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It is brutally cold in Philly and one team will shrivel like a prune in a Acapulco sun! WRITE-UP!!!!

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Posted: #26
Everyone will ride on the saints cant win in the cold, blah blah blah, the juice will go heavy on the eagles, the line will not get adjusted, ill play the saints plus points at even money or maybe at plus money bfore game time
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by EastsideBangers:

It's not that cold out.
Mid 20's & 5 mph wind

Will get in the teens tonight but again, no wind

Sit in the teens for 4 hours and sit inside for 4 hours and come back and say "Hey it wasn't windy. Not a big deal."
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by EastsideBangers:

It's not that cold out.
Mid 20's & 5 mph wind

Will get in the teens tonight but again, no wind


Word.  The OP is acting like this will be the Ice Bowl part 2.  See tomorrow's GB game for that, not this one.  I'll take elite QB Brees in the playoffs as a 3 pt dog vs an untested rookie, who's played against a bunch of chumps, any day.
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by Alldaygambler28:

What are you talking about in regards to the line?  You could of gotten under a field goal almost the whole week at many books.  

I know that of course.

I wait till kickoff with regard to a line and thought it would drop to 2. It went up to 3.
 
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Posted: #30
Tomorrow's Green Bay game we need to consider having an effect on Niners THAT GAME IS GONNA BE HELL
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by Hardtimes75:



Word.  The OP is acting like this will be the Ice Bowl part 2.  See tomorrow's GB game for that, not this one.  I'll take elite QB Brees in the playoffs as a 3 pt dog vs an untested rookie, who's played against a bunch of chumps, any day.

Like it has to be the ice bowl to have the effect I am looking for.

Calm yourself.

It will be in the teens tonight with a refrigerator of snow to keep the temps low. 

If you think that Bree's will nonchalantly buck that in the face of stats that say he won't, go right ahead and take the Siants.

Don't say you weren't warned.
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by franz555:

Scalabrine,   Great write up. I've been on the fence with this game all day, but i couldn't agree more that this game will be a ground battle. I live in " The great white north " called Canada. I know exactly what you are saying about the weather affecting any aerial attack tonight. 

I'm sold........Eagles it is

BOL to us 

Canada...great place to visit and live.
 
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Posted: #33
Brutally cold??? 27 degrees is a ice box??  You guys wussy boys in Philly!?!?! Yeah it's cold but save those labels for Green Bay.  
 
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Posted: #34
Im not knockin his pic but if public loads up on philly , I think a public fade is the play
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by Crusher13:


  TOTALLY agree with you. cold..does saints in But 1/2 point if you are uncomfprtable, but I am going to play Eagle alternative lines



I would pay for hooks I just don't buy them unless it's between a number 3.5 or 4.5. 3 is a push line so I'll stick with it.
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by Second2-Numbers:

Thank you 
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by Navi:

Drew Brees top 3 QB in the NFL...I cant go against him tonight.
Brees will outplay Nick foles in my opinion... well one of us is getting paid tonight


That's right. Only one of us....
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


Sit in the teens for 4 hours and sit inside for 4 hours and come back and say "Hey it wasn't windy. Not a big deal."

Sorry man. You might be on the right side but your stressing this cold way too much.  Mid 20s playing football isn't that cold.  C'mon man.  I did my snow for a hour or two the other day in mid teens in jeans and a coat.  Lmao it's not that bad. These guys are playing football!!! Not sitting in the snow!
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by ClubDirt:

i'm almost always with you on these threads but not this one.  good luck anyway. 

and i promise not to bump your preseason thread in which you yelled at me for making a case for the jets season wins total to go over. 

Hey, the jets are one unsportsmanlike conduct play and one play that hasn't been called in NFL history to 6 wins.

Still 8-8 is 8-8 but it's not the Fins 8-8, that's for sure.

I did not make that bet when the juice went sky high on the 6.5 by the way. If you got paid, props to you.
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


Sit in the teens for 4 hours and sit inside for 4 hours and come back and say "Hey it wasn't windy. Not a big deal."

What does sitting in the teens for 4hours have to do with grown men playing football? 

There's a major difference between 18 degrees with no wind and 18 degrees with 20 mph wind.

