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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

    «First Previous 232233234 ... 354355356 Next Last»
    fubah2
    trust-me
    CSNURICH2004
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    fubah2
    fubah2
    Legend
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    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 53168
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2024 - 7:45 PM ET #5776

    *

    My 2024 weekly results:
    -------------------------

    Week 01:    1 - 0
    Week 02:    3 - 1    (Loser: -115)
    Week 03:    5 - 2    (Losers: -110, *-175)
    Week 04:    6 - 2    (Losers: -250, -180)
    Week 05:    5 - 2    (Losers: *-230, -175)
    Week 06:    6 - 0
    Week 07:    8 - 4    (Losers: *-108, -115, -153, *-210)
    Week 08:    5 - 2    (Losers: -120, -125)
    Week 09:    9 - 8   (Losers: -105; +1.5-120; +17.5-250; +3-142; +3.5-150; -150; +3.5-180; -105)
    Week 10:    6 - 4    (Losers: -4 140; +120; +8 -128; -127)
    Week 11:   16 - 6   (Losers: -150; -6.5 -145; -287; -4 -152; -150; -2.5 -150)
    Week 12:    8 - 1    (Loser: -7.5 -125)
    Week 13:    7 - 4    (Losers: -118; -150; -130; +4.5 -145)
    Week 14:    5 - 1    (Loser: +150 hedge bet)
    Week 15:

    YTD:  90 - 37   an_2drinks   [27 - 8 *Best Bets!! ]

                                                            HOT STREAK warning for regression still in effect

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    *

    My 2024 weekly results:
    -------------------------

    Week 01:    1 - 0
    Week 02:    3 - 1    (Loser: -115)
    Week 03:    5 - 2    (Losers: -110, *-175)
    Week 04:    6 - 2    (Losers: -250, -180)
    Week 05:    5 - 2    (Losers: *-230, -175)
    Week 06:    6 - 0
    Week 07:    8 - 4    (Losers: *-108, -115, -153, *-210)
    Week 08:    5 - 2    (Losers: -120, -125)
    Week 09:    9 - 8   (Losers: -105; +1.5-120; +17.5-250; +3-142; +3.5-150; -150; +3.5-180; -105)
    Week 10:    6 - 4    (Losers: -4 140; +120; +8 -128; -127)
    Week 11:   16 - 6   (Losers: -150; -6.5 -145; -287; -4 -152; -150; -2.5 -150)
    Week 12:    8 - 1    (Loser: -7.5 -125)
    Week 13:    7 - 4    (Losers: -118; -150; -130; +4.5 -145)
    Week 14:    5 - 1    (Loser: +150 hedge bet)
    Week 15:

    YTD:  90 - 37   an_2drinks   [27 - 8 *Best Bets!! ]

                                                            HOT STREAK warning for regression still in effect

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 53168
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2024 - 7:46 PM ET #5777


    The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.

     

    Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries.

    Rams ON THE ROAD are mediocre at best.
    Can't really say the Niners ON HOMEFILED are a whole lot better - but they have been comparatively better, while facing similar levels of competition.

    Despite missing some weapons, the Niners passing attack should be on par with the RAMS
    Kupp and Nacua are dynamic for RAMS while Kittle and Jennings are for the niners.
    Lurking in the shadows and way overdue for a good game is speedster Deebo. I expect he will.
    Rams have a very effect RB.
    The 49ers might not. They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be?

    I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills. Whereas I do not think the Niners win over the weakass BEARS will make any difference to tonight.

    I have this game "circled" for the niners (LEAN).... but the loss of Mustapha on D, missing 2 starting OL, Nick Bosa likely being very limited if he plays,and the HUGE questionamark surrounding the effectiveness of the Niners run game - gives me serious pause on the homies.
    I HATE uncertainty, so I need to see how well the NINERS ground game goes first.

    If effective, then I will grab SF for a moneyline winner. If not, they become one-dimensional and RAMS D will get a few stops they might not otherwise have got, and they likely prevail (all other things being equal and of course barring unforeseen factors like injuries)

    Of course TURNOVERS/other breaks can make a significant diff, and depending WHERE and WHEN it can completely flip a game result!

    Watch & wait for an in-game bet for me....

     

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    The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.

     

    Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries.

