*** Revelations ***

 Do you doubt thee Almighty??

  Lakers won't get to the line as much tonight being I feel the whistles will be quite illrelivent. Lakers haven't really been driving the rock on the road. Basically standing around waiting for set shots.  Besides Kobe and maybe Sasha, who's hittings them?? I said this last night and I'll say it again. LA chances lie soley in SASHA being able to drop some shots. I'm willing to lay out $1100 to say he won't tonight. NOT ON THE ROAD!!!

Back in a bit with some stats....

Posted: 6/17/2008 3:38:30 AMThe book do not try to lure the public into bets.  They set every line trying to get equal action on both sides so that they are guaranteed to make money.  PERIOD.

Everything Nightridah said was right on, here are some more reasons to be on the Celts....

Boston -4.5 and under 191.5 (I have 192, but I feel a game under 180 so it shouldn't matter).

#1 Both teams get a cross country flight and only a single day off, that means less practice and maybe a bit of weary legs so less jumpers should fall (especially from the Laker bench who seem to play better at home).  Also important is the Laker bench performance since Gasol and Odom have been contained.
#2  No more lackluster Celtics.  They need game 6 and they know it which means the defensive intensity should be there early and often.  I expect the Lakers to 40 or less in the first half.  Also expect Doc Rivers to point out that the Celtics keep getting blown out in first quarters so they may come out extra fired up.
#3  Perkins?  No one else seems to think this is important but the Lakers did a much better job on the boards after Perkins was injured.  He doesn't bring much on offense, but his defense and rebounding allow Garnett to avoid Gasol (and foul trouble) while Perkins cleans the glass on D and frsutrates Gasol.  I'd feel much better about the under and the Celts if someone would tell me he is playing.  I checked perkisabeast.com, but they don't have any info either.  I do think he plays though.  Rivers probably rested him in game five waiting for this game and if its close to healthy he'll give it a go... after all "Perk is a best."
#4 Why is this 4.5?  The home team gets 4.5 points in the NBA (just like the home team gets 3 in the NFL).  We know this.  So if two identical teams played each other the home team would be favored by 4.5.  So when the Celtics get 4.5 at home Vegas is telling me that these teams are equal.  Wrong.  The Celtics are better and have proved it repeatedly.  Every must win game they have won (games 2 and 4) and have looked better throughout the series, so why are they only giving 4.5?  The line is getting closer to correct with each game, but its still off by a few points.  Vegas simply won't let me take the Lakers cause the Celtics have been undervalued in every game.
#5  The Crowd.  I think the Boston crowd may be worth more than 4.5 this time.  They should sense a championship and all those Patriot/RedSox fans will be hammered and obnoxious for several hours tomorrow night (9PM local start gives people 4 hours to drink between work and game 6).  The crowd shouldn't affect Kobe, but Vujacic? Farmar? Radmonavic? Gasol?  Do the officials make those same calls on Garnett in front of 20,000 drunk Bostonians?  Does Boston rotate a little faster and box out a little harder?  Will LA fold up in the second half and just let Kobe take all the shots if LA is down 10 in the third and the crowd senses blood?  (Vujacic won't I've never seen someone who likes shooting as much as that guy, but the rest may pass pass pass pass pass pass, which Kobe will like, but won't help the Lakers win).

 MountainTerps

You said it all mah mann!!!