Posted:
#201
I think Denver wins 26-13
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Interesting take on how to bet NFL
Posted:
#203
Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:
You have the same philosophy of darth vader....I personally work for the federal government...I see what goes on in real life pertaining to the system as well as how the sports market runs their establishment. I look at myself as a rebel laying low inside the establishment. You learn and adapt to see what they enforce and what they try to control. It's the Rebels that keep the balance in check. This is my way of rebeling against the system and establishment while helping the common man along the way. Most contribute to the system but I know there's a minority out there fighting against the system. I would never go tout as someone you mentioned. You should always have that rebel mentality in all aspects in life. Sports wagering is my outlet to take away from the suits. It's just one outlet of several that should be encouraged.
You have the same philosophy of darth vader....I personally work for the federal government...I see what goes on in real life pertaining to the system as well as how the sports market runs their establishment. I look at myself as a rebel laying low inside the establishment. You learn and adapt to see what they enforce and what they try to control. It's the Rebels that keep the balance in check. This is my way of rebeling against the system and establishment while helping the common man along the way. Most contribute to the system but I know there's a minority out there fighting against the system. I would never go tout as someone you mentioned. You should always have that rebel mentality in all aspects in life. Sports wagering is my outlet to take away from the suits. It's just one outlet of several that should be encouraged.
Agreed. Very sound advice Nerd.
And thanks.
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Posted:
#210
Quote Originally Posted by HailFlutie:
Do not go against Oakland vs the Jags. They will get the W for BlackJack Del Rio. Also, Ravens will take down the pathetic Jets who are worst in the league in give/takeaway, whereas Balt is up near the top..Arizona will be the only win, IMHO
Do not go against Oakland vs the Jags. They will get the W for BlackJack Del Rio. Also, Ravens will take down the pathetic Jets who are worst in the league in give/takeaway, whereas Balt is up near the top..Arizona will be the only win, IMHO
Well good thing nobody follows you. that made me just like AFNS bets even more 
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Posted:
#213
So I compared past games with the 72% chance to win.
Week 7
Chargers @ Falcons (Falcons 72% chance to win)
Final score - Chargers 33 Falcons 30
Week 5
Chargers @ Raiders (raiders 72% chance to win)
Final Score - Chargers 31 Raiders 34
Week 4
Bills @ Patriots (patriots 72% chance to win)
Final Score - Bills 16 Patriots 0
Week 3
Browns @ Dolphins (Dolphins 72% chance to win)
Final Score - Browns 24 Dolphins 30
So at 72% games 2 dogs won straight up and 2 dogs kept the game within 7. I cannot pass this opportunity to take the dog at +7.5 in this situation...
Texans @ Broncos (Broncos 72% chance to win)
Pick Texans +7.5 $2200 to win $2000
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Posted:
#214
Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:
So at 72% games 2 dogs won straight up and 2 dogs kept the game within 7. I cannot pass this opportunity to take the dog at +7.5 in this situation...
Texans @ Broncos (Broncos 72% chance to win)
Pick Texans +7.5 $2200 to win $2000
Ugh I liked Broncos but your system is awesome. 
Regardless, I appreciate it.
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Posted:
#216
QUOTE#177NFL 2016
7-4-2 (65% trend plays)
Total = $6600
4-4 (program percentage plays)
Total = $-250
Bankroll Total = $6350
65% trend plays still profit halfway into the season. Gotta love how 8k was moosed with the colts who could not stop that fluke 14 pts under 3 minutes against the Texans . The cardinals game by far the worse moose ever since watching the NFL. 
. The cardinals game by far the worse moose ever since watching the NFL. Obviously program percentage plays have been a push. I guess I can admit it's my degenerate in me that wants to play these games. It actually keeps me busy which at this point -250 I can live with the hit to the bankroll...
Packers @ Falcons (Falcons 65% to win)
A buddy of mine asked wtf is up with the packers? Told him just wait till they are dogs this season 
Made a play on the Falcons against the panthers even took the moneyline a few weeks ago....same situation here but I'm gonna pass on the ML plays and just double up on the spread because at this rate anything and I mean ANYTHING can happen in the NFL 
Made a play on the Falcons against the panthers even took the moneyline a few weeks ago....same situation here but I'm gonna pass on the ML plays and just double up on the spread because at this rate anything and I mean ANYTHING can happen in the NFL Pick Packers $4300 to win $4000 ( waited on the public to push it to +3) 
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Posted:
#225
Quote Originally Posted by Jrod6:
Jones has more receiving yards than Jody Nelson & Randall Cobb combined. Jones also has 20 TDS most in the league at the moment. I usually love your plays but I think this one will be a nail bitter and might tread carefully here
Jones has more receiving yards than Jody Nelson & Randall Cobb combined. Jones also has 20 TDS most in the league at the moment. I usually love your plays but I think this one will be a nail bitter and might tread carefully here
so you're capping a game based off one player? 
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