I defy anyone to provide any fact, data, or analytical POV that indicates the Lakers will turn this around. LeBron is 41 and is not going to drop 50. So Reaves and Hachimura are suddenly going to make the leap from stand around wait for a Luka pass to blood thirsty closers? Not happening. SGA has been somewhat held in check, but Lakers are still getting blown out. Suppose Lakers mix it up and go 1x1 with Smart on SGA. You are telling me Smart will do what the rest of the NBA couldnt do and shut down SGA? Sorry. Old LeBron mid level hacks reaves and Hachimura and a bunch of scrubs are not going to change the outcome.
Goto the window, throw down a couple of dimes on OKC -10.5 and sleep the sleep of the dead knowing you won.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I defy anyone to provide any fact, data, or analytical POV that indicates the Lakers will turn this around. LeBron is 41 and is not going to drop 50. So Reaves and Hachimura are suddenly going to make the leap from stand around wait for a Luka pass to blood thirsty closers? Not happening. SGA has been somewhat held in check, but Lakers are still getting blown out. Suppose Lakers mix it up and go 1x1 with Smart on SGA. You are telling me Smart will do what the rest of the NBA couldnt do and shut down SGA? Sorry. Old LeBron mid level hacks reaves and Hachimura and a bunch of scrubs are not going to change the outcome.
Goto the window, throw down a couple of dimes on OKC -10.5 and sleep the sleep of the dead knowing you won.
I have been hammering OKC this Series. I think this Bet is 50-50 Only Because OKC is up 3-0 and they usually Don't cover Big Spreads on the close out Game's. They could STILL do it if the L.A. Lakers are SO inept BUT if L.A. plays really good..Those points could come into play this time. Like L.A . Loses by 7-10. Good Luck. Just saying my view on the Game.
1
I have been hammering OKC this Series. I think this Bet is 50-50 Only Because OKC is up 3-0 and they usually Don't cover Big Spreads on the close out Game's. They could STILL do it if the L.A. Lakers are SO inept BUT if L.A. plays really good..Those points could come into play this time. Like L.A . Loses by 7-10. Good Luck. Just saying my view on the Game.
if you really geek out about stats, forget about points, rebounds, assists etc. those are outcomes.
check out activity level metrics that lead to outcomes. movement and speed data. who is moving and how fast? points off turnovers, loose balls recovered, contested shots. who wants it and how bad. wide open shots. who is getting open and why.
either way good luck tonight.
1
if you really geek out about stats, forget about points, rebounds, assists etc. those are outcomes.
check out activity level metrics that lead to outcomes. movement and speed data. who is moving and how fast? points off turnovers, loose balls recovered, contested shots. who wants it and how bad. wide open shots. who is getting open and why.
appreciate the feedback. that could happen but if i lose i feel super confident about the data i used to support my conclusion. but like in all sports, stuff happens so who knows....
1
@giavonni
appreciate the feedback. that could happen but if i lose i feel super confident about the data i used to support my conclusion. but like in all sports, stuff happens so who knows....
NO doubt. OkC is way Stronger. I am just saying a desperate team vs a team up 3-0 is getting scary to make them blow a team OUT again. I am not trying to persuade you .Just my outlook. BUT on paper. OKC looks easy again. Good Luck
0
@Ascetic
NO doubt. OkC is way Stronger. I am just saying a desperate team vs a team up 3-0 is getting scary to make them blow a team OUT again. I am not trying to persuade you .Just my outlook. BUT on paper. OKC looks easy again. Good Luck
That is a Good Thing. Especially if you have good instincts. I learned the HARD way to NOT let others persuade me. And you being a stubborn Jackass. That is pretty funny.
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@Ascetic
That is a Good Thing. Especially if you have good instincts. I learned the HARD way to NOT let others persuade me. And you being a stubborn Jackass. That is pretty funny.
i get into trouble when i get all sentimental and start betting on my girl's bills and sabres. i also fail when i bet on my longhorns or bears. luckily, i no longer bet on any of those teams. cash losing lashings are great instructors.
1
@giavonni
i get into trouble when i get all sentimental and start betting on my girl's bills and sabres. i also fail when i bet on my longhorns or bears. luckily, i no longer bet on any of those teams. cash losing lashings are great instructors.
