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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

    «First Previous 234235236 ... 354355356 Next Last»
    fubah2
    Zeus4par
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    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 53169
    Posted: Dec. 15, 2024 - 10:45 PM ET #5826

    *

    My 2024 weekly results:
    -------------------------

    Week 01:    1 - 0
    Week 02:    3 - 1    (Loser: -115)
    Week 03:    5 - 2    (Losers: -110, *-175)
    Week 04:    6 - 2    (Losers: -250, -180)
    Week 05:    5 - 2    (Losers: *-230, -175)
    Week 06:    6 - 0
    Week 07:    8 - 4    (Losers: *-108, -115, -153, *-210)
    Week 08:    5 - 2    (Losers: -120, -125)
    Week 09:    9 - 8   (Losers: -105; +1.5-120; +17.5-250; +3-142; +3.5-150; -150; +3.5-180; -105)
    Week 10:    6 - 4    (Losers: -4 140; +120; +8 -128; -127)
    Week 11:   16 - 6   (Losers: -150; -6.5 -145; -287; -4 -152; -150; -2.5 -150)
    Week 12:    8 - 1    (Loser: -7.5 -125)
    Week 13:    7 - 4    (Losers: -118; -150; -130; +4.5 -145)
    Week 14:    5 - 1    (Loser: +150 hedge bet)
    Week 15:    4 - 1    (Loser: -125 hedge bet)

    an_2drinks  YTD:  94 - 38     [27 - 8 *Best Bets!! ]

                                                                        HOT STREAK warning for regression still in effect

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    *

    My 2024 weekly results:
    -------------------------

    Week 01:    1 - 0
    Week 02:    3 - 1    (Loser: -115)
    Week 03:    5 - 2    (Losers: -110, *-175)
    Week 04:    6 - 2    (Losers: -250, -180)
    Week 05:    5 - 2    (Losers: *-230, -175)
    Week 06:    6 - 0
    Week 07:    8 - 4    (Losers: *-108, -115, -153, *-210)
    Week 08:    5 - 2    (Losers: -120, -125)
    Week 09:    9 - 8   (Losers: -105; +1.5-120; +17.5-250; +3-142; +3.5-150; -150; +3.5-180; -105)
    Week 10:    6 - 4    (Losers: -4 140; +120; +8 -128; -127)
    Week 11:   16 - 6   (Losers: -150; -6.5 -145; -287; -4 -152; -150; -2.5 -150)
    Week 12:    8 - 1    (Loser: -7.5 -125)
    Week 13:    7 - 4    (Losers: -118; -150; -130; +4.5 -145)
    Week 14:    5 - 1    (Loser: +150 hedge bet)
    Week 15:    4 - 1    (Loser: -125 hedge bet)

    an_2drinks  YTD:  94 - 38     [27 - 8 *Best Bets!! ]

                                                                        HOT STREAK warning for regression still in effect

     
    Zeus4par
    Zeus4par
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    Posts: 6070
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 10:16 AM ET #5827

    @fubah2

     an_clap      an_worship    an_worship    an_worship

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    @fubah2

     an_clap      an_worship    an_worship    an_worship

     
    RayRayK
    RayRayK
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    Posts: 12898
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 5:44 PM ET #5828

    Way to go ! I had my first losing week in the last 7 and not that bad - $105 I’ll be playing w house money for a good while. Chargers Under 55.5 stung along w Chargers +6 on some teasers but I added some NBA and NHL ML parlays w the Cards that helped out. Tonight I have a pending bet on Vikings -1 off a teaser w Cards. Tough division game so it could be close , Bear defense has not been that impressive in the last couple weeks. I have some crazy 4 team 13 pt teasers w the Bills who will be playing the Pats at home next Sunday - 14. Keep up the great work peace_5

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    Way to go ! I had my first losing week in the last 7 and not that bad - $105 I’ll be playing w house money for a good while. Chargers Under 55.5 stung along w Chargers +6 on some teasers but I added some NBA and NHL ML parlays w the Cards that helped out. Tonight I have a pending bet on Vikings -1 off a teaser w Cards. Tough division game so it could be close , Bear defense has not been that impressive in the last couple weeks. I have some crazy 4 team 13 pt teasers w the Bills who will be playing the Pats at home next Sunday - 14. Keep up the great work peace_5

     
    CraveandGrind
    CraveandGrind
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    Posts: 311
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 5:55 PM ET #5829

    @fubah2

     You gonna place a bet tonight fubah before the game or just wait till starting live action

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    @fubah2

     You gonna place a bet tonight fubah before the game or just wait till starting live action

     
    trust-me
    trust-me
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    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 7657
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 6:20 PM ET #5830

    @RayRayK

     Yes that O/U stung bigly.