    Rams ON THE ROAD are mediocre at best.
    Can't really say the Niners ON HOMEFILED are a whole lot better - but they have been comparatively better, while facing similar levels of competition.

    Despite missing some weapons, the Niners passing attack should be on par with the RAMS
    Kupp and Nacua are dynamic for RAMS while Kittle and Jennings are for the niners.
    Lurking in the shadows and way overdue for a good game is speedster Deebo. I expect he will.
    Rams have a very effect RB.
    The 49ers might not. They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be?

    I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills. Whereas I do not think the Niners win over the weakass BEARS will make any difference to tonight.

    I have this game "circled" for the niners (LEAN).... but the loss of Mustapha on D, missing 2 starting OL, Nick Bosa likely being very limited if he plays,and the HUGE questionamark surrounding the effectiveness of the Niners run game - gives me serious pause on the homies.
    I HATE uncertainty, so I need to see how well the NINERS ground game goes first.

    If effective, then I will grab SF for a moneyline winner. If not, they become one-dimensional and RAMS D will get a few stops they might not otherwise have got, and they likely prevail (all other things being equal and of course barring unforeseen factors like injuries)

    Of course TURNOVERS/other breaks can make a significant diff, and depending WHERE and WHEN it can completely flip a game result!

    Watch & wait for an in-game bet for me....

     

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 53168
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2024 - 8:01 PM ET #5778

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.   Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries. Rams ON THE ROAD are mediocre at best.Can't really say the Niners ON HOMEFILED are a whole lot better - but they have been comparatively better, while facing similar levels of competition. Despite missing some weapons, the Niners passing attack should be on par with the RAMSKupp and Nacua are dynamic for RAMS while Kittle and Jennings are for the niners.Lurking in the shadows and way overdue for a good game is speedster Deebo. I expect he will.Rams have a very effect RB.The 49ers might not. They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be? I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills. Whereas I do not think the Niners win over the weakass BEARS will make any difference to tonight. I have this game "circled" for the niners (LEAN).... but the loss of Mustapha on D, missing 2 starting OL, Nick Bosa likely being very limited if he plays,and the HUGE questionamark surrounding the effectiveness of the Niners run game - gives me serious pause on the homies.I HATE uncertainty, so I need to see how well the NINERS ground game goes first. If effective, then I will grab SF for a moneyline winner. If not, they become one-dimensional and RAMS D will get a few stops they might not otherwise have got, and they likely prevail (all other things being equal and of course barring unforeseen factors like injuries) Of course TURNOVERS/other breaks can make a significant diff, and depending WHERE and WHEN it can completely flip a game result! Watch & wait for an in-game bet for me....

    BoL with your bets tonight, fellas! an_cheers

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.   Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries. Rams ON THE ROAD are mediocre at best.Can't really say the Niners ON HOMEFILED are a whole lot better - but they have been comparatively better, while facing similar levels of competition. Despite missing some weapons, the Niners passing attack should be on par with the RAMSKupp and Nacua are dynamic for RAMS while Kittle and Jennings are for the niners.Lurking in the shadows and way overdue for a good game is speedster Deebo. I expect he will.Rams have a very effect RB.The 49ers might not. They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be? I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills. Whereas I do not think the Niners win over the weakass BEARS will make any difference to tonight. I have this game "circled" for the niners (LEAN).... but the loss of Mustapha on D, missing 2 starting OL, Nick Bosa likely being very limited if he plays,and the HUGE questionamark surrounding the effectiveness of the Niners run game - gives me serious pause on the homies.I HATE uncertainty, so I need to see how well the NINERS ground game goes first. If effective, then I will grab SF for a moneyline winner. If not, they become one-dimensional and RAMS D will get a few stops they might not otherwise have got, and they likely prevail (all other things being equal and of course barring unforeseen factors like injuries) Of course TURNOVERS/other breaks can make a significant diff, and depending WHERE and WHEN it can completely flip a game result! Watch & wait for an in-game bet for me....

    BoL with your bets tonight, fellas! an_cheers

     
    trust-me
    trust-me
    Captain
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    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 7657
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2024 - 8:14 PM ET #5779

    @fubah2

     I'm on S.F for that fact myself Going to be a close one imo!

    Mr Evil.
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    @fubah2

     I'm on S.F for that fact myself Going to be a close one imo!

