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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Interesting take on how to bet NFL

    «First Previous 456 ... 111213 Next Last»
    Madden21
    turf2race
    BoomDynamite
    toomuchsauce
    locknload2010
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 81477
    Posts: 317
    «First Previous 456 ... 111213 Next Last»
     
    Madden21
    Madden21
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2016 - 3:32 AM ET #76

    Just tail me here on covers if you want to go over 65% lol 
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    Just tail me here on covers if you want to go over 65% lol 
     
    turf2race
    turf2race
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2016 - 3:06 PM ET #77

    Does this system work for ncaa
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    Does this system work for ncaa
     
    BoomDynamite
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2016 - 1:02 PM ET #78

    Quote Originally Posted by turf2race:

    Does this system work for ncaa


    I was actually wondering the same exact thing.
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    Quote Originally Posted by turf2race:

    Does this system work for ncaa


    I was actually wondering the same exact thing.
     
    toomuchsauce
    toomuchsauce
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2016 - 3:57 PM ET #79

    thanks for posting bro. i know you are trying to help and as you can see there are a lot of haters that nick pick every little thing because they really just hate themselves for being degenerate gambling lifelong losers lol.
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    thanks for posting bro. i know you are trying to help and as you can see there are a lot of haters that nick pick every little thing because they really just hate themselves for being degenerate gambling lifelong losers lol.
     
    locknload2010
    locknload2010
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2016 - 5:19 PM ET #80

    Everyone has an off week bro. Keep those picks comin'! 
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    Everyone has an off week bro. Keep those picks comin'! 
     
    Ilost20grand
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2016 - 8:20 PM ET #81

    Quote Originally Posted by locknload2010:

    Everyone has an off week bro. Keep those picks comin'! 

    he has not lost a single game this season yet.

    his only pick for week 3 is da bears
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    Quote Originally Posted by locknload2010:

    Everyone has an off week bro. Keep those picks comin'! 

    he has not lost a single game this season yet.

    his only pick for week 3 is da bears
     
    JBost77
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2016 - 12:34 PM ET #82

    Keep posting info that helps, Appreciate all the time n effort u put in. Later for the clowns n kids, go play somewhere we into trying to win at wagering chumps
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    Keep posting info that helps, Appreciate all the time n effort u put in. Later for the clowns n kids, go play somewhere we into trying to win at wagering chumps
     
    Supersharpone
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2016 - 3:49 PM ET #83

    Whats da play tonight bro?
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    Whats da play tonight bro?
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2016 - 7:08 PM ET #84

    NFL 2016

    2-1 (65% trend plays)

    Bears +7 -$2200 

    Total = $1800 

    2-0 (program percentage plays)

    Total = $2000 

    Bankroll = $3800 

    Falcons @ Saints (program percentage play)

    Pick Falcons ML $2000 to win $2500

    So I did some projection models too see how many wins a team should have for the season....Atlanta topped the wins in the NFC south division.  The program has Atlanta 69% chance to win the game? I discount double checked to see if my program was misleading or if i input the saints numbers and somehow mixed the teams. The program is telling me Falcons 69% 

    The season projection model and matchup percentage is enough to convince me to take Falcons ML 
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    NFL 2016

    2-1 (65% trend plays)

    Bears +7 -$2200 

    Total = $1800 

    2-0 (program percentage plays)

    Total = $2000 

    Bankroll = $3800 

    Falcons @ Saints (program percentage play)

    Pick Falcons ML $2000 to win $2500

    So I did some projection models too see how many wins a team should have for the season....Atlanta topped the wins in the NFC south division.  The program has Atlanta 69% chance to win the game? I discount double checked to see if my program was misleading or if i input the saints numbers and somehow mixed the teams. The program is telling me Falcons 69% 

    The season projection model and matchup percentage is enough to convince me to take Falcons ML 
     
    Supersharpone
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2016 - 7:23 PM ET #85


    Was going to go Saints but might have to sit this one out...
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    Was going to go Saints but might have to sit this one out...
     
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2016 - 11:45 PM ET #86

    Quote Originally Posted by Supersharpone:


    Was going to go Saints but might have to sit this one out...

    Now that I think about it I had 3 friends and 2 coworkers ask me what's the play for bears SNF....they all went large and it was one of those feelings since I've been wagering for awhile that the bears wager didn't seem right.  Today coworkers didn't talk much and I decided ok....not gonna give out suggestions on picks if they can't handle a loss....they all sat out on this one wish them the best on their wagers 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Supersharpone:


    Was going to go Saints but might have to sit this one out...

    Now that I think about it I had 3 friends and 2 coworkers ask me what's the play for bears SNF....they all went large and it was one of those feelings since I've been wagering for awhile that the bears wager didn't seem right.  Today coworkers didn't talk much and I decided ok....not gonna give out suggestions on picks if they can't handle a loss....they all sat out on this one wish them the best on their wagers 
     
    Jrod6
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2016 - 11:54 PM ET #87

    Atl 
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    Atl 
     
    Day-trader1
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2016 - 11:56 PM ET #88


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    dcp1985
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2016 - 11:59 PM ET #89

    Quote Originally Posted by gcwrestling08:



    "nick pick." can't make this stuff up

    Says the guy who called everyone even considering a Falcons wager tonight a "born loser" and should "quit now"...and then hasn't shown his face in his own thread since, well you know what happened...
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    Quote Originally Posted by gcwrestling08:



    "nick pick." can't make this stuff up

    Says the guy who called everyone even considering a Falcons wager tonight a "born loser" and should "quit now"...and then hasn't shown his face in his own thread since, well you know what happened...
     
