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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

    «First Previous 187188189 ... 354355356 Next Last»
    fubah2
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    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 6:38 PM ET #4651

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    TNF,

    I am LEANING toward taking my K'Boy's at some point during LIVE play tonight to win su ....but the ml is still a bit high for the value...So I either wait for odds under -199  or  pending on how the game is going I may even take them at higher odds given the scoring and other important game metrics I follow (stats and the all important LUCKY BREAKS affecting the score disproportionately relative to actual performance)

    I have this assessment that my K'Boys faced two VERY GOOD teams and are set to bounce back vs at best a mediocre GIANTS team...

     

    While I DO NOT anticipate the GIANTS "outperforming" my K'Boys tonight - it's always possible that the situation changes.  Because they begin as a home dog, if they take the lead on good play, then add to it, the line would still be favorable (low) on the Giants as Vegas would still expect Dallas to prevail (likely)....but assessing the metrics can be tricky in these situations fort that same reason...

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    TNF,

    I am LEANING toward taking my K'Boy's at some point during LIVE play tonight to win su ....but the ml is still a bit high for the value...So I either wait for odds under -199  or  pending on how the game is going I may even take them at higher odds given the scoring and other important game metrics I follow (stats and the all important LUCKY BREAKS affecting the score disproportionately relative to actual performance)

    I have this assessment that my K'Boys faced two VERY GOOD teams and are set to bounce back vs at best a mediocre GIANTS team...

     

    While I DO NOT anticipate the GIANTS "outperforming" my K'Boys tonight - it's always possible that the situation changes.  Because they begin as a home dog, if they take the lead on good play, then add to it, the line would still be favorable (low) on the Giants as Vegas would still expect Dallas to prevail (likely)....but assessing the metrics can be tricky in these situations fort that same reason...

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 8:00 PM ET #4652

    @fubah2

     gl  tonite !  thumbs_up

     

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    @fubah2

     gl  tonite !  thumbs_up

     

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 8:06 PM ET #4653

    dallas might win but i think giants will cover

     

     

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    dallas might win but i think giants will cover

     

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 8:33 PM ET #4654

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: TNF, I am LEANING toward taking my K'Boy's at some point during LIVE play tonight to win su ....but the ml is still a bit high for the value...So I either wait for odds under -199  or  pending on how the game is going I may even take them at higher odds given the scoring and other important game metrics I follow (stats and the all important LUCKY BREAKS affecting the score disproportionately relative to actual performance) I have this assessment that my K'Boys faced two VERY GOOD teams and are set to bounce back vs at best a mediocre GIANTS team...   While I DO NOT anticipate the GIANTS "outperforming" my K'Boys tonight - it's always possible that the situation changes.  Because they begin as a home dog, if they take the lead on good play, then add to it, the line would still be favorable (low) on the Giants as Vegas would still expect Dallas to prevail (likely)....but assessing the metrics can be tricky in these situations fort that same reason...

     

    Giants take the early 1Q  3 - 0 lead and the ml on Dallas has dropped quite a bit

    LIVE BET:  K'Boys  -182   *BB

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: TNF, I am LEANING toward taking my K'Boy's at some point during LIVE play tonight to win su ....but the ml is still a bit high for the value...So I either wait for odds under -199  or  pending on how the game is going I may even take them at higher odds given the scoring and other important game metrics I follow (stats and the all important LUCKY BREAKS affecting the score disproportionately relative to actual performance) I have this assessment that my K'Boys faced two VERY GOOD teams and are set to bounce back vs at best a mediocre GIANTS team...   While I DO NOT anticipate the GIANTS "outperforming" my K'Boys tonight - it's always possible that the situation changes.  Because they begin as a home dog, if they take the lead on good play, then add to it, the line would still be favorable (low) on the Giants as Vegas would still expect Dallas to prevail (likely)....but assessing the metrics can be tricky in these situations fort that same reason...

