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pig, melo, metta, coach, baby and the gang tuesday NBA/ MLB

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Posted: #1
ok gang, greetings from the sty!!! we had a decent day and night yesterday. i think most of the crew was positive for the day, as i was. hit the big play washington-giants over 4 first 5 and got a push on over 8 full game. coach had the yankees TT over 4 1/2 pegged, and i was glad to be on that winner with him...i think he also had yankees over for the first 5 that was a winner too. many of the crew had the brewers last night, and that play hurt those that had it..
today, i have a lean to the over 183 in the nba playoff game between the spurs and grizzlies.... scott foster and bill kennedy are 2 of the better "over" officials, and z-bo cant be as bad tonight as last game...
post your plays and feel free to comment...i lean to the reds ML tonight and i  bet detroit-cleveland over 8 1/2 this morning, its moved up to 9... off for that afternoon nap. see you later my friends...
 
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Posted: #2
I'm thinking along the same lines as Pig in the Det/Cleve game but taking a slightly different approach....

Det TT o4.5 FG

Scherzer boasts a perfect 5-0 record with an ERA of 3.98.  What that tells me is that he's enjoying plenty of run support.  Why teams score more runs for certain pitchers and less for others has always been a mystery though the bottom line is that the Tigers are averaging 7 runs per game when Scherzer starts....that's a trend which can't be ignored.  On the other hand, Kluber (RHP) is a statistical anomaly in that his numbers are actually worse facing RH hitters (.357 BA) than LH hitters (.246 BA).  That's a remarkable difference and one you won't see too often.  Enter Miguel Cabrera who's raking right now and could cover the TT by himself.  A nice forecasted wind blowing out doesn't hurt either.  My only hesitation  playing the FG over is the potential of Scherzer shutting down the Tribe lineup kicking off a somewhat statement series.  I just don't see Kluber with the same potential though I've been wrong in the past.
 
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Posted: #3
BOL guys
 
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Posted: #4
Tonight's card (really like these plays tonight):

Reds ML
TB ML
Pitt ML
Det TT o4.5
Ny/Balt o9
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:

I'm thinking along the same lines as Pig in the Det/Cleve game but taking a slightly different approach....

Det TT o4.5 FG

Scherzer boasts a perfect 5-0 record with an ERA of 3.98.  What that tells me is that he's enjoying plenty of run support.  Why teams score more runs for certain pitchers and less for others has always been a mystery though the bottom line is that the Tigers are averaging 7 runs per game when Scherzer starts....that's a trend which can't be ignored.  On the other hand, Kluber (RHP) is a statistical anomaly in that his numbers are actually worse facing RH hitters (.357 BA) than LH hitters (.246 BA).  That's a remarkable difference and one you won't see too often.  Enter Miguel Cabrera who's raking right now and could cover the TT by himself.  A nice forecasted wind blowing out doesn't hurt either.  My only hesitation  playing the FG over is the potential of Scherzer shutting down the Tribe lineup kicking off a somewhat statement series.  I just don't see Kluber with the same potential though I've been wrong in the past.

Agree with this play 100%. 
 
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Posted: #6
Spurs TT o93 FG

This series is an obvious contrast of styles which comes down to who can successfully impose their will.  Granted, SA shot lights out in Game 1 and this number reflects an expected regression...whether it be tightened defense, a more moderate shooting %, or both.  However, in its 5 games against the Grizz this year, SA was held under 98 pts exactly once....and that was without Duncan, Ginobili, and Leonard who combined for 32 pts in Game 1.  Overall, SA is averaging 99 pts/game versus the Grizz this year, and 102 pts/game at home.  Thus, is this TT a trap?  Maybe, but I don't see the Grizz imposing their will on SA's home court and expect another TT in the mid/upper 90's once again.
 
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Posted: #7
BOL all. 
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:

I'm thinking along the same lines as Pig in the Det/Cleve game but taking a slightly different approach....

