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Over/Under: How I am winning

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Posted: #351
12/02/2009
SACRAMENTO v INDIANA
Total: 215.5

Indiana are shooting terribly at regular stages of their games and this is proving costly. They lost to GSW after leading by 14 in the 3rd Qtr and went on holidays. Yet, thanks largely to GSW's high shooting percentage, it tipped the total of 227 or whatever it was over.

Indiana need focus and I think Dunleavy will play more minutes tonite. Troy Murphy isn't doing well since his return and the plays set for him are at a stall as he is not confident and passing the ball off instead of shooting. Indiana's run and gun isn't there.

Sacramento are scoring 100+ points in every Game for the past 6 Games. The type of offense Sacramento play will open up chances for Indiana as the Sacs are not a great defensive team.

Play: Over 215.5
Play: Over 110 at HT
 
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Posted: #352
My main play is on Indiana to break the funk and get the W in Sacramento.

Indiana are one consistent 4 Qtr game from winning. They should have the game here to outgun the Sacs.
 
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Posted: #353
Are you freaking kidding me? Dallas scored 49 points in 2nd Half.

HT is set at 93 but I cannot see the scoring stopping even with Dallas having the Game away. Nets will score in 2nd as far as i can see and this will still be at a good tempo till game end.

Play: Over 93 at HT
 
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Posted: #354
Thank-you...(I am not worthy)...great GURU of the O & U's.
 
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Posted: #355
12/02/2009
SAN ANTONIO v BOSTON
Total: 187.5

Boston have shown they can score and play the tempo of the game set by themselves or their opposition. That's not surprising since most of the teams they have played in the past 5 have all been inferior teams except maybe Miami (which was a low scorer).

Boston tends to play tighter against teams that will contest them and each time this has led to sub 100 point games for either teams, eg Orlando, Miami.

San Antonio are similar. When they encounter inferior opposition, their offense tends to come easier but tend to be a low tempo when faced with teams that can get them

Both the defenses of these 2 teams have limited opponents to around 44% shooting. However, San Antonio does let the opponent get the shots off around 15% more times than Boston does but at 40% shooting in the past 5.

This game will be about how well Boston shoots. Boston tends to look after the ball better when in the lead and tend to look at building it. San Antonio are similar but have tended to look at their Defense to get them back into games. 

This is as good as a Playoff game and a scoreline of 92-87 would be what would likely be on the card.

Play: Under 187.5
 
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Posted: #356
12/03/2009
GOLDEN STATE  v HOUSTON
Total: 222

Houston come from a back2back to face the rested Warriors. The keys for Houston here, especially coming off a fairly tense game against the Clippers where it was close till the early stages of the 4th Qtr will be how well they defend the Warrior's duo of Curry and Ellis.

The Warriors will be looking to step the gas and play a volatile high paced tempo to wear out Houston. This game will likely have a lot of runs by either team.

Houston shot 12 of 23 from the perimeter and 50% from the field against the Clippers in what was a fairly average game. Yet, they only scored 102 points. 2009/10 has seen the Rockets shoot at 45% from the field but their recent contests have seen them shoot at 43%.

They will need to repeat the performance against the Clippers here to win the Game. Golden State allows teams to shoot 50% against them.

In 2009/10, apart from the 2 Games against Dallas, totals in Houston games do not get to 220. The last 3 Games have actually seen Houston defend much better and limit the scoring opportunities of their opponents. This has occurred since their diabolical thumping by Dallas who shot 65%.

A back2back and a better focus on the defense bolds well for keeping this baby Under 222.

Play: Under 222
 
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Posted: #357

Just starting reading your posts .Love playing totals in NFL Just started playing NBA totals..After talking to a few serious cappers in the NY ares ,they all seem to rely more on capping totals than winners in the NBA,they all seem to think thats where the edge is ..I see u subscribe to the same therory .GL on your plays down under. Dont let any negative covers  youngins get to u

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #358
I like Warriors win,Boston win and Miami (+8.5) today.

GL Everyone.
 
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Posted: #359
Quote Originally Posted by MTFN50:

Just starting reading your posts .Love playing totals in NFL Just started playing NBA totals..After talking to a few serious cappers in the NY ares ,they all seem to rely more on capping totals than winners in the NBA,they all seem to think thats where the edge is ..I see u subscribe to the same therory .GL on your plays down under. Dont let any negative covers  youngins get to u

 

 

 



Thanks. Nothing much fazes me anyway

What do u think of the Jets/Bills at the Total of 37?

