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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Thursday 6/12 Game 4 NBA Ref Assignments -- MIAMI HEAT WIN

    12 Next Last»
    bobmaloogatimesfive
    Champ_Iz_Here
    jeff356us
    RememberMyName
    einyx
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    12 Next Last»
     
    bobmaloogatimesfive
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 9:28 AM ET #1

    MIAMI HEAT -5.5 vs. SAN ANTONIO SPURS 197 O/U

    TOM WASHINGTON
    In the Big 3 era, LeBron James averages 9.5 free throw attempts per game with Tom Washington officiating; most among refs w/15+ games.

    Stat from 5/20/14 --  Miami is 20-1 in their last 21 regular season games officiated by Washington.

    MIKE CALLAHAN
    Miami's last playoff loss with Mike Callahan was Game 3 of '12 ECF vs. Celtics (8 straight wins including 3 Finals games).

    MIA: 10 straight playoff wins w/Callahan; longest active postseason W strk in NBA.

    JOEY CRAWFORD
    Stat from 5/23/13 -- Since the Duncan-Crawford incident in 2007, #Spurs are 18-15, including a 3-5 in the playoffs, with Joe Crawford officiating.

    Home Team ATS 5-9.5pts

    Joey Crawford -- 10-13
    Mike Callahan -- 13-10
    Tom Washington -- 14-7
    John Goble (ALT) -- 8-17

    Home Team ATS All Games

    Joey Crawford -- 31-45
    Mike Callahan -- 39-35-1
    Tom Washington -- 41-34-2
    John Goble (ALT) -- 39-37-2

    Home Team W/L All Games

    Joey Crawford -- 36-40
    Mike Callahan -- 46-29
    Tom Washington --46-31
    John Goble (ALT) -- 52-26

    O/U 195-204.5pts

    Joey Crawford -- 13-14
    Mike Callahan -- 8-11
    Tom Washington -- 20-11
    John Goble (ALT) -- 11-11

    Heat win and probably cover.  You couple the Callahan streak with the Heat coming off of a loss streak and you have a tickets to a 2-2 series in San Antonio.  I am also on the LeBron FT prop and the Chalmers points/assists prop.  I predict a 15+ point Heat win.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    MIAMI HEAT -5.5 vs. SAN ANTONIO SPURS 197 O/U

    TOM WASHINGTON
    In the Big 3 era, LeBron James averages 9.5 free throw attempts per game with Tom Washington officiating; most among refs w/15+ games.

    Stat from 5/20/14 --  Miami is 20-1 in their last 21 regular season games officiated by Washington.

    MIKE CALLAHAN
    Miami's last playoff loss with Mike Callahan was Game 3 of '12 ECF vs. Celtics (8 straight wins including 3 Finals games).

    MIA: 10 straight playoff wins w/Callahan; longest active postseason W strk in NBA.

    JOEY CRAWFORD
    Stat from 5/23/13 -- Since the Duncan-Crawford incident in 2007, #Spurs are 18-15, including a 3-5 in the playoffs, with Joe Crawford officiating.

    Home Team ATS 5-9.5pts

    Joey Crawford -- 10-13
    Mike Callahan -- 13-10
    Tom Washington -- 14-7
    John Goble (ALT) -- 8-17

    Home Team ATS All Games

    Joey Crawford -- 31-45
    Mike Callahan -- 39-35-1
    Tom Washington -- 41-34-2
    John Goble (ALT) -- 39-37-2

    Home Team W/L All Games

    Joey Crawford -- 36-40
    Mike Callahan -- 46-29
    Tom Washington --46-31
    John Goble (ALT) -- 52-26

    O/U 195-204.5pts

    Joey Crawford -- 13-14
    Mike Callahan -- 8-11
    Tom Washington -- 20-11
    John Goble (ALT) -- 11-11

    Heat win and probably cover.  You couple the Callahan streak with the Heat coming off of a loss streak and you have a tickets to a 2-2 series in San Antonio.  I am also on the LeBron FT prop and the Chalmers points/assists prop.  I predict a 15+ point Heat win.
     
    Champ_Iz_Here
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 9:40 AM ET #2

    JOeeeeeey 
    Reply
    JOeeeeeey 
     
    bobmaloogatimesfive
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 9:43 AM ET #3

    Great cal Champ -- hahaha
    Reply
    Great cal Champ -- hahaha
     
    jeff356us
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 10:08 AM ET #4

    Wow shocked.. Not you called it on Callahan

    Looks like the stage is set for a Heat win.
    Reply
    Wow shocked.. Not you called it on Callahan

    Looks like the stage is set for a Heat win.
     
    bobmaloogatimesfive
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 10:10 AM ET #5

    Callahan streak plus Miami playoff bounce back streak both on the line tonight.  If folks want to back the Spurs ML they should be getting +400 or better IMO.
    Reply
    Callahan streak plus Miami playoff bounce back streak both on the line tonight.  If folks want to back the Spurs ML they should be getting +400 or better IMO.
     
