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Posted: #1
just wait for sportsmavin thread for plays.

i usually fade the consensus in there. esp turbo guy.

also, if u see a guy there win the first game, fade him on the other 2 or last game. chances are he wont go perfect.

been working for me all playoffs.

i combine with public %. if they are part of the public %, then its automatic. spurs last night. grizzlies night before.

you are all welcome
 
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Posted: #2
any leans for today?
 
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Posted: #3
okc -4...

i will continue to fade the public. public is all over an away team. we saw what happen with spurs on sunday, okc monday, and knicks and golden state yestd. all public road darlings and they all lost.

75% on memphis and okc at home.okc with no b-super star, down 1-3 and giving 4? hmmmmm..fishy fishyyyy

keep in mind, okc has not covered one game in this series. memphis is 9-1 last 10 covering 9 in a row.

okc is due for a cover.

okc biggggg
 
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Posted: #4
Where do you see MEM 75%? I see 52-48.
 
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Posted: #5
Just some advice, I would not bet the team is "Due" angle.  Please see the DEN/GS series.  GS covered all 6 games.  This MEM/OKC match up is eerily similar.  OKC is the better team, but without Westbrook, they are not.  DEN was the better team vs. GS, but they were missing a key player in Gallinari.  He is not a superstar, but he was valuable. 

Here is a casino reference for you:  If red has hit 10 times in a row on roulette, do you bet black because it is "due" or do you bet red because it is "hot?"  I bet red.  In gambling you follow the hot streak, not the cold one.  MEM is hot and OKC is not.  They know that they cannot win 3 straight.  OKC may very well win tonight, but I would rather have my money on the team with no pressure and is streaking right now. 

Good luck whatever you decide. 
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by bookiekilla:

Just some advice, I would not bet the team is "Due" angle.  Please see the DEN/GS series.  GS covered all 6 games.  This MEM/OKC match up is eerily similar.  OKC is the better team, but without Westbrook, they are not.  DEN was the better team vs. GS, but they were missing a key player in Gallinari.  He is not a superstar, but he was valuable. 

Here is a casino reference for you:  If red has hit 10 times in a row on roulette, do you bet black because it is "due" or do you bet red because it is "hot?"  I bet red.  In gambling you follow the hot streak, not the cold one.  MEM is hot and OKC is not.  They know that they cannot win 3 straight.  OKC may very well win tonight, but I would rather have my money on the team with no pressure and is streaking right now. 

Good luck whatever you decide. 

Fantastic. 
 
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Posted: #7
It's a decent strategy, but just don't underestimate a squares luck. One can go in a streak regardless of capping skill. Im sure u would have got smacked in round 1 fading the public.
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by bookiekilla:

Just some advice, I would not bet the team is "Due" angle.  Please see the DEN/GS series.  GS covered all 6 games.  This MEM/OKC match up is eerily similar.  OKC is the better team, but without Westbrook, they are not.  DEN was the better team vs. GS, but they were missing a key player in Gallinari.  He is not a superstar, but he was valuable. 

Here is a casino reference for you:  If red has hit 10 times in a row on roulette, do you bet black because it is "due" or do you bet red because it is "hot?"  I bet red.  In gambling you follow the hot streak, not the cold one.  MEM is hot and OKC is not.  They know that they cannot win 3 straight.  OKC may very well win tonight, but I would rather have my money on the team with no pressure and is streaking right now. 

Good luck whatever you decide. 


There is a difference between being "due" and having pride
 
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Posted: #9
i think memphis streak ends tonight. all good things must come to an end. memphis will win game6 but tonight. okc will win and cover.

 
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Posted: #10
actually i been fading the public quite often. and it has been good. not saying its 100% effective but its been profitable. first and second round.

 
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Posted: #11
ONCE AGAIN THIS GUY IS PLAGIARIZING, STOP COPYING FROM KAYLE
 
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Posted: #12
okc=
Rw
 
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Posted: #13
yes i think thunders too but now the line go up again now is 5 now
 
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Posted: #14
yeah i saw thunder -5 too. this is a reverse line movement. and this is good in many ways, as a favorite or a dog.

the line open at -3.5. best thing to do is to buy it down from -5 to -3.5. game will be sharp just like games 1-4.

 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by infamous-mobb:

okc -4...

i will continue to fade the public. public is all over an away team. we saw what happen with spurs on sunday, okc monday, and knicks and golden state yestd. all public road darlings and they all lost.

75% on memphis and okc at home.okc with no b-super star, down 1-3 and giving 4? hmmmmm..fishy fishyyyy

keep in mind, okc has not covered one game in this series. memphis is 9-1 last 10 covering 9 in a row.

okc is due for a cover.

okc biggggg


LOSS
 
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Posted: #16
I agree with the idea but I would never make a pick simply to fade someone. They are really pretty junk and I dunno why he titles that topic "...I've won money this past year! See how!..." 
 
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Posted: #17
I agree with the idea but I would never make a pick simply to fade someone. They are really pretty junk and I dunno why he titles that topic "...I've won money this past year! See how!..." 
 
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Posted: #18
It's pretty hilarious that you pointed this out because I always thought the same thing. I always thought the title of the topic was such a laugh (as are most gamblers who claim to win all the time )
 
 
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Posted: #19
lol yeah they dont do much anymore. at least i havent seen them.

but when all of them are on one team, take the opposite. i usually like to go opposite one guy names turbo there. 8 out of 10 times, i will hit. lol
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