     
    CSNURICH2004
    CSNURICH2004
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    Joined: May, 2018
    Posts: 364
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2024 - 8:19 PM ET #5780

    @fubah2

    despite the receivers are good for both teams, there is a big diffrence in the QB position. opinion?

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    @fubah2

    despite the receivers are good for both teams, there is a big diffrence in the QB position. opinion?

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 53168
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2024 - 8:24 PM ET #5781

    Quote Originally Posted by CSNURICH2004:

    @fubah2 despite the receivers are good for both teams, there is a big diffrence in the QB position. opinion?

     

    @CSNURICH2004

    Hmmmm....good point.  Many would say Stafford has an edge there. Probably.

    But Purdy has talent too and did get them to the SB....also, a bit more of a threat to run. But I still feel it will come down to how effective the Niners backs and OL will be running the ball!

     

    What's your view? peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by CSNURICH2004:

    @fubah2 despite the receivers are good for both teams, there is a big diffrence in the QB position. opinion?

     

    @CSNURICH2004

    Hmmmm....good point.  Many would say Stafford has an edge there. Probably.

    But Purdy has talent too and did get them to the SB....also, a bit more of a threat to run. But I still feel it will come down to how effective the Niners backs and OL will be running the ball!

     

    What's your view? peace_5

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 53168
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2024 - 8:32 PM ET #5782

    Quote Originally Posted by trust-me:

    @fubah2  I'm on S.F for that fact myself  Going to be a close one imo!

    @trust-me

     Hoping you win that one, bud! clover an_cheers

    SF lead 3 - 0

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    Quote Originally Posted by trust-me:

    @fubah2  I'm on S.F for that fact myself  Going to be a close one imo!

    @trust-me

     Hoping you win that one, bud! clover an_cheers

    SF lead 3 - 0

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 53168
    Posted: Dec. 12, 2024 - 8:53 PM ET #5783

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.   Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries. Rams ON THE ROAD are mediocre at best.Can't really say the Niners ON HOMEFILED are a whole lot better - but they have been comparatively better, while facing similar levels of competition. Despite missing some weapons, the Niners passing attack should be on par with the RAMSKupp and Nacua are dynamic for RAMS while Kittle and Jennings are for the niners.Lurking in the shadows and way overdue for a good game is speedster Deebo. I expect he will.Rams have a very effect RB.The 49ers might not. They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be? I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills.

    Six punts in a quarter. Stafford, Rams look OFF their game, so far, as I figured...

    OTOH, Niners have yet to establish a run game.

    Rams will have to punt.....Even up drives so far

     

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.   Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries. Rams ON THE ROAD are mediocre at best.Can't really say the Niners ON HOMEFILED are a whole lot better - but they have been comparatively better, while facing similar levels of competition. Despite missing some weapons, the Niners passing attack should be on par with the RAMSKupp and Nacua are dynamic for RAMS while Kittle and Jennings are for the niners.Lurking in the shadows and way overdue for a good game is speedster Deebo. I expect he will.Rams have a very effect RB.The 49ers might not. They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be? I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills.

    Six punts in a quarter. Stafford, Rams look OFF their game, so far, as I figured...

    OTOH, Niners have yet to establish a run game.

    Rams will have to punt.....Even up drives so far

     

     

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2024 - 9:13 PM ET #5784

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.   Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries. Rams ON THE ROAD are mediocre at best.Can't really say the Niners ON HOMEFILED are a whole lot better - but they have been comparatively better, while facing similar levels of competition. Despite missing some weapons, the Niners passing attack should be on par with the RAMSKupp and Nacua are dynamic for RAMS while Kittle and Jennings are for the niners.Lurking in the shadows and way overdue for a good game is speedster Deebo. I expect he will.Rams have a very effect RB.The 49ers might not. They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be? I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills. Six punts in a quarter. Stafford, Rams look OFF their game, so far, as I figured... OTOH, Niners have yet to establish a run game. Rams will have to punt.....Even up drives so far
    OK mid 2Q so both teams likely to get 2 possessions... outside chances for SF to get a 3rd