    RememberMyName
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 10:22 AM ET #6

    Thanks Bob. HEAT CHECK
    Reply
    Thanks Bob. HEAT CHECK
     
    einyx
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 10:42 AM ET #7

    Bob where do you get get the streak stats from?
    Reply
    Bob where do you get get the streak stats from?
     
    bobmaloogatimesfive
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 11:32 AM ET #8

    The streaks are tracked and provided by NBA REF STATS on the blue bird site
    Reply
    The streaks are tracked and provided by NBA REF STATS on the blue bird site
     
    lokes08
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 12:32 PM ET #9

    Hey Bob,

    What blue bird website are you referring to? Thanks again for all the informative post to the forum. Greatly appreciate it.
    Reply
    Hey Bob,

    What blue bird website are you referring to? Thanks again for all the informative post to the forum. Greatly appreciate it.
     
    LineKiller28
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 12:41 PM ET #10

     Bob
    Reply
     Bob
     
    bobmaloogatimesfive
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 1:01 PM ET #11

    The blue bird site that gets you put into the penalty box -- thus it remains nameless -- use the google search engine and look for "ref stats" -- the third search option is a "blog" that has lots of trends tracked by a few folks -- it is a great resource of information
    Reply
    The blue bird site that gets you put into the penalty box -- thus it remains nameless -- use the google search engine and look for "ref stats" -- the third search option is a "blog" that has lots of trends tracked by a few folks -- it is a great resource of information
     
    lokes08
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 1:03 PM ET #12

    Thanks Bob!!!!
    Reply
    Thanks Bob!!!!
     
    narco12
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 1:18 PM ET #13

    I like heat tonight also. Im 3-0 in this series, but what scares me a lil is the 2-2-1-1-1 this year. spurs know if they win tonight they could close it out at home game 5. yes the heat know this as well so we might see maximum effort from both teams tonight so it could be close. i know heat after a loss r usually unbeatable n i know crawford n callahan r reffing tonight iy doesnt guarantee anything maybe they do help heat on some way to win but do they cover thats what is getting to me. like i said
    Reply
    I like heat tonight also. Im 3-0 in this series, but what scares me a lil is the 2-2-1-1-1 this year. spurs know if they win tonight they could close it out at home game 5. yes the heat know this as well so we might see maximum effort from both teams tonight so it could be close. i know heat after a loss r usually unbeatable n i know crawford n callahan r reffing tonight iy doesnt guarantee anything maybe they do help heat on some way to win but do they cover thats what is getting to me. like i said
     
    narco12
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 1:20 PM ET #14

    spurs can end it at home game 5 if they win tonight so both teams r gonna go all out which means it could be close n 5-6 pts is alot imo. gd luck everyone on their play
    Reply
    spurs can end it at home game 5 if they win tonight so both teams r gonna go all out which means it could be close n 5-6 pts is alot imo. gd luck everyone on their play
     
    bobmaloogatimesfive
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 1:31 PM ET #15

    I agree -- it is a lot of point and a Heat win with a Spurs cover would not be crazy -- I'm leaning towards a Heat blowout but would not be surprised by that other option -- I also would not be surprised by a spurs win if the refs let this one roll and the game stays close -- it is worth noting that the OT prop is the cheapest it has been all series -- this is roughly what I recall

    Game 1 -- +1650
    Game 2 -- +1400
    Game 3 -- +1300

    Tonight it is +1100

    Reply
    I agree -- it is a lot of point and a Heat win with a Spurs cover would not be crazy -- I'm leaning towards a Heat blowout but would not be surprised by that other option -- I also would not be surprised by a spurs win if the refs let this one roll and the game stays close -- it is worth noting that the OT prop is the cheapest it has been all series -- this is roughly what I recall

    Game 1 -- +1650
    Game 2 -- +1400
    Game 3 -- +1300

    Tonight it is +1100

     
    begginerboy
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 2:10 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive:

    I agree -- it is a lot of point and a Heat win with a Spurs cover would not be crazy -- I'm leaning towards a Heat blowout but would not be surprised by that other option -- I also would not be surprised by a spurs win if the refs let this one roll and the game stays close -- it is worth noting that the OT prop is the cheapest it has been all series -- this is roughly what I recall

    Game 1 -- +1650
    Game 2 -- +1400
    Game 3 -- +1300

    Tonight it is +1100


    Come on Bob, no need to waffle here:)
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive:

    I agree -- it is a lot of point and a Heat win with a Spurs cover would not be crazy -- I'm leaning towards a Heat blowout but would not be surprised by that other option -- I also would not be surprised by a spurs win if the refs let this one roll and the game stays close -- it is worth noting that the OT prop is the cheapest it has been all series -- this is roughly what I recall

    Game 1 -- +1650
    Game 2 -- +1400
    Game 3 -- +1300

    Tonight it is +1100


    Come on Bob, no need to waffle here:)
     
    Champ_Iz_Here
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 2:15 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive:

    I agree -- it is a lot of point and a Heat win with a Spurs cover would not be crazy -- I'm leaning towards a Heat blowout but would not be surprised by that other option -- I also would not be surprised by a spurs win if the refs let this one roll and the game stays close -- it is worth noting that the OT prop is the cheapest it has been all series -- this is roughly what I recall

