Atlanta lost the SB on 3rd and 23 at the +35 with 3:50 left in game.
If they run, and kick the FG, they most likely win the game.
I had Patriots minus 3-05. Even late fourth quarter, I felt they had run out of time. The clock management on the part of the Falcons is explainable only as stupid and incompetent. I also thought the game was over when Julio made that incredible catch into really good coverage. Seemed easy from there that the Falcons would bleed the clock and take the field goal attempt. But, as you have repeatedly stressed, this type of stupidity happens all the time. I stopped betting the Jets when Rex Ryan was the coach because he clearly had no one watching the clock. Just a moron. And, does anyone want to start a thread on the imbecilic Mike Leach ?
If they run, and kick the FG, they most likely win the game.
I had Patriots minus 3-05. Even late fourth quarter, I felt they had run out of time. The clock management on the part of the Falcons is explainable only as stupid and incompetent. I also thought the game was over when Julio made that incredible catch into really good coverage. Seemed easy from there that the Falcons would bleed the clock and take the field goal attempt. But, as you have repeatedly stressed, this type of stupidity happens all the time. I stopped betting the Jets when Rex Ryan was the coach because he clearly had no one watching the clock. Just a moron. And, does anyone want to start a thread on the imbecilic Mike Leach ?
Also, think about what would be the best fairy tale ending to this particular game.
Also, think about what would be the best fairy tale ending to this particular game.
I had mostly props and $40 on Atl, so I'm certainly not angry because I lost a small wager.
I had mostly props and $40 on Atl, so I'm certainly not angry because I lost a small wager.
I don’t have all of the details that you are asking for here
but the solution is pretty simple. Do
you want to remove the emotion and pressure from the decisions that need to be
made? Well then you need to take these
decisions out of the hands of human beings and allow computers to make them. We see this more and more in financial
markets these days. “Gut” traders, by
and large, have been replaced with algorithms that stick to a process no matter
what. Obviously we can’t eliminate the
human element from coaching entirely, but I think the solution is pretty
simple- hire a team of software developers to create an application that will run
simulations using actual historical game data and use this data to inform what
the best possible decision is at any given time with probabilities based on
past outcomes.
Put this on the tablets that all the coaches carry around
and voila; you’ve got all the answers to the test right in front of you. If
there was a red flashing light screaming at Shanahan to tell Ryan to let the
play clock run down or telling him that the benefit of running the ball and burning
clock increases their win probability by X percent, maybe he would have
listened…
I don’t have all of the details that you are asking for here
but the solution is pretty simple. Do
you want to remove the emotion and pressure from the decisions that need to be
made? Well then you need to take these
decisions out of the hands of human beings and allow computers to make them. We see this more and more in financial
markets these days. “Gut” traders, by
and large, have been replaced with algorithms that stick to a process no matter
what. Obviously we can’t eliminate the
human element from coaching entirely, but I think the solution is pretty
simple- hire a team of software developers to create an application that will run
simulations using actual historical game data and use this data to inform what
the best possible decision is at any given time with probabilities based on
past outcomes.
Put this on the tablets that all the coaches carry around
and voila; you’ve got all the answers to the test right in front of you. If
there was a red flashing light screaming at Shanahan to tell Ryan to let the
play clock run down or telling him that the benefit of running the ball and burning
clock increases their win probability by X percent, maybe he would have
listened…
Arguably, they were only in the lead at that point because Pats spotted them the 3 TDs early through sloppy passing and catching, and a defense that wasn't even playing until the 3rd quarter.
Arguably, they were only in the lead at that point because Pats spotted them the 3 TDs early through sloppy passing and catching, and a defense that wasn't even playing until the 3rd quarter.
You guys and the rigged stuff.
No way this game was rigged ...they were on Atlanta
You guys and the rigged stuff.
No way this game was rigged ...they were on Atlanta
While I am on the subject....
While I am on the subject....
Know Bryants accuracy from that distance? I recall him being pretty accurate. I'm not one that buys into the fix talk, and i'd like to come up with another explanation, but I really can't. Run the ball 3 times and kick the FG. Even if you miss, even if it's blocked and returned for a TD, no right minded person would second guess you. I'm happy for the win and the money that comes with it but I can't help but question that whole sequence of events.
Know Bryants accuracy from that distance? I recall him being pretty accurate. I'm not one that buys into the fix talk, and i'd like to come up with another explanation, but I really can't. Run the ball 3 times and kick the FG. Even if you miss, even if it's blocked and returned for a TD, no right minded person would second guess you. I'm happy for the win and the money that comes with it but I can't help but question that whole sequence of events.
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