     
    NR114
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 11:03 PM ET #7

    KC will not lose /17-0 Season

     

    They should have lost 4 times this year but they are the darlings of the NFL.  They cheat and get help from the refs.  

    Say what you want but the NFL is a business and the Chiefs new fan base has opened up a world of opportunities for the NFL

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    KC will not lose /17-0 Season

     

    They should have lost 4 times this year but they are the darlings of the NFL.  They cheat and get help from the refs.  

    Say what you want but the NFL is a business and the Chiefs new fan base has opened up a world of opportunities for the NFL

     
    GamzOver
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 11:07 PM ET #8

    Cartoon Voice is going down !!!

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    Cartoon Voice is going down !!!

     
    NR114
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 11:14 PM ET #9

    For the record- I hope you all are right but I don’t see it.  The Chiefs have gotten some real phantom calls week by week.

     

     

    This past week was an illegal contact penalty while Maholmes was being sacked to keep a drive alive. 

     

    Also if you look how the Chiefs line up week to week,  they actually only have 3 -4 guys on the line of scrimmage.  This would be an illegal formation penalty for every team but the Chiefs somehow get away with it.  Number 74 from Chiefs holds or is in backfield on every other play.

     

     

    i can go on and on but this team - Chiefs has ruined football.

     

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    For the record- I hope you all are right but I don’t see it.  The Chiefs have gotten some real phantom calls week by week.

     

     

    This past week was an illegal contact penalty while Maholmes was being sacked to keep a drive alive. 

     

    Also if you look how the Chiefs line up week to week,  they actually only have 3 -4 guys on the line of scrimmage.  This would be an illegal formation penalty for every team but the Chiefs somehow get away with it.  Number 74 from Chiefs holds or is in backfield on every other play.

     

     

    i can go on and on but this team - Chiefs has ruined football.

     

     
    GamzOver
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 11:16 PM ET #10

    Mahomes has become a whiney little bitch. Just like Brady was

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    Mahomes has become a whiney little bitch. Just like Brady was

     
    slamspurs
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2024 - 11:36 PM ET #11

    Haven't had much luck betting Buffalo the past few years. I've bet against them on +7.5s or +8.5s against bad teams, and they make me look silly most of the time with blowouts. Then I bet them to win on short lines like against Baltimore and they completely burn me.

     

    This is the first 3 peat attempt in a long time, and the sooner KC gets this undefeated thing over with, the better for them. I just don't think it comes this week. Neither team really needs this game. Buffalo is up 4.5 games in the division with 7 to go. KC is up 3 games on the Chargers (with the tiebreak), who will probably beat them in KC. 

     

    Buffalo could probably lose out and still win the division. Two good teams, but the implications of the game aren't that big either way. 

    KC can make it a 4 game lead with a win, and a Chargers loss to Cincy, but I think Chargers take that one as well. 

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    Haven't had much luck betting Buffalo the past few years. I've bet against them on +7.5s or +8.5s against bad teams, and they make me look silly most of the time with blowouts. Then I bet them to win on short lines like against Baltimore and they completely burn me.

     

    This is the first 3 peat attempt in a long time, and the sooner KC gets this undefeated thing over with, the better for them. I just don't think it comes this week. Neither team really needs this game. Buffalo is up 4.5 games in the division with 7 to go. KC is up 3 games on the Chargers (with the tiebreak), who will probably beat them in KC. 

     

    Buffalo could probably lose out and still win the division. Two good teams, but the implications of the game aren't that big either way. 

    KC can make it a 4 game lead with a win, and a Chargers loss to Cincy, but I think Chargers take that one as well. 

     
    the1toturn2
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2024 - 6:23 AM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by NR114:

    KC will not lose /17-0 Season   They should have lost 4 times this year but they are the darlings of the NFL.  They cheat and get help from the refs.   Say what you want but the NFL is a business and the Chiefs new fan base has opened up a world of opportunities for the NFL

     

     

    an_laughthejester

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    Quote Originally Posted by NR114:

    KC will not lose /17-0 Season   They should have lost 4 times this year but they are the darlings of the NFL.  They cheat and get help from the refs.   Say what you want but the NFL is a business and the Chiefs new fan base has opened up a world of opportunities for the NFL

     

     

    an_laughthejester

     
    NONEED4LUCK
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2024 - 10:00 AM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:

    My biggest play of the year. Bills blowout

     

    an_roll_laugh

     

    Blowout?! Lmao 

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    Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:

    My biggest play of the year. Bills blowout

     

    an_roll_laugh

     

    Blowout?! Lmao 

     
    bigred84
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2024 - 10:03 AM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by NR114:

    KC will not lose /17-0 Season   They should have lost 4 times this year but they are the darlings of the NFL.  They cheat and get help from the refs.   Say what you want but the NFL is a business and the Chiefs new fan base has opened up a world of opportunities for the NFL

    reallyhappyan_drunksickreallyhappy

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    Quote Originally Posted by NR114:

    KC will not lose /17-0 Season   They should have lost 4 times this year but they are the darlings of the NFL.  They cheat and get help from the refs.   Say what you want but the NFL is a business and the Chiefs new fan base has opened up a world of opportunities for the NFL

    reallyhappyan_drunksickreallyhappy

     
    Fuse
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2024 - 10:05 AM ET #15

    WM peaceclover

    Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
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    WM peaceclover

     
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2024 - 11:05 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by Rush51:

    I had a future bet LY on the  Chiefs,  and have a future bet this year on Chiefs at +600.  That being said, I can't remember the last time I've played against them, but this is it.  This is a terrible spot for KC.  Barely winning their last 2 home games, when they could've easily lost each, and now they go on the road to play an inspired Bills team that hates KC.     I put a bit more emphasis on the intangibles than most cappers, I believe,  and it's something I'm sure that bookmakers don't capture;  here in this case, I'm banking on some complacency to set in on the Chiefs this week due to their nail biter wins,  keeping their undefeated record intact.  I think this is the game where their good fortune finally catches up.