Rightt.. like". She is like" Bet On my team. They are good ..they are going to do it. SO" you put a bet in on her team for her to be happy. . Like 10 minutes in. You Start sweating and water is dripping on the side of your head..she is like. . Oh my team will come back..trust me ..you are looking at her..like what are you talking about.. Your team is getting smashed. BUT" you have to smile and be like I am sure they will..Babe. . After the total catastrophe of the game. She is like" it is okay". I'll make it up to you..You are thinking ..like I can give you idea's how you can make it up to me...BUT deep down thinking i am probably actually am not in the mood for that. Either. After this.. LMBO
0
Rightt.. like". She is like" Bet On my team. They are good ..they are going to do it. SO" you put a bet in on her team for her to be happy. . Like 10 minutes in. You Start sweating and water is dripping on the side of your head..she is like. . Oh my team will come back..trust me ..you are looking at her..like what are you talking about.. Your team is getting smashed. BUT" you have to smile and be like I am sure they will..Babe. . After the total catastrophe of the game. She is like" it is okay". I'll make it up to you..You are thinking ..like I can give you idea's how you can make it up to me...BUT deep down thinking i am probably actually am not in the mood for that. Either. After this.. LMBO
i do love the bills and want her to win.....but i love the line she gives me 'the bills are a second half team' nonsense. this is when i fail to rely on data and just throw some cash on the stupid bills. crazy thing is bills always choke when she tells me to bet on them and always win when i dont bet on them. and she is the queen of i bet you $100 on blah blah blah and never pays when she loses. but if i make a bet with her i ALWAYS pay. it's the principle. so i guess ultimately she always wins.
0
@giavonni
i do love the bills and want her to win.....but i love the line she gives me 'the bills are a second half team' nonsense. this is when i fail to rely on data and just throw some cash on the stupid bills. crazy thing is bills always choke when she tells me to bet on them and always win when i dont bet on them. and she is the queen of i bet you $100 on blah blah blah and never pays when she loses. but if i make a bet with her i ALWAYS pay. it's the principle. so i guess ultimately she always wins.
at least she try's . And I am SURE she doesn't pay when she loses and when she wins..she wants her money y y .. the woman alway's Win. .even when they don't. BUT" it is how it supposed to be.. that is what makes boy's ..Men.. We take care of our woman. . Woman have enough things they have to deal with..like Men. Or should I say Boy's Lol
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@Ascetic
at least she try's . And I am SURE she doesn't pay when she loses and when she wins..she wants her money y y .. the woman alway's Win. .even when they don't. BUT" it is how it supposed to be.. that is what makes boy's ..Men.. We take care of our woman. . Woman have enough things they have to deal with..like Men. Or should I say Boy's Lol
at this point, i'd prefer the thunder smash the Lakers by more than 11 and i wake up a winner....unless my girl convinces me to bet on the hapless sabres and i give it all back.
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@giavonni
at this point, i'd prefer the thunder smash the Lakers by more than 11 and i wake up a winner....unless my girl convinces me to bet on the hapless sabres and i give it all back.
I Don't know anything about the Sabres. OKC has a chance of doing it. I am looking at OKC live if it looks like I see something..Maybe less points. OKC could smash them BUT the Lakers have been playing good the first half. I will probably watch and see if something looks good to bet or not. I put $100 and got it to $2000 this week and alot of it was on OKC . Detroit Game 7 is where it started . The Spurs Game 2. 4 ALL IN'S. Wouldn't recommend it. .lol that is why I am being cautious too. Because it is inevitable to start losing a little if you keep betting alot.. I wish I knew the mindset of these team for tonight. It is where you really would like to be around the team and see what they are feeling and thinking. Like is OKC feeling and trying to smash the Lakers. DO the Lakers think they can play one amazing game for them. . But I hope you Win ..I might be on them live if I can see something. Just being patience. Good Luck fellow comrade
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@Ascetic
I Don't know anything about the Sabres. OKC has a chance of doing it. I am looking at OKC live if it looks like I see something..Maybe less points. OKC could smash them BUT the Lakers have been playing good the first half. I will probably watch and see if something looks good to bet or not. I put $100 and got it to $2000 this week and alot of it was on OKC . Detroit Game 7 is where it started . The Spurs Game 2. 4 ALL IN'S. Wouldn't recommend it. .lol that is why I am being cautious too. Because it is inevitable to start losing a little if you keep betting alot.. I wish I knew the mindset of these team for tonight. It is where you really would like to be around the team and see what they are feeling and thinking. Like is OKC feeling and trying to smash the Lakers. DO the Lakers think they can play one amazing game for them. . But I hope you Win ..I might be on them live if I can see something. Just being patience. Good Luck fellow comrade
I have been hammering OKC this Series. I think this Bet is 50-50 Only Because OKC is up 3-0 and they usually Don't cover Big Spreads on the close out Game's. They could STILL do it if the L.A. Lakers are SO inept BUT if L.A. plays really good..Those points could come into play this time. Like L.A . Loses by 7-10. Good Luck. Just saying my view on the Game.