    Dammmmmmmmmmmmmm

    new_poop

    Mr Evil.
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    @RayRayK

     Yes that O/U stung bigly.

    Dammmmmmmmmmmmmm

    new_poop

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 53169
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 6:47 PM ET #5831

    Quote Originally Posted by CraveandGrind:

    @fubah2  You gonna place a bet tonight fubah before the game or just wait till starting live action

    @CraveandGrind

    YES!  Will do! 

    Still going thru my pre-flight checks... BoL with YOUR bets! cloverthumbs_up

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    Quote Originally Posted by CraveandGrind:

    @fubah2  You gonna place a bet tonight fubah before the game or just wait till starting live action

    @CraveandGrind

    YES!  Will do! 

    Still going thru my pre-flight checks... BoL with YOUR bets! cloverthumbs_up

     
    trust-me
    trust-me
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    Posts: 7657
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 6:56 PM ET #5832

    @CraveandGrind

     You people are demanding on this big heart of of a guy fella! Give him peace.

    Mr Evil.
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    @CraveandGrind

     You people are demanding on this big heart of of a guy fella! Give him peace.

     
    Macwestie1
    Macwestie1
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    Posts: 171189
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 7:02 PM ET #5833

    BOL clover on your plays @fubah2peace_5

     

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    BOL clover on your plays @fubah2peace_5

     

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 53169
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 7:19 PM ET #5834

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    an_lightWhen I look only at upcoming games where one team lines up to hold MASSIVE edges over their significantly weaker opponent, the past 4 weeks my handicapping sheets revealed these results:

    Teams I circled:

    Week 11:    7 - 1 su
    Week 12:    6 - 3 su
    Week 13:  10 - 1 su
    Week 14:    7 - 1 su  >>>>> = 30 - 6 su     (but only 18 - 16 - 2 ats)

    I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections.My real bets went 36 - 12 in this 4 week time frame, whereby 5 of those 12 losses were "in-game hedge bets" and one more was for an in-game shot at a nice middle (but barely missed)  IOW, my pre-game handicapped selections ultimately hit at an 85% rate (36 - 6) utilizing those stats!Had I bet ATS, it would have been a wash... This week it is looking like I'll have as many as 9 teams circled which hold MASSIVE edges - to win SU - over their significantly weaker opponent. I DO NOT evaluate based on team win/loss record, nor the Vegas odds!

    Week 15: 7 - 1   so far, to be added to that chart

    My handicapping sheets have 2 teams "circled" for massive edges tonight:

    Falcons and Vikings to win SU    ... but coinflippers on spreads

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    an_lightWhen I look only at upcoming games where one team lines up to hold MASSIVE edges over their significantly weaker opponent, the past 4 weeks my handicapping sheets revealed these results:

    Teams I circled:

    Week 11:    7 - 1 su
    Week 12:    6 - 3 su
    Week 13:  10 - 1 su
    Week 14:    7 - 1 su  >>>>> = 30 - 6 su     (but only 18 - 16 - 2 ats)

    I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections.My real bets went 36 - 12 in this 4 week time frame, whereby 5 of those 12 losses were "in-game hedge bets" and one more was for an in-game shot at a nice middle (but barely missed)  IOW, my pre-game handicapped selections ultimately hit at an 85% rate (36 - 6) utilizing those stats!Had I bet ATS, it would have been a wash... This week it is looking like I'll have as many as 9 teams circled which hold MASSIVE edges - to win SU - over their significantly weaker opponent. I DO NOT evaluate based on team win/loss record, nor the Vegas odds!