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.   Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries. Rams ON THE ROAD are mediocre at best.Can't really say the Niners ON HOMEFILED are a whole lot better - but they have been comparatively better, while facing similar levels of competition. Despite missing some weapons, the Niners passing attack should be on par with the RAMSKupp and Nacua are dynamic for RAMS while Kittle and Jennings are for the niners.Lurking in the shadows and way overdue for a good game is speedster Deebo. I expect he will.Rams have a very effect RB.The 49ers might not. They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be? I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills. Six punts in a quarter. Stafford, Rams look OFF their game, so far, as I figured... OTOH, Niners have yet to establish a run game. Rams will have to punt.....Even up drives so far
    OK mid 2Q so both teams likely to get 2 possessions... outside chances for SF to get a 3rd

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2024 - 10:43 PM ET #5785

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.   Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries. Rams ON THE ROAD are mediocre at best.Can't really say the Niners ON HOMEFILED are a whole lot better - but they have been comparatively better, while facing similar levels of competition. Despite missing some weapons, the Niners passing attack should be on par with the RAMSKupp and Nacua are dynamic for RAMS while Kittle and Jennings are for the niners.Lurking in the shadows and way overdue for a good game is speedster Deebo. I expect he will.Rams have a very effect RB.The 49ers might not. They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be? I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills. Six punts in a quarter. Stafford, Rams look OFF their game, so far, as I figured... OTOH, Niners have yet to establish a run game. Rams will have to punt.....Even up drives so farOK mid 2Q so both teams likely to get 2 possessions... outside chances for SF to get a 3rd

     

    Late 4Q ....timeout.... with the time remaining, my ststs show that TYPICALLY (not always!) the team taking over possession will get 2 drives and the opp (Niners) only one left....

    Rams lead and likely to have 2 possessions to only one......

    The moneyline on RAMS leaped from -125 to -350

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.   Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries. Rams ON THE ROAD are mediocre at best.Can't really say the Niners ON HOMEFILED are a whole lot better - but they have been comparatively better, while facing similar levels of competition. Despite missing some weapons, the Niners passing attack should be on par with the RAMSKupp and Nacua are dynamic for RAMS while Kittle and Jennings are for the niners.Lurking in the shadows and way overdue for a good game is speedster Deebo. I expect he will.Rams have a very effect RB.The 49ers might not. They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be? I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills. Six punts in a quarter. Stafford, Rams look OFF their game, so far, as I figured... OTOH, Niners have yet to establish a run game. Rams will have to punt.....Even up drives so farOK mid 2Q so both teams likely to get 2 possessions... outside chances for SF to get a 3rd

     

    Late 4Q ....timeout.... with the time remaining, my ststs show that TYPICALLY (not always!) the team taking over possession will get 2 drives and the opp (Niners) only one left....

    Rams lead and likely to have 2 possessions to only one......

    The moneyline on RAMS leaped from -125 to -350

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2024 - 10:47 PM ET #5786

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.   Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries. Rams ON THE ROAD are mediocre at best.Can't really say the Niners ON HOMEFILED are a whole lot better - but they have been comparatively better, while facing similar levels of competition. Despite missing some weapons, the Niners passing attack should be on par with the RAMSKupp and Nacua are dynamic for RAMS while Kittle and Jennings are for the niners.Lurking in the shadows and way overdue for a good game is speedster Deebo. I expect he will.Rams have a very effect RB.The 49ers might not. They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be? I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills. Six punts in a quarter. Stafford, Rams look OFF their game, so far, as I figured... OTOH, Niners have yet to establish a run game. Rams will have to punt.....Even up drives so farOK mid 2Q so both teams likely to get 2 possessions... outside chances for SF to get a 3rd   Late 4Q ....timeout.... with the time remaining, my ststs show that TYPICALLY (not always!) the team taking over possession will get 2 drives and the opp (Niners) only one left.... Rams lead and likely to have 2 possessions to only one...... The moneyline on RAMS leaped from -125 to -350