     

    Giants take the early 1Q  3 - 0 lead and the ml on Dallas has dropped quite a bit

    LIVE BET:  K'Boys  -182   *BB

     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 8:37 PM ET #4655

    BOL clover @fubah2peace_5

     

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    BOL clover @fubah2peace_5

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 9:13 PM ET #4656

    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

    BOL  @fubah2

    Thanks, Mac!  BoL with your bets tonight! an_cheers

     

    So far Dallas has an edge in stats and play but they have had the one extra possession...

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    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

    BOL  @fubah2

    Thanks, Mac!  BoL with your bets tonight! an_cheers

     

    So far Dallas has an edge in stats and play but they have had the one extra possession...

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 9:49 PM ET #4657

    K'Boys own a slight edge in 1stH play...it would be more but for 6 extra Dallas pens for -45 yds.

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    K'Boys own a slight edge in 1stH play...it would be more but for 6 extra Dallas pens for -45 yds.

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 10:00 PM ET #4658

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    K'Boys own a slight edge in 1stH play...it would be more but for 6 extra Dallas pens for -45 yds.

     

    GIANTS real LUCKY on KO return when a GOOD HIT popped the ball loose but it fell right into the hands of another Giant....

    And as often happens, they escape disaster which would have changed the game and instead that LUCK helps them mount a drive downfield....

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    K'Boys own a slight edge in 1stH play...it would be more but for 6 extra Dallas pens for -45 yds.

     

    GIANTS real LUCKY on KO return when a GOOD HIT popped the ball loose but it fell right into the hands of another Giant....

    And as often happens, they escape disaster which would have changed the game and instead that LUCK helps them mount a drive downfield....

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 10:18 PM ET #4659

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: K'Boys own a slight edge in 1stH play...it would be more but for 6 extra Dallas pens for -45 yds.   GIANTS real LUCKY on KO return when a GOOD HIT popped the ball loose but it fell right into the hands of another Giant.... And as often happens, they escape disaster which would have changed the game and instead that LUCK helps them mount a drive downfield....

    Overall the play is about EVEN - except for GIANTS gaining the benefit from Dallas picking up -55 more yds in pens

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: K'Boys own a slight edge in 1stH play...it would be more but for 6 extra Dallas pens for -45 yds.   GIANTS real LUCKY on KO return when a GOOD HIT popped the ball loose but it fell right into the hands of another Giant.... And as often happens, they escape disaster which would have changed the game and instead that LUCK helps them mount a drive downfield....

    Overall the play is about EVEN - except for GIANTS gaining the benefit from Dallas picking up -55 more yds in pens

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 10:29 PM ET #4660

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: K'Boys own a slight edge in 1stH play...it would be more but for 6 extra Dallas pens for -45 yds.   GIANTS real LUCKY on KO return when a GOOD HIT popped the ball loose but it fell right into the hands of another Giant.... And as often happens, they escape disaster which would have changed the game and instead that LUCK helps them mount a drive downfield.... Overall the play is about EVEN -

     

     

    except for GIANTS gaining the benefit from Dallas picking up -55 more yds in pens

    That is now 8 extra pens for -64 yds against Dallas.....That's the diff.

    Giants are one deep pass away from leading.

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: K'Boys own a slight edge in 1stH play...it would be more but for 6 extra Dallas pens for -45 yds.   GIANTS real LUCKY on KO return when a GOOD HIT popped the ball loose but it fell right into the hands of another Giant.... And as often happens, they escape disaster which would have changed the game and instead that LUCK helps them mount a drive downfield.... Overall the play is about EVEN -

     

     

    except for GIANTS gaining the benefit from Dallas picking up -55 more yds in pens

    That is now 8 extra pens for -64 yds against Dallas.....That's the diff.

    Giants are one deep pass away from leading.

