Last Friday in this forum I backed the T'wolves as a dog and split my bet between the pointspread (risking 1.2 u) and the ML (risking 0.4 u @ +167). I liked them plus the points, and I felt the Wolves had a bit better than 37.5% (which represents the breakeven point for a team getting +167) chance of winning SU. My thinking was if they cobvered but didn't win, I'd still profit a decent 0.68 u of profit. Nonetheless, @Jimmy Cats (in Redlad's 5/8 "3 Plays for Tonight" thread) opined that I "lacked testicles" in not putting the whole 1.6 u on the moneyline. I wonder what he thinks of the posters who bet ML parlays using -300 favorites (not referring to anyone in particular)?
At any rate, in light of Jimmy Cats' kind appraisal, I hereby introduce the "No Testicles" play of the day.
Detroit +4 -110 (risk 1 u) (for Fri. May 15)
Simple. Do I believe the Cavs are good enough to do what is asked of them, that is, close out the Pistons in 6, after stealing Gm. 5? I don't believe they are. Moneyline when taking the dog is always a consideration, but the +149 i could take does not, IMO, boost he payoff enough to take the extra risk.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Last Friday in this forum I backed the T'wolves as a dog and split my bet between the pointspread (risking 1.2 u) and the ML (risking 0.4 u @ +167). I liked them plus the points, and I felt the Wolves had a bit better than 37.5% (which represents the breakeven point for a team getting +167) chance of winning SU. My thinking was if they cobvered but didn't win, I'd still profit a decent 0.68 u of profit. Nonetheless, @Jimmy Cats (in Redlad's 5/8 "3 Plays for Tonight" thread) opined that I "lacked testicles" in not putting the whole 1.6 u on the moneyline. I wonder what he thinks of the posters who bet ML parlays using -300 favorites (not referring to anyone in particular)?
At any rate, in light of Jimmy Cats' kind appraisal, I hereby introduce the "No Testicles" play of the day.
Detroit +4 -110 (risk 1 u) (for Fri. May 15)
Simple. Do I believe the Cavs are good enough to do what is asked of them, that is, close out the Pistons in 6, after stealing Gm. 5? I don't believe they are. Moneyline when taking the dog is always a consideration, but the +149 i could take does not, IMO, boost he payoff enough to take the extra risk.
Whenever you have I higher seeded team as underdog vs lower seeded team it automatic ml on a underdog cavs might win game 7 but I don't think they are 4 2 better then detroit
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@Stew Baker
Whenever you have I higher seeded team as underdog vs lower seeded team it automatic ml on a underdog cavs might win game 7 but I don't think they are 4 2 better then detroit
@Stew Baker Whenever you have I higher seeded team as underdog vs lower seeded team it automatic ml on a underdog cavs might win game 7 but I don't think they are 4 2 better then detroit
Automatic ML play on higher seeded team as an underdog, so you had Det. ML in games 3 & 4?
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Quote Originally Posted by MLdogs:
@Stew Baker Whenever you have I higher seeded team as underdog vs lower seeded team it automatic ml on a underdog cavs might win game 7 but I don't think they are 4 2 better then detroit
Automatic ML play on higher seeded team as an underdog, so you had Det. ML in games 3 & 4?
who gives a crap about him. nothing wrong with splitting the bet between the spread and moneyline. it happens all the time in baseball to create the -1 runline.
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who gives a crap about him. nothing wrong with splitting the bet between the spread and moneyline. it happens all the time in baseball to create the -1 runline.
who gives a crap about him. nothing wrong with splitting the bet between the spread and moneyline. it happens all the time in baseball to create the -1 runline.
I don't know that anybody does. Anyway, the narrative gave rise to what I thought was an intriguing, provovcative title. The "No Testicles" Play of the Day, to spice things up.
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Quote Originally Posted by riskybets:
who gives a crap about him. nothing wrong with splitting the bet between the spread and moneyline. it happens all the time in baseball to create the -1 runline.
I don't know that anybody does. Anyway, the narrative gave rise to what I thought was an intriguing, provovcative title. The "No Testicles" Play of the Day, to spice things up.
Cavs NOT GOOD ENOUGH to close out at home in a game 6! Game 7? Will have to wait and see on that one. Thinking I wouldn't touch the Cavs, but wouldn't lay points with Det. either
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Cavs NOT GOOD ENOUGH to close out at home in a game 6! Game 7? Will have to wait and see on that one. Thinking I wouldn't touch the Cavs, but wouldn't lay points with Det. either