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Views: 6599
Posts: 52
 
Legend
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Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 102561
Posted: #26
Game lines for the final 2 games released, 1 more play tonight now

Kings/Suns OVER 205
 
All-Star
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Joined: Jun, 2006
Posts: 13134
Posted: #27
 
Legend
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Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 102561
Posted: #28
After 2/13/11

Sides 1-2
Totals 6-1
 
Hall of Fame
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Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 25402
Posted: #29
Total looks fire!
 
Veteran
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Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 2353
Posted: #30
thanks for the over on suns game
 
Legend
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Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 102561
Posted: #31
3 for tonight

Lakers/Bobcats OVER 185
Hawks/Pistons OVER 185.5

Bucks -5.5 over Clippers

 
Legend
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Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 41623
Posted: #32
rod what is this system?
 
Veteran
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Joined: Aug, 2008
Posts: 3323
Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by rod_steel:

3 for tonight

Lakers/Bobcats OVER 185
Hawks/Pistons OVER 185.5

Bucks -5.5 over Clippers


Love this side
 
Prospect
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Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 53
Posted: #34
The system is to let both teams play each other on the playstation 3. Then who ever wins and covers the spread you pick that side.
 
Legend
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Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 102561
Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by sonnybarbershop:

The system is to let both teams play each other on the playstation 3. Then who ever wins and covers the spread you pick that side.


Well looks like the cat is out of the bag


 
Hall of Fame
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Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 26899
Posted: #36
please dont say what your system is. 
 
All-Star
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Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 13319
Posted: #37

 
Prospect
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Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 294
Posted: #38
Ouch Rod on fire mate. Hope it keeps up for you.
 
Legend
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Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 102561
Posted: #39
After 2/14/11

Sides 2-2
Totals 7-2
 
Rookie
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Joined: Jan, 2011
Posts: 551
Posted: #40
What's your total for tomorrow?
 
Legend
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Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 102561
Posted: #41
A couple today

Heat/Pacers OVER 205

Sixers +3.5 over Grizzles
 
Veteran
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Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 3261
Posted: #42
AWSOME PICKS BRO !! good job Finding your strength in different system plays always a great thing to do .

 
Prospect
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Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 401
Posted: #43
 
Legend
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Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 102561
Posted: #44
My local is a bit slow in releasing all the lines which is what I base this off. 1 more fits tonight

Hornets/Warriors OVER 203.5
 
Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2005
Posts: 188
Posted: #45

Quote Originally Posted by rod_steel:

My local is a bit slow in releasing all the lines which is what I base this off. 1 more fits tonight

Hornets/Warriors OVER 203.5

Thinking the same thing here - got it at 202 from my local.

 
Prospect
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Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 401
Posted: #46
ANY PLAYS TNGT MR. STEEL
 
Legend
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Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 102561
Posted: #47
After 2/15/11

Sides 2-3
Totals 8-3

I'm going to really start ramping this up post ASB. Pretty confident I'll be able to turn a decent profit in the second half of the season
 
Captain
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Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 6394
Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by rod_steel:

After 2/15/11

Sides 2-3
Totals 8-3

I'm going to really start ramping this up post ASB. Pretty confident I'll be able to turn a decent profit in the second half of the season


BOL Rod

 
Veteran
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Joined: Dec, 2006
Posts: 2400
Posted: #49
Well, so far your system is doing well with totals. That does not surprise me. Let's assume for the sake of argument that your system is statistics-based. That would lend itself to totals over sides. 

It's awfully hard to put a better line than the books on a game. They hire very good people and pay them well, and then they release their line to the sharps to get feedback from the best bettors before you and I can bet into the line. Ouch. No wonder they're good.

I also chuckle when some guy says he has "made a line" for the game and it shows that the books' line is off. Chances are that his line is off, and the books saw something he did not.

I don't use statistics to handicap. I look for intangibles (let-down situations; revenge matchups; key injuries; etc) because they are hard to quantify. The oddsmaker doesn't really know how much to adjust the line for a motivational mismatch. He's guessing, and I can guess as well as he can.

Totals, on the other hand, seem to be handicappable with statistical methods. I am not sure why, but a bettor with a good system really can do well on totals. I used to track pro handicappers, and though most of them can't do any better than about 52%, the ones who made money often did it on totals.

Just an observation. Hope this works for you.

 
 
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Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 6583
Posted: #50
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