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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    WAS a Casual observer tonight & this game is proof, Capping out the window

    ActionMagnet
    davemsh
    Stryc9Nine
    StumpTownStu
    Phillip2002
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    ActionMagnet
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:09 PM ET #1

    You just need luck. Brutal beat for TOR backers.


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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    You just need luck. Brutal beat for TOR backers.


     
    davemsh
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:17 PM ET #2

    No such thing as Luck....The better team almost always wins and Covers most of the time..
    Mayweather bet 450000 on
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    No such thing as Luck....The better team almost always wins and Covers most of the time..
     
    Stryc9Nine
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:22 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    No such thing as Luck....The better team almost always wins and Covers most of the time..

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.

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    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    No such thing as Luck....The better team almost always wins and Covers most of the time..

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.

     
    ActionMagnet
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:23 PM ET #4

    No such thing as luck he said 
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    No such thing as luck he said 
     
    davemsh
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:26 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:

    No such thing as luck he said 

    Luck is what a loser better would say....There is a reason the Bucks were favored -6.5....They are the better team and at home...Put it this way...If you bet every Dogs ATS...You would be down $$$ this playoffs......If you bet every fave this playoff...You would be up $$$..go look it up...It not Rocket Science..
    Mayweather bet 450000 on
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    Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:

    No such thing as luck he said 

    Luck is what a loser better would say....There is a reason the Bucks were favored -6.5....They are the better team and at home...Put it this way...If you bet every Dogs ATS...You would be down $$$ this playoffs......If you bet every fave this playoff...You would be up $$$..go look it up...It not Rocket Science..
     
    davemsh
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:27 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.


    People are compiling when the Bucks were 8-1 SU & ATS...now 9-1 SU & ATS....
    Mayweather bet 450000 on
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.


    People are compiling when the Bucks were 8-1 SU & ATS...now 9-1 SU & ATS....
     
    Stryc9Nine
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:32 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.
    People are compiling when the Bucks were 8-1 SU & ATS...now 9-1 SU & ATS....

    Really? I thought you were sharper than that. You're making a point with 10 game sample size. SMH confused

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    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.
    People are compiling when the Bucks were 8-1 SU & ATS...now 9-1 SU & ATS....

    Really? I thought you were sharper than that. You're making a point with 10 game sample size. SMH confused

     
    StumpTownStu
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:32 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    No such thing as Luck....The better team almost always wins and Covers most of the time..

    Thank you. It's not capping out the window. You're just not a good capper. I'm not talking shyt. I like you. You remind me of a less racist and less self-deprecating Gumpert. And I loved that guy, even though he was racist. He couldn't cap his way out of a wet paper bag though. Nothing you saw was atypical in this game. Milwaukee often looks like they can be beat in the 1st half only to come storming back in the 2nd half. And Toronto sucks. You believed the hype. I haven't bet on that team in like 3 years. They were definitely not the right side.

    R.I.P. #94 MARSHAWN KNEELAND - DC4L
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    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    No such thing as Luck....The better team almost always wins and Covers most of the time..

    Thank you. It's not capping out the window. You're just not a good capper. I'm not talking shyt. I like you. You remind me of a less racist and less self-deprecating Gumpert. And I loved that guy, even though he was racist. He couldn't cap his way out of a wet paper bag though. Nothing you saw was atypical in this game. Milwaukee often looks like they can be beat in the 1st half only to come storming back in the 2nd half. And Toronto sucks. You believed the hype. I haven't bet on that team in like 3 years. They were definitely not the right side.

     
    davemsh
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:37 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:

    Thank you. It's not capping out the window. You're just not a good capper. I'm not talking shyt. I like you. You remind me of a less racist and less self-deprecating Gumpert. And I loved that guy, even though he was racist. He couldn't cap his way out of a wet paper bag though. Nothing you saw was atypical in this game. Milwaukee often looks like they can be beat in the 1st half only to come storming back in the 2nd half. And Toronto sucks. You believed the hype. I haven't bet on that team in like 3 years. They were definitely not the right side.


    What I learned many years ago...Never bet against a streak or a great ATS team..They ALWAYS find ways to cover....Good teams tend to do that...Its not luck..You can call it Variance or whatever.....Raptors have have history having scoring droughts....Not surprised they had one to end the game...
    Mayweather bet 450000 on
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    Quote Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:

    Thank you. It's not capping out the window. You're just not a good capper. I'm not talking shyt. I like you. You remind me of a less racist and less self-deprecating Gumpert. And I loved that guy, even though he was racist. He couldn't cap his way out of a wet paper bag though. Nothing you saw was atypical in this game. Milwaukee often looks like they can be beat in the 1st half only to come storming back in the 2nd half. And Toronto sucks. You believed the hype. I haven't bet on that team in like 3 years. They were definitely not the right side.