    Now leaps to -650

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.   Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries. Rams ON THE ROAD are mediocre at best.Can't really say the Niners ON HOMEFILED are a whole lot better - but they have been comparatively better, while facing similar levels of competition. Despite missing some weapons, the Niners passing attack should be on par with the RAMSKupp and Nacua are dynamic for RAMS while Kittle and Jennings are for the niners.Lurking in the shadows and way overdue for a good game is speedster Deebo. I expect he will.Rams have a very effect RB.The 49ers might not. They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be? I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills. Six punts in a quarter. Stafford, Rams look OFF their game, so far, as I figured... OTOH, Niners have yet to establish a run game. Rams will have to punt.....Even up drives so farOK mid 2Q so both teams likely to get 2 possessions... outside chances for SF to get a 3rd   Late 4Q ....timeout.... with the time remaining, my ststs show that TYPICALLY (not always!) the team taking over possession will get 2 drives and the opp (Niners) only one left.... Rams lead and likely to have 2 possessions to only one...... The moneyline on RAMS leaped from -125 to -350

    Now leaps to -650

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2024 - 10:49 PM ET #5787

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:  OTOH, Niners have yet to establish a run game. Rams will have to punt.....Even up drives so farOK mid 2Q so both teams likely to get 2 possessions... outside chances for SF to get a 3rd   Late 4Q ....timeout.... with the time remaining, my ststs show that TYPICALLY (not always!) the team taking over possession will get 2 drives and the opp (Niners) only one left.... Rams lead and likely to have 2 possessions to only one...... The moneyline on RAMS leaped from -125 to -350 Now leaps to -650

     

    now shoots up to -1000  an_speechless

    This drive being set up by a fortunate INT in the endzone...

    Yet if SF can hold RAMS to no better than a FGA, it might get interesting...

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:  OTOH, Niners have yet to establish a run game. Rams will have to punt.....Even up drives so farOK mid 2Q so both teams likely to get 2 possessions... outside chances for SF to get a 3rd   Late 4Q ....timeout.... with the time remaining, my ststs show that TYPICALLY (not always!) the team taking over possession will get 2 drives and the opp (Niners) only one left.... Rams lead and likely to have 2 possessions to only one...... The moneyline on RAMS leaped from -125 to -350 Now leaps to -650

     

    now shoots up to -1000  an_speechless

    This drive being set up by a fortunate INT in the endzone...

    Yet if SF can hold RAMS to no better than a FGA, it might get interesting...

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2024 - 3:48 AM ET #5788

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.   Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries.

    Rams have a very effect RB.The 49ers might not.

    They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be? I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills. Whereas I do not think the Niners win over the weakass BEARS will make any difference to tonight. I have this game "circled" for the niners (LEAN).... but the loss of Mustapha on D, missing 2 starting OL, Nick Bosa likely being very limited if he plays,and the HUGE question questionmark surrounding the effectiveness of the Niners run game - gives me serious pause on the homies.I HATE uncertainty, so I need to see how well the NINERS ground game goes first.  If effective, then I will grab SF for a moneyline winner.  If not, they become one-dimensional and RAMS D will get a few stops they might not otherwise have got, and they likely prevail (all other things being equal and of course barring unforeseen factors like injuries) Of course TURNOVERS/other breaks can make a significant diff, and depending WHERE and WHEN it can completely flip a game result!  Watch & wait for an in-game bet for me....

    Niners are toast.  With mounting injuries now on top of their already injured, realistically the only thing left to do is LOSE their final 3 games and improve their draft position.

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    The loser of tonight's game will be all but officially eliminated from the playoffs.   Hampering the NINERS are serious depth concerns with their littany of injuries.

    Rams have a very effect RB.The 49ers might not.

    They are missing their top 2 backs and their #3 - who had a great game against a weakass BEARS defense - is hurt. Yes, Guerendo is putting on a brave face and will suit up despite the severe foot pain. But how effective will he be? I think RAMS will come down to earth after their win over the Bills. Whereas I do not think the Niners win over the weakass BEARS will make any difference to tonight. I have this game "circled" for the niners (LEAN).... but the loss of Mustapha on D, missing 2 starting OL, Nick Bosa likely being very limited if he plays,and the HUGE question questionmark surrounding the effectiveness of the Niners run game - gives me serious pause on the homies.I HATE uncertainty, so I need to see how well the NINERS ground game goes first.  If effective, then I will grab SF for a moneyline winner.  If not, they become one-dimensional and RAMS D will get a few stops they might not otherwise have got, and they likely prevail (all other things being equal and of course barring unforeseen factors like injuries) Of course TURNOVERS/other breaks can make a significant diff, and depending WHERE and WHEN it can completely flip a game result!  Watch & wait for an in-game bet for me....

