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bodio
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bodio
bodio
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Posts: 7370
Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 1:39 PM ET #1

2010-2011 NBA Record:
151 - 99 @ 60% for +42.1 Units


2010-2011 NBA Playoffs Record:
27 - 23@ 54% for +1.7 Units




Thur 06/02

OVER 186 DAL/MIA

I had the UNDER in game one, but I feel the OVER has the 'value' in game 2 of this series. Both teams shot below 40% in the first game, and in all honesty, both are too good to repeat that. Sure, the defensive pressure was very good from both teams in game 1, but I feel the offenses will be a bit more successful tonight. At the same time, Dallas will make the necessary adjustments to improve their efficiency. Sure they shot the 3-ball pretty well, but their bench really let them down in game 1. I don't see Barea and Peja shooting 1 for 11 combined tonight. At the same time, I see Dallas emphasizing defensive 'boards' in this one, which will prevent Miami from using up additional time after getting an offensive rebound. Better control of defensive boards will allow Dallas to 'run' the ball more, which should lead a to few more open 'transition' baskets. Prior to game 1 of the Finals, the O/U in Miami's last 6 home playoff games was 6-0. I see this one going OVER tonight.

Good luck!

PS: This is my only play for tonight. Didn't like anything in MLB

_________________

'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400

--------------------------------------------------------------
'TOTAL: 200-136 @ 60% for +$52,330
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2010-2011 NBA Record:
151 - 99 @ 60% for +42.1 Units


2010-2011 NBA Playoffs Record:
27 - 23@ 54% for +1.7 Units




Thur 06/02

OVER 186 DAL/MIA

I had the UNDER in game one, but I feel the OVER has the 'value' in game 2 of this series. Both teams shot below 40% in the first game, and in all honesty, both are too good to repeat that. Sure, the defensive pressure was very good from both teams in game 1, but I feel the offenses will be a bit more successful tonight. At the same time, Dallas will make the necessary adjustments to improve their efficiency. Sure they shot the 3-ball pretty well, but their bench really let them down in game 1. I don't see Barea and Peja shooting 1 for 11 combined tonight. At the same time, I see Dallas emphasizing defensive 'boards' in this one, which will prevent Miami from using up additional time after getting an offensive rebound. Better control of defensive boards will allow Dallas to 'run' the ball more, which should lead a to few more open 'transition' baskets. Prior to game 1 of the Finals, the O/U in Miami's last 6 home playoff games was 6-0. I see this one going OVER tonight.

Good luck!

PS: This is my only play for tonight. Didn't like anything in MLB

_________________

'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400

--------------------------------------------------------------
'TOTAL: 200-136 @ 60% for +$52,330
 
aaron9932k3
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 1:41 PM ET #2

Good luck and good work, Bodio
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Good luck and good work, Bodio
 
stevewolve
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 1:42 PM ET #3

Like the Over too Bodio...Zig zag total....
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Like the Over too Bodio...Zig zag total....
 
Jrock0419ny
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 1:46 PM ET #4

gl bodio
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gl bodio
 
Swoop
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 1:47 PM ET #5

Any lean as to the side here? 
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Any lean as to the side here? 
 
raems
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 1:50 PM ET #6

Good luck tonight, Bodio. Unfortunately we see opposite ways tonight, although the shooting percentages might go up slightly, Game 1 saw 20 made 3 pointers, 58 attempted free throws, and it still stayed under by 5 baskets. Those numbers are not going to be easily duplicable tonight, and even if the teams should better percentages on 2 pointers, the decreased 3's and free throw attempts will still keep it low. Miami hasn't allowed more than 85 points in regulation since their Game 1 loss to Chicago, and I don't see any very good reason to see the tren suddenly reverse tonight. 

Good luck though, could certainly see the over hitting if there is a fast start.
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Good luck tonight, Bodio. Unfortunately we see opposite ways tonight, although the shooting percentages might go up slightly, Game 1 saw 20 made 3 pointers, 58 attempted free throws, and it still stayed under by 5 baskets. Those numbers are not going to be easily duplicable tonight, and even if the teams should better percentages on 2 pointers, the decreased 3's and free throw attempts will still keep it low. Miami hasn't allowed more than 85 points in regulation since their Game 1 loss to Chicago, and I don't see any very good reason to see the tren suddenly reverse tonight. 

Good luck though, could certainly see the over hitting if there is a fast start.
 
IceKing
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 1:51 PM ET #7

gL!
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gL!
 
raems
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 1:51 PM ET #8

even if the teams shoot better*, to see the trend reverse*
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even if the teams shoot better*, to see the trend reverse*
 
doccocaubai
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 1:56 PM ET #9

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LVTruck
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 1:59 PM ET #10

BOL 
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BOL 
 
VLR
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:05 PM ET #11

gl   what do you think of first half over?  i think rust had a lot to do with awful 1st quarter last game
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gl   what do you think of first half over?  i think rust had a lot to do with awful 1st quarter last game
 
JUMBOJPC
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:11 PM ET #12

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heartburner
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:12 PM ET #13

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kaponofor3
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:19 PM ET #14

Highly unlikely that the Mavs bench again plays terrible offensively and that LeBron and Wade combine for only 7 FTs again. Like the play bodio
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Highly unlikely that the Mavs bench again plays terrible offensively and that LeBron and Wade combine for only 7 FTs again. Like the play bodio
 
bodio
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:28 PM ET #15

Quote Originally Posted by Swoop:

Any lean as to the side here? 

Mavs
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Quote Originally Posted by Swoop:

Any lean as to the side here? 

Mavs
 
Mikado
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:28 PM ET #16

Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

Highly unlikely that the Mavs bench again plays terrible offensively and that LeBron and Wade combine for only 7 FTs again. Like the play bodio

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Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

Highly unlikely that the Mavs bench again plays terrible offensively and that LeBron and Wade combine for only 7 FTs again. Like the play bodio

 
Mikado
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:29 PM ET #17

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5t4r5align
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:30 PM ET #18

on it!
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on it!
 
GIMMETHEPOINTS
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:31 PM ET #19

I wonder id Dirk's finger being messed up will affect his scoring output which in turn might affect his teams total score(in theory) so I was pondering taking the under but with you on the over i will just lay off and go ML heat more than likely,....any thoughts on this ?

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I wonder id Dirk's finger being messed up will affect his scoring output which in turn might affect his teams total score(in theory) so I was pondering taking the under but with you on the over i will just lay off and go ML heat more than likely,....any thoughts on this ?

 
matangster
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:34 PM ET #20

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TomGermany
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:36 PM ET #21

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nepatriots_12
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:37 PM ET #22

gl buddy...I hate hitting Overs in the Playoffs too but this seems like a good spot for it...hopefully Mavs pull out the W tonight also.


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gl buddy...I hate hitting Overs in the Playoffs too but this seems like a good spot for it...hopefully Mavs pull out the W tonight also.


 
bassaholicman
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:46 PM ET #23

Good Luck tonight Bodio.  it's nice to see a quality capper take the night off because they didn't like the value in any games.  I often wonder - how can their be sufficient value everyday?  thx for your write ups and plays.
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Good Luck tonight Bodio.  it's nice to see a quality capper take the night off because they didn't like the value in any games.  I often wonder - how can their be sufficient value everyday?  thx for your write ups and plays.
 
MatriXX
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 2:48 PM ET #24

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topcat69
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Posted: Jun. 2, 2011 - 3:04 PM ET #25

... GL...B
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... GL...B
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