Det TT o4.5 FG

Scherzer boasts a perfect 5-0 record with an ERA of 3.98.     A nice forecasted wind blowing out doesn't hurt either.  My only hesitation  playing the FG over is the potential of Scherzer shutting down the Tribe lineup kicking off a somewhat statement series.  though I've been wrong in the past.
.
NO coach....never....you may have been mistaken, but NEVER wrong... i think scherzer, a fly ball pitcher gives up a tater or two...to help it get over..
 
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Posted: #9
hi people, wht ups,,  i have my play for today

over 91 menphis vs spurs ,, all my money here

pit ml
cinc ml
atlanta ml
tamp ml
kc vs hous over 8 1/2
ny vs orioles over 9
ditroit vs clev over 9

Blueboy i like ur plays  this night we ll make some  

good luck for all people
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by pigskinpicker:

.
NO coach....never....you may have been mistaken, but NEVER wrong... i think scherzer, a fly ball pitcher gives up a tater or two...to help it get over..


I'll be pulling for you, my friend
 
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Posted: #11
Ok so I've been picking mostly NHL and NBA but I've been doing well in baseball ... Going to give it a shot. 

YTD 24-13-4
+9.7 units

 All to win 1 unit

#907 - Los Angeles Dodgers/Milwaukee Brewers o8½ (-115)

 #919 - Detroit Tigers/Cleveland Indians u9 (-117)

 #920 - Cleveland Indians Team Total u4 (-115)

 #922 - Texas Rangers ML (-202)

 #927 - Seattle Mariners/Los Angeles Angels u8½ (+107)
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:

Spurs TT o93 FG

This series is an obvious contrast of styles which comes down to who can successfully impose their will.  Granted, SA shot lights out in Game 1 and this number reflects an expected regression...whether it be tightened defense, a more moderate shooting %, or both.  However, in its 5 games against the Grizz this year, SA was held under 98 pts exactly once....and that was without Duncan, Ginobili, and Leonard who combined for 32 pts in Game 1.  Overall, SA is averaging 99 pts/game versus the Grizz this year, and 102 pts/game at home.  Thus, is this TT a trap?  Maybe, but I don't see the Grizz imposing their will on SA's home court and expect another TT in the mid/upper 90's once again.

 on this already. grizzlies have had no answer this season and even game 1 to stop the spurs from scoring on them. spurs hit all their 3s because of the great floor spacing and strategically placing their shooters in their hot zones (kawhi leonard in the corner, ginobili and danny green on the wing/corner, diaw and neal at the top, bonner everywhere since memphis has never learned to repect a 3pt shooting big man). tony parker is the man creating on this team and his drive and kicks have resulted in lots of open shots. spurs will continue to spread the floor in the half court and try to beat the memphis bigs down the floor on the break to get some easy buckets. really contemplating spurs ATS FG but only thing holding me back is the road dogs down 0-1 covering game 2 trend.

like the over FG too pig i am going to look over the previous playoff box scores and see which games this crew has called and will post final play. i have a strong feeling there will be lots and lots of fouls called today.

for MLB, played the following parlay with open spot to fill with miami tomorrow or the under tomorrow, still deciding. played Pit -1 since cubs can't hit lefties well and garza is 1st game off DL. should be on a pitch count and Cubs BP is nothing to write home about. also played DET/CLE over 9. 

PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
[919] TIGERS (DETROIT) o9EV
( M SCHERZER -R / C KLUBER -R )
[1902] 1H PIRATES (PITTSBURGH) -½+105
( M GARZA -R / W RODRIGUZ -L )
[1906] 1H MARLINS (MIAMI) +½-155
( T CLOYD -R / J FERNANDZ -R )
[1924] 1H ASTROS (HOUSTON) +105
( W DAVIS -R / B NORRIS -R )
OPEN PLAY
 
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Posted: #13
Phil/Miami Under 7.5 

Detroit/Cleveland Over 9 BIG

Kansas/Houston Over 4.5 F5 BIG

Minnesota/Atlanta Over 4.5 F5 BIG

Baltimor TT Over 4.5
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by Stonecutter99:

 

#907 - Los Angeles Dodgers/Milwaukee Brewers o8½ (-115) FADE

 #919 - Detroit Tigers/Cleveland Indians u9 (-117) FADE

 #920 - Cleveland Indians Team Total u4 (-115)

 #922 - Texas Rangers ML (-202)

 #927 - Seattle Mariners/Los Angeles Angels u8½ (+107) 
 
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Posted: #15
Pig, Metta, let me watch the 1Q Memphis/Spurs first before putting money on o/u..

