Post some trends below, could potentially be the last game to bet on of the season. Knicks coming off the biggest comeback Finals win in history. Interesting spot. Spurs off the dream crusher game always a tough handicap. Who wins…
to win 1u unless noted
6
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
312-247 (+48.31U) 53-33 (15.57U) post-season
1Q Spurs -1.5
11-2 run…
Post some trends below, could potentially be the last game to bet on of the season. Knicks coming off the biggest comeback Finals win in history. Interesting spot. Spurs off the dream crusher game always a tough handicap. Who wins…
We finally saw a team win and not cover, only 9 times has the spread mattered in the playoffs. The team that wins SU typically covers. The only time the spread has mattered with a line favored by less than 6 points was yesterday's game. Spurs have now covered 1Q ATS 9 of the last 10 games. Spurs have covered 1Q in the series every game by 8 points or more. Home favorites off a loss in the playoffs are 17-7-1 ATS in the 1Q. Teams that lost by 3 points or less in the Finals next game are 10-6 SU and 10-5-1 ATS (lost by one point 5-1 SU/ATS) Teams that lost as an away dog and now playing as home favs in the Finals 8-4 SU/6-5-1 ATS Gm5 with one win 4-7 SU/ATS (at home 1-1 SU/0-2ATS) too small samples on everything off a loss, etc
@bajalife
to win 1u unless noted
0
Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo:
We finally saw a team win and not cover, only 9 times has the spread mattered in the playoffs. The team that wins SU typically covers. The only time the spread has mattered with a line favored by less than 6 points was yesterday's game. Spurs have now covered 1Q ATS 9 of the last 10 games. Spurs have covered 1Q in the series every game by 8 points or more. Home favorites off a loss in the playoffs are 17-7-1 ATS in the 1Q. Teams that lost by 3 points or less in the Finals next game are 10-6 SU and 10-5-1 ATS (lost by one point 5-1 SU/ATS) Teams that lost as an away dog and now playing as home favs in the Finals 8-4 SU/6-5-1 ATS Gm5 with one win 4-7 SU/ATS (at home 1-1 SU/0-2ATS) too small samples on everything off a loss, etc
Queries, data, matchups, positive vs negative regression none of it really matters in my opinion. Comes down to where the Spurs are mentally after a loss like that. The interviews and quotes out of the locker room look good but does it translate.
to win 1u unless noted
1
1Q Spurs -1.5 (1.1U)
1Q Spurs -2 (.77U) added a little more on the 1Q
still thinking on the game...
Queries, data, matchups, positive vs negative regression none of it really matters in my opinion. Comes down to where the Spurs are mentally after a loss like that. The interviews and quotes out of the locker room look good but does it translate.
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