    What I learned many years ago...Never bet against a streak or a great ATS team..They ALWAYS find ways to cover....Good teams tend to do that...Its not luck..You can call it Variance or whatever.....Raptors have have history having scoring droughts....Not surprised they had one to end the game...
     
    Phillip2002
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:37 PM ET #10

    Luck 100% factors in with all aspects of life, its not the only thing but there for sure is luck 

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    Luck 100% factors in with all aspects of life, its not the only thing but there for sure is luck 

     
    StumpTownStu
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:37 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.
    People are compiling when the Bucks were 8-1 SU & ATS...now 9-1 SU & ATS....
    Really? I thought you were sharper than that. You're making a point with 10 game sample size. SMH

    Throw sample sizes out of the window. The bucks are really good. They are not hype. The Raptors have been all hype for a long time. That doesn't change with Kawhi. No matter how many times ESPN shows a game winning shot.

    R.I.P. #94 MARSHAWN KNEELAND - DC4L
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.
    People are compiling when the Bucks were 8-1 SU & ATS...now 9-1 SU & ATS....
    Really? I thought you were sharper than that. You're making a point with 10 game sample size. SMH

    Throw sample sizes out of the window. The bucks are really good. They are not hype. The Raptors have been all hype for a long time. That doesn't change with Kawhi. No matter how many times ESPN shows a game winning shot.

     
    FRANKtheBANKss
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:48 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.
    People are compiling when the Bucks were 8-1 SU & ATS...now 9-1 SU & ATS....
    That is pretty darn consistent and compelling. They win and cover no clunkers besides the first one out of the gate. Deep

    God is Good and the Ball don't Lie.
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    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.
    People are compiling when the Bucks were 8-1 SU & ATS...now 9-1 SU & ATS....
    That is pretty darn consistent and compelling. They win and cover no clunkers besides the first one out of the gate. Deep

     
    Stryc9Nine
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    Posted: May. 15, 2019 - 11:51 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.
    People are compiling when the Bucks were 8-1 SU & ATS...now 9-1 SU & ATS....
    Really? I thought you were sharper than that. You're making a point with 10 game sample size. SMH
    Throw sample sizes out of the window. The bucks are really good. They are not hype. The Raptors have been all hype for a long time. That doesn't change with Kawhi. No matter how many times ESPN shows a game winning shot.

    I didn't say Bucks weren't good. In gambling world, you have to throw that mentality of which team is better out the window. You have to beat the spread in sports like basketball. If you only bet on better teams, you'll lose in the long run. Also, I don't watch ESPN or games I have money on. It keeps my capping mind clearer from all the brainwashing. Fading public plays in the playoffs have been money this year. I'm not just talking about favorites, dogs can be public plays... Portland last night for example. Tonight, the Bucks were a huge public play. I guess the books can't kill the public in every game or else, they'd never come back.

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    Quote Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.
    People are compiling when the Bucks were 8-1 SU & ATS...now 9-1 SU & ATS....
    Really? I thought you were sharper than that. You're making a point with 10 game sample size. SMH
    Throw sample sizes out of the window. The bucks are really good. They are not hype. The Raptors have been all hype for a long time. That doesn't change with Kawhi. No matter how many times ESPN shows a game winning shot.

    I didn't say Bucks weren't good. In gambling world, you have to throw that mentality of which team is better out the window. You have to beat the spread in sports like basketball. If you only bet on better teams, you'll lose in the long run. Also, I don't watch ESPN or games I have money on. It keeps my capping mind clearer from all the brainwashing. Fading public plays in the playoffs have been money this year. I'm not just talking about favorites, dogs can be public plays... Portland last night for example. Tonight, the Bucks were a huge public play. I guess the books can't kill the public in every game or else, they'd never come back.