    Week 15: 7 - 1   so far, to be added to that chart

    My handicapping sheets have 2 teams "circled" for massive edges tonight:

    Falcons and Vikings to win SU    ... but coinflippers on spreads

     
    Macwestie1
    Macwestie1
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    Posts: 171189
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 7:22 PM ET #5835

    GL clover on your play @fubah2 peace_5. . . Falcons and Vikings to win SU ... but coinflippers on spreads, nice comment mah manan_cheers

     

     

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    GL clover on your play @fubah2 peace_5. . . Falcons and Vikings to win SU ... but coinflippers on spreads, nice comment mah manan_cheers

     

     

     
    RayRayK
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 7:34 PM ET #5836

    @fubah2

    6pt teaser Vikings -1 Hawks pick peace_5

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    @fubah2

    6pt teaser Vikings -1 Hawks pick peace_5

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 7:46 PM ET #5837

    When daaaaBEARS faced above avg winning teams:


    lost by  6 @ Houston
    lost by  3 @ Washington
    lost by  1 vs Packers
    lost by  3 @ Detroit
    lost in OT vs Minny

     

    Mind you all those games listed were played with their original coach and when they were still in a wildcard playoff hunt AND had 2 healthy running backs.... not now!

    an_lightWhile I do have the VIKINGS "circled" on my capping sheets to WIN SU, the current moneyline of -330+ is above my range. My capping has VIKINGS odds of winning SU rated at between 2.50 and 2.85 to 1 only.

    So I am betting on this Bet365 alt-line:

    VIKES -3 -235   *BB

     

    I like this bet, but if I lose so be it....I am on such an unlikely hot streak right now (40 - 13)  I am literally holding my breath for the dreaded "regression roof" to crash down on me...

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    When daaaaBEARS faced above avg winning teams:


    lost by  6 @ Houston
    lost by  3 @ Washington
    lost by  1 vs Packers
    lost by  3 @ Detroit
    lost in OT vs Minny

     

    Mind you all those games listed were played with their original coach and when they were still in a wildcard playoff hunt AND had 2 healthy running backs.... not now!

    an_lightWhile I do have the VIKINGS "circled" on my capping sheets to WIN SU, the current moneyline of -330+ is above my range. My capping has VIKINGS odds of winning SU rated at between 2.50 and 2.85 to 1 only.

    So I am betting on this Bet365 alt-line:

    VIKES -3 -235   *BB

     

    I like this bet, but if I lose so be it....I am on such an unlikely hot streak right now (40 - 13)  I am literally holding my breath for the dreaded "regression roof" to crash down on me...

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 53169
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 7:59 PM ET #5838

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    When daaaaBEARS faced above avg winning teams: lost by  6 @ Houstonlost by  3 @ Washingtonlost by  1 vs Packerslost by  3 @ Detroitlost in OT vs Minny   Mind you all those games listed were played with their original coach and when they were still in a wildcard playoff hunt AND had 2 healthy running backs.... not now! While I do have the VIKINGS "circled" on my capping sheets to WIN SU, the current moneyline of -330+ is above my range. My capping has VIKINGS odds of winning SU rated at between 2.50 and 2.85 to 1 only. So I am betting on this Bet365 alt-line: VIKES -3 -235   *BB   I like this bet, but if I lose so be it....I am on such an unlikely hot streak right now (40 - 13)  I am literally holding my breath for the dreaded "regression roof" to crash down on me...

    For the Atlanta @VEGAS game, while I do have the FALCONS circled for a SU WIN, my capping analysis only has their odds in the 1.85 to 2.25 range so I won't bet that heavy juice ML until it comes way down during LIVE action.  The spread is too iffy for me...

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    When daaaaBEARS faced above avg winning teams: lost by  6 @ Houstonlost by  3 @ Washingtonlost by  1 vs Packerslost by  3 @ Detroitlost in OT vs Minny   Mind you all those games listed were played with their original coach and when they were still in a wildcard playoff hunt AND had 2 healthy running backs.... not now! While I do have the VIKINGS "circled" on my capping sheets to WIN SU, the current moneyline of -330+ is above my range. My capping has VIKINGS odds of winning SU rated at between 2.50 and 2.85 to 1 only. So I am betting on this Bet365 alt-line: VIKES -3 -235   *BB   I like this bet, but if I lose so be it....I am on such an unlikely hot streak right now (40 - 13)  I am literally holding my breath for the dreaded "regression roof" to crash down on me...