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 10:33 PM ET #4661

    Diggs keeps getting beat...he's looking like a liability

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    Diggs keeps getting beat...he's looking like a liability

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 10:41 PM ET #4662

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Diggs keeps getting beat...he's looking like a liability

     

    Dallas has a very WEAK pass rush......in addition to all the penalties.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Diggs keeps getting beat...he's looking like a liability

     

    Dallas has a very WEAK pass rush......in addition to all the penalties.

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 11:01 PM ET #4663

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Diggs keeps getting beat...he's looking like a liability   Dallas has a very WEAK pass rush......in addition to all the penalties.

    Loser of tonight's game is unlikely to make the playoffs...

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Diggs keeps getting beat...he's looking like a liability   Dallas has a very WEAK pass rush......in addition to all the penalties.

    Loser of tonight's game is unlikely to make the playoffs...

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2024 - 11:56 PM ET #4664

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 

    TNF, I am LEANING toward taking my K'Boy's at some point during LIVE play tonight to win su ....but the ml is still a bit high for the value...So I either wait for odds under -199  or  pending on how the game is going I may even take them at higher odds given the scoring and other important game metrics I follow (stats and the all important LUCKY BREAKS affecting the score disproportionately relative to actual performance) I have this assessment that my K'Boys faced two VERY GOOD teams and are set to bounce back vs at best a mediocre GIANTS team...  

     

    Giants take the early 1Q  3 - 0 lead and the ml on Dallas has dropped quite a bit

    LIVE BET:  K'Boys  -182     *BB


    My K'Boys! an_boggienight

     

    YTD:   10 - 3      (5 - 1 *Best Bets)

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 

    TNF, I am LEANING toward taking my K'Boy's at some point during LIVE play tonight to win su ....but the ml is still a bit high for the value...So I either wait for odds under -199  or  pending on how the game is going I may even take them at higher odds given the scoring and other important game metrics I follow (stats and the all important LUCKY BREAKS affecting the score disproportionately relative to actual performance) I have this assessment that my K'Boys faced two VERY GOOD teams and are set to bounce back vs at best a mediocre GIANTS team...  

     

    Giants take the early 1Q  3 - 0 lead and the ml on Dallas has dropped quite a bit

    LIVE BET:  K'Boys  -182     *BB


    My K'Boys! an_boggienight

     

    YTD:   10 - 3      (5 - 1 *Best Bets)

     

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2024 - 12:14 PM ET #4665

    an_clap

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    an_clap

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2024 - 12:59 PM ET #4666

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Early LEAN to  "daaaaaaaaaaa Bearsss" ...but more capping to do

    Top 2 receivers still out for Rams, despite their VERY LUCKY comeback win over the ailing 49ers.  That looked entirely like a "one-off" to me...but ya never know for sure...

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Early LEAN to  "daaaaaaaaaaa Bearsss" ...but more capping to do

    Top 2 receivers still out for Rams, despite their VERY LUCKY comeback win over the ailing 49ers.  That looked entirely like a "one-off" to me...but ya never know for sure...

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2024 - 1:07 PM ET #4667

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early LEAN to  "daaaaaaaaaaa Bearsss" ...but more capping to do Top 2 receivers still out for Rams, despite their VERY LUCKY comeback win over the ailing 49ers.  That looked entirely like a "one-off" to me...but ya never know for sure...
      Bears only have a few minor injuries of any concern...

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early LEAN to  "daaaaaaaaaaa Bearsss" ...but more capping to do Top 2 receivers still out for Rams, despite their VERY LUCKY comeback win over the ailing 49ers.  That looked entirely like a "one-off" to me...but ya never know for sure...
      Bears only have a few minor injuries of any concern...