These are grown men. They have heaters on the sidelines. Don't sell this as something it's not
Banging since 1983
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by mrquija27:


Sorry man. You might be on the right side but your stressing this cold way too much.  Mid 20s playing football isn't that cold.  C'mon man.  I did my snow for a hour or two the other day in mid teens in jeans and a coat.  Lmao it's not that bad. These guys are playing football!!! Not sitting in the snow!

For a dome team that has had almost all its success indoors., mid to upper teens with wind chill is extremely cold. For Philly, it's beach weather.
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by rlletitride88:

Im not knockin his pic but if public loads up on philly , I think a public fade is the play

The saints are the biggest public team in the NFL this year. You are crazy if you think the books don't need Philly -3 vs. the public.
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


For a dome team that has had almost all its success indoors., mid to upper teens with wind chill is extremely cold. For Philly, it's beach weather.

Fair enough.  Good luck
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

The Eagles have a tremendous ground game and they will pound it down the Saints throats today, where the game should be played, on the ground instead of through the air (FIRST in the league in rushing by a landslide averaging 160 a game!). 

What are you looking for if you are the Eagles? Keep the ball out of Brees' hands. 

How do you do that? Keep it on the ground and control the clock. Keep him cold and keep him in the sidelines. You have the BEST GROUND GAME IN THE NFL right here to bet on.

Also remember Rob Ryan is the Defensive Coordinator for the Saints. This is another guy you should fade when the heat is on. And the Eagles offense will be the only source of heat on this day. I know him well from those days against the Giants and when there was a pressure filled situation, he never had the gameplan to save his team (even lost on the road to the Jets this year if you remember when the Jets season was about to spiral out of control).

Another thing that bothers me is the line on this game. I waited all week for it to drop back down to 3 and it hasn't.

3 is a very tough line against the Saints and reminds me of the last minute Panthers cover against them this year where Saints backers were royally screwed. Vegas collected nicely on that game. I can't think this isn't sharp money on the Eagles keeping it at this key number. The Saints are the biggest public darlings for betting and anytime they get points the public salivates and can't get to the window fast enough.

If it were mild weather on the East Coast for this game, I'd lay off in this spot but given the snow, ice and below freezing temps., coupled with a hot Eagles team who dropped 54 on the Bears when they could have rested their stars (a must-win for the Bears), and a team that won on the road in Dallas with their season on the line silencing 91,000, the play is the hotter Eagles team.

Remember, the Saints are just one year removed from Bounty-gate. Making the playoffs with a coach who might not have returned because of the scandal is largely a success. It has been a big bouce-back year for them. But this game in this spot in this cold is going to be too much to bear for the Saints.

This isn't one of my most analytical write-ups but the situation calls for it. Tough line and tough pick to make but this is no time to run for the hills. With all the line movement on the KC game, I'd LOVE to see this one drop to 2.5 for some extra padding but it doesn't look like it will happen.

Eagles win this game and we swallow the points for the home field covered with ice.

The pick:

EAGLES -3 over SAINTS

COLD COLD COLD...BLAH BLAH BLAH...SEAGLES ALMOST LOST TO ORTON...YA KYLE...THE COLD IS OVERRATED IMO....THESE GUYS R PROS...U THINK THER GONA LAYDOWN CAUSE ITS COLD OUTSIDE...BREEZE WILL DO WATEVER HE WANTS OUT THER TONIGHT...SAINTS OUTRITE....AND THE LINE IS 3HLF....

 
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Posted: #45
Lets see what the juice is rite bfore game time, good luck with whatever u bet, im just giving u my opinion
 
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Posted: #46
not sure who takes it but it tain't cold
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by estes1717:

 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by rlletitride88:

Everyone will ride on the saints cant win in the cold, blah blah blah, the juice will go heavy on the eagles, the line will not get adjusted, ill play the saints plus points at even money or maybe at plus money bfore game time

Everyone??? Lol.

The public would ride the Saints plus points if it were played on the moon.
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by rlletitride88:

Im not knockin his pic but if public loads up on philly , I think a public fade is the play

I can't say this enough. The public will NOT be on Philly.
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by mrquija27:


Fair enough.  Good luck
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