Interesting take on how to bet nfl

Posted: Oct. 17, 2016 - 2:49 AM ET #159

Quote Originally Posted by Onigen:

so you think Colts have a shot for the superbowl th

Quote Originally Posted by Onigen:

so you think Colts have a shot for the superbowl this year?

My theory was looking promising till the last 3 minutes of the game....it was almost like the 2 owners in the Texans booth made the call...we spent 70 million you better make tonight happen NFL

Posted: Oct. 19, 2016 - 2:24 AM ET #175

Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:

I wish I could right a book eventually on how to bet the NFL but I don't think I have enough content to publish an actual book. I'm not a former player or well known gambler so the celebrity angle wouldn't work. I'm also horrible at english and grammar. But if I could some how get the guide and program out to people it would be an amazing accomplishment. Like how Bruce lee introduced jeet kun do to the world. That's the same type of passion I have for wagering as a fan of the sport.

I've been wagering NFL games for ten plus years and have evolved into what I believe is the only way you can make a profit and enjoy the game as a whole. The key is to wager with a big emphasis of patience and conditioning. You see the cable business relies heavily by ESPN which is owned by Disney. Disney pays around 2 billion a year for NFL football games. Anything in disneys hands is commerce and nothing but. The NFL you see today is an entertainment conglomerate. For Disney, the NFL will be the gift that keeps on giving. You, the consumer, will be the mark that keeps paying.

Now this is where the patience and the conditioning comes into play from a wagering perspective. You cannot get caught up into watching all the games and wagering on most of these games as you will be consumed and be the mark that keeps on paying. You have to be able to watch the games as a fan and only wager on key games with a decent starting bankroll. There's 17 weeks into a season to pick those key games. You have to condition yourself to just watch two straight weeks of just watching games and not wagering because the key game was not available for those two weeks. IF you can manage that patience and conditioning that's 80 percent of successful wagering. The other 20% is doing simple analyst research on the key game you plan to wager on.

Now how do you select those key games throughout the 17 week season? The games that the program I use that selects a team to win by 65% and only by 65% no other number. If a team is selected to win by exactly 65% you wager on the opposite team. You are picking games with low line spreads. Makes sense because the line makers will put out lines such as -3 for evenly matched teams. The program statistically saying another team is slightly better than the other by 65%.

Following that system lets back track what a $3000

Starting bankroll would have netted you 16 weeks into the NFL season. Keep in mind betting $1200 a game factoring juice at -120

Do you know why Nigerian Sting Operation is full of wrongly pronounced basic words? Because they wanted to filter the smart away from the beginning to have the stupid in their net. I really hope this is not one of those...

Interesting take on how to bet NFL

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