    For the Atlanta @VEGAS game, while I do have the FALCONS circled for a SU WIN, my capping analysis only has their odds in the 1.85 to 2.25 range so I won't bet that heavy juice ML until it comes way down during LIVE action.  The spread is too iffy for me...

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 8:16 PM ET #5839

    Joe Buck made a poignant comment when the Bears gambled and failed on 4th down...WHY NOT? Afterall they are OUT of the playoffs so they can afford to play loose and take chances......and sometimes a losing team will benefit from that! an_eek2

    They stopped Vikes.

    3 - 0

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    Joe Buck made a poignant comment when the Bears gambled and failed on 4th down...WHY NOT? Afterall they are OUT of the playoffs so they can afford to play loose and take chances......and sometimes a losing team will benefit from that! an_eek2

    They stopped Vikes.

    3 - 0

     
    Europa
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 8:34 PM ET #5840

    @fubah2

    Hey Fubah, the 2024-2025 NFL postseason is coming up shortly. Guess I will chat with you quite a bit on those playoff games starting from next month and onto the Super Bowl. I will take some actions on the College playoffs as well, just lighter amount than on the NFL playoff games.

    Have fun and best of luck! clover

     

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    @fubah2

    Hey Fubah, the 2024-2025 NFL postseason is coming up shortly. Guess I will chat with you quite a bit on those playoff games starting from next month and onto the Super Bowl. I will take some actions on the College playoffs as well, just lighter amount than on the NFL playoff games.

    Have fun and best of luck! clover

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 8:48 PM ET #5841

    Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

    @fubah2 Hey Fubah, the 2024-2025 NFL postseason is coming up shortly. Guess I will chat with you quite a bit on those playoff games starting from next month and onto the Super Bowl. I will take some actions on the College playoffs as well, just lighter amount than on the NFL playoff games. Have fun and best of luck!

    @Europa

     Hey Bud!!  Yep that time of year fast approaching again. Good to see ya!!

    Looking forward to it! an_cheers

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    Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

    @fubah2 Hey Fubah, the 2024-2025 NFL postseason is coming up shortly. Guess I will chat with you quite a bit on those playoff games starting from next month and onto the Super Bowl. I will take some actions on the College playoffs as well, just lighter amount than on the NFL playoff games. Have fun and best of luck!

    @Europa

     Hey Bud!!  Yep that time of year fast approaching again. Good to see ya!!

    Looking forward to it! an_cheers

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 9:29 PM ET #5842

    Quote Originally Posted by Zeus4par:

    @fubah2

     an_clap      an_worship    an_worship    an_worship

    TY!    BoL with your bets tonight! clover thumbs_up

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    Quote Originally Posted by Zeus4par:

    @fubah2

     an_clap      an_worship    an_worship    an_worship

    TY!    BoL with your bets tonight! clover thumbs_up

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 10:21 PM ET #5843

    Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:

    Way to go ! I had my first losing week in the last 7 and not that bad - $105 I’ll be playing w house money for a good while. Chargers Under 55.5 stung along w Chargers +6 on some teasers but I added some NBA and NHL ML parlays w the Cards that helped out. Tonight I have a pending bet on Vikings -1 off a teaser w Cards. Tough division game so it could be close , Bear defense has not been that impressive in the last couple weeks. I have some crazy 4 team 13 pt teasers w the Bills who will be playing the Pats at home next Sunday - 14. Keep up the great work

    an_cheers

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    Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:

    Way to go ! I had my first losing week in the last 7 and not that bad - $105 I’ll be playing w house money for a good while. Chargers Under 55.5 stung along w Chargers +6 on some teasers but I added some NBA and NHL ML parlays w the Cards that helped out. Tonight I have a pending bet on Vikings -1 off a teaser w Cards. Tough division game so it could be close , Bear defense has not been that impressive in the last couple weeks. I have some crazy 4 team 13 pt teasers w the Bills who will be playing the Pats at home next Sunday - 14. Keep up the great work

    an_cheers

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 10:39 PM ET #5844

    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

      GL clover on your play @fubah2 peace_5. . . Falcons and Vikings to win SU ... an_cheers


    TY, Mac!   Coming up a new week. BoL clover thumbs_up

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    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

      GL clover on your play @fubah2 peace_5. . . Falcons and Vikings to win SU ... an_cheers


    TY, Mac!   Coming up a new week. BoL clover thumbs_up

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 11:08 PM ET #5845

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    While I do have the VIKINGS "circled" on my capping sheets to WIN SU, the current moneyline of -330+ is above my range. My capping has VIKINGS odds of winning SU rated at between 2.50 and 2.85 to 1 only.