    Game 1 -- +1650
    Game 2 -- +1400
    Game 3 -- +1300

    Tonight it is +1100


    Nice find Bob, very interesting...if anyone can make OT happen its Joeeeeeeey 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive:

    I agree -- it is a lot of point and a Heat win with a Spurs cover would not be crazy -- I'm leaning towards a Heat blowout but would not be surprised by that other option -- I also would not be surprised by a spurs win if the refs let this one roll and the game stays close -- it is worth noting that the OT prop is the cheapest it has been all series -- this is roughly what I recall

    Game 1 -- +1650
    Game 2 -- +1400
    Game 3 -- +1300

    Tonight it is +1100


    Nice find Bob, very interesting...if anyone can make OT happen its Joeeeeeeey 
     
    narco12
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 2:31 PM ET #18

    yea ur right bob refs could prb let this one just roll n let it play out with out any funniness. i forgot to mention above also i wouldnt be surprise if the nba throws a curveball here n spurs win tonight go up 3-1 n heat win a crazy game in game 5 in sa. win game 6 maybe a blowout at home. n ppl start getting crazy again about spurs prb choking again. n in game 7 we get a great game with the best team that shows up on that night winning.
    i mean i could be totally off on what i just said but u never know.hahaha!!! im still leaning heat for tonight but its still early gonna wait a few more hrs see if anything funny happens with the line.
    Reply
    yea ur right bob refs could prb let this one just roll n let it play out with out any funniness. i forgot to mention above also i wouldnt be surprise if the nba throws a curveball here n spurs win tonight go up 3-1 n heat win a crazy game in game 5 in sa. win game 6 maybe a blowout at home. n ppl start getting crazy again about spurs prb choking again. n in game 7 we get a great game with the best team that shows up on that night winning.
    i mean i could be totally off on what i just said but u never know.hahaha!!! im still leaning heat for tonight but its still early gonna wait a few more hrs see if anything funny happens with the line.
     
    tamsmooth
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 3:20 PM ET #19

    Playoff favorites that win straight up also cover %75 of the time... Heat is the play!!
    Reply
    Playoff favorites that win straight up also cover %75 of the time... Heat is the play!!
     
    examine
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 3:22 PM ET #20

    ya heat is the play

    but I am on spurs just in  case they screw up!

    Reply

    ya heat is the play

    but I am on spurs just in  case they screw up!

     
    bobmaloogatimesfive
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 3:23 PM ET #21

    I'm on the -5 dudes -- not going to overthink this -- everything is set-up for Miami to have a definitive bounceback
    Reply
    I'm on the -5 dudes -- not going to overthink this -- everything is set-up for Miami to have a definitive bounceback
     
    bobmaloogatimesfive
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 3:25 PM ET #22

    Rleith just handed this stat too -- teams leading 2-1 in the NBA finals playing away has the following record in a 2-2-1-1-1 round

    Game 4 record, NBA only, Finals round: 1-12 (.077)

    Coupled with the refs, and Miami's bounceback streak I feel very confident in the Heat today.
    Reply
    Rleith just handed this stat too -- teams leading 2-1 in the NBA finals playing away has the following record in a 2-2-1-1-1 round

    Game 4 record, NBA only, Finals round: 1-12 (.077)

    Coupled with the refs, and Miami's bounceback streak I feel very confident in the Heat today.
     
    bobmaloogatimesfive
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    Posts: 9399
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 3:26 PM ET #23

    Also some Joey to get you motivated

    https://www.sbnation.com/2013/1/11/3867896/joey-crawford-is-just-working-on-his-cardio-and-making-weird-faces
    Reply
    Also some Joey to get you motivated

    https://www.sbnation.com/2013/1/11/3867896/joey-crawford-is-just-working-on-his-cardio-and-making-weird-faces
     
    tamsmooth
    tamsmooth
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2014
    Posts: 41
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 3:46 PM ET #24

    Nice stats Bob definitely appreciated
    Reply
    Nice stats Bob definitely appreciated
     
     
    penguins1503
    penguins1503
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2013
    Posts: 409
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2014 - 4:36 PM ET #25

    Once again, thank's Bob for the info & stats. I see two scenarios playing out tonight. (1). Pop's goes for the win against the reeling heat and unleashes the Spurs offense once again & sets them up for the Knockout in San Antonio. Or (2). Pop's concedes game 4 to the Heat, saves his players legs and energy for game 5 in S.A. with that in mind plus the stats and knowing how Pop,s likes to concede certain games for strategy purposes, I'm leaning with (2) therefore I think it will be a low scoring game give me Miami -5 and under 197. good luck to everyone  and let's get el dinero. 
    Reply
    Once again, thank's Bob for the info & stats. I see two scenarios playing out tonight. (1). Pop's goes for the win against the reeling heat and unleashes the Spurs offense once again & sets them up for the Knockout in San Antonio. Or (2). Pop's concedes game 4 to the Heat, saves his players legs and energy for game 5 in S.A. with that in mind plus the stats and knowing how Pop,s likes to concede certain games for strategy purposes, I'm leaning with (2) therefore I think it will be a low scoring game give me Miami -5 and under 197. good luck to everyone  and let's get el dinero. 
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