    Niners are toast.  With mounting injuries now on top of their already injured, realistically the only thing left to do is LOSE their final 3 games and improve their draft position.

     
    RayRayK
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2024 - 7:35 AM ET #5789

    @fubah2

     I agree , after reading the preview and injury report the Rams had the advantage. 9ers just don’t have enough to make run this year - MVP out so ,,,,,  Strong lean for the Chargers which I have on some teasers getting points but could be a decent straight bet -3 and buying the hook. Tampa trying to make the playoffs winning 3 in a row are due for a let down and Chargers coming off tough losses are due for a win at home -angle . I like to wait right until game time for last minute Smart money - more than not it’s correct. I knew a guy who made money ever by just doing that! He was a CPA and “told “me it was a profitable system that just required patience . He had his own firm and was one of those people that had a halo where everything he touched turned to gold. Leaning Cavs in the NBA tonight but need to check injury reports - It’s “ seems on Fridays strong home favs do well against bad teams. I may bet Cavs 1st Qtr , Half and Game and most likely will tease them - Like adding 10 pts to Chargers and the Under - Should be a hard fought game . peace_5

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    @fubah2

     I agree , after reading the preview and injury report the Rams had the advantage. 9ers just don’t have enough to make run this year - MVP out so ,,,,,  Strong lean for the Chargers which I have on some teasers getting points but could be a decent straight bet -3 and buying the hook. Tampa trying to make the playoffs winning 3 in a row are due for a let down and Chargers coming off tough losses are due for a win at home -angle . I like to wait right until game time for last minute Smart money - more than not it’s correct. I knew a guy who made money ever by just doing that! He was a CPA and “told “me it was a profitable system that just required patience . He had his own firm and was one of those people that had a halo where everything he touched turned to gold. Leaning Cavs in the NBA tonight but need to check injury reports - It’s “ seems on Fridays strong home favs do well against bad teams. I may bet Cavs 1st Qtr , Half and Game and most likely will tease them - Like adding 10 pts to Chargers and the Under - Should be a hard fought game . peace_5

     
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2024 - 6:01 PM ET #5790

    Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:

    @fubah2  I agree , after reading the preview and injury report the Rams had the advantage. 9ers just don’t have enough to make run this year - MVP out so ,,,,,  Strong lean for the Chargers which I have on some teasers getting points but could be a decent straight bet -3 and buying the hook. Tampa trying to make the playoffs winning 3 in a row are due for a let down and Chargers coming off tough losses are due for a win at home -angle . I like to wait right until game time for last minute Smart money - more than not it’s correct. I knew a guy who made money ever by just doing that! He was a CPA and “told “me it was a profitable system that just required patience . He had his own firm and was one of those people that had a halo where everything he touched turned to gold. Leaning Cavs in the NBA tonight but need to check injury reports - It’s “ seems on Fridays strong home favs do well against bad teams. I may bet Cavs 1st Qtr , Half and Game and most likely will tease them - Like adding 10 pts to Chargers and the Under - Should be a hard fought game .

    @RayRayK

    Good insight!  an_cheers

     

     

    Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert said Wednesday he suffered a sprained left ankle in the team's 19-17 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday.

     

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:

    @fubah2  I agree , after reading the preview and injury report the Rams had the advantage. 9ers just don’t have enough to make run this year - MVP out so ,,,,,  Strong lean for the Chargers which I have on some teasers getting points but could be a decent straight bet -3 and buying the hook. Tampa trying to make the playoffs winning 3 in a row are due for a let down and Chargers coming off tough losses are due for a win at home -angle . I like to wait right until game time for last minute Smart money - more than not it’s correct. I knew a guy who made money ever by just doing that! He was a CPA and “told “me it was a profitable system that just required patience . He had his own firm and was one of those people that had a halo where everything he touched turned to gold. Leaning Cavs in the NBA tonight but need to check injury reports - It’s “ seems on Fridays strong home favs do well against bad teams. I may bet Cavs 1st Qtr , Half and Game and most likely will tease them - Like adding 10 pts to Chargers and the Under - Should be a hard fought game .

    @RayRayK

    Good insight!  an_cheers

     

     

    Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert said Wednesday he suffered a sprained left ankle in the team's 19-17 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday.

