Posted:
#101
>Inferior Insight you just got owned.
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i'm personally going ALL IN
Posted:
#104
Quote Originally Posted by Kelly_Slater:
-340 is NOT a bargain ever.
In fact I have been capping for 10 years and have Never laid anything over -240 IF THAT.
The small return on such a large wager just flat out does not make sense. If I could advise you of anything I would recommend NOT making this wager. Your return on investment is shit<
Think about it... If I can take a ($1,000) thousand dollars and make $4,000 (Four thousand) or so - by capping, studying, and gambling --- WHY risk the huge lump sum of $13,600?? For about a THIRD of your TOTAL MONEY WAGERED.
Play with smaller amounts for value and nice returns.
Why have the potential to blow your load?
It simply does'nt make sense. You dont need to be a fucking CPA to figure this one out.
The only thing I can think of is that your bankroll is REALLY ONLY A ($136.00) One hundred and thirty six bucks and your going all in for 2 crispy twenty dollar bills. 
BOL and even if you win, Im certain you did'nt bet 13k.
TKO
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Posted:
#110
Quote Originally Posted by SuperiorInsight:
For future advice, please don't come into other people's thread and act like your god all mighty. I dont give a flying rip what you have to say or think.
For future advice, please don't come into other people's thread and act like your god all mighty. I dont give a flying rip what you have to say or think.
Some people don't have lives and are losing a lot of money and they want others to feel the same way they feel. They're losers and always will be.
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Posted:
#111
Quote Originally Posted by GamzOver:
Sure it is a lot of chalk. But i am not going to jump a mans thread thread and criticize him. He believes there is no way the Colts lose this one.
p.s.
If Manning and his passing game had any rust on it, the Ravens knocked it off. bol
Sure it is a lot of chalk. But i am not going to jump a mans thread thread and criticize him. He believes there is no way the Colts lose this one.
p.s.
If Manning and his passing game had any rust on it, the Ravens knocked it off. bol
Thank you, finally someone has a clue.
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Posted:
#113
Quote Originally Posted by SuperiorInsight:
If I personally think that the Colts with this game 85% of the time. So getting it for -340 is value. Please and I beg of you to explain otherwise
Look up value in the dictionary.... and Webster will explain to you that your wager is the exact opposite of the term. However, since your play is probably 136.00 to win 40.00, which is probably your real wager than value isn't even worth speaking of.
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Posted:
#114
I dont like the bet..laying too much here on a fasionable underdog who may just pull off the Rocky II upset. Vegas is saying Jets have a shot with that low spread...listen to them. Having said that I like the Colts to win but not cover merely a 1-unit bet at best though. Look for a more inconspicuos game to go all-in such as a solid NBA play. This game will see steam on the Colts which is a bad sign, remember Vegas runs on loosers trust thier jugement that Jets have a chance and look for that 3-unit play elsewhere off the radar. Roll your bankroll where the sun don't shine.
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Posted:
#116
What I dont get is why you didnt wait to get a better price ? Its already as low as -320 ... You got it at -340 ????
Last week they kept dropping and the Colts here in Reno were at like - 250 when I finally got them. After starting at - 300 I believe .
They should hopefully be at under -300 by Kickoff then I might consider a bet on it.
Or wait for it to go back to -7 or even -6.5 .
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Posted:
#117
Quote Originally Posted by BR3N7:
What I dont get is why you didnt wait to get a better price ? Its already as low as -320 ... You got it at -340 ????
Last week they kept dropping and the Colts here in Reno were at like - 250 when I finally got them. After starting at - 300 I believe .
They should hopefully be at under -300 by Kickoff then I might consider a bet on it.
Or wait for it to go back to -7 or even -6.5 .
I wrote this last night. I have not yet put in my wager but you are right. I will wait a little and shop around for the best price. BOL
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Posted:
#118
Quote Originally Posted by BR3N7:
What I dont get is why you didnt wait to get a better price ? Its already as low as -320 ... You got it at -340 ????
Last week they kept dropping and the Colts here in Reno were at like - 250 when I finally got them. After starting at - 300 I believe .
