Posted:
#1
2007/08 YTD: 20-25-2 Sides 8-8, Totals: 4-5, ML Dogs: 1-3, ML Parlays: 1-1, Parlays: 1-2, 1st half sides 1-1-0, 1st half ML Dogs: 0-0-1 1st half totals: 0-2-1, 1st quarter sides: 1-0, 2nd half sides: 3-2, 2nd half totals: 0-1
Week 1: 17-19-2, +1.42 units
Week 2: 3-6, -3.7 units
YTD: -2.28 units Goal: +40 units
Ok, yesterday was my worst day of the year. -3.7 units here and I won't even get into that moose on my under 64 in that stupid college football game...serves me right for betting on a MAC game.
I have 2 problems right now with my NBA betting:
a) I'm betting too many games...9 plays in a day is not good. I have to cut back on this.
b) I'm selecting the wrong games from my analysis.
Yesterday I said the Nuggets and Knicks would play well over the total of 210 and they did (they hit 231). I also said the Bucks always cover at home for some strange reason, the Magic will cover against weak teams, fading the Bulls' large home spreads is a profitable strategy, and that the Cavs/Warriors would go over. Those were 5 bets I did not make, while the rest of my analysis led me to the bets I did make and a 3-6 day...
Today:
I'll add thoughts as I have them, and plays as I make them throughout the day, but right now I haven't even really looked at the card.
Initially:
I guess the Sonics aren't going to go 0-82, but the Grizzlies are looking for their first win as well, didn't play last night, and are the better team in a pick 'em game.
The Spurs are going to lay a beatdown on the Heat. Not interested in laying that many points though.
Blazers as a home dog against a team I still don't think is that great who's trying to 5-0 is enticing.
The Cavs fade train was de-railed last night; I wouldn't be surprised if it got back on track tonight though, even with Utah laying almost double digits.
The 6ers should beat the Bobcats, but laying points with bad teams is sketchy...
The Hawks were in that game last night, and they play Phoenix tough if memory serves me correctly. Considering the Suns don't lose to Eastern Conference teams though, the line is still "relatively" short.
2 matchups intrigue me but I won't bet them: Orlando/Toronto and LAC/Indiana. Toronto seems Jekyl and Hyde and Orlando hasn't shown me they can beat a good team yet. Someone will get their first loss of the year in the latter matchup and I'm curious to see who it will be.
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- is this supposed to be mutombo?
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