     

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2024 - 1:01 PM ET #5791

    LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos

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    LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2024 - 2:28 PM ET #5792

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos

     

    Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them sad

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos

     

    Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them sad

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2024 - 2:43 PM ET #5793

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos   Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them

    WADDLE looks to be OUT for Miami and Texans playing surprisingly good defense despite a banged up sec and their best LB out...Fixin to make a play on TEXANS ML in the 2h (possibly) for a game win despite heavy chalk

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos   Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them

    WADDLE looks to be OUT for Miami and Texans playing surprisingly good defense despite a banged up sec and their best LB out...Fixin to make a play on TEXANS ML in the 2h (possibly) for a game win despite heavy chalk

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2024 - 2:47 PM ET #5794

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos   Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them WADDLE looks to be OUT for Miami and Texans playing surprisingly good defense despite a banged up sec and their best LB out...Fixin to make a play on TEXANS ML in the 2h (possibly) for a game win despite heavy chalk
    Mixon seems to be OK

     

    Just into the 3Q, 13 - 6, Houston driving...LIVE BET: TEXANS -385

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos   Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them WADDLE looks to be OUT for Miami and Texans playing surprisingly good defense despite a banged up sec and their best LB out...Fixin to make a play on TEXANS ML in the 2h (possibly) for a game win despite heavy chalk
    Mixon seems to be OK

     

    Just into the 3Q, 13 - 6, Houston driving...LIVE BET: TEXANS -385

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2024 - 2:51 PM ET #5795

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos   Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them WADDLE looks to be OUT for Miami and Texans playing surprisingly good defense despite a banged up sec and their best LB out...Fixin to make a play on TEXANS ML in the 2h (possibly) for a game win despite heavy chalkMixon seems to be OK   Just into the 3Q, 13 - 6, Houston driving...LIVE BET: TEXANS -385

    FAKE PUNT for a big play and then they fumble!!! angry

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos   Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them WADDLE looks to be OUT for Miami and Texans playing surprisingly good defense despite a banged up sec and their best LB out...Fixin to make a play on TEXANS ML in the 2h (possibly) for a game win despite heavy chalkMixon seems to be OK   Just into the 3Q, 13 - 6, Houston driving...LIVE BET: TEXANS -385

    FAKE PUNT for a big play and then they fumble!!! angry

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2024 - 2:54 PM ET #5796

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos   Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them WADDLE looks to be OUT for Miami and Texans playing surprisingly good defense despite a banged up sec and their best LB out...Fixin to make a play on TEXANS ML in the 2h (possibly) for a game win despite heavy chalkMixon seems to be OK   Just into the 3Q, 13 - 6, Houston driving...LIVE BET: TEXANS -385 FAKE PUNT for a big play and then they fumble!!!

    Video review:  elbow was down!....still Texans ball deep!! an_cheers

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos   Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them WADDLE looks to be OUT for Miami and Texans playing surprisingly good defense despite a banged up sec and their best LB out...Fixin to make a play on TEXANS ML in the 2h (possibly) for a game win despite heavy chalkMixon seems to be OK   Just into the 3Q, 13 - 6, Houston driving...LIVE BET: TEXANS -385 FAKE PUNT for a big play and then they fumble!!!

    Video review:  elbow was down!....still Texans ball deep!! an_cheers

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2024 - 3:01 PM ET #5797

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    When I look only at upcoming games where one team lines up to hold MASSIVE edges over their significantly weaker opponent, the past 4 weeks my handicapping sheets revealed these results:

     

    Teams I circled:

    Week 11:   7 - 1 su
    Week 12:   6 - 3 su
    Week 13: 10 - 1 su
    Week 14:   7 - 1 su >>>>> = 30 - 6 su    (only 18 - 16 - 2 ats)

    I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections.
    My real bets went 36 - 12 in this 4 week time frame, whereby 5 of those 12 losses were "in-game hedge bets" and one more was for an in-game shot at a nice middle (but barely missed)  IOW, my pre-game handicapped selections ultimately hit at an 85% rate (36 - 6) utilizing those stats!
    Had I bet ATS, it would have been a wash...

    cool This week it is looking like I'll have as many as 9 teams circled which hold MASSIVE edges - to win SU - over their significantly weaker opponent.

