last night was a tough one with blowouts costing me some plays and banes dumb@$$ getting tossed from the game. Banchero play helped. Split bucks plays with aj green sitting out the last 18 mins and no doubt that wins if he doesnt. Ingram was a 4th wheel last night so that tanked. Rollins is done for now for me. On to today where i will do some sides.
Success is never final, failure is never fatal, and it's the courage that counts.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
last night was a tough one with blowouts costing me some plays and banes dumb@$$ getting tossed from the game. Banchero play helped. Split bucks plays with aj green sitting out the last 18 mins and no doubt that wins if he doesnt. Ingram was a 4th wheel last night so that tanked. Rollins is done for now for me. On to today where i will do some sides.
If Lebron takes a lesser role and fits in to this lakers team when he comes back lakers will be a big problem for other teams in the west. Doncic is out of this world right now and reaves has taken the next step. The additions of Laravia ayton and smart have been huge for the lakers and all have played their roles nicely. Spurs lost Dylan harper and are still missing fox and others. Spurs are on the upswing but road games will still be their kryptonite. Lakers are rolling and will get it done here tonight.
Success is never final, failure is never fatal, and it's the courage that counts.
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Lakers-2.5 - 6.5 units
If Lebron takes a lesser role and fits in to this lakers team when he comes back lakers will be a big problem for other teams in the west. Doncic is out of this world right now and reaves has taken the next step. The additions of Laravia ayton and smart have been huge for the lakers and all have played their roles nicely. Spurs lost Dylan harper and are still missing fox and others. Spurs are on the upswing but road games will still be their kryptonite. Lakers are rolling and will get it done here tonight.
Its a back to back for thunder but no one played heavy minutes for them yesterday. Thunder beat blazers all 4 times last year by double digits including by 10 and 23 in portland. They matchup very well vs portland which makes it tough for portland to have any advantage here outside of a back to back. Ill go thunder ats tonight to stay rolling
Success is never final, failure is never fatal, and it's the courage that counts.
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Thunder -4.5 -108 - 6.5 units
Its a back to back for thunder but no one played heavy minutes for them yesterday. Thunder beat blazers all 4 times last year by double digits including by 10 and 23 in portland. They matchup very well vs portland which makes it tough for portland to have any advantage here outside of a back to back. Ill go thunder ats tonight to stay rolling
DONCIC OVER 17.5 REBS +ASTS -125 - 6.5 UNITS He is 4-0 at this prop and has cleared 11 rebs in all 4 games and has gotten 10 9 8 and 6 asts. AYTON OVER 21.5 PTS+REBS -122 - 5 UNITS Ayton has cleared this in 4 of 5 games with 3 double-doubles in that time.
I got a line of donic over 18.5 minus 170. crazy the difference we have.
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Quote Originally Posted by Brooklyncapper:
DONCIC OVER 17.5 REBS +ASTS -125 - 6.5 UNITS He is 4-0 at this prop and has cleared 11 rebs in all 4 games and has gotten 10 9 8 and 6 asts. AYTON OVER 21.5 PTS+REBS -122 - 5 UNITS Ayton has cleared this in 4 of 5 games with 3 double-doubles in that time.
I got a line of donic over 18.5 minus 170. crazy the difference we have.
Pacers are a complete mass unit at this point. While some of the deep bench players may come off the bench and has an occasional decent game, this team has 3 (potentially) 4 options at most on the entire team at this point.
Siakam is gonna get his. He's averaging about 25 per game but its increased given he is the only true option.
Nesmith is a nice 2 guard known more for his shooting and defense. He's been ask to be more of a volume shooter.
Then it drops off considerably to Jerace Walker and Isaiah Jackson. Both of these guys are doing the dirty work on the boards while also being asked to score.
Situationally, the Nets are giving up a ridiculous 128 points per game thru seven. Unless Siakam scores 70, a couple of these guys will have ample opportunity to blow thru their totals against this Nets defense.
Not to mention the Nets are one of the worst shooting teams in the NBA which provides more opportunity for rebounds.
So when I look at probability its a very high chance that Walker (21.5) and/orJackson (17.5) don't hit P&R. Mind you these lines have gone up as I believe Jackson was 14.5 (-145) this morning.
Walker has a much higher shot volume so if hes even decent from the field that has a legit chance to hit. Jackson is much more efficient in his shooting. Both have a shot at close to double digit rebound totals.
You dont have to play either of these and just monitor but this is the process I go through when I think about matchups and situations.
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Pacers are a complete mass unit at this point. While some of the deep bench players may come off the bench and has an occasional decent game, this team has 3 (potentially) 4 options at most on the entire team at this point.
Siakam is gonna get his. He's averaging about 25 per game but its increased given he is the only true option.
Nesmith is a nice 2 guard known more for his shooting and defense. He's been ask to be more of a volume shooter.
Then it drops off considerably to Jerace Walker and Isaiah Jackson. Both of these guys are doing the dirty work on the boards while also being asked to score.
Situationally, the Nets are giving up a ridiculous 128 points per game thru seven. Unless Siakam scores 70, a couple of these guys will have ample opportunity to blow thru their totals against this Nets defense.
Not to mention the Nets are one of the worst shooting teams in the NBA which provides more opportunity for rebounds.
So when I look at probability its a very high chance that Walker (21.5) and/orJackson (17.5) don't hit P&R. Mind you these lines have gone up as I believe Jackson was 14.5 (-145) this morning.
Walker has a much higher shot volume so if hes even decent from the field that has a legit chance to hit. Jackson is much more efficient in his shooting. Both have a shot at close to double digit rebound totals.
You dont have to play either of these and just monitor but this is the process I go through when I think about matchups and situations.
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