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2024 - 1:36 PM ET #4668

    I favor the NINERS winning su but covering DD fav line could be a challenge with their injuries

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    I favor the NINERS winning su but covering DD fav line could be a challenge with their injuries

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2024 - 2:03 PM ET #4669

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    I favor the NINERS winning su but covering DD fav line could be a challenge with their injuries

    D front 7 has issues

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    I favor the NINERS winning su but covering DD fav line could be a challenge with their injuries

    D front 7 has issues

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2024 - 3:52 PM ET #4670

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early LEAN to  "daaaaaaaaaaa Bearsss" ...but more capping to do Top 2 receivers still out for Rams, despite their VERY LUCKY comeback win over the ailing 49ers.  That looked entirely like a "one-off" to me...but ya never know for sure...  Bears only have a few minor injuries of any concern...

    Rome Odunze has been cleared to face Rams thumbs_up

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early LEAN to  "daaaaaaaaaaa Bearsss" ...but more capping to do Top 2 receivers still out for Rams, despite their VERY LUCKY comeback win over the ailing 49ers.  That looked entirely like a "one-off" to me...but ya never know for sure...  Bears only have a few minor injuries of any concern...

    Rome Odunze has been cleared to face Rams thumbs_up

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2024 - 4:12 PM ET #4671

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early LEAN to  "daaaaaaaaaaa Bearsss" ...but more capping to do Top 2 receivers still out for Rams, despite their VERY LUCKY comeback win over the ailing 49ers.  That looked entirely like a "one-off" to me...but ya never know for sure...  Bears only have a few minor injuries of any concern... Rome Odunze has been cleared to face Rams

    they need allen back in top shape

     

     

    "I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early LEAN to  "daaaaaaaaaaa Bearsss" ...but more capping to do Top 2 receivers still out for Rams, despite their VERY LUCKY comeback win over the ailing 49ers.  That looked entirely like a "one-off" to me...but ya never know for sure...  Bears only have a few minor injuries of any concern... Rome Odunze has been cleared to face Rams

    they need allen back in top shape

     

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2024 - 5:06 PM ET #4672

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early LEAN to  "daaaaaaaaaaa Bearsss" ...but more capping to do Top 2 receivers still out for Rams, despite their VERY LUCKY comeback win over the ailing 49ers.  That looked entirely like a "one-off" to me...but ya never know for sure...  Bears only have a few minor injuries of any concern... Rome Odunze has been cleared to face Rams they need allen back in top shape

    Still lingering issue about his heel but I expect he plays.

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    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early LEAN to  "daaaaaaaaaaa Bearsss" ...but more capping to do Top 2 receivers still out for Rams, despite their VERY LUCKY comeback win over the ailing 49ers.  That looked entirely like a "one-off" to me...but ya never know for sure...  Bears only have a few minor injuries of any concern... Rome Odunze has been cleared to face Rams they need allen back in top shape

    Still lingering issue about his heel but I expect he plays.

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2024 - 5:39 PM ET #4673

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early LEAN to  "daaaaaaaaaaa Bearsss" ...but more capping to do Top 2 receivers still out for Rams, despite their VERY LUCKY comeback win over the ailing 49ers.  That looked entirely like a "one-off" to me...but ya never know for sure...  Bears only have a few minor injuries of any concern... Rome Odunze has been cleared to face Rams they need allen back in top shape Still lingering issue about his heel but I expect he plays.

    think so too         caleb could really use him !

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Early LEAN to  "daaaaaaaaaaa Bearsss" ...but more capping to do Top 2 receivers still out for Rams, despite their VERY LUCKY comeback win over the ailing 49ers.  That looked entirely like a "one-off" to me...but ya never know for sure...  Bears only have a few minor injuries of any concern... Rome Odunze has been cleared to face Rams they need allen back in top shape Still lingering issue about his heel but I expect he plays.

    think so too         caleb could really use him !

     

     
    KellyM_1964
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2024 - 7:35 PM ET #4674

    @fubah2

     how about  ravens ?

     

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    @fubah2

     how about  ravens ?

     

     
     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2024 - 10:00 PM ET #4675

    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    @fubah2  how about  ravens ?

    @KellyM_1964

     I like them in this spot peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

    @fubah2  how about  ravens ?

    @KellyM_1964

     I like them in this spot peace_5

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