The reference to the BetCrimes article you make, tells me that the 2nd round or higher historically goes under in elimination rounds....
So it's 1-1 for today ... and 2-1 OVER for this round in gm (4) .
I think I do not express it clearly and you miss understood my point ( wagers point of view ) .
Here is the link ( and if COVERS do not allow for posting a link to other sites , please delete it ! I don't want to promote the other site, just want to let the credit is belong to BC1984 ) : https://cappingthegame.com/forum/showthread.php?t=105617
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Quote Originally Posted by sg004591:
The reference to the BetCrimes article you make, tells me that the 2nd round or higher historically goes under in elimination rounds....
So it's 1-1 for today ... and 2-1 OVER for this round in gm (4) .
I think I do not express it clearly and you miss understood my point ( wagers point of view ) .
Here is the link ( and if COVERS do not allow for posting a link to other sites , please delete it ! I don't want to promote the other site, just want to let the credit is belong to BC1984 ) : https://cappingthegame.com/forum/showthread.php?t=105617
As of now - I'm leaning CLE -7.5 ( FG ) ...but BOS +4 (1 H)
with HF at -4 when FG at (-7, 7.5) DOGS covers 75% so far in playoff ... will double check the record in the morning . ( Cause now i'm on my 8th Heineken...and do not want to run any numbers , LOL...)
With 98.5 ( 1s H ) and 193.5 ( FG ) - Good indication for UNDER PLAYS.
So, when is -4 good?
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Quote Originally Posted by JCtS:
As of now - I'm leaning CLE -7.5 ( FG ) ...but BOS +4 (1 H)
with HF at -4 when FG at (-7, 7.5) DOGS covers 75% so far in playoff ... will double check the record in the morning . ( Cause now i'm on my 8th Heineken...and do not want to run any numbers , LOL...)
With 98.5 ( 1s H ) and 193.5 ( FG ) - Good indication for UNDER PLAYS.
So it's 1-1 for today ... and 2-1 OVER for this round in gm (4) .
I think I do not express it clearly and you miss understood my point ( wagers point of view ) .
Here is the link ( and if COVERS do not allow for posting a link to other sites , please delete it ! I don't want to promote the other site, just want to let the credit is belong to BC1984 ) : https://cappingthegame.com/forum/showthread.php?t=105617
....ok as I thought...we were just misunderstanding each other...despite the more favorable short term stats that support going over, I was just trying to confirm that's what were were actually about to do....but before you id it....I'm a believer in numbers that support an argument or point of view...but I felt your basis for selecting the over did not have enough data to support the selection, which only helped my confirm my original intention to go under on both games yesterday.....no problem firend...I woudl just rather make sure I understand your intention and not guess at your intentions...lol
...ps that BC post is also posted in Covers forum as well...with you in his thread....cheers my friend
Lastly...last night I did lay down a 2x FG wager on CLE -7 @-112, so I'm glad to see we're on the same side tonite...agree with your 1/2 wage as I feel -4 is a little too rich for me....I will however kay down the poins on CLE for a 1Q wager if it opens at -2...if it's -2.5 I will have to think twice, but may pull anyway...CLE is always strong on 1Q side plays especially at home.
Good luck
0
Quote Originally Posted by JCtS:
So it's 1-1 for today ... and 2-1 OVER for this round in gm (4) .
I think I do not express it clearly and you miss understood my point ( wagers point of view ) .
Here is the link ( and if COVERS do not allow for posting a link to other sites , please delete it ! I don't want to promote the other site, just want to let the credit is belong to BC1984 ) : https://cappingthegame.com/forum/showthread.php?t=105617
....ok as I thought...we were just misunderstanding each other...despite the more favorable short term stats that support going over, I was just trying to confirm that's what were were actually about to do....but before you id it....I'm a believer in numbers that support an argument or point of view...but I felt your basis for selecting the over did not have enough data to support the selection, which only helped my confirm my original intention to go under on both games yesterday.....no problem firend...I woudl just rather make sure I understand your intention and not guess at your intentions...lol
...ps that BC post is also posted in Covers forum as well...with you in his thread....cheers my friend
Lastly...last night I did lay down a 2x FG wager on CLE -7 @-112, so I'm glad to see we're on the same side tonite...agree with your 1/2 wage as I feel -4 is a little too rich for me....I will however kay down the poins on CLE for a 1Q wager if it opens at -2...if it's -2.5 I will have to think twice, but may pull anyway...CLE is always strong on 1Q side plays especially at home.
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