They play in Toronto and inside the Dome.
 
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Posted: #360
I mainly bet totals but will look at any Game in NBA or NFL if there is a potential upset that pays at or over +105. There are alot of these each day but it's picking the game it happens on.


 
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Posted: #361

sly, haven't seen you update your record? what's it now?

 
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Posted: #362
sly, last night was shady...total was 215 on the kings / pacers game
 
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Posted: #363
Live in Jet town .37 is a tough one .But im leaning under,based on the way they played sunday,.And how Buff played way over there head.I think To gets shut down.Last 2 weeks jets have focused on reeling in Sanchez,and getting back to running the ball.Ilike the Jets to cover,.
 
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Posted: #364
Record is at 24-15 (1-2 yesterday)

The Pacers and Kings game was a loser by 1 and Dallas and NJ held off the shooting in the final Qtr and last minute when all I needed was a bucket (after taking the HT Total of 93) Kris Humphries had a chance at a lay up with 20 seconds left and dribbled the ball out of the key ??!!

Kinda sucked losing these 2 else could have gone 3-0


 
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Posted: #365

Plus   the bills haveone of the worst run def.in the league where the jets belive it or not are in the top yards per carry.

 
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Posted: #366
thats the  tough thing about betting nba in general.its hard to capgarbage time isin it  lol
 
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Posted: #367
Quote Originally Posted by MTFN50:

Live in Jet town .37 is a tough one .But im leaning under,based on the way they played sunday,.And how Buff played way over there head.I think To gets shut down.Last 2 weeks jets have focused on reeling in Sanchez,and getting back to running the ball.Ilike the Jets to cover,.


Did you know that the dog has covered in the past 8 meetings between these 2?

Alot of people in the States will be taking Over 37 I think but it will be a running game by the Jets Offense as far as I can see it. Bills will probably be throwing and have been successful at it. I think Sanchez got picked off 3-4 times last time they played as well.

Normally i be taking the Bills here.

Btw: I almost forgot - It's UPSET THURSDAY.

Miami in NBA may be worth a stake at +320


 
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Posted: #368
I just looked up record Jets are 2nd in the league running the ball at 161 yards avg Bull is dead last giving up 165 yards defending the run.Tough stat to get away from If in NY line would be -5 or6 if in Buff I still think it wouldbe- 3 .
 
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Posted: #369

Quote Originally Posted by slyspy700:



Did you know that the dog has covered in the past 8 meetings between these 2?

Alot of people in the States will be taking Over 37 I think but it will be a running game by the Jets Offense as far as I can see it. Bills will probably be throwing and have been successful at it. I think Sanchez got picked off 3-4 times last time they played as well.

Normally i be taking the Bills here.

Btw: I almost forgot - It's UPSET THURSDAY.

Miami in NBA may be worth a stake at +320


Like your analysis on total for San Antonio Boston but have to disagree with tonights Miami play! Miami coming off huge win in Portland, going to face high octane Denver, B2B with the Fakers!

 
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Posted: #370
I have to agree with thebird, I have Den. BOL  
 
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Posted: #371
Just finished hearing interveiw with beat reporter in Buff. They were talking about homefeild advantage for bills,and the fact that there isnt one.1st to go from Buff over the boarder u need a passport or a special license plate which not everyone has besides the fact with the delays at the crossing it stillis a hour half drive to toronto.2nd is a big part of Bill football, like most stadiums ,is tailgating ,its illegal in Canada,and 3rd they had to give away 17,000tickets in order for the game not to be a blackout.Just thought it was intresting .Would think a home crowd atmosphere would benifit the bills,No advantage this game. Jets roll 21-10  GL all
 
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Posted: #372
I wish these asshole Warriors would put their bodies on the line when they play Defense. The WNBA has better defensive players than these fucks.
 
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Posted: #373
Lazy pieces of shit both Rockets and Warriors.
 
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Posted: #374
Quote Originally Posted by slyspy700:

Lazy pieces of shit both Rockets and Warriors.
Yeah, that under is long hosed.
 
 
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