    I DO NOT evaluate based on team win/loss record, nor the Vegas odds!

    The games I have "circled" this week as probable winners (but not bet yet):

    Niners =   they lost

    Chiefs

    Commandos

    Bungles

    Ravens

    Texans  **

    Broncos

    Cards

    Vikings

    **Actually had TEXANS circled with a significant edge to win, but with what I thought was a heavily banged up D, I chose to lean Dolphins

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    When I look only at upcoming games where one team lines up to hold MASSIVE edges over their significantly weaker opponent, the past 4 weeks my handicapping sheets revealed these results:

     

    Teams I circled:

    Week 11:   7 - 1 su
    Week 12:   6 - 3 su
    Week 13: 10 - 1 su
    Week 14:   7 - 1 su >>>>> = 30 - 6 su    (only 18 - 16 - 2 ats)

    I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections.
    My real bets went 36 - 12 in this 4 week time frame, whereby 5 of those 12 losses were "in-game hedge bets" and one more was for an in-game shot at a nice middle (but barely missed)  IOW, my pre-game handicapped selections ultimately hit at an 85% rate (36 - 6) utilizing those stats!
    Had I bet ATS, it would have been a wash...

    cool This week it is looking like I'll have as many as 9 teams circled which hold MASSIVE edges - to win SU - over their significantly weaker opponent.

    I DO NOT evaluate based on team win/loss record, nor the Vegas odds!

    The games I have "circled" this week as probable winners (but not bet yet):

    Niners =   they lost

    Chiefs

    Commandos

    Bungles

    Ravens

    Texans  **

    Broncos

    Cards

    Vikings

    **Actually had TEXANS circled with a significant edge to win, but with what I thought was a heavily banged up D, I chose to lean Dolphins

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 53168
    Posted: Dec. 15, 2024 - 3:59 PM ET #5798

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos

    My Chiefs!

    My Ravens!

    My Commandos!

    My Bungles!

     thumbs_up

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos

    My Chiefs!

    My Ravens!

    My Commandos!

    My Bungles!

     thumbs_up

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 53168
    Posted: Dec. 15, 2024 - 4:13 PM ET #5799

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos   Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them WADDLE looks to be OUT for Miami and Texans playing surprisingly good defense despite a banged up sec and their best LB out...Fixin to make a play on TEXANS ML in the 2h (possibly) for a game win despite heavy chalkMixon seems to be OK   Just into the 3Q, 13 - 6, Houston driving...LIVE BET: TEXANS -385

     

    WINNER! an_dance

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos   Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them WADDLE looks to be OUT for Miami and Texans playing surprisingly good defense despite a banged up sec and their best LB out...Fixin to make a play on TEXANS ML in the 2h (possibly) for a game win despite heavy chalkMixon seems to be OK   Just into the 3Q, 13 - 6, Houston driving...LIVE BET: TEXANS -385

     

    WINNER! an_dance

     

     
     
    fubah2
    fubah2
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 53168
    Posted: Dec. 15, 2024 - 4:24 PM ET #5800

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos   Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them WADDLE looks to be OUT for Miami and Texans playing surprisingly good defense despite a banged up sec and their best LB out...Fixin to make a play on TEXANS ML in the 2h (possibly) for a game win despite heavy chalkMixon seems to be OK   Just into the 3Q, 13 - 6, Houston driving...LIVE BET: TEXANS -385  

    WINNER!

    Late PM bets:

    Cards -278 pinnacle

    Broncos -208 pinnacle

    Leans to Packers, Steelers (ie, watch LIVE, for possible bet in-game)

    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: LEANS :   Chiefs, Dolphins, Ravens, Bungles, Commandos   Late 1stH and 4 of my 5 leans are priced sooooo high now that I can't bet them WADDLE looks to be OUT for Miami and Texans playing surprisingly good defense despite a banged up sec and their best LB out...Fixin to make a play on TEXANS ML in the 2h (possibly) for a game win despite heavy chalkMixon seems to be OK   Just into the 3Q, 13 - 6, Houston driving...LIVE BET: TEXANS -385  

    WINNER!

    Late PM bets:

    Cards -278 pinnacle

    Broncos -208 pinnacle

    Leans to Packers, Steelers (ie, watch LIVE, for possible bet in-game)

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