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Saturday GM5 🏀

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Captain
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Posted: #1

312-247 (+48.31U)    
53-33 (15.57U) post-season 

1Q Spurs -1.5

11-2 run…

Post some trends below, could potentially be the last game to bet on of the season. Knicks coming off the biggest comeback Finals win in history. Interesting spot. Spurs off the dream crusher game always a tough handicap. Who wins…

clover

to win 1u unless noted
 
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Posted: #2

 

Cheering for a final Spurs win BOL to you!  an_cheers 

 
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Posted: #3

@MrFreedo

 

 On Board...line up to -3 now...peace_5

 
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Posted: #4

surprised

Nice-&-early prognostication

 
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Posted: #5

I have no problem seeing the Spurs bouncing back. Played 1st qtr. and game. 1st qtr. one of my larger plays of the playoffs!

 
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Posted: #6

We finally saw a team win and not cover, only 9 times has the spread mattered in the playoffs. The team that wins SU typically covers. 

The only time the spread has mattered with a line favored by less than 6 points was yesterday's game. 

Spurs have now covered 1Q ATS 9 of the last 10 games. Spurs have covered 1Q in the series every game by 8 points or more.

Home favorites off a loss in the playoffs are 17-7-1 ATS in the 1Q.

Teams that lost by 3 points or less in the Finals next game are 10-6 SU and 10-5-1 ATS (lost by one point 5-1 SU/ATS)

Teams that lost as an away dog and now playing as home favs in the Finals 8-4 SU/6-5-1 ATS

Gm5 with one win 4-7 SU/ATS (at home 1-1 SU/0-2ATS)  too small samples on everything off a loss, etc

 

 

to win 1u unless noted
 
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Posted: #7

thumbs_up

 
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Posted: #8

@MrFreedo

 I think the Spurs are 4-0 in the first quarter no? 

 
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Posted: #9

Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo:

We finally saw a team win and not cover, only 9 times has the spread mattered in the playoffs. The team that wins SU typically covers.  The only time the spread has mattered with a line favored by less than 6 points was yesterday's game.  Spurs have now covered 1Q ATS 9 of the last 10 games. Spurs have covered 1Q in the series every game by 8 points or more. Home favorites off a loss in the playoffs are 17-7-1 ATS in the 1Q. Teams that lost by 3 points or less in the Finals next game are 10-6 SU and 10-5-1 ATS (lost by one point 5-1 SU/ATS) Teams that lost as an away dog and now playing as home favs in the Finals 8-4 SU/6-5-1 ATS Gm5 with one win 4-7 SU/ATS (at home 1-1 SU/0-2ATS)  too small samples on everything off a loss, etc

@bajalife

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Posted: #10

Good luck Mr. F.  an_cheers

 
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Posted: #11

peace_5I like it I'm going to put that one in now.

 
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Posted: #12

FREEDO peaceclover

Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
 
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Posted: #13

1Q Spurs -1.5 (1.1U)

1Q Spurs -2 (.77U) added a little more on the 1Q

still thinking on the game...

Queries, data, matchups, positive vs negative regression none of it really matters in my opinion. Comes down to where the Spurs are mentally after a loss like that. The interviews and quotes out of the locker room  look good but does it translate. 

 

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Posted: #14

GL clover @MrFreedopeace_5

 

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #15

@MrFreedo

Why would you be making a press after the unfavorable (to late bettors) line movement (or was the line move part of the reason for the press)?

 
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Posted: #16

@MrFreedo

 clover

 
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Posted: #17

Me too and half peace_5

 
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Posted: #18

@MrFreedo

 an_cheers

 
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Posted: #19

-3 now. Sheesh 

 
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Posted: #20

@MrFreedo

 Good luck MrFreedo an_boxing

 
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Posted: #21

@MrFreedo

 Thank you again, MrFreedo!

 
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Posted: #22

an_clap

 
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Posted: #23

@MrFreedo

 an_cheers

Sharing is Caring
 
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Posted: #24

@MrFreedo

 WINNER!!!  I added a bit more as well on Spurs 1st quarter -2... winan_clapan_happydudemoneybagmoneybag

 
 
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Posted: #25

an_horsean_horsean_horse

moneybag

50 units on season lfg

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