     
    StumpTownStu
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    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 12:04 AM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    Quote Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.
    People are compiling when the Bucks were 8-1 SU & ATS...now 9-1 SU & ATS....
    Really? I thought you were sharper than that. You're making a point with 10 game sample size. SMH
    Throw sample sizes out of the window. The bucks are really good. They are not hype. The Raptors have been all hype for a long time. That doesn't change with Kawhi. No matter how many times ESPN shows a game winning shot.
    I didn't say Bucks weren't good. In gambling world, you have to throw that mentality of which team is better out the window. You have to beat the spread in sports like basketball. If you only bet on better teams, you'll lose in the long run. Also, I don't watch ESPN or games I have money on. It keeps my capping mind clearer from all the brainwashing. Fading public plays in the playoffs have been money this year. I'm not just talking about favorites, dogs can be public plays... Portland last night for example. Tonight, the Bucks were a huge public play. I guess the books can't kill the public in every game or else, they'd never come back.

    Maybe you should start watching the games. If you did you would know that it's typical for Toronto to be hot and cold. They've been the most overrated team in the league for a few years. You'd also know that it's typical for Milwaukee to sleep walk a bit only to explode in the 2nd half. There's always a 35 point quarter lurking with these guys. I never understood guys who say things like, "I don't watch the games I wager on." All self-assure like that's good capping. I'm old school. I watch as many games as possible and wager on teams I know. I don't just look up at empty numbers. If you actually capped the game, the teams, and not just the lines and the hype, this game would look par for the course. Rust was the only reason Toronto looked like they were in it. Game 2 might be double-digits. If you think oompa loompa Lowery is gonna drop like 30 again you've got another thing coming.

    R.I.P. #94 MARSHAWN KNEELAND - DC4L
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    Quote Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    Quote Originally Posted by Stryc9Nine:

    LOL What? C'mon man, you've been here long enough. Better team doesn't always win and cover. If that were the case Vegas would lose most of the time but they don't. You're sounding like Joe Public right now.
    People are compiling when the Bucks were 8-1 SU & ATS...now 9-1 SU & ATS....
    Really? I thought you were sharper than that. You're making a point with 10 game sample size. SMH
    Throw sample sizes out of the window. The bucks are really good. They are not hype. The Raptors have been all hype for a long time. That doesn't change with Kawhi. No matter how many times ESPN shows a game winning shot.
    I didn't say Bucks weren't good. In gambling world, you have to throw that mentality of which team is better out the window. You have to beat the spread in sports like basketball. If you only bet on better teams, you'll lose in the long run. Also, I don't watch ESPN or games I have money on. It keeps my capping mind clearer from all the brainwashing. Fading public plays in the playoffs have been money this year. I'm not just talking about favorites, dogs can be public plays... Portland last night for example. Tonight, the Bucks were a huge public play. I guess the books can't kill the public in every game or else, they'd never come back.

    Maybe you should start watching the games. If you did you would know that it's typical for Toronto to be hot and cold. They've been the most overrated team in the league for a few years. You'd also know that it's typical for Milwaukee to sleep walk a bit only to explode in the 2nd half. There's always a 35 point quarter lurking with these guys. I never understood guys who say things like, "I don't watch the games I wager on." All self-assure like that's good capping. I'm old school. I watch as many games as possible and wager on teams I know. I don't just look up at empty numbers. If you actually capped the game, the teams, and not just the lines and the hype, this game would look par for the course. Rust was the only reason Toronto looked like they were in it. Game 2 might be double-digits. If you think oompa loompa Lowery is gonna drop like 30 again you've got another thing coming.

     
    ActionMagnet
    ActionMagnet
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    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 12:15 AM ET #15

    All I know is that I’m wagering my entire paycheck on the Bucks minus the spread in game 2. Raptors will go home down 2 nil. They emptied the tank tonight and crapped out. Their defense in the last 4 minutes was horrendous! Any of the Kardashian girls plays more defense in the backseat of a limo. That was awful man, awful.
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    All I know is that I’m wagering my entire paycheck on the Bucks minus the spread in game 2. Raptors will go home down 2 nil. They emptied the tank tonight and crapped out. Their defense in the last 4 minutes was horrendous! Any of the Kardashian girls plays more defense in the backseat of a limo. That was awful man, awful.
     
    jpot34
    jpot34
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    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 12:26 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:

    All I know is that I’m wagering my entire paycheck on the Bucks minus the spread in game 2. Raptors will go home down 2 nil. They emptied the tank tonight and crapped out. Their defense in the last 4 minutes was horrendous! Any of the Kardashian girls plays more defense in the backseat of a limo. That was awful man, awful.

