Posted:
#1
NBA: 21-8 (72.4%) > +13.37u
> 19-7 > 2-0On a nice 10-1 NBA run.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Detroit Pistons
The line is were it should be. Remember that the Grizz were laying 4 points two days ago @ New Orleans. Memphis haven't won two in a row on the road since February last year. And keep in mind that Detroit is actually the worst or 2nd worst team in the NBA, while the Hornets are slightly better than them.
I thought that without Z-Bo, this team will fall apart, but they are one game over .500, and are 9th in the West. In a condensed schedule as we have this season, every win counts, and Memphis has a decent chance to reach top 8 after the 66th game. If they were 5-8 or worst, this was a stay away game, but giving the fact that they are winning without Randolph, are playing good overall basketball, this is a must bet game in my opinion, as Detroit has miserable stats:
- Offensive Efficiency: Memphis 20th (98.6) / Detroit 29th (93)
- Defensive Efficiency: Memphis 10th (98.6) / Detroit 29th (106.5)
- True Shooting %: 22nd (51%) / Detroit 27th (49.6)
- Effective Field Goal %: Memphis 19th (47.3) / Detroit 27th (45.6)
- Pace Factor: Memphis 13th (94.7) / Detroit 30th (90.2)
Yeah, the Pistons are bad. Not to mention the fact that they have the worst rebounding rate in the league, with 37.7 boards per game, opponent teams are scoring with ease, with a 47.1 field goal %. Detroit is shooting 20% og their total shots when there are 4 or less seconds on their shot clock, making 37.7%, but the Grizz are allowing just 31.4% for the opponent teams in the last 4 seconds of the offense. On the other hand, Detroit is allowing a whopping 50% in the last 4 seconds of the shot clock for the opponents.
Pistons' best player, second year center Greg Monroe will be the x-factor tonight, as he is going to be dominated by a Marc Gasol in great shape, scoring and rebounding very effective.
The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 straight, Memphis is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 trips in Detroit, the favorite team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4, and the Grizz are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a 0.5 - 4.5 points favorite.
Memphis is clearly the better team here, and while I think Detroit could have a chance wo even win SU here, I will go with Memphis' D and superior physical strengh, as well as a better mind set, as I really think the Pistons are a mess righ now.
Pick: Memphis -3 (bought 0.5) @ -114
1 unitBOL!
----------------------------
NFL: 31-21 > +4.43 units
NCAAF: 17-8 > +6.73 units
MLB: 16-8-1 > +4.57 units
Soccer: 6-3 > +1.6 units
NHL: 6-4-1 > +2.14 units
NCAAB: 1-0 > +0.91 units
***since September 2011***
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