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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Hypothetical

    RJB62
    keven vanlith
    the1toturn2
    C-70Blues
    Biscuiteater1
    ...
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    RJB62
    RJB62
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    Posted: Jul. 20, 2024 - 12:09 PM ET #1

    Serious replies only please. If you had a system where you were extremely confident you have a 60% edge at -110/-120 against closing lines for full game spread and half game spreads, how would you proceed? At what point do you think you would get limited by the books and is there a way around that? Would you try to sell the picks or max out your own winnings? 

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    Serious replies only please. If you had a system where you were extremely confident you have a 60% edge at -110/-120 against closing lines for full game spread and half game spreads, how would you proceed? At what point do you think you would get limited by the books and is there a way around that? Would you try to sell the picks or max out your own winnings? 

     
    keven vanlith
    keven vanlith
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    Posted: Jul. 20, 2024 - 3:35 PM ET #2

    Simple find a book that will not limit you like bookmaker.eu or outside the USA pinnacle or if your in LV Circa + most important is money mang. as even 60% can easily find you in the poor house as i can attest to many times like last year despite finishing in the top 2% in the biggest 3 LV ats contests (KEV KOVERS) yet losing my offshore bankroll by midseason.

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    Simple find a book that will not limit you like bookmaker.eu or outside the USA pinnacle or if your in LV Circa + most important is money mang. as even 60% can easily find you in the poor house as i can attest to many times like last year despite finishing in the top 2% in the biggest 3 LV ats contests (KEV KOVERS) yet losing my offshore bankroll by midseason.

     
    RJB62
    RJB62
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    Posted: Jul. 21, 2024 - 6:21 AM ET #3

    Thanks. I’ve been looking for high limit legal books in NJ , but not sure I’ve come across any. The point about money management is a good one though and one I don’t take lightly.

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    Thanks. I’ve been looking for high limit legal books in NJ , but not sure I’ve come across any. The point about money management is a good one though and one I don’t take lightly.

     
    the1toturn2
    the1toturn2
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    Posted: Jul. 21, 2024 - 6:50 PM ET #4

    You lost me at system  If I had a nickel for every punter that ever had a system......

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    You lost me at system  If I had a nickel for every punter that ever had a system......

     
    C-70Blues
    C-70Blues
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    Posted: Jul. 21, 2024 - 7:19 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by the1toturn2:

    You lost me at system  If I had a nickel for every punter that ever had a system......

    Didn't you know? You don't need to know anything about the teams or the coaches. All you have to do is punch some numbers into a database and you can find winning systems.

    I'm kidding of course.

    Self-reliance is more important than artificial intelligence.
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    Quote Originally Posted by the1toturn2:

    You lost me at system  If I had a nickel for every punter that ever had a system......

    Didn't you know? You don't need to know anything about the teams or the coaches. All you have to do is punch some numbers into a database and you can find winning systems.

    I'm kidding of course.

     
    Biscuiteater1
    Biscuiteater1
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    Posted: Jul. 21, 2024 - 9:50 PM ET #6

    Bullchit from the start I mean why would - 110 / -120 even come into play.

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    Bullchit from the start I mean why would - 110 / -120 even come into play.

     
    RJB62
    RJB62
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    Posted: Jul. 22, 2024 - 7:19 AM ET #7

    You can believe whatever you like, it’s fine. The question was hypothetical anyway. What to do if you did have it. The only reason I mentioned-120  is because many half plays are posted at that. Total game is -110 

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    You can believe whatever you like, it’s fine. The question was hypothetical anyway. What to do if you did have it. The only reason I mentioned-120  is because many half plays are posted at that. Total game is -110 

     
     
    maxwagers781
    maxwagers781
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    Posted: Jul. 22, 2024 - 10:01 AM ET #8

    @RJB62

    Just as you said. I think you’d get limited by the books. Then you’ll try to sell picks. Lastly you’d try to max out everything you got. Not in any particular order. peace_5
    You’ll end up doing anything you can. 

    Nuthin but a g thang baby
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    @RJB62

    Just as you said. I think you’d get limited by the books. Then you’ll try to sell picks. Lastly you’d try to max out everything you got. Not in any particular order. peace_5
    You’ll end up doing anything you can. 

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