Posted:
#1
NBA Playoffs:
Quarter Sides: 11-7 +6.3 units
Quarter Totals: 1-3 -11.1 units
Half Sides: 6-6 -6.6 units
Half Totals: 42-18-3 +96.5 units
Full Game Sides: 7-7 +5.0 units
Full Game Totals: 11-13-1 -8.4 units
Money Line Dogs: 2-1 +4.6 units
Money Line Dogs: 2-1 +4.6 units
Team Totals: 2-1 +6.6 units
Total: 83-55-3 (60%) +92.40 Units
Went 2-1 last night and basically broke even giving a half of a unit back. The Pistons were never in that game. On to today.
Went 2-1 last night and basically broke even giving a half of a unit back. The Pistons were never in that game. On to today.
Spurs/Lakers...1st Half...Over 98...4 Units...Throughout the playoffs in the 1st half at home the Lakers have averaged 111 total points; take out the two Denver games and this average drops by 4 points. On the road San Antonios defense has been better than any Western Conference team, including the Lakers and in their road games they have averaged 97 points in the first half. The interesting stat here is; that in the Spurs road games in the playoffs they are averaging 91 points in the second half, 6 points less than their first half average. If you look into the Lakers home stats for the same parameters you find a 116 second half point total, remember this when you place your second half wagers this evening. Essentially, this breaks down into a slow defensive start by the Spurs with a larger output of points in the first half, which over the last six road playoff games has backed up. Extended rest has not seemed to slow down the Lakers offensively and I expect them to score just below their 1st half average of 59 points and the Spurs to chip in a few points less than their 47 point road average in the first half and this half winds up in the low 100's.
Spurs/Lakers...Under 197...4 Units...I covered the statistics above for this play but two other factors need to be considered, a blowout and Spurs leading at the half. If the Lakers pull away by DD in the third look for this game to stay under the posted total. This will also stay well under if the Spurs manage to lead by any amount at halftime and play the second half as they have throughout the playoffs. Either way I see the second half being lower scoring than the first half if both teams come out of the gate as expected and as the numbers indicate.
Good luck everyone!
0
until Sunday.
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