🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

@fubah2

 WHAT WE THINKING FOR TONIGHTS GAME

I MISSED SO MANY PICKS BECAUSE WAS TO LATE TO GET IN

SO EITHER WAY THANK YOU

KEEP UP THE GREAT WORK

MNF:

LIVE BET early 1Q no score, Dall poss:  Dal/LV under 49.5 -188 alt-total @B365 *BB

LIVE BET early 2Q, Dal leads 10 - 6, Dal drive: DALLAS +1.5 -280 alt@B365 *BB

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

W LIVE BET early 1Q no score, Dall poss: Dal/LV under 49.5 -188 alt-total@B365 *BB
W LIVE BET early 2Q, Dal leads 10 - 6, Dal drive: DALLAS +1.5 -280 alt@B365 *BB

Two more *BestBet WINNERS!  

 Now  35 - 11  with my NFL *BBs     

      And  74 - 31  with my college football *BBs

Nice win for the Good Guys  Wow, that was close!  I had 50’.  Will be a great week Pilgrim 

@fubah2

 I”ll take it ! 2:30 left on the 5. It’s good to show kindness . 

 My NFL weekly *Best Bets results:

Week 01:     2 - 1      Losers: -200
Week 02:    2 - 0
Week 03:    6 - 1      Losers: -380 from LIVE middle shot
Week 04:    2 - 3      Losers: -168 -325 -125
Week 05:    5 - 3      Losers: -200 -153 -128
      Sub-total 18 - 8  ...juice from 8 losers -1679

Week 06:    2 - 2      Losers: -200 -350
Week 07:    4 - 0
Week 08:    2 - 1      Losers: -184
Week 09:    2 - 0
Week 10:    1 - 0
Week 11:     7 - 0     -->   YTD:  35 - 11 ...juice from all 11 losers -2413
Week 12:
Week 13:
Week 14:
Week 15:
Week 16:
Week 17:
Week 18:
Wildcard:

NOTE:  18 - 3 since week 06 began!  I have frequently stated that I do not historically fare well prior to October and my best capping results usually begin around week 6 when I have accumulated sufficient stats/results to make better informed decisions. Also, these do not include my "Fun with Player Props" 1/10th unit bets which I am tracking separately to determine if I have any skill with these like FUSE does (but I don't)

@JJWoods

 TY JJ 

Who do I like in bills game brother 

WEEK 12 

TEXANS +6.0 -134  alt-line@pinn   *BB

I do believe Bills win SU however so I may go for a middle if I can get a lower ML on the Bills but ONLY IF they are still playing decently well.

@fubah2

 THANK YOU

GOODLUCK ON THE PLAY

@fubah2

 Same side!  GL!! 

I really hope you win your bet!  

@fubah2

 If you also bet them I hope you win! 

 With 9 mins left in the 4Q, typically thismeans both teams are LIKELY to have 2 possessions each, beginning with Bills now...... which suggests HOUSTON should have the final possession....

Produced a FG.........OK thatt's one possession for Bills.

Now Houston gets one before they give it up to Bills again needing a TD.

Then maybe Houston again....

I hope you got in on the Texans to cover 

Another *BestBet WINNER!! 

*BB YTD:  36 - 11   76%  ...juice from all 11 losers -2413

LIONS -6.5 -200  alt-line@FD  *BB   ...to cover a TD only  looks very good to me!

LIONS -8 -136  alt-line@pinn   (not a *BB but still a decent bet)

Both teams are banged up - particularly BOTH defenses! But the NYG defense looks to be even worse off ...and they are already among the WORST in the NFL. Their ROAD game defense is horrible  - yielding an avg of 30 ppg and that was achieved against a collective group of 6 teams that are roughly mediocre teams overall....That bangedup, already weakass NYG road defense must now face one of the TOP offenses on their HOME turf! A top offense at HOME who are coming off a 2 game road trip (always a morale boost to return HOME!!) and a poor performance loss @PHILLY - where Goff had an uncharacteristically poor outing with only 37% completions; star RB Gibbs only tallied 39 rush yds!; and all-star 5-yr vet WR, Amon-Ra St.Brown had perhaps his WORST performance of his career catching only 2 of 12 targets!! 

Despite the 3 poor performances in key positions (Goff, Gibbs, St.Brown - I definitely expect all 3 to rebound!!) but for an unlucky INT that gave Philly a free 3 to start the game (in a 7 point ROAD loss), the LIONS offense avg 5.3 ypp compared to Eagles only 3.9 ypp! Furthermore, the mighty Eagles - ranked either #1 or #2 in the NFL - playing at home! - vs a banged up LIONS defense (which was on the field a LOT due to GOFF having a BAD day) - could still only muster 124 pass yds and just 1 for 3 in the RZ....suggesting that LIONS D may not be so bad afterall with their backups to their injured Defenders - a couple of whom they may get back!

Those 3 LION's stars having poor performances ACTUALLY BODES WELL for this coming game, as GOOD veterans rarely have back-to-back bad outings and the return HOME to refocus and right the ship facing a weakass team which yields 30 ppg against mediocre teams, suffering several defensive injuries as well, should be a recipe for a SOLID home win by at least a full TD.  

If QB DART is out for NYG, I may add a 3rd bet on Detroit! But I think he will clear protocol and play.

Of course there is always a chance for a fluke or a backdoor cover (ESPECIALLY when the pick just looks "too good to be true") so I always hesitate to lay 2 scores ....but I do like my chances for the vastly superior team to cover a TD....hence buying points using the alt-lines!

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

     19 - 3   with *BestBets   since week 06 began! 

I have frequently stated that I do not historically fare well prior to October and my best capping results usually begin around week 6 when I have accumulated sufficient stats/results to make better informed decisions. Also, these do not include my "Fun with Player Props" 1/10th unit bets which I am tracking separately to determine if I have any skill with these like FUSE does (but I don't)