    Ilost20grand
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2016 - 12:11 AM ET #90

    Awesome pic bro. I wish I would have made a bet but i did not.Only game in my life where I did not wager anything. 


    I need to ask you an honest question. 

    What do you do for a full time Job. Im seriously curious
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    Awesome pic bro. I wish I would have made a bet but i did not.Only game in my life where I did not wager anything. 


    I need to ask you an honest question. 

    What do you do for a full time Job. Im seriously curious
     
    Havelin
    Havelin
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2016 - 12:18 AM ET #91

    Quote Originally Posted by gcwrestling08:



    "nick pick." can't make this stuff up




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    Quote Originally Posted by gcwrestling08:



    "nick pick." can't make this stuff up




     
    Supersharpone
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2016 - 12:48 AM ET #92

    you did man. congrats. i ended up going atl due to mr. pimp's convincing thread. keep us posted if theres a play thurs.
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    you did man. congrats. i ended up going atl due to mr. pimp's convincing thread. keep us posted if theres a play thurs.
     
    Letwinsome
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2016 - 12:23 PM ET #93

    There seem to be many 65% winning games this weekend. Just can figure out which one to play.
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    There seem to be many 65% winning games this weekend. Just can figure out which one to play.
     
    Letwinsome
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2016 - 7:26 PM ET #94

    AFN,
    There is this many small dogs this week. so base on the system, we should bet on these team?
    Jac +2.5
    Atl +3.5
    Oak +3.5
    Chi +2.5
    TB  +3
    NO  +3.5
    SF  +2.5
    Min +3.5
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    AFN,
    There is this many small dogs this week. so base on the system, we should bet on these team?
    Jac +2.5
    Atl +3.5
    Oak +3.5
    Chi +2.5
    TB  +3
    NO  +3.5
    SF  +2.5
    Min +3.5
     
    pinoy808
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2016 - 8:29 PM ET #95

    Im so interested into this system how can we see the spread sheet? Thanks
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    Im so interested into this system how can we see the spread sheet? Thanks
     
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2016 - 2:16 AM ET #96

    NFL 2016

    2-1 (65% trend plays)

    Total = $1800 

    3-0 (program percentage plays)

    Total = $4500 

    Bankroll = $6300 

    Panthers @ Falcons (Panthers 65% chance to win)

    Pick- Falcons +3.5 $2600 to win $2000

    Scary going against the panthers coming off a loss but....oddsmakers are still doubting the Falcons at home? Panthers are 1-2 and are the favorites? Theres no way panthers lose 2 in a row and go down 1-3? 

    Let's remember since Cam newtons rookie year he's only 2-3 straight up in Atlanta.  The only loss to the panthers 15-1 record last year was to the Falcons. Again my season projection model has Falcons winning the NFC south.  Falcons and panthers will play each other again in December.  By then panthers should have their issues sorted out because clearly they are struggling.  Falcons will have two rough road games after their home game this week. They play in Denver and in Seattle which makes this a very important game. The Falcons need to remain on top in the NFC south as projected by the model.  Falcons at +3.5 

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    NFL 2016

    2-1 (65% trend plays)

    Total = $1800 

    3-0 (program percentage plays)

    Total = $4500 

    Bankroll = $6300 

    Panthers @ Falcons (Panthers 65% chance to win)

    Pick- Falcons +3.5 $2600 to win $2000

    Scary going against the panthers coming off a loss but....oddsmakers are still doubting the Falcons at home? Panthers are 1-2 and are the favorites? Theres no way panthers lose 2 in a row and go down 1-3? 

    Let's remember since Cam newtons rookie year he's only 2-3 straight up in Atlanta.  The only loss to the panthers 15-1 record last year was to the Falcons. Again my season projection model has Falcons winning the NFC south.  Falcons and panthers will play each other again in December.  By then panthers should have their issues sorted out because clearly they are struggling.  Falcons will have two rough road games after their home game this week. They play in Denver and in Seattle which makes this a very important game. The Falcons need to remain on top in the NFC south as projected by the model.  Falcons at +3.5 

     
    Letwinsome
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2016 - 12:42 PM ET #97

    is that the only play for this week?
    Great information
    Thanks
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    is that the only play for this week?
    Great information
    Thanks
     
    2020dr
    2020dr
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2016 - 3:32 PM ET #98

    ??
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    ??
     
    Shinigami23
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2016 - 5:44 PM ET #99

    lol yall are so impatient. Let the man be
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    lol yall are so impatient. Let the man be
     
     
    Jrod6
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2016 - 2:17 AM ET #100

    GL, I've been eyeing the Falcons myself 
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    GL, I've been eyeing the Falcons myself 
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