They should hopefully be at under -300 by Kickoff then I might consider a bet on it.
Or wait for it to go back to -7 or even -6.5 .
Neither will likely happen IMO. Moneline likely to be locked in with most books seeing 55-45 and I cant see that changing to Colts allthough shopping it is a no brainer
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Posted:
#120
I think the ML is the safest bet if you can afford it. The only way Colt lose if Peyton throw more than 2 int. I think Sanchez will toss at least 2 or 3 int this week. He's still a rookie. Smart coach will blitz the heck at this rookie.
When Dungy was the coach for the Bucs and Colts, his record against rookie QB was excellent. He will call Caldwell and give him some points to stop rookie QB. Rookie will make mistake.... BLITZ!!!!
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Posted:
#121
Quote Originally Posted by Kelly_Slater:
-340 is NOT a bargain ever.
In fact I have been capping for 10 years and have Never laid anything over -240 IF THAT.
The small return on such a large wager just flat out does not make sense. If I could advise you of anything I would recommend NOT making this wager. Your return on investment is shit<
Think about it... If I can take a ($1,000) thousand dollars and make $4,000 (Four thousand) or so - by capping, studying, and gambling --- WHY risk the huge lump sum of $13,600?? For about a THIRD of your TOTAL MONEY WAGERED.
Play with smaller amounts for value and nice returns.
Why have the potential to blow your load?
It simply does'nt make sense. You dont need to be a fucking CPA to figure this one out.
The only thing I can think of is that your bankroll is REALLY ONLY A ($136.00) One hundred and thirty six bucks and your going all in for 2 crispy twenty dollar bills.
BOL and even if you win, Im certain you did'nt bet 13k.
"A fool and his money are soon parted." If he actually does make that ridiculous wager and is lucky enough to win, his balance will not increase very much. And being dumb enough to lay over 3/1, he'll do the same thing again till he eventually craps away his bankroll.
He will be better off losing now and learning a lesson, than to figure out down the road the madness of this bet. I used to lose big with $2.00 favorites regularly in baseball when I was pathetic, immature 25 year old.
I hope your bet LOSES since I hate seeing stupidity rewarded.
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Posted:
#122
Quote Originally Posted by wizardofroz:
"A fool and his money are soon parted." If he actually does make that ridiculous wager and is lucky enough to win, his balance will not increase very much. And being dumb enough to lay over 3/1, he'll do the same thing again till he eventually craps away his bankroll.
He will be better off losing now and learning a lesson, than to figure out down the road the madness of this bet. I used to lose big with $2.00 favorites regularly in baseball when I was pathetic, immature 25 year old.
I hope your bet LOSES since I hate seeing stupidity rewarded.
Most of my bets are anywhere from 3k to 5k. I'm up well over 20k this year so it's really not that big of deal if I lose. Great opinion you got there. Can I please have your autograph 
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Posted:
#123
If I hit my ML (anywhere from -120 to -340) favorite wagers at a 77% rate. How is betting the Colts ML for -340 a bad bet? Just because I might possibly lose this bet, all you folks think it's a bad bet? What about all the other 77% of the winners I have? Why did for some odd reason you guys dont consider that as well. You folks seriously need to get your head out of gutters and see the picture.
I'd like to hear ONE REAL LEGIT ANSWER to say I'm wrong about what I just stated. I beg all you folks who think my bet is dumb to tell me otherwise. Thank you and this case is closed.
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Posted:
#124
Quote Originally Posted by SuperiorInsight:
If I hit my ML (anywhere from -120 to -340) favorite wagers at a 77% rate. How is betting the Colts ML for -340 a bad bet? Just because I might possibly lose this bet, all you folks think it's a bad bet? What about all the other 77% of the winners I have? Why did for some odd reason you guys dont consider that as well. You folks seriously need to get your head out of gutters and see the picture.
I'd like to hear ONE REAL LEGIT ANSWER to say I'm wrong about what I just stated. I beg all you folks who think my bet is dumb to tell me otherwise. Thank you and this case is closed.
B/c even if you hit that bet 3 out of 4 times your still losing money.... Get your head examined
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