Learned tons lessons from betting playoff total.


 
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Posted: #16

Hey guys, Red Sox burned me but the rest were ok, so lost a little last night.  For early games....

Toro +132 MEDIUM.  Rays Cobb isn't as good on the road, and Jays Ortiz has been pitching surprising well.  Little or no edge in Rays hitting.  This looks like a tossup so line is much too high;  Rays really shouldn't even be a favorite.
Over 9 Even Det/Clev BIG.  Both these teams can hit.  Scherzer is good but has been struggling, and Kluber's been getting slapped around;  has has some huge overs this season.
Cinc -108 BIG.  Any opportunity to bet against the Mets should be examined.  They're up against a better pitcher who's dominated them in the past.  Gotta take a shot with such a low line.

GL  

 

 
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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by pigskinpicker:

.
NO coach....never....you may have been mistaken, but NEVER wrong... i think scherzer, a fly ball pitcher gives up a tater or two...to help it get over..

I agree with Pig.  Scherzer has been giving up some runs lately, including 5 to weak-hitting Houston in his last start.  Clev hitting has been really hot lately, and the Tigers BP is an added bonus....

 
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Posted: #18

Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:

Spurs TT o93 FG

This series is an obvious contrast of styles which comes down to who can successfully impose their will.  Granted, SA shot lights out in Game 1 and this number reflects an expected regression...whether it be tightened defense, a more moderate shooting %, or both.  However, in its 5 games against the Grizz this year, SA was held under 98 pts exactly once....and that was without Duncan, Ginobili, and Leonard who combined for 32 pts in Game 1.  Overall, SA is averaging 99 pts/game versus the Grizz this year, and 102 pts/game at home.  Thus, is this TT a trap?  Maybe, but I don't see the Grizz imposing their will on SA's home court and expect another TT in the mid/upper 90's once again.

Looks like a good tail to me.  

 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:

Pig, Metta, let me watch the 1Q Memphis/Spurs first before putting money on o/u..

Learned tons lessons from betting playoff total.




quarters guy has 1q under 1st 3 min and 6 min under and FG under for what it's worth.
 
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Posted: #20
Coach- got a pucks play for me tonight 
 
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Posted: #21
Looks like everyone else likes Tampon, and I'm all alone with Toro.  That'll be fun.  
 
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Posted: #22

Quote Originally Posted by blueboy22:

Coach- got a pucks play for me tonight 

I'll be surprised if Coach doesn't say Sharks....

 
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Posted: #23
https://espn.go.com/blog/playbook/dollars/post/_/id/2935/meet-the-worlds-top-nba-gambler

the story of top NBA gambler, he's still around on the online gambling site, probably on Pincle.

His bet usually moves line up and down, it's worth to note that.

His tweeter account - @haralabob
 
 
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Posted: #24
LAD/Milwaukee Under 8.5 
Value
 
 
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Posted: #25
this is 1st time in playoffs foster, spooner, and kennedy are reffing together as a crew. foster and kennedy together have reffed 8 games this season, and they averaged 51 free throw attempts with the lowest game having 45 in miami/milwaukee game 3. road dogs are 4-2 (with pacers losing game 5 to knicks where they missed 14 FT and grizzlies losing game 1 to clippers) in playoffs under kennedy/foster combo. 2 games went to over time, spurs/warriors game 4 and knicks/celtics game 4 under kennedy/foster. on the other hand, spooner is more of an under referee during the playoffs as the games he has called have been in the lower 180s and fouls are less common when he was part of a crew that called the games.

i would think the high amount of fouls favor the grizzlies more than the spurs because a majority of their offense comes from drives and post up offense while the spurs play a more spread the floor game with lots of off ball screens and ball movement.grizzlies do not defend the pick and roll well, don't step out on picks enough which may allow tony parker or gary neal to have a free mid range jumper off the  screen, and they are not used to stepping out on bigs that can shoot like diaw and bonner. 
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