     

    Good post, I agree with everything here.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Rush51:

    I had a future bet LY on the  Chiefs,  and have a future bet this year on Chiefs at +600.  That being said, I can't remember the last time I've played against them, but this is it.  This is a terrible spot for KC.  Barely winning their last 2 home games, when they could've easily lost each, and now they go on the road to play an inspired Bills team that hates KC.     I put a bit more emphasis on the intangibles than most cappers, I believe,  and it's something I'm sure that bookmakers don't capture;  here in this case, I'm banking on some complacency to set in on the Chiefs this week due to their nail biter wins,  keeping their undefeated record intact.  I think this is the game where their good fortune finally catches up.

     

    Good post, I agree with everything here.

     
    GamzOver
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2024 - 12:57 PM ET #17

    https://youtu.be/M5D5kGnQT6M?si=mmsrc7SWpCkG8d63

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    https://youtu.be/M5D5kGnQT6M?si=mmsrc7SWpCkG8d63

     
    Yanasaur
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2024 - 3:56 PM ET #18

    As a Bills fan I hope they lose. Last few years we beat KC in regular season and lose to them in the playoffs. Its really hard to beat the same team twice in a year. I'll be happy if Bills lose. They usually treat this game like the super bowl. I would love to see my team go out there and give a half ass crap effort and get blown out. Sounds crazy but it would make me happy

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    As a Bills fan I hope they lose. Last few years we beat KC in regular season and lose to them in the playoffs. Its really hard to beat the same team twice in a year. I'll be happy if Bills lose. They usually treat this game like the super bowl. I would love to see my team go out there and give a half ass crap effort and get blown out. Sounds crazy but it would make me happy

     
    raceman06
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2024 - 5:51 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by Rush51:

    I had a future bet LY on the  Chiefs,  and have a future bet this year on Chiefs at +600.  That being said, I can't remember the last time I've played against them, but this is it.  This is a terrible spot for KC.  Barely winning their last 2 home games, when they could've easily lost each, and now they go on the road to play an inspired Bills team that hates KC.     I put a bit more emphasis on the intangibles than most cappers, I believe,  and it's something I'm sure that bookmakers don't capture;  here in this case, I'm banking on some complacency to set in on the Chiefs this week due to their nail biter wins,  keeping their undefeated record intact.  I think this is the game where their good fortune finally catches up.

    This sounds good but has no substance to it. Not trying to be rude. I could make an equally sounding argument the opposite way. I’ll give it a try off the top of my head.

    I put more emphasis on situational football than most cappers do. I’m not even sure bookmakers can capture it. So here is the situation, the Chiefs overlooked Denver and all knew their fate for a loss was about to come, until the most timely blocked kick ever occurred. This game gave them the spark needed to focus on what lies ahead and that is Buffalo.
    Meanwhile Buffalo is riding high after cracking off 5 wins in a row. They run the risk of complacency that the wins will keep on coming. However, when we look into it they are beating sub .500 teams and only have 1 win against a winning team. The false sense of confidence after beating up on some pretty pathetic teams puts them in a tough spot. Take the points and cash the ticket.

    My personal opinion is there’s better games to bet this week but if given the opportunity to get points with Mahomes you take them and don’t overthink it. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Rush51:

    I had a future bet LY on the  Chiefs,  and have a future bet this year on Chiefs at +600.  That being said, I can't remember the last time I've played against them, but this is it.  This is a terrible spot for KC.  Barely winning their last 2 home games, when they could've easily lost each, and now they go on the road to play an inspired Bills team that hates KC.     I put a bit more emphasis on the intangibles than most cappers, I believe,  and it's something I'm sure that bookmakers don't capture;  here in this case, I'm banking on some complacency to set in on the Chiefs this week due to their nail biter wins,  keeping their undefeated record intact.  I think this is the game where their good fortune finally catches up.

    This sounds good but has no substance to it. Not trying to be rude. I could make an equally sounding argument the opposite way. I’ll give it a try off the top of my head.

    I put more emphasis on situational football than most cappers do. I’m not even sure bookmakers can capture it. So here is the situation, the Chiefs overlooked Denver and all knew their fate for a loss was about to come, until the most timely blocked kick ever occurred. This game gave them the spark needed to focus on what lies ahead and that is Buffalo.
    Meanwhile Buffalo is riding high after cracking off 5 wins in a row. They run the risk of complacency that the wins will keep on coming. However, when we look into it they are beating sub .500 teams and only have 1 win against a winning team. The false sense of confidence after beating up on some pretty pathetic teams puts them in a tough spot. Take the points and cash the ticket.

    My personal opinion is there’s better games to bet this week but if given the opportunity to get points with Mahomes you take them and don’t overthink it. 

     
     
    golfgodks
    golfgodks
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2024 - 3:03 AM ET #20

    Bills always take the chiefs in the regular season, and seems to always get them at home, then chiefs take care of them in the playoffs... Same story

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    Bills always take the chiefs in the regular season, and seems to always get them at home, then chiefs take care of them in the playoffs... Same story

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