same as suns series. OKC won every game 10+ closed game 4 by 9
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Quote Originally Posted by giavonni:
I have been hammering OKC this Series. I think this Bet is 50-50 Only Because OKC is up 3-0 and they usually Don't cover Big Spreads on the close out Game's. They could STILL do it if the L.A. Lakers are SO inept BUT if L.A. plays really good..Those points could come into play this time. Like L.A . Loses by 7-10. Good Luck. Just saying my view on the Game.
same as suns series. OKC won every game 10+ closed game 4 by 9
congrats on the run up. those are crazy good numbers. pump the brakes and hold onto some of that $$$$. take some money off the table and go out to a good dinner with your girl.
i didnt do all ins but made bank on OKC and the knicks . Not worried about tonight. All indications lead me to believe there is a healthy OKC victory at hand. but follow your gut. if you are not feeling it dont bet it. trust yourself.
but....look at the lakers fall off in 3rd quarters. LeBlow blows his load in the first half and 3rd quarter younger fresher OKC legs run around him and light him up. Look at his drive rate and Fg%. His usage is up and fg% is tumbling. He has nobody to pass to and has been reduced to a chuck it and luck it guy.
But man that Wemby flagrant cost me a little change. i felt like my analysis was spot on but losing wemby early in the second quarter hurt me. spurs are heavily one player dependent. that is why i am super confident about the thunder. they are not dependent on any one player. sga is being somewhat throttled but thunder are still wining by 18+. they have 1-10 players who can score. lakers have maybe 3.
0
@giavonni
congrats on the run up. those are crazy good numbers. pump the brakes and hold onto some of that $$$$. take some money off the table and go out to a good dinner with your girl.
i didnt do all ins but made bank on OKC and the knicks . Not worried about tonight. All indications lead me to believe there is a healthy OKC victory at hand. but follow your gut. if you are not feeling it dont bet it. trust yourself.
but....look at the lakers fall off in 3rd quarters. LeBlow blows his load in the first half and 3rd quarter younger fresher OKC legs run around him and light him up. Look at his drive rate and Fg%. His usage is up and fg% is tumbling. He has nobody to pass to and has been reduced to a chuck it and luck it guy.
But man that Wemby flagrant cost me a little change. i felt like my analysis was spot on but losing wemby early in the second quarter hurt me. spurs are heavily one player dependent. that is why i am super confident about the thunder. they are not dependent on any one player. sga is being somewhat throttled but thunder are still wining by 18+. they have 1-10 players who can score. lakers have maybe 3.
Yes. You are right. . And Another thing..I think I Phoenix is better than. L.A.. Phoenix beats L
A. IN 6 Game's...in my Opinion. Close out Game's are Tricky. . The better team in OKC or L.A. to barely cover the spread. Gun to head. OKC wins by 7 or More
0
@vaas187
Yes. You are right. . And Another thing..I think I Phoenix is better than. L.A.. Phoenix beats L
A. IN 6 Game's...in my Opinion. Close out Game's are Tricky. . The better team in OKC or L.A. to barely cover the spread. Gun to head. OKC wins by 7 or More
It is tempting ..OKC plays different than anyone else..they play every possession trying to make the Best play they can. . After it is all said and Done. They win by whatever points it adds up too. Lol That is why i Loved them this series. The Spurs are the same way. . The Knicks are the Best in the East. And Thank you for the advice and compliments. I Just want US to Win against Vegas. Deep Down I think k you are right. I Don't think OKC wins by any less than 7. SO there is the Starting point and probably crushes them. AGAIN!!!
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@Ascetic
It is tempting ..OKC plays different than anyone else..they play every possession trying to make the Best play they can. . After it is all said and Done. They win by whatever points it adds up too. Lol That is why i Loved them this series. The Spurs are the same way. . The Knicks are the Best in the East. And Thank you for the advice and compliments. I Just want US to Win against Vegas. Deep Down I think k you are right. I Don't think OKC wins by any less than 7. SO there is the Starting point and probably crushes them. AGAIN!!!
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