All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

Don't Be Sucked In

...
Participants:
Search
Views: 5904
Posts: 59
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6707
Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by zamigo6:


I don't believe "most people" think like that. Maybe the wannabe sharps. Most people see a team lose and think they suck, or see a team win and think they are great. Especially if they lost or won money on that team. Of course covers is a different playing field where everybody thinks they are an expert. Either way, there is in fact more to picking winners.

BOL to you, I don't necessarily disagree with the plays, but the logic is suspect...

A lot of them actually do. For example, the Saints might win and cover next week but anyone who bet on them will have to pay a "premium" in doing so.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2014
Posts: 1143
Posted: #27
There will be no winners tonight. Patriots win by 3.   
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 445
Posted: #28
U have a great point there Igetmoney!!!  I take in all perspectives and angles, and all my years of sportsbetting I do see that.  People usually have short memory when it comes to sportsbetting.. Like oh that team is so weak got blown out last week, or that team is so strong blew their opp out by 30+.  That is a great point. 
For ex: u see alot of similar spreads: NE giving -14 to Oak, did not cover.
This weeknd u see SD giving 13 goes down to -12.5, similar spread, they do cover.
Or u see ATL smashing on TB, and then get smacked by Minn. the next week. 
Bookmakers play alot of perception into the lines and pple usually only recall the last week how a team did.

GL tonight !!  I am leaning KC , but scares me alot of pple leaning home dogg again tonight
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6868
Posted: #29
Some people are missing my point.

So many bettors get sucked into thinking that New England can't lose in this situation. Oh my Brady is only laying 3 to a shaky KC team.

Wake up!  New England got trounced in the 2H to the Dolphins.  KC almost beat Denver in week 2. Yes they got spanked in week 1 but this is the NFL.

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6868
Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by strike4106:

U have a great point there Igetmoney!!!  I take in all perspectives and angles, and all my years of sportsbetting I do see that.  People usually have short memory when it comes to sportsbetting.. Like oh that team is so weak got blown out last week, or that team is so strong blew their opp out by 30+.  That is a great point. 
For ex: u see alot of similar spreads: NE giving -14 to Oak, did not cover.
This weeknd u see SD giving 13 goes down to -12.5, similar spread, they do cover.
Or u see ATL smashing on TB, and then get smacked by Minn. the next week. 
Bookmakers play alot of perception into the lines and pple usually only recall the last week how a team did.

GL tonight !!  I am leaning KC , but scares me alot of pple leaning home dogg again tonight
You are a smart man 

jump on board with KC! 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 10973
Posted: #31
Hmmmmmmmmmmm
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6868
Posted: #32
Ridley averaging 2.8 ypc lol

edelman, dobson, thompkins, lafell! 

some offensive weapons

You are giving me KC +3 at home vs that
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6868
Posted: #33
Where are the KC weapons at?  

14-0 KC 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6868
Posted: #34
Quick  make sure you pound New England next week in a must win 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6868
Posted: #35
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6868
Posted: #36
If you think New England will beat Cincy or even cover the +3 you should be drug tested  
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2004
Posts: 171308
Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

...to believing the mighty Patriots won't go 2-3 after next week and Tom Brady and Bill Belichek can't lose 2 primetime games in a row.

Ya that's right the Patriot's lose tonight and next sunday night the top dog of the AFC currently, the Bengals, beat New England in Foxboro.
Every Joe in America will be pounding New England next week after they lose tonight with Tom and the boys.

This isn't 2004-2013 anymore. The Patriots aren't the same team.

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2004
Posts: 171308
Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

Trust me i know many people who think like this when they bet. They are what i call captain crunch cappers. They open up the Sunday paper, look at the lines and make their picks. They don't put any research into a game they just go off instinct and what line looks good.

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 6667
Posted: #39
Just be on the pats and the saints after a loss as 4 or more point favorite the same weeks... 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6868
Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:


Happy Belated Birthday Mac 
A true covers capper and respectable guy 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2012
Posts: 445
Posted: #41
Pats have some serious O-line problems and something is just not clicking The Bengals win by 14
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2010
Posts: 2964
Posted: #42
nice call!!!!
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6868
Posted: #43
OK I lied.
New England will win on Sunday. I've analyzed the game more and like the Pats
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 13189
Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

OK I lied.
New England will win on Sunday. I've analyzed the game more and like the Pats


Haha
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2012
Posts: 8779
Posted: #45

Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

OK I lied.
New England will win on Sunday. I've analyzed the game more and like the Pats

smart man  

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2014
Posts: 14
Posted: #46
Please go to this page to help me figure out a fantasy trade.  

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101961463

Thanks!!
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6868
Posted: #47
I jumped the gun on this thread saying New England would lose 2 straight.
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 13189
Posted: #48
New England is the home dog getting the most points on Sunday EXCLUDING JAX.  This has been flawless for 4 straight weeks. That guy bieber believer started the thread...
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 13189
Posted: #49
Based on what we have seen you would think Cincy would be a big fave even on the road, but they come in at a pick???? 


SHADY LINE MEANS NEW ENGLAND WINS. No big money line dog,but we still get the cover.  

JUST THOUGHTS, NOTHING ELSE
 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #50
doesn't appear that every Joe will be betting the Patriots after a loss like that...
All Forums | NFL Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 Genius Sports. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.