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monday lines (the nba is funny)

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Posted: #26
Consensus
Side:
Experts Side:
 
Total:
Experts Total:
44 %
20 %
Over
43 %
82 %
56 %80 %Under57 %18 %
 
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Posted: #27
Good luck today...........................
 
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Posted: #28
You better use the numbers from pregame - they are far more relevant numbers from covers are very inaccurate
 
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Posted: #29
That didnt come out as planned... 

According to "Covers"... the site we are currently using, 56% are on Utah.. 

There are obviously various ways to determine the consensus for a game.. 

What I don't understand though, is why people are arguing..? 

  and   are decent descriptions of what I am thinking right now.

I just made a claim to "be careful" hahah... ?? 

I made a claim that I've recently noticed upsets more than usual, especially when the line is right below -10, yet some seem to be taking it a little too personally..? 

I even said I wasn't betting on these games...? 

Note all my " ...? " its because I really don't understand why people are responding with "Detroit will NOT beat Utah". Ok, so they wont beat them, is that better for everyone..? 

I guess those who are upset about my claim are those who have Utah on the money line? And thus, I guess, are now worried? And thus, once again, I guess, are justifying their concern via commenting on some random dude's thread. Mind you, some random dude who is merely trying to remind other bettors, who may have poor tendencies, to be careful and not go big on heavy Home favorites' ML? 

I just dont understand to be honest hahah. I never said that these teams should win. I just stated that it's more possible than we like to think it is. "Detroit will NOT beat Utah" is more bold in my opinion than the claim I am making. Did anyone think the Bucks were going to beat the Lakers in LA? Did anyone think the lowly Clippers (at the time, they were horrendous, especially on the road) were going to beat the Bulls in Chicago? No... no one in their right mind would go as far as making such claims. And yet, all I am saying is to be careful, but some feel the need to call me out, as if I'm some sort of complete fool.

For those who bet on Detroit +9 - Good luck
For those who bet on Utah -9 - Good luck
For those who bet on Detroit ML - Good luck, you'll probably need it
For those who bet on Utah ML - Good luck to not get moosed


Does this clarify my point of view? Probably not now that I think about it...

One love, 
 
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Posted: #30
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by Spurter:

You better use the numbers from pregame - they are far more relevant numbers from covers are very inaccurate

Which numbers are you referring to exactly..? I could have definitely benefited from a different site besides Covers... let me know when you get a chance. Thanks. 
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by syoudeem:


Which numbers are you referring to exactly..? I could have definitely benefited from a different site besides Covers... let me know when you get a chance. Thanks. 


www.pregame.com bol whatever you play
 
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Posted: #33
MIA-pts and DEN-pts!!!
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by syoudeem:

Either way.. I wasted a LOT of time today with my write-ups, and it really prevented me from attending to other stuff. So, with that I am locking in:


Orlando -10.5 (3 Units) 
Orlando vs. GSW Under 211.5 -- will wait until it goes up to 213 or so..
New Orleans vs. Philly Under 188 (i think this will steadily drop) 

That's all for now... and I will try not to come around as much tomorrow ha. Had I had a successful night, maybe it would motivate me to keep up the hard work with providing information, but it was really frustrating how "off" I was with both the Cavs and the Rockets. I honestly felt great about both of the games, and I was completely wrong about both games. - similar to my bet on the Thunder against the Spurs. If I don't hit over 50% of my bets tomorrow, I will surely take a step back and take a break - im sure handicapper would like that (although he didnt come into my thread tonight, which I am thankful for) 

Best of luck to all.. Ignore tonight's craziness - it happens! There's always a tomorrow (which is the worst way to think when gambling, but it is what it is!) 

Peace and love 
 
 
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Posted: #35
I am locking in:
Orlando -10.5 (3 Units) 
Orlando vs. GSW Under 211.5  
New Orleans vs. Philly Under 188 

In terms of my posted leans:

Miami Under 190 
Orlando -10 
Boston -8 
Boston Over 202 
New Orleans Under 188 
Denver Over 218 
Utah Under 194 


"Charlotte, GSW, or Detroit will win tonight - my best guess is Detroit will either cover or upset Utah. They are +9 on the road against one of the toughest home teams in the league. Dont quote me here, I'm just saying be careful with laying down home favorite moneylines in your parlays. " 

Not too far off with my mindset tonight..

Hope people racked it in tonight 
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