     

    With an attitude like that, the Craptors will cover or win game 2!   bigsmile

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS! Yes, I'm a sinner!!
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    Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:

    All I know is that I’m wagering my entire paycheck on the Bucks minus the spread in game 2. Raptors will go home down 2 nil. They emptied the tank tonight and crapped out. Their defense in the last 4 minutes was horrendous! Any of the Kardashian girls plays more defense in the backseat of a limo. That was awful man, awful.

     

    With an attitude like that, the Craptors will cover or win game 2!   bigsmile

     
    emkee
    emkee
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    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 12:28 AM ET #17

    The Raps were off a hard fought 7 game series and only on a couple of days rest.

    Their starters all had high usage.

    The Bucks were well rested off an annihilation of the Celtics.

    There was your simple capping angle right there.

    It is a tried and true capping angle with a historically high success rate.

    No need to overanalyze anything else.

    Raptors just ran out of gas in the 4th quarter.

    So, no. Capping is alive and well.

     Covers.
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    The Raps were off a hard fought 7 game series and only on a couple of days rest.

    Their starters all had high usage.

    The Bucks were well rested off an annihilation of the Celtics.

    There was your simple capping angle right there.

    It is a tried and true capping angle with a historically high success rate.

    No need to overanalyze anything else.

    Raptors just ran out of gas in the 4th quarter.

    So, no. Capping is alive and well.

     Covers.
     
    fishmac
    fishmac
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    Posts: 1285
    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 3:12 AM ET #18

    Just bet unders , odds are the same as if you bet the spread and then you dont care which team covers cool

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    Just bet unders , odds are the same as if you bet the spread and then you dont care which team covers cool

     
    Slowbalt
    Slowbalt
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    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 5:11 AM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    No such thing as Luck....The better team almost always wins and Covers most of the time..

    You are probably the biggest bum on covers your statement is fucking stupid.

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    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    No such thing as Luck....The better team almost always wins and Covers most of the time..

    You are probably the biggest bum on covers your statement is fucking stupid.

     
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posts: 12150
    Posted: May. 16, 2019 - 9:07 AM ET #20

    Yes teams can get lucky here and there for sure. But to say this ONE game is proof of anything is plain not educated.

    Because 1 game a team got lucky does not in any way mean capping is out the window.

    But then you say Raps defense was horrendous, well, how is that the Bucks fault and that makes Bucks lucky ?

    Skill and conditioning and maybe Raps coming off a game 7 with a rested Bucks team with a deeper bench, does that sound like luck ?

    Bucks took care of business easily beating Celtics and Raps did not needing a game 7, is that lucky ?

    Bucks took care of business  in regular season to gain the no. 1 seed and play easier opps, again is that lucky ?

    Sounds like a better team with a deeper bench .

    INFO BY ITSELF IS USELESS, IT IS HOW YOU USE THE INFO THAT GIVES IT VALUE.

    I think you reach a very poor conclusion based on 1 game.

    There will always be games that come down to the final 1 or 2 or 3 possesions that will determine the ATS winner and 1 or 2 lucky bounces of the ball will determine the ATS winner, that is just the way it goes sometimes but that in no way means you throw capping out the window.

     part of your record will be how you do in those games but it is all the other games when that does not happen that determines if your a good capper or not.

    Those are the games capping will have a huge impact on your record.
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    Yes teams can get lucky here and there for sure. But to say this ONE game is proof of anything is plain not educated.

    Because 1 game a team got lucky does not in any way mean capping is out the window.

    But then you say Raps defense was horrendous, well, how is that the Bucks fault and that makes Bucks lucky ?

    Skill and conditioning and maybe Raps coming off a game 7 with a rested Bucks team with a deeper bench, does that sound like luck ?

    Bucks took care of business easily beating Celtics and Raps did not needing a game 7, is that lucky ?

    Bucks took care of business  in regular season to gain the no. 1 seed and play easier opps, again is that lucky ?

    Sounds like a better team with a deeper bench .

    INFO BY ITSELF IS USELESS, IT IS HOW YOU USE THE INFO THAT GIVES IT VALUE.

    I think you reach a very poor conclusion based on 1 game.

    There will always be games that come down to the final 1 or 2 or 3 possesions that will determine the ATS winner and 1 or 2 lucky bounces of the ball will determine the ATS winner, that is just the way it goes sometimes but that in no way means you throw capping out the window.

     part of your record will be how you do in those games but it is all the other games when that does not happen that determines if your a good capper or not.

    Those are the games capping will have a huge impact on your record.
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