     

    So I am betting on this Bet365 alt-line: VIKES -3 -235   *BB  

    I like this bet, but if I lose so be it....I am on such an unlikely hot streak right now (40 - 13)  I am literally holding my breath for the dreaded "regression roof" to crash down on me...

    Posted before game...

    *Best Bet WINNER! an_boggienight

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    While I do have the VIKINGS "circled" on my capping sheets to WIN SU, the current moneyline of -330+ is above my range. My capping has VIKINGS odds of winning SU rated at between 2.50 and 2.85 to 1 only.

     

    So I am betting on this Bet365 alt-line: VIKES -3 -235   *BB  

    I like this bet, but if I lose so be it....I am on such an unlikely hot streak right now (40 - 13)  I am literally holding my breath for the dreaded "regression roof" to crash down on me...

    Posted before game...

    *Best Bet WINNER! an_boggienight

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 11:13 PM ET #5846

    One score game in Vegas.....just turned on an OBVIOUS BAD CALL "roughing the passer"  an_punch

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    One score game in Vegas.....just turned on an OBVIOUS BAD CALL "roughing the passer"  an_punch

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 11:34 PM ET #5847

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    When daaaaBEARS faced above avg winning teams: lost by  6 @ Houstonlost by  3 @ Washingtonlost by  1 vs Packerslost by  3 @ Detroitlost in OT vs Minny   Mind you all those games listed were played with their original coach and when they were still in a wildcard playoff hunt AND had 2 healthy running backs.... not now! While I do have the VIKINGS "circled" on my capping sheets to WIN SU, the current moneyline of -330+ is above my range. My capping has VIKINGS odds of winning SU rated at between 2.50 and 2.85 to 1 only. So I am betting on this Bet365 alt-line: VIKES -3 -235   *BB   I like this bet, but if I lose so be it....I am on such an unlikely hot streak right now (40 - 13)  I am literally holding my breath for the dreaded "regression roof" to crash down on me...

     

    another good call  thumbs_up an_clap

     

     

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    When daaaaBEARS faced above avg winning teams: lost by  6 @ Houstonlost by  3 @ Washingtonlost by  1 vs Packerslost by  3 @ Detroitlost in OT vs Minny   Mind you all those games listed were played with their original coach and when they were still in a wildcard playoff hunt AND had 2 healthy running backs.... not now! While I do have the VIKINGS "circled" on my capping sheets to WIN SU, the current moneyline of -330+ is above my range. My capping has VIKINGS odds of winning SU rated at between 2.50 and 2.85 to 1 only. So I am betting on this Bet365 alt-line: VIKES -3 -235   *BB   I like this bet, but if I lose so be it....I am on such an unlikely hot streak right now (40 - 13)  I am literally holding my breath for the dreaded "regression roof" to crash down on me...

     

    another good call  thumbs_up an_clap

     

     

     
    RayRayK
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 11:36 PM ET #5848

    I cashed my 6 pt teaser Vikings and Falcons (Hawks lol). You inspired that teaser because you felt the Falcons were a strong bet SU but not ats . They still won with Cousins horrible play OMG peace_5

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    I cashed my 6 pt teaser Vikings and Falcons (Hawks lol). You inspired that teaser because you felt the Falcons were a strong bet SU but not ats . They still won with Cousins horrible play OMG peace_5

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2024 - 11:56 PM ET #5849

    Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:

    I cashed my 6 pt teaser Vikings and Falcons (Hawks lol). You inspired that teaser because you felt the Falcons were a strong bet SU but not ats . They still won with Cousins horrible play OMG

    moneybag an_cheers

     

     

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:

    I cashed my 6 pt teaser Vikings and Falcons (Hawks lol). You inspired that teaser because you felt the Falcons were a strong bet SU but not ats . They still won with Cousins horrible play OMG

    moneybag an_cheers

     

     

     
     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 17, 2024 - 12:06 AM ET #5850

    [Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]*

     

    Week 15:    Dec 12 - 16

     

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    [Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]*

     

    Week 15:    Dec 12 - 16

     

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