NBA PLAYOFF TIME..........................................2021

@theclaw

 Bol. Tailed. 

Nuggets/Suns UNDER 225 --- 1.1 units

Suns TT UNDER 115 (-115) --- 1.15 units

Under 225  

@theclaw

 What is the news of the day Brother?

Any good Lines for us today? 

games --- 0-1 ATS, lost 2.2 units

ML ---- 0-1, lost 1 unit

totals ---' 1-1, lost .15 units

Suns looked pretty spectacular, the Nuggets were playing terrible but hung right there up to halftime missing most of their 3 pt shots, something like 2 of 16. I thought Nuggets would shoot much better 2cd half but they couldn't get it done while Suns looked spectacular.

We have some very good spots coming up and should bounce back pretty good.

MY LINES......................................................

Bucks -7.82 over Nets

Jazz - 6.99 over Clippers

Nets off 4 ATS wins and a 39 pt blowout win terrible spot for the Nets. Bucks were off 4 SU wins and 3 ATS wins with back to back big blowout wins and in a regression spot, but now they have regressed coming off a huge 39 pt blowout loss, good spot for the Bucks tonight. Plus the Bucks are very good at home and not so good on the road this season.  

Jazz off either an ATS loss or a Push depending on line you got. Clippers don't want to fall behind 2-0 again that's for sure, tough to dig yourself out that hole twice.  Generally 2 teams with the common denominators of past champs will split games 1 & 2 this favors Clippers, however, generally the road team gets 1 good chance to beat the home team in the first 2 games and Clippers had their chance in game 1 and should of won that game but Jazz just took it from them. 

Even though Jazz did not play all that well missing 20 straight shots at one point, Jazz are a very strong home team and more then capable of shooting lights out at home and coming off a poor performances they should should play far better tonight. Favors the Jazz.

I'll pass on the game but think Jazz are going up 2-0 after tonight and THE Narrative from media will be Clippers will comeback but it won't be very likely they will.

Bucks -3.5 over Nets --- 2.2 units

Bucks/Nets UNDER 234 --- 1.1 unit

Nets TT UNDER 115  (-105) --- 1.05 units

Those hooks are a killer. 

games --- 0-1 ATS, lost 2.2 units

totals --- 2-0, won 2 units

son of a gun, thought we'd get the sweep. 

@theclaw

 You almost got it! Do you have early plays mate? Do you think this is a good spot for Denver?

MY LINES.........................................

Hawks -.83 over 76ers

Nuggets -6.37 over Suns

we don't use my lines with a 1-1 series, we back the team to win series if a clear better team, 76ers  are the largest mismatch of any series using the key stats in every area. 76ers is the right play here.

Suns off a 25 pt blowout win and multiple big wins, this is a great, great spot to back Nuggets. Suns shooting lights out but all good shooting teams regress, just see Nets last night. My lines has the Nuggets 4.87 pts better then the actual line.

76ers -1 over Hawks --- 2.2 units

Nuggets -1.5 over Suns --- 3.3 units

Nuggets/Suns UNDER 223 --- 1.1 UNITS

Suns TT UNDER 111 --- 1.1 units 

Nuggets -1.5 1st half --- 1.1 units

Nuggets/Suns UNDER 109.5 1st half --- 1.1 units

Suns TT UNDER 54 1st half --- 1.1 units  

Thanks claw...always great to read your post whether its nba or nfl 

@theclaw

 76ers  -1 over Hawks --- 2.2 units 

Nuggets/Suns UNDER 223 --- 1.1 units 

*Phoenix Suns are playing at an incredible level and may be one of those teams that makes a run like the Chicago Bulls or the Golden State Warriors made during their Championship Playoff run !!!

games --- 1-1 , lost 1.3 units

totals --- 1-1, lost .1 unit

1st half --- 0-3, lost 3.3 units

brutal , very surprised we didn't get a big day or two of the past few days. I haven't seen teams play like some of these teams are playing, just not letting up, no regression, nothing where normally we could expect some regression. If this holds Jazz would be the play tonight.

Possibly, just maybe the Suns know how deadly the Nuggets were last year coming back down 3-1 to the Clippers and just keep the foot on the gas. We all know what the Nuggets did but so do the Suns, and Jazz know what the Clippers did coming back 2-0 to beat the Mavs so they don't want them having any confidence winning a game and may come with  very strong energy and effort.

This has been a big coming out party for Mitchel as he has taken his game to another level , he has been incredible as a scorer and playmaker out-playing both Kawhi and George, I think he scored more pts then those 2 combined did in game 1 and he did it again for a good part of game 2. 

MY LINES.................................................

Clippers -5.01 over Jazz 

My line is right on the game line, normally 'd like the team down 0-2 but here we have no advantage with the line  even with Clippers receiving 4 extra desperation pts.

I'd have to like the Clippers going off history but will pass based on the line and with how things are playing out this year. Based on how things are going this year would like the Jazz, best to pass and find better spots down the Road.

I’m curious what your system and thoughts are about Denver in this spot.  

MY LINES .........................................

Bucks -3.82 over Nets

Nuggets -2.37 over Suns

Bucks off 3 ATS losses while Nets are off 5 ATS wins and because of this we see a big line adjustment with books moving the line from Bucks -4 to open game 3 to Bucks +2, wow a 6 pt adjustment based on an over-reaction to the previous games. Bucks should be favored again this game not a dog. With Harden out my line is fairly close .

Nets also in a regression spot where a team will lose ATS in the first or 2cd game and this being the 2cd game. Plus Bucks in a very unigue regression spot, coming off big 3 ATS wins with 2 big wins where they can be expected to lose ATS then after the 3rd ATS loss a very high probability of a ATS win , plus Bucks are a much better team at home then on the road, everything here  points to as big Bucks win. 

With 3 unders thus far and book make a big line adjustment of 4.5 pts which the public has pushed even lower, yep time for the Bucks to explode on offense and drive this game over the total.

What happened to the Nuggets ? Suns playing incredible, off 6 ATS wins while Nuggets off 3 ATS losses  but now that Suns have a comfortable lead  in a closeout game but are in a regression spot now, very possible Nuggets win the next 2 games.

We'll believe in regression ,history and my lines today and should have a pretty damn big day..........................................

Bucks +2 over Nets --- 3.3 units

Bucks/Nets OVER 228 --- 1.1 units

Nuggets +3 over Suns --- 2.2 units 

Lost 15K on Denver game2

Lost 8K by half on bucks game 3

Lost 8K on denvrr game3

My last 4K is on bucks and denver ml parlay...

Lets get this claw 

You are  are half way there to that parlay win.  Nuggets  should bring this home........................................

games --- 1-1 ATS, won .8 units

totals 0-1, lost 1.1 units

Suns just keep rolling, very surprised Nuggets didn't get at least one game.

Irving's injury opens the door for our pending futures on the Bucks to win the east.  Looks like this super-team is not getting to far.

MY LINES.....................................................

Hawks  -.83 over 76ers

Clippers -1.01 over Jazz

76ers off 2 ATS wins not a good spot but not a terrible spot either, with my line favoring the Hawks would take them to cover tonight .

Clippers off 1 ATS in a good spot for Clippers or Jazz, Clippers in serious need of a home win and since they do have the common denominators of past champs and even though the Jazz are better the Clippers still could get it done and cover, will pass tonight ,  with my line favoring the Jazz would lean more toward Jazz ATS.

Hawks +3 over 76ers --- 1.1 units